Next game
vs Monroe
Sat Oct 31 · 1 pm ET
Athletic Field Complex
Keystone College 18% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Keystone College
1-5Independent DIII · Athletic Field Complex · 1,250 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 7-10 vs Apprentice School
Our model gave Keystone College 57% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Monroe 11%, Monroe 18%
Win out 2% · expect 1.2 of 3 more wins
Keystone College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Monroe 18%, Gallaudet 87%, Monroe 11%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Monroe · our model 18% Keystone College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Keystone College · 2026 schedule and results1-5Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 62%.Our rank entering each game: #608 to #621
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | #608 | #644 | — | Alvernia | W 25-21 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #613 | #470 | — | @Washington & Jefferson | L 0-42 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #610 | #593 | — | @Southern Virginia | L 14-38 | 1-2 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #618 | #430 | — | Wisconsin Whitewater | L 0-69 | 1-3 | 0-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #637 | #432 | — | @Mary Hardin Baylor | L 14-64 | 1-4 | 0-0 | |
| 6 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | #621 | #600 | — | Apprentice School | L 7-10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | |
| 8 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #633 | Monroe | 1 pm ET18% to win | |||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Gallaudet | 12 pm ET87% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Monroe | 1 pm ET11% to win | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Keystone College, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Keystone College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
What’s ahead
Off this week
7 days
until kickoff · vs Monroe · Sat Oct 31 · 1 pm ET
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Keystone College has lost five straight.
2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last five.
Streak L5Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 2-8
Range of outcomes · Keystone College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Keystone College · 2026Keystone College’s most likely regular season is 2-7. 89% of outcomes land from 2-7 to 3-6.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
1 wins 9%; 2 wins 67%; 3 wins 22%; 4 wins 2%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor1-11Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base2-10Mid-table finish.
Ceiling5-7Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 1-5
Game feel51even gamescombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 2 in the Independent DIII
Heart rate1-1some dramain one-score games (2 of 6)2nd most one-score games of 2 in the Independent DIII
Margin-30.7competitiveavg scoring margin2nd best margin of 2 in the Independent DIII
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Independent DIII teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Keystone College is the Landmark Conference program that revived football in 2019 after a 72-year hiatus, a small Pennsylvania college playing every fall with the joy of a program given a second chance and the historic legacy of Christy Mathewson.
Title DroughtSince 1947 · 79 yrs
Fans here believe no chip — Keystone plays for the pure joy of football, newly restored. The motivation is gratitude for the opportunity and pride in being a football program again.
Game day
The experience
Keystone College is the Landmark Conference program that revived football in 2019 after a 72-year hiatus, a small Pennsylvania college playing every fall with the joy of a program given a second chance and the historic legacy of Christy Mathewson.
Playoff path
Keystone College sits 2nd in the Independent DIII Conference and 193rd of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Independent DIII · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apprentice School | 1-0 | 1-3 | 39.5 |
| 2 | Keystone | 0-1 | 1-5 | 39.5 |
| 3 | Wesley College | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
39.5 CFB Zeitgeist#193 of 245 D355.8 strength of schedule
Win the Independent DIII Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 1-5
Signature win 25-21 over Alvernia; toughest day 0-69 against Wisconsin Whitewater.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site