Tulane

1-2

American Athletic · Will Hall, year 1 (1-2) · Yulman Stadium · 30,000 · 24,323 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#74 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #88 (-5.6) · FPI #68
The marketTulane by 18vs Southern Miss · our model 67% Tulane · a number, not a pick

LastL 20–31 at Kansas State · Sat Sep 19 · Maurice Turner 64 rush yds, 31 rec yds, 1 TD

Nextvs Southern Miss · Sat Sep 26 · 7 pm ET · Yulman Stadium · Tulane by 18 · series 10-24 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 22 · through week 3

Tulane · 2026 schedule & results1-2
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#75#67+9.5@DukeL 3–17 1330-10-0
2Sep 12#73#61-9.5South AlabamaW 28–24 1231-10-0
3Sep 19#70#26+20.5@Kansas StateL 20–31 1241-20-0
4Sep 26#73#77-18Southern Miss
6Oct 10@Army
7Oct 16Memphis
8Oct 24UTSA
9Oct 30@Charlotte
10Nov 7Tulsa
11Nov 14@Rice
12Nov 21North Texas
13Nov 27@South Florida
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 19@Kansas StateL 20–31260026:19+0.05933.9%153.1%Defense's roughest night
Sep 12South AlabamaW 28–24424022:20+0.35636.5%215.1%Season-high EPA/play
Sep 5@DukeL 3–17258123:25+0.00430.9%79.7%Season-low EPA/play
Season average (3 games)3140.3+0.14033.8%149.3%
Verdict Begins·Live

Tulane helped found the Sugar Bowl and the SEC, then nearly drowned — a hurricane-battered, win-starved program that came back from the dead to make the first 12-team Playoff, becoming the first Louisiana team ever to crash the field.

Title DroughtSince 1998 · 28 yrs

Across town and up the road sits LSU, the SEC giant that swallowed all of Louisiana's football oxygen after Tulane walked away from the conference. Fans believe the state forgot the Green Wave…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 11-3 · last season

Game feel52rock fightscombined pts / game12th highest-scoring of 14 in the American Athletic
Heart rate5-0some dramain one-score games (5 of 14)6th most one-score games of 14 in the American Athletic
Margin+3.8competitiveavg scoring margin7th best margin of 14 in the American Athletic
Tempo67methodicaloffensive plays / game11th fastest of 13 in the American Athletic
Big plays1.23some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)10th most explosive of 14 in the American Athletic
Home crowd24,057avg attendance8th biggest crowds of 14 in the American Athletic

✓ measured from 14 games · ranks are among American Athletic teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Tulane has won two of its last five.

Cooling. 6-4 over the last 10, and lost the last one.

Streak L1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 6-4
The forecast

Next Sep 26

vs Southern Miss · at home

Season line6.5 winsover +100
SoftExplosive, big-playPoor

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total1 booksO/U 6.5▼1 since Sep 2026
CFP championship#56 in field+30000
AAC title#7 in market+1000

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-22

Tulane · the story right now 11 storylines developing

What Tulane's coaching hire is really about

the open questioncan a new staff change the trajectory?

coachingthis cycle~readnew

Will Hall, who led Southern Miss to an 11-3 season and a #17 AP ranking, inherits a 15% production roster at Tulane — the program's third head coach in five.

what happenedWill Hall took over as Tulane's head coach, replacing Jon Sumrall. ✓ fact
the contextthe program's third head coach in five seasons

our readbackground

coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew

Jon Sumrall's second season at Tulane follows an 11-3 campaign and a #17 AP finish, with coordinator changes reshaping units as the program builds on its historic-southern-football identity.

what happenedTulane: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

identitythis cycle~readnew

Sumrall's second season opens with a 11-3 record — the question is whether Tulane's new identity can sustain its historic-southern-football legacy beyond the Fritz era.

what happenedTulane: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

market_swing2026-09-10~readnew

Will Hall's first season at Tulane begins with a 11-3 winning record and a 70th national talent rank, raising questions about sustaining success amid a 1.0-win drop in projected output.

what happenedTulane win total fell from 7.5 to 6.5 (-1 wins) between Sep 9 and Sep 10, 2026 (tier C). ✓ fact
the contextwin total down 1.0 from 7.5 to 6.5

our readdeveloping

money down2025 cycle✓ factnew

Anthony Brown is a legitimate money-down target -- his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.

