Next game
at St. Norbert
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET
Donald J. Schneider Stadium · series 4-0, won the last 4
Aurora 69% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Aurora
3-3NACC · Vago Field · 600 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 35-9 vs Wisconsin Lutheran
Our model gave Aurora 81% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Benedictine (IL) 47%, St. Norbert 69%
Win out 30% · expect 3.1 of 4 more wins
Aurora's chance to win each game left, from our model: St. Norbert 69%, Lakeland 95%, Benedictine (IL) 47%, Eureka >99%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at St. Norbert · our model 69% Aurora
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Aurora · 2026 schedule and results3-3Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 65%.Our rank entering each game: #469 to #482
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #469 | #436 | — | @Wisconsin Platteville | L 7-44 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #466 | #515 | — | Mount St Joseph | L 21-49 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #476 | #524 | — | @Concordia (WI) | L 28-29 | 0-3 | 0-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #480 | #649 | — | @Rockford | W 61-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 6 | Oct 10 | #487 | #551 | — | Concordia Chicago | W 52-0 | 2-3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #482 | #566 | — | Wisconsin Lutheran | W 35-9 | 3-3 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #479 | #541 | @St. Norbert | 2 pm ET69% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #479 | #595 | Lakeland | 2 pm ET95% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Benedictine (IL) | 2 pm ET47% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Eureka | 2 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Aurora, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Aurora: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Aurora has won three of its last five.
7-3 over the last 10, and won the last three.
Streak W3Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 7-3
Range of outcomes · Aurora · 2026
Range of outcomes · Aurora · 2026Aurora’s most likely regular season is 6-4. 99% of outcomes land from 5-5 to 7-3.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 19%; 6 wins 50%; 7 wins 30%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor4-8Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base6-6Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-3
Game feel57even gamescombined pts / game4th highest-scoring of 9 in the NACC
Heart rate0-1some dramain one-score games (1 of 6)5th most one-score games of 9 in the NACC
Margin+11.3competitiveavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 9 in the NACC
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among NACC teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Spartans of Aurora University in suburban Chicago, a NACC power under former NFL champion Don Beebe — a program that made five straight Division III playoff trips through 2024 from Spartan Athletic Park.
Standard GapA rising NACC powerhouse measured against the next step: a deep run…
Aurora made five consecutive D3 playoff appearances and is coached by a man with a Super Bowl ring — and the national crowd still treats the NACC like it doesn't count.
Game day
The experience
The Spartans of Aurora University in suburban Chicago, a NACC power under former NFL champion Don Beebe — a program that made five straight Division III playoff trips through 2024 from Spartan Athletic Park.
Playoff path
Aurora sits 4th in the NACC and 100th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
NACC · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Concordia (WI) | 5-0 | 7-0 | 67.4 |
| 2 | Benedictine (IL) | 4-0 | 6-0 | 67.5 |
| 3 | St. Norbert | 4-1 | 4-3 | 52.5 |
| 4 | Aurora | 3-1 | 3-3 | 53.0 |
| 5 | Concordia Chicago | 2-2 | 4-2 | 53.4 |
| 6 | Lakeland | 1-4 | 2-5 | 45.2 |
| 7 | Wisconsin Lutheran | 1-4 | 3-4 | 44.0 |
| 8 | Eureka | 0-4 | 0-6 | 31.8 |
53.0 CFB Zeitgeist#100 of 245 D356.1 strength of schedule
Win the NACC for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 3-3
Signature win 61-5 over Rockford; toughest day 7-44 against Wisconsin Platteville.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site