Kansas

1-2

Big 12 · Lance Leipold, year 6 (28-37) · Memorial Stadium · 47,000 · 31,452 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#81 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #64 (+3.0) · FPI #67
The marketno line yetvs Middle Tennessee · our model 67% Kansas · a number, not a pick

LastL 17–24 vs Arizona State · Sat Sep 19 · Leroy Harris III 1 sacks, 2 TFL, 7 tackles

Nextvs Middle Tennessee · Sat Oct 3 · time TBA · Memorial Stadium · first meeting on record

Updated Tue Sep 22 · through week 3

Kansas · 2026 schedule & results1-2
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#87#178-44.5Long Island UniversityW 51–6 1291-00-0
2Sep 12#85#42+4MissouriL 21–38 1381-10-0
3Sep 19#78#46+5.5Arizona State (N)L 17–24 1401-20-1
5Oct 3#82#126Middle Tennessee
6Oct 10@Utah
7Oct 17@Kansas State
8Oct 24Baylor
9Oct 31@TCU
10Nov 7UCF
11Nov 14@West Virginia
12Nov 21BYU
13Nov 28@Oklahoma State
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 19Arizona StateL 17–24414329:18+0.14041.3%138.8%Best defensive stand
Sep 12MissouriL 21–38255328:39-0.12929.9%179.1%Season-low EPA/play
Sep 5Long Island UniversityW 51–6613133:06+0.56959.0%129.9%Season-high EPA/play
Season average (3 games)4272.3+0.19343.4%149.3%

Game Week

11 days

until kickoff · vs Middle Tennessee · Sat Oct 3 · time TBA

Verdict Begins·Live

Kansas is a basketball cathedral that, for a few Jalon Daniels seasons, made football matter in Lawrence — every win a bonus on top of a banner-filled gym that never needed the gridiron at all.

Standard GapA program with one of the worst football histories in the Power…

Fans are tired of being told their school only cares from November to March — that football is a hobby in a basketball town. They point at the Orange Bowl banner and the Leipold revival and ask to…

settled
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Ahead
Sat Oct 10AP #15 Utahat Utah · on the road
Sat Oct 17Sunflower Showdownat Kansas State · on the road
Sat Nov 21AP #9 BYUvs BYU · at home

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 5-7 · last season

Game feel55even gamescombined pts / game6th highest-scoring of 16 in the Big 12
Heart rate1-2rarely closein one-score games (3 of 12)14th most one-score games of 16 in the Big 12
Margin+1.3competitiveavg scoring margin10th best margin of 16 in the Big 12
Tempo64methodicaloffensive plays / game13th fastest of 16 in the Big 12
Big plays1.17grind it outexplosiveness (IsoPPP)16th most explosive of 16 in the Big 12
Home crowd39,137avg attendance14th biggest crowds of 16 in the Big 12

✓ measured from 12 games · ranks are among Big 12 teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Kansas has won one of its last five.

Cold. 3-7 over the last 10, and lost the last two.

Streak L2Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 3-7
I haven’t seen, since I’ve been here, a safety with that type of range that he showed on the one he barely dropped
McDonald · On3the day before Kansas's 2026 game against Arizona State
The forecast

Next Oct 3

vs Middle Tennessee · at home

Season line5.0 winsover -190
SolidExplosive, big-playElite

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total2 booksO/U 5
CFP championship#44 in field+50000
Big 12 title#16 in market+8000

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-22

Kansas · the story right now 5 storylines developing

What Kansas's season is really about

the open questionwhere does it go from here?

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Kansas enters 2025 at No. 58 in SP+ — the 8-spot drop from 2024 puts Leipold’s progress under the microscope after back-to-back losing records.

what happenedKansas enters 2025 rated No. 58 in SP+ (+4.1), down 8 spots from 2024. ✓ fact

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Boden Groen is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Emmanuel Henderson Jr. is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.

our readbackground

closer2025 cycle~attributednew

Leshon Williams gets LESS work in the fourth quarter with a lead than his overall workload would predict -- not the trusted closer raw carries might suggest.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Leshon Williams: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

How past storylines here turned out

Died downKansas's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
Died downKansas's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Kansas · 2026

Kansas' most likely season is 7-6 — a bowl game. The floor is 4-8; the ceiling is 9-4.

Floor4-8No postseason.
Base7-6A bowl game.
Ceiling9-4A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Kansas · Season outlook Confidence

Kansas enters the season in the middle of the pack. That's the whole tension.

Kansas enters 2025 rated No. 58 in SP+ (+4.1), down 8 spots from 2024. SP+ describes what the program HAS done, not what it will do. The season is the field test. Preview coverage is split — believers and skeptics are reading the same data differently.

The saga so far~2 months old
3 weeks agoKansas releases first depth chart — Reported
Jul 27Melvin Council Jr. sues NCAA for extra year — Reported
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Kansas enters 2025 at No. 58 in SP+ — the 8-spot drop from 2024 puts Leipold’s progress under the microscope after back-to-back losing records.
Source of record: Kansas enters 2025 rated No. 58 in SP+ (+4.1), down 8 spots from 2024.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards loud
📣Believers1 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.