our readdeveloping

closer2025 cycle~attributednew

Jamauri McClure: a closer signal screened this season.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Javin Gordon: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Omari Hayes is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Shazz Preston is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

program_outlook2025 cycle~readnew

Tulane enters 2025 at No. 45 in SP+ — the 11-3 record under Jon Sumrall sets a high bar for a team replacing nearly all its production.

what happenedTulane enters 2025 rated No. 45 in SP+ (+6.3). ✓ fact
the contextbottom-quintile returning production — heavy turnover entering the season

our readbackground

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Tulane enters 2026 — bottom-quintile returning production creates a stark contrast to the 11-3 record and #17 AP finish that defined Jon Sumrall's first season at the helm.

what happenedTulane enters 2026 rated No. 45 in 2025 SP+ (+6.3). ✓ fact
the contextbottom-quintile returning production — heavy turnover entering the season

our readbackground

How past storylines here turned out

AnsweredTulane's head-coaching hire held for another season.
Died downTulane's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
Died downTulane's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Tulane · 2026

Tulane's most likely season is 8-5 — a bowl game. The floor is 5-7; the ceiling is 10-3.

Floor5-7No postseason.
Base8-5A bowl game.
Ceiling10-3A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Tulane · Coaching Confidence

The Will Hall story at Tulane won't sit still.

Will Hall took over as Tulane's head coach, replacing Jon Sumrall. It is the program's third head coach in five seasons. It's not the hire that's the story anymore — it's everything it set in motion. The room is genuinely divided — believers and skeptics both have receipts.

bullish — but with real dissent where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics1 doubt take
Believers3 bull takes
💬 fans: 10% volume
Developing1 new this week
2 days agoWill Hall on 31-20 Loss to K-State: Missed Opportunities Doom Tulane — Sports Illustrated
last weekTulane's Hall Reflects on Hard-Fought Win; "Proud" of His Players — Sports Illustrated
last weekTulane holds off South Alabama for first win of Will Hall era — fox8live.com
last weekWin total: 7.5 → 6.5 (▼1)
last weekAAC title odds: +600 → +1000 (▼5.2pp implied)
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Jon Sumrall Out
Behind Him
“Hall Looking to Put Past Records Behind Him in First Season with Tulane” — Yahoo Sports · 2026-07-31
Hall Looking
“Hall Looking to Put Past Records Behind Him in First Season with Tulane” — Yahoo Sports · 2026-07-31
Leading Up
“Tulane's Hall is "Concentrating on Us" Leading Up to Duke” — Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-01
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Will Hall, who led Southern Miss to an 11-3 season and a #17 AP ranking, inherits a 15% production roster at Tulane — the program's third head coach in five.
Source of record: Will Hall took over as Tulane's head coach, replacing Jon Sumrall — the program's third head coach in five seasons.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards quietThe Dominoes active
📣Believers3 bullish/hire items -- the case it's working.

The 'this hire changes everything' takes -- new-era believers making the case early.

“Tulane's Hall Reflects on Hard-Fought Win; "Proud" of His Players”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Tulane holds off South Alabama for first win of Will Hall era”
fox8live.com · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Everything Tulane HC Will Hall said following Duke's 17-3 win”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-06 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Big, bad Bock: Tulane center looking to live up to Will Hall's…” — the real counter.

The 'show me the body of work' counter -- resume gaps, scheme fits, and 'not that guy' reads.

“Big, bad Bock: Tulane center looking to live up to Will Hall's nickname for him”
NOLA.com · 2026-08-06 · read ↗
💬The boards10% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines.

This event was in 136 of 1369 board posts (10%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Even if USM had hit the transfer portal royal flush in its rebuild and put together an 11-1 team (which obviously is not the case), the one loss would be to Will Hall in this game."
goTULA.NEt ~ fan take
"I see your point, but I disagree with your framing. One doesn't always know the personnel aren't capable of doing the job during spring camp and by fall camp the issues become appa"
goTULA.NEt ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

🔗The dominoes11 downstream moves — the hire's knock-on effects.

The second-order trail: commits, decommits, portal and staff knock-on from the hire.

