cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Trevon McAlpine /Tulane

Trevon McAlpine

DL · Tulane · Jr · #95

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

30 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Tulane for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Tulane for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Tulane

Returning around him

  • 15% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (20 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Tulane · Last season: 11-3 (AP #17) · Talent rank #68 · 2026 recruiting class #74

DL · TULANE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Trevon McAlpine

  • 3
  • #95
  • 6-3 | 305 lb
  • Saraland, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

51

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 63rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12452

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#545 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class3
Jersey95
Measurements6-3 | 305 lb
HometownSaraland, AL
Primary teamTulane

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 545 recruit
Composite rating 0.8815 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin Saraland Saraland, AL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8815 No. 545 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Tulane 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 21, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Texas Tech -> Tulane 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12452Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12347Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8815

#545 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Trevon McAlpine

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Trevon McAlpine

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
30Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
35Tackles
3.0Tackles for loss
1.2Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 30): needs 25/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 30): needs 35/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 4.5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Trevon McAlpine is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Tulane's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12452 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 30 19 solo | #1362/4942 (72nd pct)
TFL 2.5 Backfield disruption | #1236/4972 (75th pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
30 72nd
SOLO
19 76th
TFL
2.5 75th
SACK
1.0 82nd
QBH
1 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 23-3vs Northwestern440.00.00Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 2W 33-31@ South Alabama200.00.00
Wk 3W 34-27vs Duke210.00.00
Wk 4L 10-45@ Ole Miss110.00.00
Wk 5W 31-14@ Tulsa110.00.00
Wk 7W 26-19vs East Carolina421.01.00
Wk 8W 24-17vs Army441.00.00
Wk 12W 35-24vs Florida Atlantic210.50.00
Wk 13W 37-13@ Temple430.00.00
Wk 14W 27-0vs Charlotte210.00.00
Wk 15W 34-21vs North Texas410.00.00
Total30192.51.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Texas Tech8-5HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced, fast tempo
2023Texas Tech7-6HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced
2025Tulane11-3HC: Jon Sumrall · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Tulane30192.51.0------
2023Texas Tech1171.01.0------
2022Texas Tech110.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons42273.52.0------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 30 #1362/4942 72nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.5 #1236/4972 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 19 #1095/4584 76th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g3.10.40.10.0
Road4g2.00.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins10g2.90.20.10.0
Losses1g1.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.30.20.20.0
Weeks 8+5g3.20.30.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

51Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: passes defended (17th).

Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Solo tackles#1095 / 2975 · 62nd pct
19defe
Tackles for loss#1222 / 2975 · 56th pct
2.5defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Tackles#1362 / 2975 · 53rd pct
30defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Trevon McAlpineTulaneMicah DaveyUTEP· 72% simMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 72% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 70% sim
Sacks
63
McAlpine
63
Davey
80
Parker
63
Vaughns
Solo tackles
62
McAlpine
99
Davey
96
Parker
96
Vaughns
Tackles for loss
56
McAlpine
91
Davey
87
Parker
85
Vaughns
QB hurries
55
McAlpine
82
Davey
88
Parker
22
Vaughns
Tackles
53
McAlpine
99
Davey
98
Parker
99
Vaughns
Forced fumbles
47
McAlpine
47
Davey
47
Parker
47
Vaughns
Passes defended
18
McAlpine
18
Davey
18
Parker
48
Vaughns

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Nose Anchor

Two-gap space-eater who occupies blockers and frees the linebackers.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Dez Morgan’s 2022 season.

Dez Morgan

91%match

Charlotte · 2022

#2

Isaiah Forte

UAB · 2022

91%
#3

Kris Jenkins

Michigan · 2022

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 17
91%
#4

DeWayne Carter

Duke · 2023

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 32
90%
#5

Quentin Bivens

Southern Miss · 2023

90%

Matches Dez on

Weight
TFL rate
Height

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Jamall Hickbottom's senior season at South Alabama (2023).

Jamall Hickbottom

88%match

South Alabama · 2023

#2

Trevion Williams

Mississippi State · 2025

84%
#3

Anthony Collier

Miami (OH) · 2023

82%
#4

Sean FitzSimmons

Pittsburgh · 2025

81%
#5

Keith Randolph Jr.

Illinois · 2023

All-Big Ten
81%

Matches Jamall on

Class year
Weight
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jon Sumrall

Pass share

45.8%

424 pass / 501 run

Plays / game

66.1

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

3.4%

294 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

3 coaches
2022
Willie Fritz
Tulane
2023
Slade Nagle
Tulane
era →
2025
Jon Sumrall
Tulane
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Willie Fritz, Slade Nagle, and Jon Sumrall. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSaraland, AL
Height6'3"
Weight305 lb
Class3
PositionDL
Jersey95

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas Tech DL3 #12452 #12347 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Texas Tech DL3 #11371 #11265 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Texas Tech DL3 #11221 #11069 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Tulane American Athletic DL 3 No. 95 | 6-3 | 305 lb | Saraland, AL
2024 Texas Tech Big 12 DL 3 No. 95 | 6-3 | 305 lb | Saraland, AL
2023 Texas Tech Big 12 DL 3 No. 95 | 6-3 | 305 lb | Saraland, AL
2022 Texas Tech Big 12 DL 3 No. 95 | 6-3 | 305 lb | Saraland, AL