Western Carolina routs Presbyterian 58-14

Presbyterian1-214
Western Carolina2-258Final
Sat, Sep 19 · E. J. Whitmire Stadium, Cullowhee, N.C. · Crowd 11,811ESPN+

Western Carolina routed Presbyterian 58-14.

We had Western Carolina favored. It won.

Next: Presbyterian lost to Marist 42-7, Sat Sep 26

Next: Western Carolina lost to East Tennessee State 58-31, Sat Sep 26

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Western Carolina a 63% chance, and the closing betting line (Western Carolina was a 33.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Western Carolina led by 14 after the first quarter and by 13 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+44+44
FinalWestern Carolina 58-14 PresbyterianWestern Carolina wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Won58-14Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Won58-14Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Lowest 0%Lost14-58Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Lowest 0%Lost14-58Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Western Carolina’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Western Carolina -33.5), at 98% for Western Carolina (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Western Carolina scored on 10 of its 13 drives; Presbyterian on 2 of its 12.

Western Carolina’s drives are teal, Presbyterian’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Presbyterian: Missed field goal, from 75 yards out to 21Missed FGWestern Carolina: Touchdown, from 79 yards out to 0TouchdownPresbyterian: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 53DownsWestern Carolina: Touchdown, from 47 yards out to 0TouchdownPresbyterian: Punt, from 75 yards out to 45PuntQ2Western Carolina: Field goal, from 78 yards out to 21Field goalPresbyterian: Punt, from 75 yards out to 80PuntWestern Carolina: Fumble, from 54 yards out to 46FumblePresbyterian: Touchdown, from 54 yards out to 0TouchdownWestern Carolina: Touchdown, from 70 yards out to 0TouchdownPresbyterian: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownWestern Carolina: Field goal, from 69 yards out to 27Field goalQ3Western Carolina: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownPresbyterian: Punt, from 75 yards out to 73PuntWestern Carolina: Field goal, from 47 yards out to 9Field goalPresbyterian: Interception, from 75 yards out to 75InterceptionWestern Carolina: Touchdown, from 23 yards out to 0TouchdownPresbyterian: Punt, from 75 yards out to 79PuntWestern Carolina: Punt, from 53 yards out to 49PuntPresbyterian: Punt, from 91 yards out to 97PuntWestern Carolina: Touchdown, from 37 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4Presbyterian: Punt, from 75 yards out to 74PuntWestern Carolina: Touchdown, from 56 yards out to 0TouchdownPresbyterian: Punt, from 75 yards out to 53PuntWestern Carolina: End of game, from 90 yards out to 2End of game

Box score

Western Carolina 58, Presbyterian 14

Western Carolina covered −33.5 by 10.5. The total, 72, went over 66.5.

Presbyterian leaders

  • Passing Landon Sharpe 19 of 27, 162 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Damion Moate 9 for 43 yds, 1 TD; Landon Sharpe 15 for 24 yds
  • Receiving Jackson Burleson 2 for 54 yds; Jalen Patrick 5 for 33 yds

Western Carolina leaders

  • Passing Lex Thomas 24 of 33, 268 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Josh Perry 16 for 142 yds, 3 TD; Jadarius Dobie 7 for 45 yds
  • Receiving Jai Boyd 3 for 103 yds, 1 TD; AJ Colombo 7 for 64 yds

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games

Presbyterian · 1-1

Rated 156th in our preseason ratings, 210th now.

1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Last three games

Western Carolina · 1-2

Rated 197th in our preseason ratings, 193rd now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 45-21 vs Eastern Kentucky #169 of 668

won by 24 as a 3-point favorite

Week by week

Western Carolina

Wk 1: W 45-21 vs Eastern Kentucky▲24Eastern KentuckyWk 1: L 19-28 at Campbell▼9CampbellWk 2: L 10-62 at Cincinnati▼52Cincinnati
  • Wk 1Wvs Eastern Kentucky45-21
  • Wk 1Lat Campbell19-28
  • Wk 2Lat Cincinnati10-62

Presbyterian

Wk 1: W 47-37 vs UVA Wise▲10UVA WiseWk 1: L 3-62 at Mercer▼59Mercer
  • Wk 1Wvs UVA Wise47-37
  • Wk 1Lat Mercer3-62

Power rating by week

Western Carolina is rated 0.7 points ahead as of week 2. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-7.1-8.2-9.4Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2Western CarolinaPresbyterian

The series

Western Carolina leads the series 4-1

5 meetings since 2007 · Western Carolina has won the last 2

  • 2022Western Carolina 77-21
  • 2015Western Carolina 33-21
  • 2014Presbyterian 19-14
  • 2008Western Carolina 23-21
  • 2007Western Carolina 33-20

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Western Carolina’s chances here.

50-50Model · 63%Line · 100%PresbyterianWestern Carolina

Western Carolina favored by 33.5 · Total 66.5

How games like this usually go

Western Carolina by 33.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 5 points toward Western Carolina.

opened −28.5now −33.5

The total rose 4 points.

opened 62.5now 66.5

Spread: −28.5 → −33.5 · Total: 62.5 → 66.5

Home field

Home-field advantage: Bottom third of FBS.

0% at home, 0% on the road against FBS opponents (0-0 home, 0-10 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +6.8 at home vs. away over 54 games — inside the ±9.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 95 miles to get here.

Where next