3coaching hire
Brian Hartline takes over at South Florida
Brian Hartline replaces Alex Golesh as South Florida's head coach.
South Florida9-4CFP #24Latest
Cautious optimism is building around South Florida.
belief warmed ↑ 4.0vs prior week
Fanbase belief
Leaning up
58/100 · 73 mentions · top 24% of FBS
~ our readGrounding
running on emotion
0% cite a stat · 7% typical ✓ counted
~ our readVolatility
Chaotic
σ 29 pts
~ our readThe model
#16
CFB Zeitgeist · +9.3
✓ measured3Hope-Doping·Offseason
South Florida went from not existing in 1996 to No. 2 in the country by 2007 — then spent a decade in the wreckage, until a 2025 offense that hung 43 a game and beat two ranked teams in eight days put the Bulls back on the map.
AP Top 25#25 AP
Bulls fans remember being No. 2 in the country and then being written off entirely — and they remember 2025, when USF beat Boise State and Florida in eight days and made the doubters look up again. Th…
offseason · quiet
Roster Reload - South Florida
2026 snapshot - 2026-08-06Returning Production100%High continuity
Talent Composite#61 nationally247 composite 666.9
Portal Additions44Primary repair: EDGE
Portal Losses34Primary pressure: CB
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#90Depth class
WRin 6 - Armani Winfieldout 7 - Tyler WilliamsDowngrade
current room: 197 lbs avg (2025 roster)
CBin 5 - Za'Quan Bryanout 7 - James ChenaultStarter Risk
current room: 187 lbs avg (2025 roster)
IOLin 5 - Cash Hudsonout 4 - Cole BestEven
current room: 309 lbs avg (2025 roster)
QBin 4 - Luke Kromenhoekout 3 - Byrum BrownUpgrade
current room: 223 lbs avg (2025 roster)
RBin 2 - D.J. Crowtherout 4 - Nykahi DavenportStarter Risk
current room: 208 lbs avg (2025 roster)
DLin 4 - Terry Simmonsout 2 - Dinellson ExumeNeed Filled
current room: 289 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Belief EKG
WinLoss · hover for score
Approaching
30 days
until kickoff · vs Florida International · Sat Sep 5 · 23:00 UTC
The experience
South Florida is the American Athletic program whose Charlie Strong tenure + 2024 7-6 Alex Golesh rebuild + Big East historical legacy define what Tampa Bay football survival looks like.
Offense: EliteDefense: StrongDefensive shape: Gives up the big play
South Florida poised for 9-4 season with high continuity and strong transfer additions
The team returns 100% of its roster, bolstered by 44 transfer additions, including key players like Armani Winfield and Za'Quan Bryan. With a recruiting score of 180.12 and a net portal importer status, the Bulls aim to finish with a bowl-eligible record.
- Roster reloadSouth Florida returns 100% of its roster, indicating high continuity and minimal disruption from departures.
- ScheduleThe team's base scenario projects a 9-4 record with a bowl game appearance, reflecting moderate confidence in its path.
Data as of 2026-08-03
·
Validated against program evidence
Rocky the Bull is patient.
South Florida · the story right now
9 storylines developing
What South Florida's coaching hire is really about
the open questioncan a new staff change the trajectory?
coachingthis cycle✓ factnew
Brian Hartline took over as South Florida's head coach, replacing Alex Golesh.
the contextthe program's third head coach in five seasons
narrative tension · our read
portal2025-08-03~readnew
Alex Golesh's top-17 portal class adds Izaiah Guy and Chavez Brown to a 9-4 roster with 100% production returning — this is addition, not rescue.
what happenedSouth Florida signed a top-81 transfer-portal class — 23 additions headlined by Izaiah Guy (CB) from Georgia State and Chas Nimrod (WR) from Tennessee. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew
Brian Hartline inherits a 9-4 winning record but faces unease in Tampa Bay as South Florida's coordinator change reshapes its identity in the American Athletic Conference.
what happenedSouth Florida: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle✓ factnew
Keshaun Singleton is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks, and he catches those deep shots at a plus rate.
narrative tension · our read
closerthis cycle✓ factnew
Sam Franklin gets LESS work in the fourth quarter with a lead than his overall workload would predict -- not the trusted closer raw carries might suggest, and what late usage he does get skews toward mop-up duty in blowouts.
narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle~attributednew
Alvon Isaac: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.
narrative tension · our read
closerthis cycle~attributednew
Nykahi Davenport: a closer signal screened this season.
narrative tension · our read
portal2026-05-19~readnew
Golesh’s top-3 AAC portal class adds LB, WR, and CB upgrades to a 9-4 core with 100% production returning — this isn’t a rescue mission.
what happenedSouth Florida signed a top-17 transfer-portal class — 44 additions headlined by Luke Kromenhoek (QB) from Mississippi State and Michael Van Buren Jr. (QB) from LSU. ✓ fact
the contexta top-3 portal class in the American Athletic this cycle
narrative tension · our read
coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew
Alex Golesh's third season opens with a 9-4 record and a #25 AP finish, anchoring a rebuild that balances Big East legacy with American Athletic ambitions.
what happenedSouth Florida: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
The story
The Offseason Ledger · South Florida
3 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news- Portal
LB Michael Harris transfer commits from Maryland
Maryland's LB room ran deep enough to lose Harris without blinking — USF's didn't, not after McCormick Jr. walked and the portal ledger still sat net-minus at linebacker before this landed.