“Kansas State Lands Commitment From Top In-State 2028 Prospect”
Heartland College Sports · 2026-09-22 · read ↗
“Kansas, Middle Tennessee football set for 11 a.m. kickoff”
WIBW · 2026-09-22 · read ↗
“Kansas Football Learns Kickoff Time for Middle Tennessee Matchup”
roundtable.io · 2026-09-22 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Lance Leipold shares concern with KU football’s depth at…” — the real counter.

The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.

“Lance Leipold shares concern with KU football’s depth at running back - The Topeka Capital-Journal”
news · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
💬The boards12% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in. Board mood this week: negative overall · anger notable (91%).

This event was in 289 of 2463 board posts (12%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"2026-27 BIG 12 CONFERENCE PREVIEW This year’s B12 is awesome. There’s a few one-and-done star freshmen who’ll be the alphas on their team’s hunt to a national title. Here’s my deta"
r/jayhawks ~ fan take
"You can always count on KU giving up a TD in the final 2 minutes of the first half. Seems to happen every game. And it's always a difference maker with how close our games have bee"
r/CFB ~ fan take

Board health this week (534 posts): 16% positive · 31% neutral · 53% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

Belief EKG
2023 season2022 season2021 seasonW 48-3 vs Lindenwood (Wk 1)L 17-23 vs Illinois (Wk 2)L 20-23 vs UNLV (Wk 3)L 28-32 vs West Virginia (Wk 4)L 27-38 vs TCU (Wk 5)L 31-35 vs Arizona State (Wk 6)W 42-14 vs Houston (Wk 8)L 27-29 vs Kansas State (Wk 9)W 45-36 vs Iowa State (Wk 11)W 17-13 vs BYU (Wk 12)W 37-21 vs Colorado (Wk 13)L 17-45 vs Baylor (Wk 14)HIGHLOW
2024 season2022 season2021 seasonW 48-17 vs Missouri State (Wk 1)W 34-23 vs Illinois (Wk 2)W 31-24 vs Nevada (Wk 3)W 38-27 vs BYU (Wk 4)L 14-40 vs Texas (Wk 5)W 51-22 vs UCF (Wk 6)L 32-39 vs Oklahoma State (Wk 7)W 38-33 vs Oklahoma (Wk 9)W 28-21 vs Iowa State (Wk 10)L 13-16 vs Texas Tech (Wk 11)L 27-31 vs Kansas State (Wk 12)W 49-16 vs Cincinnati (Wk 13)W 49-36 vs UNLV (Wk 18)HIGHLOW
2024 season2023 season2021 seasonW 56-10 vs Tennessee Tech (Wk 1)W 55-42 vs West Virginia (Wk 2)W 48-30 vs Houston (Wk 3)W 35-27 vs Duke (Wk 4)W 14-11 vs Iowa State (Wk 5)L 31-38 vs TCU (Wk 6)L 42-52 vs Oklahoma (Wk 7)L 23-35 vs Baylor (Wk 8)W 37-16 vs Oklahoma State (Wk 10)L 28-43 vs Texas Tech (Wk 11)L 14-55 vs Texas (Wk 12)L 27-47 vs Kansas State (Wk 13)L 53-55 vs Arkansas (Wk 18)HIGHLOW
2024 season2023 season2022 seasonW 17-14 vs South Dakota (Wk 1)L 14-41 vs Texas Tech (Wk 7)L 23-35 vs Oklahoma (Wk 8)L 3-55 vs Oklahoma State (Wk 9)W 57-56 vs Texas (Wk 11)L 28-34 vs West Virginia (Wk 13)HIGHLOW
2020 offseason2019 offseasonStory arc: Big Noon Kickoff heads to London for Arizona State-Kansas gameWk 38Wk 4477th8th
2024 season · 5W-7L2023 season · 9W-4L2022 season · 6W-7L2021 season · 2W-10L2025 offseason · fan confidence percentile
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasonsStory arc

Rival pulse

Kansas State
Mixed
-2
Sunflower Showdown
Missouri
Hopeful
+14
Border War

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Kansas is the basketball school whose Lance Leipold rebuild from 1-11 to bowl games + Jalon Daniels Heisman buzz reset what historic-football-disappointment can become.