“DL Kavarris Duncan flips his commitment from Tulane to Alabama”
on3.com · 2026-09-20 · read ↗
“Recruits react to gameday visit for Duke’s win against Tulane”
On3 CFB · 2026-09-08 · read ↗
Following now · Tulane · Developing Confidence

Tulane: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

near-unanimous belief where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers7 bull takes
🎪 drama: simmering💬 fans: 24% volume
The saga so far~1 month old
last weekWin total: 7.5 → 6.5 (▼1)
last weekAAC title odds: +600 → +1000 (▼5.2pp implied)
last weekAAC title odds: +1000 → +600 (▲5.2pp implied)
2 weeks agoTulane freshman receiver arrested — Reported
4 weeks agoTulane releases unofficial depth chart — Reported
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Jon Sumrall's second season at Tulane follows an 11-3 campaign and a #17 AP finish, with coordinator changes reshaping units as the program builds on its historic-southern-football identity.
Source of record: Tulane: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards loud
🎪The circus“The Call that Wasn't Reversed in Tulane's K-State Loss: The…” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“The Call that Wasn't Reversed in Tulane's K-State Loss: The Good, the Bad, & the Ugly”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-19 · read ↗
📣Believers7 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.

“Football’s William Hudlow a Ray’s 8 Week Three Winner for the Ray Guy Award”
Tulane University Athletics · 2026-09-22 · read ↗
“3MAW Podcast Breaks Down K-State's 31-20 Win Against Tulane in Week 3”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-20 · read ↗
“DL Kavarris Duncan flips his commitment from Tulane to Alabama”
on3.com · 2026-09-20 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards24% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in.

This event was in 330 of 1369 board posts (24%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Southern Miss Starting QB Ethan Hampton likely out vs Tulane, coach Blake Anderson say... ... a-ds=sophi"
goTULA.NEt ~ fan take
"Totally expected. DL at a premium. We were never gonna keep him. Just realize every committed prospect to Tulane does so with the hope of getting a P4 offer later. Then there won’t"
goTULA.NEt ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Belief EKG
2019 seasonW 27-24 vs South Alabama (Wk 2)L 24-27 vs Navy (Wk 3)W 66-24 vs Southern Miss (Wk 4)L 31-49 vs Houston (Wk 6)L 34-37 vs SMU (Wk 7)L 34-51 vs UCF (Wk 8)W 38-3 vs Temple (Wk 9)W 38-21 vs East Carolina (Wk 10)W 38-12 vs Army (Wk 11)L 24-30 vs Tulsa (Wk 12)W 35-21 vs Memphis (Wk 14)L 27-38 vs Nevada (Wk 17)HIGHLOW
2020 seasonW 42-14 vs Florida International (Wk 1)L 6-24 vs Auburn (Wk 2)W 58-6 vs Missouri State (Wk 3)W 38-31 vs Houston (Wk 4)W 42-33 vs Army (Wk 6)W 49-7 vs UConn (Wk 7)L 17-47 vs Memphis (Wk 8)L 38-41 vs Navy (Wk 9)W 38-26 vs Tulsa (Wk 10)L 21-29 vs Temple (Wk 12)L 31-34 vs UCF (Wk 13)L 20-37 vs SMU (Wk 14)W 30-13 vs Southern Miss (Wk 19)HIGHLOW
2019 offseasonWk 34Wk 4494th17th
2020 season · 6W-6L2019 season · 7W-6L2020 offseason · fan confidence percentile
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasons

Rival pulse

LSU
Uneasy
-20
Battle for the Rag

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Tulane is the New Orleans private university whose 1925 Sugar Bowl founding + Willie Fritz 2022 12-2 Cotton Bowl championship + Yulman Stadium urban-campus identity define what historic-southern-football looks like.

Offense: SoftTempo: Explosive, big-playDefense: Poor
Open questionsThe unresolved questions this season keeps asking.
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2026Hired Will Hall
  • 2025 · Wk 16Climbed to No. 17 in the AP Top 25Week 15 · Won 34-21 at home over North Texas4 · from No. 21
  • 2025 · Wk 15Climbed to No. 20 in the CFP rankingsWeek 14 · Won 27-0 at home over Charlotte4 · from No. 24
  • 2025 · Wk 13Entered both the AP Top 25 and the CFP rankingsWeek 12 · Won 35-24 at home over Florida Atlanticat No. 24
  • 2025Jon Sumrall departs20-8
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Tulane