- Portal
EDGE Harrysson Ngassa transfer commits from Illinois
Singleton's gone and the EDGE room already had 8 portal adds — Ngassa from the Big Ten isn't depth-stacking, it's a starter-caliber upgrade on a position that had a real gap to fill.
- News
American Conference announces revenue sharing
American revenue sharing hits different when your class sits 89th nationally and CB depth is still a question — Golesh needs that money to close roster gaps, not just celebrate a conference announcement.
Transfer portal snapshot
-1.8 net portal points
(raw ledger: +18.5 — unweighted, no position adjustment)OT+10.4
need not filled
RB-7.3
starter risk
CB-6.9
starter risk
EDGE+6.6
need not filled
DL+4.6
need not filled
S+4.4
need not filled
WR-3.8
LB+3.7
LS+3.0
low confidence
QB+2.7
IOL+2.5
K-2.3
TE+0.9
Top 3 commits
2026 class
★★★☆☆
Dennis King III
#966 national
Profiles like a typical incoming linebacker — 10 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Balanced Linebacker archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Jordan Harrison
#966 national
★★★☆☆
Iverson Garcia-Ponce
#1308 national
Projects: Nose Anchor — 11 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Nose Anchor archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
Fan vs. market≈
76th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
(FBS mood rank)
8.5
Vegas O/U wins
(82nd among FBS)
(82nd among FBS)
Fan mood aligned with market consensus
Win total consensus · 3 books
Market outlook
Season expectations
Win total3 booksO/U 8.5
CFP championship#60 in field+50000
AAC title#6 in market+680
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06
South Florida · Next-Season Outcome Band
South Florida · Next-Season Outcome BandFloor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 6-7
Base 9-4
Ceiling 11-2
floor6-7Bowl game.
base9-4Bowl game.
ceiling11-2Bowl game.
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
How the room reacted
Following now · South Florida · Coaching Confidence
The Brian Hartline story at South Florida won't sit still.
Brian Hartline took over as South Florida's head coach, replacing Alex Golesh. It is the program's third head coach in five seasons. It's not the hire that's the story anymore — it's everything it set in motion. The room has bought in, but early believers have been wrong before.
near-unanimous belief
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers4 bull takes
💬 fans: 0% volume · mostly neutral
The saga so far~3 months old
last weekHartline embraces USF leaving NFL venue for on-campus stadium — Underdog Dynasty
last weekBrian Hartline is readying USF for the next shift in college football — ESPN
last weekBrian Hartline credits time at Ohio State during American media days — Buckeyes Wire
May 19LB Michael Harris transfer commits from Maryland — CFBD /player/portal
Apr 30EDGE Harrysson Ngassa transfer commits from Illinois — CFBD /player/portal
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Brian Hartline Head coach
“Brian Hartline is readying USF for the next shift in college football” — ESPN · 2026-07-27
Alex Golesh Out
“Former Tennessee OC Alex Golesh just took a stray from USF head coach Brian Hartline” — A to Z Sports · 2026-07-05
Announces Several
“USF Football Announces Several Additions to Hartline's Staff” — USF Athletics · 2026-01-06
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
The room is running hot. The real test is whether the momentum holds once the calendar moves past the announcement.
Next · what to watch
The obvious story is the marquee name; the non-obvious one is roster churn — a coaching change keeps a portal and decommit window open long after the introductory presser. Watch decommitments and portal moves in the next window — that's where this is actually won or lost, not at the podium.
Source of record: Brian Hartline took over as South Florida's head coach, replacing Alex Golesh — the program's third head coach in five seasons.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
📣Believers4 bullish/hire items -- the case it's working.›
The 'this hire changes everything' takes -- new-era believers making the case early.
“Brian Hartline, USF steal four-star QB recruit from Power Four program”
Yardbarker · 2026-06-10 · read ↗
“3-star QB Kevin Verpaele commits to USF, marking a huge recruiting win for Brian Hartline”
247Sports · 2026-06-10 · read ↗
“Prime-Time Bulls: South Florida Lands National Spotlight in Brian Hartline’s First Season”
NGSC Sports · 2026-05-31 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The 'show me the body of work' counter -- resume gaps, scheme fits, and 'not that guy' reads.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards3 board mentions — too thin to call a stance. Board mood this week: mostly neutral.›
Only 3 of 641 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
Board health this week (77 posts): 16% positive · 76% neutral · 8% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
🔗The dominoes11 downstream moves — the hire's knock-on effects.›
The second-order trail: commits, decommits, portal and staff knock-on from the hire.
“Top South Florida recruits react to A'mir Sears commitment: 'It’s all about The U. We’ll see with me. Stay tuned.'”
On3 · 2026-08-02 · read ↗
“Football Hotbed Media Day Notebook: Intel on South Florida's top recruits entering the 2026 season”
247Sports · 2026-08-01 · read ↗
Developing · South Florida · Transfer portal Confidence
South Florida went deep in the portal this cycle. Portal volume is the start of the story, not the verdict.
South Florida signed a top-81 transfer-portal class — 23 additions headlined by Izaiah Guy (CB) from Georgia State and Chas Nimrod (WR) from Tennessee. Portal pickups don't redshirt. The coverage sees this as a targeted, ready-to-contribute class built for snap competition, not depth-chart filler. The coverage reads this as a credible, targeted haul.
near-unanimous belief
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers7 bull takes
💬 fans: 20% volume · mostly neutral
The saga so far~3 months old
last weekFormer Alex Golesh Tight End Explains Why He Didn’t Transfer to Auburn — Sports Illustrated
last weekHot Take: Arch Manning Should be the Miami Hurricanes Next Quarterback Portal Target — roundtable.io
2 weeks ago2025 USF Bulls Football Transfers — on3.com
May 19LB Michael Harris transfer commits from Maryland — CFBD /player/portal
Apr 30EDGE Harrysson Ngassa transfer commits from Illinois — CFBD /player/portal
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Izaiah Guy CB · Georgia State
Chas Nimrod WR · Tennessee
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Alex Golesh's top-17 portal class adds Izaiah Guy and Chavez Brown to a 9-4 roster with 100% production returning — this is addition, not rescue.
Next · what to watch
The non-obvious question after any portal class isn't who signed — it's who just lost their job. Depth-chart displacement is the untold second chapter: one starter-level arrival means a returning contributor is now competing or transferring out. Watch depth-chart competition in fall camp — that's where portal classes win or lose their billing. The boards are already there — one thread raises exactly this.
Source of record: South Florida signed a top-81 transfer-portal class — 23 additions headlined by Izaiah Guy (CB) from Georgia State and Chas Nimrod (WR) from Tennessee.
How each room reacted — tap to expand
📣Believers7 bullish/portal items -- the case it's working.›
The 'portal class fills the gaps' believers -- upgrades at real positions of need.
“Hot Take: Arch Manning Should be the Miami Hurricanes Next Quarterback Portal Target”
Hot Take · roundtable.io · 2026-07-26 · read ↗
“Talented South Florida QB commit James Perrone transfers to national powerhouse program”
On3 · 2026-06-20 · read ↗
“USF Football Adds 41 in Transfer Portal”
USF Athletics · 2026-01-28 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The 'portal is a gamble' counter -- departure losses and the 'plug-and-play doesn't work' read.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards20% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in. Board mood this week: mostly neutral.›
This event was in 128 of 641 board posts (20%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
"Hi, I’m a transfer student starting in the fall. The two classes I’ll start the days with are in the chemistry building at 12:30 and in the fine arts building at 3:30. Any advice o"
r/USF ~ fan take
"it’s been literally months and I don’t have any classes registered or a decision made, anyone else? I’m super worried."
r/USF ~ fan take
Board health this week (77 posts): 16% positive · 76% neutral · 8% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Mixed
Three of five. Trending up, not yet hot.
Streak L1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 7-3
The forecast
Opens Sep 5
vs Florida International · at home
Season line8.5 winsover +115
EliteStrongGives up the big play
✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style
Rival pulse
Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
18
FL · 12AL · 1DC · 1GA · 1NC · 1TN · 1TX · 1
FL leads the 2026 class with 12 commits. National footprint reaching 7 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
89 signees across 15 states, 2023-2026. FL leads the pull.
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
National spotlight
10 games with TV coverage: 7 ESPN, 1 conference network, 2 streaming
Kickoff windows: 2 noon, 4 afternoon, 4 primetime
Fumble luck
Recovering 80% of the fumbles they've forced — running hot vs. the ~49% league rate.
8 of 10 forced fumbles recovered; 5 of 11 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2025 only.
Takeaway conversion
Converting 24% of pass disruptions into takeaways — right in line with the ~19% league rate.
12 interceptions of 50 disrupted passes (38 deflected, 12 intercepted), 2025 only.
Penalty battle
Winning the penalty battle: 86 penalties committed vs. 111 drawn on opponents, a 124-yard edge.
793 penalty yards committed vs. 917 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.
The Pulse on South Florida
58
Δ +4.0 vs last wk
73
mentions this week · conversation velocity
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Go Bulls"
— South Florida fanbase · recurring line
Fanbase Signals
Cohort Divergence0 pctSpread between sub-fanbase cohorts in the Pulse window.
The Fever Year
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
Inside the fanbase — all 9 corners
Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
CCampus paper
BThe Bulls Pen
BBluesky
YYouTube
One voice
+0.00whole-room sentiment · cool our read
Every cohort from the die-hards to the analytics crowd lands within 0.01 of each other — a rare consensus. The loudest voice in the room:
GGoogle NewsBeat · article
Previewing Auburn’s quarterbacks ahead of preseason camp - Al.com
news.google.com →The room, end to end
skeptical
buying in
Casuals−0.03
Bettors−0.04
Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.
What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model
Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.
406 mentions · 6 sources · week 2026-01. Counts, sources and the divergence rank are measured (fact). Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model read (our read) — never a quote attributed to a person.
Belief checklight on evidence
~ our readSouth Florida fans are cautiously optimistic, with almost nothing concrete behind it yet.
backed by facts
the mood
✓ counted We read 77 posts from South Florida fans this week.
Fanbase Health Index · South Florida · high confidence
Fanbase Health Index · South Florida · high confidenceGrowing (66)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 9-4 (69% win rate)71
Volume — 1042 effective signal-N90
Cohort Engagement — Divergence 0.00 — quiet35
Key stats — 2025 — FBS rank
Points/game#5 / 138 · 97th pct40.5
Pts allowed/game#47 / 138 · 67th pct23.4
Total yards/gm#8 / 136 · 95th pct487.8
Rush yards/gm#14 / 136 · 90th pct212.2
Pass yards/gm#21 / 136 · 85th pct275.6
Yards allowed/gm#93 / 136 · 32nd pct384.9
Rush yds allowed/gm#61 / 136 · 56th pct142.9
Sacks#27 / 136 · 81st pct33
Interceptions#22 / 136 · 85th pct14
3rd-down conv#21 / 136 · 85th pct46.4%
All 98 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team6342487.8/gm6.98/play#8 / 136 · 95th pct#6 / 70 · 93rd pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp5004384.9/gm5.10/play#93 / 136 · 32nd pct#54 / 70 · 24th pct#8 / 14 · 50th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Rush yards
Team2759212.2/gm3.04/play#14 / 136 · 90th pct#5 / 70 · 94th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp1858142.9/gm1.89/play#61 / 136 · 56th pct#43 / 70 · 40th pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Rush carries
Team50438.8/gm#35 / 136 · 75th pct#15 / 70 · 80th pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp50038.5/gm#117 / 136 · 15th pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Rush TDs
Team292.2/gm#31 / 136 · 78th pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#6 / 14 · 64th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp211.6/gm#81 / 136 · 41st pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#6 / 14 · 64th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Net pass yards
Team3583275.6/gm3.94/play#21 / 136 · 85th pct#16 / 70 · 79th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp3146242.0/gm3.21/play#115 / 136 · 16th pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Pass attempts
Team40531.2/gm#62 / 136 · 55th pct#32 / 70 · 56th pct#9 / 14 · 43rd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp48137.0/gm#130 / 136 · 5th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Completions
Team26920.7/gm#47 / 136 · 66th pct#27 / 70 · 63rd pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp29522.7/gm#128 / 136 · 7th pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Pass TDs
Team332.5/gm#5 / 136 · 97th pct#3 / 70 · 97th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp151.2/gm#28 / 136 · 80th pct#21 / 70 · 71st pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Passer rating
Team160.7160.7#7 / 136 · 96th pct#5 / 70 · 94th pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp122.0122.0#33 / 136 · 76th pct#21 / 70 · 71st pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Interceptions thrown
Team110.8/gm#41 / 136 · 71st pct#16 / 70 · 79th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp141.1/gm#104 / 136 · 24th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Sacks (def)
Team332.5/gm#27 / 136 · 81st pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#2 / 10 · 90th pct
Opp211.6/gm#47 / 136 · 66th pct#27 / 70 · 63rd pct#8 / 14 · 50th pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct
Tackles for loss
Team846.5/gm#22 / 136 · 85th pct#15 / 70 · 80th pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct
Opp554.2/gm#20 / 136 · 86th pct#11 / 70 · 86th pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
First downs
Team30923.8/gm#16 / 136 · 89th pct#12 / 70 · 84th pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp29522.7/gm#128 / 136 · 7th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
3rd-down conv
Team846.5/gm#13 / 136 · 91st pct#8 / 70 · 90th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp826.3/gm#129 / 136 · 6th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
3rd-down att
Team18113.9/gm#38 / 136 · 73rd pct#16 / 70 · 79th pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp20515.8/gm#128 / 136 · 7th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
4th-down conv
Team131.0/gm#68 / 136 · 51st pct#37 / 70 · 49th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp201.5/gm#124 / 136 · 10th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
4th-down att
Team211.6/gm#93 / 136 · 32nd pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#13 / 14 · 14th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp352.7/gm#118 / 136 · 14th pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#10 / 14 · 36th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Time of possession
Team330:1625:24/gm#130 / 136 · 5th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp449:4434:36/gm#134 / 136 · 2nd pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Kicking & Punting
Field goals#85 / 135 · 38th pct18/24 (75.0%)
Extra points62/63
Punting#97 / 136 · 29th pct42.2 avg · 46 punts
Turnovers & special teams
Turnovers
Team201.5/gm#28 / 136 · 80th pct#10 / 70 · 87th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp251.9/gm#124 / 136 · 10th pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Fumbles lost
Team90.7/gm#14 / 136 · 90th pct#5 / 70 · 94th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp110.8/gm#126 / 136 · 8th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#12 / 14 · 21st pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
INT return TDs
Team20.2/gm#18 / 135 · 87th pct#12 / 70 · 84th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 136 · 100th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
INT return yards
Team29322.5/gm#7 / 136 · 96th pct#5 / 70 · 94th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp13810.6/gm#89 / 136 · 35th pct#45 / 70 · 37th pct#10 / 14 · 36th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Punt ret yds
Team22517.3/gm#29 / 136 · 79th pct#20 / 70 · 73rd pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp17313.3/gm#101 / 136 · 26th pct#55 / 70 · 23rd pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Punt ret TDs
Team10.1/gm#14 / 135 · 90th pct#11 / 70 · 86th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 135 · 100th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Kick ret yds
Team30123.2/gm#99 / 136 · 28th pct#46 / 70 · 36th pct#10 / 14 · 36th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp26920.7/gm#27 / 136 · 81st pct#20 / 70 · 73rd pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Kick ret TDs
Team00.0/gm#40 / 136 · 71st pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#6 / 11 · 55th pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 135 · 100th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Penalty yards
Team79361.0/gm#29 / 136 · 79th pct#14 / 70 · 81st pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp91770.5/gm#130 / 136 · 5th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Other
Fumbles recovered#6 / 136 · 96th pct#3 / 70 · 97th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct110.8/gm
H2 epa per play#16 / 142 · 89th pct#12 / 70 · 84th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct0.30.0/gm
Punt ret (opp)#17 / 136 · 88th pct#13 / 70 · 83rd pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct80.6/gm
Punt returns#17 / 136 · 88th pct#10 / 70 · 87th pct#1 / 14 · 100th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct241.8/gm
Interceptions (def)#22 / 136 · 85th pct#14 / 70 · 81st pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct141.1/gm
H1 epa per play#26 / 162 · 85th pct#19 / 70 · 74th pct#6 / 13 · 62nd pct0.30.0/gm
H1 epa per play opponent#28 / 167 · 84th pct#19 / 70 · 74th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct0.10.0/gm
Kick ret (opp)#34 / 136 · 76th pct#22 / 70 · 70th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct141.1/gm
H2 epa per play opponent#36 / 143 · 76th pct#21 / 70 · 71st pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct0.10.0/gm
Fourth down go rate#44 / 138 · 69th pct#19 / 70 · 74th pct#10 / 13 · 31st pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct0.40.0/gm
Penalties#44 / 136 · 68th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct866.6/gm
First down pass rate#62 / 215 · 72nd pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct0.50.0/gm
Recruiting rating#65 / 138 · 54th pct#62 / 70 · 13th pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct188.814.5/gm
Passes intercepted opponent#82 / 136 · 40th pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#11 / 14 · 29th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct110.8/gm
Kick returns#93 / 136 · 32nd pct#44 / 70 · 39th pct#10 / 14 · 36th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct161.2/gm
Red zone pass rate#96 / 154 · 38th pct#44 / 70 · 39th pct#8 / 13 · 46th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct0.30.0/gm
Fumbles rec (def)#114 / 136 · 17th pct#62 / 70 · 13th pct#10 / 14 · 36th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct90.7/gm
Penalties (opp)#135 / 136 · 1st pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#14 / 14 · 7th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct1118.5/gm
Situational
3rd-down conversion
Off46.4%#21 / 136 · 85th pct#16 / 70 · 79th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Def40.0%#78 / 136 · 43rd pct#42 / 70 · 41st pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
4th-down conversion
Off61.9%#29 / 136 · 79th pct#20 / 70 · 73rd pct#6 / 14 · 64th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Def57.1%#81 / 136 · 41st pct#41 / 70 · 43rd pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Turnover margin#35 / 136 · 75th pct#20 / 70 · 73rd pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct+0.38/gm
Sack rate (def)#59 / 136 · 57th pct#38 / 70 · 47th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct6.9%
Red Zone & Drive Efficiency (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Red zone trips
Team463.5/gm#58 / 167 · 66th pct#35 / 70 · 51st pct#8 / 13 · 46th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp493.8/gm#138 / 166 · 17th pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#11 / 13 · 23rd pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Red zone score %
Team87.0%87.0%#27 / 167 · 84th pct#14 / 70 · 81st pct#3 / 13 · 85th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp67.3%67.3%#15 / 166 · 92nd pct#6 / 70 · 93rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Points / drive
Team2.90.2/gm#13 / 167 · 93rd pct#11 / 70 · 86th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp1.60.1/gm#41 / 166 · 76th pct#27 / 70 · 63rd pct#3 / 13 · 85th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Yards / drive
Team49.13.8/gm#10 / 167 · 95th pct#9 / 70 · 89th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp42.13.2/gm#106 / 166 · 37th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#8 / 13 · 46th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Plays / drive
Team6.30.5/gm#117 / 167 · 31st pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp7.10.5/gm#151 / 166 · 10th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Three-and-out rate
Team13.2%13.2%#76 / 167 · 55th pct#41 / 70 · 43rd pct#9 / 13 · 38th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp13.8%13.8%#78 / 166 · 54th pct#42 / 70 · 41st pct#6 / 13 · 62nd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Scheme Identity (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Rush rate over expected#67 / 145 · 54th pct#27 / 70 · 63rd pct#8 / 13 · 46th pct-0.6%-0.6%
Havoc rate
Team16.0%16.0%#67 / 140 · 53rd pct#41 / 70 · 43rd pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct
Opp13.5%13.5%#44 / 140 · 69th pct#21 / 70 · 71st pct#7 / 14 · 57th pct
Standard-downs success
Team52.7%52.7%#21 / 154 · 87th pct#18 / 70 · 76th pct#3 / 13 · 85th pct
Opp44.2%44.2%#27 / 172 · 85th pct#18 / 70 · 76th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct
Passing-downs success
Team30.3%30.3%#82 / 153 · 47th pct#47 / 70 · 34th pct#9 / 13 · 38th pct
Opp28.7%28.7%#49 / 149 · 68th pct#28 / 70 · 61st pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct
Line yards / carry
Team3.33.3#18 / 143 · 88th pct#13 / 70 · 83rd pct#4 / 13 · 77th pct
Opp2.62.6#25 / 155 · 85th pct#14 / 70 · 81st pct#3 / 13 · 85th pct
Stuff rate
Team14.3%14.3%#14 / 143 · 91st pct#8 / 70 · 90th pct#4 / 13 · 77th pct
Opp22.5%22.5%#21 / 155 · 87th pct#12 / 70 · 84th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct
Power success rate
Team76.5%76.5%#31 / 137 · 78th pct#19 / 70 · 74th pct#4 / 13 · 77th pct
Opp87.5%87.5%#136 / 141 · 4th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Efficiency
Completion %
Off66.4%#24 / 136 · 83rd pct#18 / 70 · 76th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Def61.3%#63 / 136 · 54th pct#30 / 70 · 59th pct#5 / 14 · 71st pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Yards / attempt
Off8.8#12 / 136 · 92nd pct#8 / 70 · 90th pct#3 / 14 · 86th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Def6.5#37 / 136 · 74th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Yards / completion
Off13.3#18 / 136 · 88th pct#10 / 70 · 87th pct#4 / 14 · 79th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Def10.7#30 / 136 · 79th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Yards / carry#12 / 136 · 92nd pct#8 / 70 · 90th pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct5.5
Yards / play#6 / 136 · 96th pct#5 / 70 · 94th pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct6.98
Scoring margin#10 / 136 · 93rd pct#7 / 70 · 91st pct#2 / 14 · 93rd pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct+17.1/gm
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats — 2025 season
Quarterbacks
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dual Threat · +0.36 EPA/play | 17 | 12 | 226 / 341 | 66.3 | 3158 #28 FBS | 9.3 | 28 #12 FBS | 7 | 167.1 | 71.8 | 9.3 | 4.2 | |
Yards by week → Dual Threat· Money-downDangerous with both arm and legs — defenses can't just pin the ears back. National Player-of-the-Year finalist — invited to the closing-night ceremony — trending, not yet confirmed. The rare part: he'll hurt you with his legs — and he finds the end zone, too 10 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Rush yards / carry5.8 94th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts TD rate8.2% 98th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts — the part the label misses Trait fingerprint Plays like our readBounce-Back: his CFB Index score shows a real arc: 80th percentile among FBS QBs, fell to 27th, now back up to 97th | |||||||||||||
| +0.05 EPA/play | 3 | 7 | 34 / 48 | 70.8 | 290 | 6.0 | 2 | 2 | 127.0 | 49.7 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
| -0.04 EPA/play | 13 | 2 | 7 / 12 | 58.3 | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 1 | 132.2 | 58.0 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
Running Backs
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Stuff% | 10+% | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.09 EPA/play | 25 | 11 | 98 | 612 | 6.2 | 7 | 60 | 7.9 | 9.6 | 16.0 | 13.8 | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 186 of 349 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · sophomore · 3-star, 2024 class View Nykahi Davenport's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.01 EPA/play | 4 | 13 | 80 | 474 | 5.9 | 4 | 73 | 5.9 | 7.8 | 15 | 11.2 | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 186 of 349 classified this way. Played in 13 of 21 games this season · senior View Sam Franklin's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.03 EPA/play | 10 | 13 | 73 | 350 | 4.8 | 0 | 49 | 7.1 | 5.6 | 9.9 | 11.3 | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 186 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry4.2 bottom 15th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate0.0% bottom 6th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Alvon Isaac's full player page | |||||||||||||
| +0.15 EPA/play | 5 | 5 | 32 | 166 | 5.2 | 2 | 37 | 9.1 | 7.8 | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
Receivers
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +0.60 EPA/play | 11 | 12 | 50 | 877 #45 FBS | 17.5 | 8 #23 FBS | 66 | 9.9 | 9.3 | 18.3% (67/366) | |
Yards by week → Deep ThreatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 100 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception16.6 81th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate16.0% 89th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score went from the 53rd percentile among FBS WRs to the 90th | |||||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.66 EPA/play | 16 | 9 | 38 | 597 | 15.7 | 8 #23 FBS | 63 | 4.6 | 6.1 | 13.7% (50/366) | |
Yards by week → Deep ThreatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. 100 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception16.3 79th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate21.1% 98th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint View Jeremiah Koger's full player page | |||||||||||
| Jump-Ball Target · +0.55 EPA/play | 6 | 10 | 36 | 495 | 13.8 | 5 | 60 | 4.1 | 6.7 | 11.7% (43/366) | |
Yards by week → Jump-Ball Target· Money-downWins contested catches at the goal line. Size and catch radius are the weapons. lives on the sticks and moves the chains 29 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TD rate13.9% 81th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Yards / reception13.8 55th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Mudia Reuben's full player page | |||||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.46 EPA/play | 2 | 6 | 23 | 466 | 20.3 | 3 | 55 | 9.1 | 11 | 10.4% (38/366) | |
Yards by week → Deep ThreatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. 100 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception20.2 97th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate13.0% 77th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score now sits at the 51st percentile among FBS WRs, up from the 0th | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.28 EPA/play | 81 | 10 | 38 | 335 | 8.8 | 1 | 43 | 10.6 | 13.2 | 16.1% (59/366) | |
Yards by week → Possession Receiver· Boom-or-bustReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception9.5 bottom 16th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate2.6% bottom 17th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Christian Neptune's full player page | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.36 EPA/play | 8 | 10 | 18 | 176 | 9.8 | 2 | 30 | 6.6 | 5.2 | 6.3% (23/366) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. The most common profile in its group this season — 177 of 223 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · junior View Wyatt Sullivan's full player page | |||||||||||
| +0.39 EPA/play | 19 | 8 | 11 | 151 | 13.7 | 0 | 42 | 4 | 6.6 | 5.2% (19/366) | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| Red-Zone Weapon · +2.60 EPA/play | 1 | 7 | 9 | 109 | 12.1 | 3 | 24 | 5.7 | 5.1 | 4.4% (16/366) | |
Yards by week → Red-Zone WeaponThe first read called near the goal line — size and catch radius do the rest. 12 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TD rate33.3% 100th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions EPA / play (adj)2.6 100th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint View Jonathan Echols's full player page | |||||||||||
| +0.58 EPA/play | 80 | 9 | 11 | 81 | 7.4 | 1 | 26 | 2.4 | 1.8 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
Defensive Line
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 8 | 13 | 34 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate8.8% bottom 27th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Joshua Celiscar's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 99 | 12 | 31 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · senior View Devin Lee's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 8 | 12 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate20.7% 74th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||
| Versatile End | 15 | 10 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Versatile EndNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 139 of 200 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · senior View Dennard Flowers's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 40 | 10 | 19 | 7 | 2.5 | 2 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · senior our readSustained Ascent: his CFB Index score shows two real climbs in a row — 10th to 53rd to 76th percentile among FBS IDLs | |||||||
| Versatile End | 4 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Versatile EndNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. The most common profile in its group this season — 139 of 200 classified this way. Played in 6 of 21 games this season · senior · 3-star, 2022 class our readFading: his CFB Index score moved from the 57th to 14th percentile among FBS EDGEs | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 28 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 7 of 21 games this season · sophomore · 3-star, 2024 class View Ryan Jenkins's full player page | |||||||
| 18 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0.5 | 2 | |
Linebackers
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coverage 'Backer | 7 | 13 | 105 | 49 | 56 | 8.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 1 |
Coverage 'BackerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. 99 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate7.6% 96th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume105 97th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jhalyn Shuler's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 24 | 13 | 103 | 54 | 49 | 7.5 | 6 #74 FBS | 2 | 2 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume103 97th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate5.8% 70th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint View Mac Harris's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 25 | 10 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · sophomore · 3-star, 2024 class View Zavier Hamilton's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 6 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume18 bottom 12th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 18th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Rodney Hill's full player page | |||||||||
| 44 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 53 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 17 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Defensive Backs
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 2 | 10 | 60 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 |
Box Safety· Takeaway threatLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume60 80th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Tavin Ward's full player page | |||||||
| Perimeter Tackler | 22 | 13 | 58 | 4 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 |
Perimeter TacklerTargeted often and asked to tackle in space on the perimeter. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 42 of 270 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume58 98th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View De'Shawn Rucker's full player page | |||||||
| Perimeter Tackler | — | 12 | 55 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 4 |
Perimeter Tackler· Takeaway threatTargeted often and asked to tackle in space on the perimeter. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 42 of 270 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume55 97th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score climbed from the 29th percentile to the 97th among FBS CBs | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 5 | 13 | 53 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Hybrid Nickel· Takeaway threatMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate3.8% bottom 29th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score now sits at the 72nd percentile among FBS Ss, up from the 15th | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 3 | 10 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Cover CornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 141 of 270 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · junior View Jonas Duclona's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 9 | 9 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Cover CornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 141 of 270 classified this way. Played in 9 of 21 games this season · sophomore · 3-star, 2024 class our readAscending: his CFB Index score moved from the 44th to 81st percentile among FBS CBs | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 21 | 9 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate12.0% 70th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readBounce-Back: his CFB Index score shows a real arc: 80th percentile among FBS Ss, fell to 5th, now back up to 29th | |||||||
| 23 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ball Hawk | 1 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ball HawkReads the quarterback's eyes and takes the ball away. 44 of 270 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate27.3% 92th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readFading: his CFB Index score moved from the 60th to 24th percentile among FBS CBs | |||||||
| 41 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | |
| 12 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 19 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 32 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 26 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Kicking
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 7 | 13 | 18/24 | 75 | 59/60 | 113 | 52 |
Punting
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinner | 37 | 11 | 37 | 1614 | 43.6 | 56 | 15 | 2 |
| 39 | 3 | 9 | 326 | 36.2 | 46 | 2 | 1 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
Kick Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.03 EPA/play | 10 | 13 | 10 | 224 | 22.4 | 0 | 40 |
Punt Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.03 EPA/play | 10 | 13 | 6 | 126 | 21 | 0 | 41 |
| +0.58 EPA/play | 80 | 9 | 10 | 56 | 5.6 | 0 | 14 |
| Possession Receiver · +0.28 EPA/play | 81 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 1.5 | 0 | 7 |
2025 stat leaders
final
2025 stat leaders
1.
Jhalyn Shuler
LB
105 tot (def)
2.
Mac Harris
LB
103 tot (def)
3.
Byrum Brown
QB
3,158 yds (pass)
4.
Keshaun Singleton
WR
877 yds (rec)
5.
Tavin Ward
S
60.0 tot (def)
Roster
2025
25
players carry a qualified CFB Index Score this season.
Mac Harris
LB
#11 of 583
Byrum Brown
QB
#6 of 146
Jarvis Lee Jr.
CB
#15 of 364
Jhalyn Shuler
LB
#28 of 583
Keshaun Singleton
WR
#55 of 485
Traevon Mitchell
IDL
#52 of 330
+19 more
South Florida · 2025 schedule & results9-4Brutal slateAverage opponent win rate 56% · 6 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule. 2 ranked wins banked (time-of-game rank).
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | #31 | #33 | +4.5 | Boise StateTop 25 win | W 34–7 139 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #13 | #19 | +18.5 | @FloridaTop 25 win | W 18–16 129 | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #13 | #9 | +17.5 | @Miami | L 12–49 136 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #20 | #146 | -35.5 | South Carolina State | W 63–14 134 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 6 | Oct 3 | #24 | #237 | -28 | Charlotte | W 54–26 97 | 4-1 | 1-0 |
| 7 | Oct 10 | #24 | #87 | +2.5 | @North Texas | W 63–36 162 | 5-1 | 2-0 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #16 | #122 | -20.5 | Florida Atlantic | W 48–13 164 | 6-1 | 3-0 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #14 | #54 | -3.5 | @Memphis | L 31–34 161 | 6-2 | 3-1 |
| 11 | Nov 7 | #13 | #46 | -14 | UTSA | W 55–23 132 | 7-2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #13 | #65 | -8.5 | @Navy | L 38–41 141 | 7-3 | 4-2 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #15 | #162 | -22.5 | @UAB | W 48–18 142 | 8-3 | 5-2 |
| 14 | