Next game
vs Ohio Northern
Sat Oct 24 · 1:30 pm ET
Hoernemann Stadium · series 2-2, lost the last 2
Heidelberg 77% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Heidelberg
5-1Ohio · Hoernemann Stadium · 1,300 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 42-13 at Rose Hulman
Our model gave Heidelberg 56% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Every game left is at least 75%
Win out 55% · expect 3.5 of 4 more wins
Heidelberg's chance to win each game left, from our model: Ohio Northern 77%, Marietta 83%, Capital 89%, Wilmington (OH) 97%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Ohio Northern · our model 77% Heidelberg
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Heidelberg · 2026 schedule and results5-1Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 53%.Our rank entering each game: #536 to #509
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #536 | #454 | — | Maryville (TN) | W 40-14 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #524 | #650 | — | @Otterbein | W 38-0 | 2-0 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #522 | #461 | — | @Mount Union | W 37-34 | 3-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #507 | #580 | — | Muskingum | W 56-0 | 4-0 | 3-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #499 | #489 | — | Baldwin Wallace | L 26-41 | 4-1 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | #509 | #535 | — | @Rose Hulman | W 42-13 | 5-1 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #488 | #510 | Ohio Northern | 1:30 pm ET77% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #487 | #525 | Marietta | 2 pm ET83% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Capital | 1:30 pm ET89% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Wilmington (OH) | 1:30 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Heidelberg, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Heidelberg: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Heidelberg has won four of its last five.
8-2 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 8-2
Range of outcomes · Heidelberg · 2026
Range of outcomes · Heidelberg · 2026Heidelberg’s most likely regular season is 9-1. 92% of outcomes land from 8-2 to 9-1.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
7 wins 8%; 8 wins 36%; 9 wins 55%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor8-4Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base10-2Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling11-1Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 5-1
Game feel57even gamescombined pts / game5th highest-scoring of 10 in the Ohio
Heart rate1-0some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)5th most one-score games of 10 in the Ohio
Margin+22.8competitiveavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 10 in the Ohio
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Ohio teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Heidelberg is the OAC middle-class contender — a small German-heritage school that finished 6-4 in 2025 and is content with steady winning in one of D3's toughest leagues.
Title DroughtSince 1900 · 126 yrs
Fans here believe no chip. Heidelberg is not chasing any team. The Student Princes are content with their place in a strong conference.
Game day
The experience
Heidelberg is the OAC middle-class contender — a small German-heritage school that finished 6-4 in 2025 and is content with steady winning in one of D3's toughest leagues.
Playoff path
Heidelberg sits 3rd in the Ohio Conference and 23rd of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — in the projected field with a seedable rating.
Ohio · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baldwin Wallace | 4-0 | 6-0 | 72.4 |
| 2 | Ohio Northern | 4-1 | 4-2 | 55.4 |
| 3 | Heidelberg | 3-1 | 5-1 | 66.2 |
| 4 | Mount Union | 3-1 | 4-2 | 60.4 |
| 5 | Marietta | 2-3 | 3-3 | 52.2 |
| 6 | Capital | 2-3 | 3-3 | 50.9 |
| 7 | Otterbein | 1-3 | 2-4 | 45.3 |
| 8 | Wilmington (OH) | 1-3 | 2-4 | 42.6 |
66.2 CFB Zeitgeist#23 of 245 D353.7 strength of schedule3 quality wins
Win the Ohio Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 5-1
Signature win 56-0 over Muskingum; toughest day 26-41 against Baldwin Wallace.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site