Next game
at Westminster (MO)
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Blue Jay Stadium · series 7-0, won the last 7
University of Minnesota Morris 7% to win · our ratings after 6 games
University of Minnesota Morris
1-5Upper Midwest · Big Cat Stadium · 1,400 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 21-24 vs Martin Luther
Our model gave University of Minnesota Morris 53% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Underdogs in all 4 games left, best shot: Crown 37%
Win out <1% · expect 0.8 of 4 more wins
University of Minnesota Morris's chance to win each game left, from our model: Westminster (MO) 7%, Greenville 24%, Crown 37%, Northwestern (MN) 14%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Westminster (MO) · our model 7% University of Minnesota Morris
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
University of Minnesota Morris · 2026 schedule and results1-5Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 47%.Our rank entering each game: #604 to #666
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #604 | #646 | — | Concordia Chicago | L 19-52 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #617 | — | — | @Mayville State | L 13-39 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #640 | #636 | — | Buena Vista | W 30-28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #646 | #635 | — | Crown | L 23-24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #652 | #585 | — | @Northwestern (MN) | L 14-46 | 1-4 | 0-2 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #666 | #636 | — | Martin Luther | L 21-24 | 1-5 | 0-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #665 | #600 | @Westminster (MO) | 1 pm ET7% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #665 | #591 | Greenville | 1 pm ET24% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Crown | 2 pm ET37% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Northwestern (MN) | 2 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for University of Minnesota Morris, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for University of Minnesota Morris: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
University of Minnesota Morris has won one of its last five.
2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last three.
Streak L3Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 2-8
Range of outcomes · University of Minnesota Morris · 2026
Range of outcomes · University of Minnesota Morris · 2026University of Minnesota Morris’ most likely regular season is 2-8. 98% of outcomes land from 1-9 to 3-7.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
1 wins 38%; 2 wins 44%; 3 wins 16%; 4 wins 2%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor1-11Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base2-10Mid-table finish.
Ceiling5-7Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 1-5
Game feel56shootoutscombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 6 in the Upper Midwest
Heart rate1-2white-knucklein one-score games (3 of 6)2nd most one-score games of 6 in the Upper Midwest
Margin-15.5outgunnedavg scoring margin6th best margin of 6 in the Upper Midwest
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Upper Midwest teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Rural Minnesota public liberal-arts institution with stable UMAC presence—a regional player balancing academic mission with Division III athletic development.
Title DroughtSince 2003 · 23 yrs
Fans here believe morris doesn't define itself by football. The program serves the institutional mission as part of a larger UMN system identity.
Game day
The experience
Rural Minnesota public liberal-arts institution with stable UMAC presence—a regional player balancing academic mission with Division III athletic development.
Playoff path
University of Minnesota Morris sits 6th in the Upper Midwest Conference and 230th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
Upper Midwest · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northwestern (MN) | 3-0 | 3-3 | 47.8 |
| 2 | Westminster (MO) | 2-1 | 4-2 | 51.2 |
| 3 | Greenville | 2-1 | 3-3 | 47.5 |
| 4 | Crown | 2-2 | 2-4 | 38.9 |
| 5 | Martin Luther | 1-3 | 1-5 | 35.5 |
| 6 | Minnesota Morris | 0-3 | 1-5 | 32.3 |
| 7 | Finlandia University | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
32.3 CFB Zeitgeist#230 of 245 D342.4 strength of schedule
Win the Upper Midwest Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 1-5
Signature win 30-28 over Buena Vista; toughest day 19-52 against Concordia Chicago.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site