Offense: SolidTempo: Explosive, big-playDefense: Elite
Open questionsThe unresolved questions this season keeps asking.
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Kansas

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-22
Returning Production18%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#62 nationally247 composite 684.5
Portal Additions31Primary repair: DL
Portal Losses26Primary pressure: EDGE
Draft Loss2NFL Draft departures (2)
Recruiting Reload#61Depth class
LBin 5 - Landyn Watson3.60out 5 - Trey Lathan3.60Even
current room: 229 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Balanced Linebacker2025 profileis steady in every phase without a signature trait
Third program
Sin 4 - Corey Gordon3.60out 5 - Lyrik Rawls3.60Even
current room: 195 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Hybrid Nickel2025 profilemoves between deep coverage and the slot
RBin 3 - Dylan Edwards3.80out 2 - Harry Stewart III3.49Even
current room: 213 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Satellite Back2024 profilewins in space out of the backfield
IOLin 3 - Connor Stroh3.70out 2 - Tyler Mercer3.50Upgrade
current room: 310 lbs avg (2025 roster)
CBin 2 - Roman Pearson3.50out 3 - Aundre Gibson3.50Downgrade
current room: 187 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Centerfielder2025 profileerases the deep middle of the field
Transferred in
DLin 4 - Jibriel Conde3.60out 0Need Filled
current room: 296 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Full roster (115 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Kansas

5 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Melvin Council Jr. sues NCAA for extra year

    Council lost two EDGE contributors to the draft and ranks 61st in class — a lawsuit buying one more year at that spot isn't a minor procedural move, it's Leipold's most realistic fix for a position the depth chart can't paper over.

    Jul 27Reported
  2. News

    Kansas releases first depth chart

    Depth chart drops with two EDGE contributors already gone and a class ranked 61st nationally — Leipold's pressure-spot rebuild gets its first real stress test before LIU even kicks off.

    Aug 31Reported
  3. News

    2 Jayhawks ruled out for game

    Two more Jayhawks out for the Union Jack Classic — a roster already thin at EDGE after two NFL Draft departures can't afford the injury math stacking up this fast.

    Sep 19Reported
  4. News

    Drinkwitz criticizes KU hype video

    Drinkwitz picking a public fight with Kansas over a hype video is the kind of distraction that lands differently when your own program is the one with SP+ concerns and a #61 class trying to replace two drafted EDGEs.

    Sep 12Reported
  5. Recruiting

    Javon Bardwell decommits from Kansas

    Two EDGE contributors already gone and a #61 class behind them — Bardwell walking back his commitment is the last thing Leipold needed at a position already running thin.

    Aug 12Official
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

+1.2 net portal points
(raw ledger: +20.3 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
DL
+14.3
need filled
EDGE
-7.1
starter risk
RB
+4.0
IOL
+3.8
TE
+3.6
K
+3.5
low confidence
CB
-3.4
LS
+2.0
low confidence
S
-0.9
LB
+0.2
WR
+0.1
OT
+0.1
QB
+0.0
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★☆
Kaden Snyder
OT · Salina, KS
#379 national
★★★☆☆
Kory Amachree
RB · Haslett, MI
#586 national
Profiles like a typical incoming running back — 20 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Balanced Back archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Hunter Higgins
EDGE · Wichita, KS
#665 national
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

18
KS · 7IN · 2MO · 2OK · 2TX · 2CA · 1IA · 1MI · 1

KS leads the 2026 class with 7 commits. National footprint reaching 8 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

67 signees across 15 states, 2023-2026. KS leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMN1WIMI4NYMAORNVWYSDIA5IL1IN3OHPANJCTCA6UTCO1NE1MO2KYWVVAMDDERIAZ6NMKS14ARTNNCSCDCOK6LAMSALGA2AKHITX11FL4
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles

That is 14.0% of every high-school FBS signee KS produced over those cycles — second only to Kansas State, 11 signees back. The full map →

Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Kansas player grew up 448 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

28th-farthest from home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%143–713 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi18%20 of 111 players
Farthest3,800 miTavake Tuikolovatu · Wailuku, HI
Closest1 miCalvin Clements · Lawrence, KS

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Memorial Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 111 of 115 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns KS · 2026 roster

28% of the Kansas roster grew up in KS.

32 of 114 players, drawn from 28 states in all. That is the 77th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

KS · 32TX · 12FL · 9MI · 7MO · 5OK · 5AZ · 4IA · 4+20 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

114 players across 28 states. Biggest pull outside KS: TX (12).

MEVTNHWAID1MTNDMN2WIMI7NY2MA1ORNV1WYSDIA4IL4IN4OH1PANJ1CTCA2UTCONE2MO5KYWVVA1MDDERIAZ4NMKS32AR1TN2NC3SCDCOK5LA1MS1AL2GA3AKHI1TX12FL9
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 1 listed player fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and is excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] Kansas Defeats UCF 27-20
269 upvotes · Oct 2025
[Game Thread] Kansas @ UCF (7:30 PM ET)
37 upvotes · Oct 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 44% never transferred. F
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now

39th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
39th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
5
Vegas O/U wins
(25th among FBS)
Fans 14pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 2 books
Turnover luckHow much of the margin was skill vs. the bounce.
Fumble luck

33% recovery rate on the fumbles they've forced — below the ~48% league baseline.

2 of 6 forced fumbles recovered; 4 of 8 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.

TakeawaysWhat this defense does once it gets the ball.
Takeaway conversion

0% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — below the ~19% league average, and due for more.

0 interceptions of 11 disrupted passes (11 deflected, 0 intercepted), 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

21 penalties committed, 20 drawn on opponents — a near-even trade all season.

189 penalty yards committed vs. 181 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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