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-22
Returning Production21%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#70 nationally247 composite 665.1
Portal Additions20No clear position repair point
Portal Losses27Primary pressure: DL
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#64Depth class
CBin 3 - Justin Agu3.60out 3 - Jahiem Johnson4.00Even
current room: 179 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Hybrid Nickel2024 profilemoves between deep coverage and the slot
WRin 3 - Destyn Hill4.28out 3 - Shazz Preston3.90Even
current room: 181 lbs avg (2025 roster)
RBin 3 - Jaylin Lucas3.70out 3 - Javin Gordon3.60Even
current room: 198 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Satellite Back2023 profilewins in space out of the backfield
EDGEin 2 - Reshad Sterling3.49out 3 - Harvey Dyson III3.60Downgrade
IOLin 2 - Gavin Marks3.50out 3 - Shadre Hurst3.70Downgrade
current room: 293 lbs avg (2025 roster)
DLin 1 - Ed Smith IV3.30out 3 - Santana Hopper3.70Starter Risk
current room: 284 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Nose Anchorcontrols the point of attack and doesn't move
Full roster (119 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Tulane

6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Win total: 7.5 → 6.5 (▼1)

    Win total dropped from 7.5 to 6.5 with conference peers flat — the books see something program-specific.

    Sep 10
  2. News

    AAC title odds: +600 → +1000 (▼5.2pp implied)

    Aac title odds dropped 5.2pp without an obvious public catalyst.

    Sep 10
  3. News

    AAC title odds: +1000 → +600 (▲5.2pp implied)

    Aac title odds improved 5.2pp without an obvious public catalyst.

    Sep 9
  4. News

    Tulane freshman receiver arrested

    A 7.5-to-6.5 win total slide already had Green Wave fans nervous — losing a depth receiver to an arrest only tightens a roster that ranked 64th nationally and can't afford attrition at the skill spots.

  5. News

    Tulane releases unofficial depth chart

    Chriss-Gremillion gets the nod at QB, but the real pressure is on a DL room that's a #64 class trying to hold weight in an AAC title chase — this depth chart shows where Hall's roster math is still unsolved.

    Aug 24Reported
  6. News

    Tulane sets depth chart deadline

    Hall's putting a clock on the roster bubble — with DL depth already thin and the class sitting at #64, the Green Wave can't afford to carry bodies who aren't committed to the room.

    Aug 16Reported
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-3.9 net portal points
(raw ledger: -25.6 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
DL
-7.5
starter risk
EDGE
-6.2
IOL
-5.9
S
-3.7
low confidence
TE
-2.7
OT
+2.5
LS
-1.0
low confidence
P
-1.0
low confidence
CB
-0.4
WR
+0.4
LB
-0.2
RB
+0.2
QB
-0.0
K
+0.0
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★☆
Tylan George
IOL · West Monroe, LA
#434 national
★★★★☆
Jordyn Crites
DL · Friendswood, TX
#455 national
★★★☆☆
Aiden Martin
OT · Tulsa, OK
#833 national
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

20
GA · 4AL · 2CA · 2FL · 2LA · 2TN · 2TX · 2CT · 1+3 more

GA leads the 2026 class with 4 commits. National footprint reaching 11 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

79 signees across 15 states, 2023-2026. LA leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMINYMA1ORNV1WYSDIAIL2INOH1PANJCT1CA3UTCONEMOKY1WVVAMDDERIAZNMKSARTN4NCSCDCOK1LA24MS6AL8GA7AKHITX11FL8
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Tulane player grew up 382 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

49th-farthest from home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%115–560 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi23%26 of 115 players
Farthest2,097 miZach Marini · Seattle, WA
Closest3 miJah'rie Garner · New Orleans, LA

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Yulman Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 115 of 119 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns LA · 2026 roster

29% of the Tulane roster grew up in LA.

35 of 119 players, drawn from 19 states in all. That is the 73rd-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

LA · 35FL · 16TX · 13GA · 11AL · 10MS · 9CA · 5TN · 4+11 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

119 players across 19 states. Biggest pull outside LA: FL (16).

MEVTNHWA1IDMTNDMNWIMINYMA1ORNV1WYSDIAILINOH3PANJ1CT2CA5UTCO2NEMOKY1WVVAMDDERIAZ1NMKSARTN4NC2SCDCOK1LA35MS9AL10GA11AKHITX13FL16
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. Every listed player has a home state inside the 50 states or DC. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] Tulane Defeats Memphis 38-32
823 upvotes · Nov 2025
[Postgame Thread] Tulane Defeats ECU 26-19
379 upvotes · Oct 2025
[Postgame Thread] Tulane Defeats Army 24-17
228 upvotes · Oct 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 50% never transferred. A
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence lower than any point since 2020

9th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
9th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
6.5
Vegas O/U wins
(41st among FBS)
Market 32pp more optimistic than fan mood
Win total consensus · 1 book
PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

24 penalties committed, 19 drawn on opponents — a near-even trade all season.

154 penalty yards committed vs. 153 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site