Butler beats Presbyterian 27-10

Butler7-227
Presbyterian4-510Final
Sat, Oct 31 · Bailey Memorial Stadium, Clinton, S.C. · Crowd 2,435ESPN+

Butler beat Presbyterian 27-10.

We had Butler favored. It won.

Next: Butler vs St. Thomas (MN), Sat Nov 7 · 1:00 PM ET

Next: Presbyterian at Morehead State, Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Butler an 82% chance, and the closing betting line (Butler was a 11.5-point favorite) put it at 82%.

Favored the whole way: Butler never fell below 70%.

Presbyterian never had better than a 30% chance.

FinalButler 27-10 PresbyterianButler wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q495% at halfButlerWon27-10Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q495% at halfButlerWon27-10Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q45% at halfButlerLost10-27Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q45% at halfButlerLost10-27Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Butler’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Butler -11.5), at 72% for Butler (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Butler scored on 5 of its 9 drives; Presbyterian on 2 of its 8.

Butler’s drives are teal, Presbyterian’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Butler: Touchdown, from 82 yards out to 0TouchdownPresbyterian: Punt, from 75 yards out to 73PuntButler: Touchdown, from 47 yards out to 0TouchdownPresbyterian: Missed field goal, from 75 yards out to 9Missed FGQ2Butler: Punt, from 80 yards out to 79PuntPresbyterian: Punt, from 58 yards out to 30PuntButler: Punt, from 93 yards out to 76PuntPresbyterian: Field goal, from 55 yards out to 11Field goalButler: Field goal, from 78 yards out to 28Field goalQ3Presbyterian: Punt, from 71 yards out to 41PuntButler: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownPresbyterian: Touchdown, from 83 yards out to 0TouchdownButler: Missed field goal, from 71 yards out to 21Missed FGQ4Presbyterian: Punt, from 79 yards out to 82PuntButler: Field goal, from 55 yards out to 4Field goalPresbyterian: Turned over on downs, from 84 yards out to 70DownsButler: End of game, from 30 yards out to 33End of game

Box score

Butler 27, Presbyterian 10

Butler covered −11.5 by 5.5. The total, 37, stayed under 60.5.

Butler leaders

  • Passing Gabe Passini 16 of 25, 145 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Gabe Passini 18 for 162 yds, 1 TD; Michael Dellumo 11 for 42 yds
  • Receiving Nick Munson 7 for 50 yds; Drew Sullivan 4 for 44 yds, 1 TD

Presbyterian leaders

  • Passing Noah Perrin 1 of 1, 66 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Damion Moate 8 for 34 yds; Jackson Burleson 6 for 21 yds
  • Receiving Eric Nelson 1 for 66 yds, 1 TD; Deverious Abercrombie 1 for 30 yds

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Butler · 6-2

Rated 190th in our preseason ratings, 170th now, up 20 spots.

2-1 in its last three, including a 31-point win over San Diego as a 1.5-point underdog.

W 33-21 @ Drake No. 235 of 668 teams

won by 12 as a 3-point favorite

Butler won 33-21 at Drake. Chance to win started at 51%, low 22%, high 99%.

L 9-19 vs Dayton No. 172 of 668 teams

lost by 10 as a 5.5-point favorite

Butler lost 9-19 vs Dayton. Chance to win started at 70%, low 9%, high 81%.

W 41-10 vs San Diego No. 219 of 668 teams

won by 31 as a 1.5-point underdog

Butler won 41-10 vs San Diego. Chance to win started at 59%, low 48%, high better than 99%.

W 33-28 @ Valparaiso No. 254 of 668 teams

won by 5 as a 6.5-point favorite

Butler won 33-28 at Valparaiso. Chance to win started at 62%, low 20%, high better than 99%.

W 47-20 vs Chicago State No. 257 of 668 teams

won by 27 as a 20.5-point favorite

Butler won 47-20 vs Chicago State. Chance to win started at 94%, low 94%, high better than 99%.

W 52-0 vs Franklin No. 525 of 668 teams

Butler won 52-0 vs Franklin. Chance to win started at 61%, low 49%, high better than 99%.

W 27-23 vs Georgetown College Kentucky

Last three games

Presbyterian · 4-4

Rated 156th in our preseason ratings, 236th now.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Week by week

Presbyterian

Wk 4: L 7-42 at Marist▼35MaristWk 5: W 55-21 vs St. Thomas (MN)▲34St. Thom…Wk 6: W 38-21 vs Davidson▲17DavidsonWk 7: W 47-43 at Stetson▲4StetsonWk 8: L 7-24 at Valparaiso▼17Valparai…
  • Wk 4Lat Marist7-42
  • Wk 5Wvs St. Thomas (MN)55-21
  • Wk 6Wvs Davidson38-21
  • Wk 7Wat Stetson47-43
  • Wk 8Lat Valparaiso7-24

Butler

Wk 3: W 47-20 vs Chicago State▲27Chicago…Wk 4: W 33-28 at Valparaiso▲5Valparai…Wk 6: W 41-10 vs San Diego▲31San DiegoWk 7: L 9-19 vs Dayton▼10DaytonWk 8: W 33-21 at Drake▲12Drake
  • Wk 3Wvs Chicago State47-20
  • Wk 4Wat Valparaiso33-28
  • Wk 6Wvs San Diego41-10
  • Wk 7Lvs Dayton9-19
  • Wk 8Wat Drake33-21

Power rating by week

Butler is rated 4.5 points ahead as of week 8. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-6-9-12Wk 0Wk 4Wk 8PresbyterianButler

The series

Presbyterian leads the series 2-1

3 meetings since 2023 · Presbyterian has won the last 2

  • 2025Presbyterian 31-25
  • 2024Presbyterian 30-27
  • 2023Butler 27-17

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line agree on Presbyterian’s chances here.

50-50Model 18% · Line 18%ButlerPresbyterian

Butler favored by 11.5 · Total 60.5

How games like this usually go

Butler by 11.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 448 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.

The market

The total rose 1 point.

opened 59.5now 60.5

Total: 59.5 → 60.5

The books’ cut: 5.3%, the margin built into the odds

Where next

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.