Next game
at Hanover
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Alumni Stadium (IN) · series 2-2, lost the last 2
Rose-Hulman 20% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Rose-Hulman
4-2Heartland · Cook Stadium · 2,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 13-42 vs Heidelberg
Our model gave Rose-Hulman 44% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Mount St Joseph 12%, Hanover 20%, Bluffton 62%
Win out 1% · expect 1.9 of 4 more wins
Rose-Hulman's chance to win each game left, from our model: Hanover 20%, Manchester 92%, Mount St Joseph 12%, Bluffton 62%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Hanover · our model 20% Rose-Hulman
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Rose-Hulman · 2026 schedule and results4-2Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 41%.Our rank entering each game: #573 to #535
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #573 | #445 | — | DePauw | L 23-31 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #561 | #625 | — | @Kalamazoo | W 27-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #558 | #573 | — | Albion | W 38-24 | 2-1 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #546 | #572 | — | Franklin | W 42-34 | 3-1 | 1-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #544 | #668 | — | Anderson (IN) | W 52-21 | 4-1 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #535 | #509 | — | Heidelberg | L 13-42 | 4-2 | 2-0 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #554 | #465 | @Hanover | 2 pm ET20% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #554 | #668 | Manchester | 2 pm ET92% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Mount St Joseph | 1:30 pm ET12% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Bluffton | 1:30 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Rose-Hulman, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Rose-Hulman: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Rose-Hulman has won four of its last five.
6-4 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Streak L1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 6-4
Range of outcomes · Rose-Hulman · 2026
Range of outcomes · Rose-Hulman · 2026Rose-Hulman’s most likely regular season is 6-4. 96% of outcomes land from 5-5 to 7-3.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 2%; 5 wins 29%; 6 wins 51%; 7 wins 17%; 8 wins 1%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor6-6Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base8-4Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling10-2Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-2
Game feel59even gamescombined pts / game3rd highest-scoring of 7 in the Heartland
Heart rate1-1some dramain one-score games (2 of 6)3rd most one-score games of 7 in the Heartland
Margin+6.0competitiveavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 7 in the Heartland
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Heartland teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Rose-Hulman is the elite engineering school that has not won the HCAC title since 2021 — the Engineers with top individual talent like RB Jay Smith are hungry to reclaim their conference throne.
Title DroughtSince 2021 · 5 yrs
Fans here believe mount St. Joseph went 20-0 in HCAC games over the past three years — the defending champion that was supposed to be vulnerable. Hanover just beat them. Rose-Hulman watches both…
Game day
The experience
Rose-Hulman is the elite engineering school that has not won the HCAC title since 2021 — the Engineers with top individual talent like RB Jay Smith are hungry to reclaim their conference throne.
Playoff path
Rose-Hulman sits 2nd in the Heartland Conference and 93rd of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Heartland · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hanover | 2-0 | 5-1 | 65.5 |
| 2 | Rose Hulman | 2-0 | 4-2 | 54.3 |
| 3 | Mount St Joseph | 2-1 | 5-1 | 62.4 |
| 4 | Bluffton | 2-1 | 2-4 | 45.7 |
| 5 | Franklin | 1-2 | 2-4 | 47.5 |
| 6 | Anderson (IN) | 0-3 | 1-5 | 35.6 |
| 7 | Manchester | 0-2 | 1-5 | 35.1 |
54.3 CFB Zeitgeist#93 of 245 D349.3 strength of schedule
Win the Heartland Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 4-2
Signature win 52-21 over Anderson (IN); toughest day 13-42 against Heidelberg.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site