Next game
at Augustana (IL)
Sat Oct 31 · 2 pm ET
Charles D. Lindberg Stadium · series 4-0, won the last 4
Wheaton 87% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Wheaton
7-0CCIW · McCully Stadium · 4,100 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 41-3 vs Carroll (WI)
Our model gave Wheaton 92% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Every game left is at least 85%
Win out 85% · expect 2.8 of 3 more wins
Wheaton's chance to win each game left, from our model: Augustana (IL) 87%, Elmhurst >99%, Carthage 98%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Augustana (IL) · our model 87% Wheaton
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Wheaton · 2026 schedule and results7-0Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 48%.Our rank entering each game: #457 to #446
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #457 | #463 | — | Mount Union | W 24-23 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #456 | #567 | — | @Albion | W 45-3 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #454 | #633 | — | Millikin | W 82-10 | 3-0 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #456 | #528 | — | @Illinois Wesleyan | W 28-7 | 4-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #454 | #591 | — | North Park | W 33-6 | 5-0 | 3-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #453 | #426 | — | @North Central College | W 13-10 | 6-0 | 4-0 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #446 | #545 | — | Carroll (WI) | W 41-3 | 7-0 | 5-0 | |
| 8 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #436 | #515 | @Augustana (IL) | 2 pm ET87% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Elmhurst | 1 pm ET>99% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Carthage | 1 pm ET98% to win | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Wheaton, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Wheaton: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
What’s ahead
Off this week
7 days
until kickoff · at Augustana (IL) · Sat Oct 31 · 2 pm ET
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Wheaton has won seven straight.
9-1 over the last 10, and won the last seven.
Streak W7Last 5 · 5-0Last 10 · 9-1
Range of outcomes · Wheaton · 2026
Range of outcomes · Wheaton · 2026Wheaton’s most likely regular season is 10-0. 100% of outcomes land from 9-1 to 10-0.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
9 wins 15%; 10 wins 85%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor10-2Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base12-0Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling12-0Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 7-0
Game feel47even gamescombined pts / game7th highest-scoring of 9 in the CCIW
Heart rate2-0some dramain one-score games (2 of 7)6th most one-score games of 9 in the CCIW
Margin+29.1comfortableavg scoring margin1st best margin of 9 in the CCIW
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among CCIW teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Thunder of Wheaton, Illinois, a CCIW power that has lived in the Division III Top 25 for years on end and reached the 2008 national semifinals — a Christian-college program that wins with quiet relentlessness.
Standard GapA program that expects to win the CCIW and reach the playoff every…
Wheaton has been a Division III Top-25 fixture for over a decade and a national semifinalist, yet gets filed as just another small Christian college.
Game day
The experience
The Thunder of Wheaton, Illinois, a CCIW power that has lived in the Division III Top 25 for years on end and reached the 2008 national semifinals — a Christian-college program that wins with quiet relentlessness.
Playoff path
Wheaton sits 1st in the CCIW and 3rd of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — in the projected field with a seedable rating.
CCIW · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wheaton (IL) | 5-0 | 7-0 | 76.1 |
| 2 | North Central College | 3-1 | 5-1 | 66.0 |
| 3 | Illinois Wesleyan | 3-2 | 5-2 | 62.0 |
| 4 | Carroll (WI) | 3-2 | 4-3 | 56.4 |
| 5 | Augustana (IL) | 2-2 | 3-3 | 52.1 |
| 6 | Millikin | 2-3 | 3-4 | 49.4 |
| 7 | Carthage | 1-3 | 2-4 | 42.5 |
| 8 | North Park | 1-3 | 1-5 | 41.1 |
76.1 CFB Zeitgeist#3 of 245 D353.2 strength of schedule4 quality wins
Win the CCIW for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 7-0
Signature win 82-10 over Millikin; toughest day 24-23 against Mount Union.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site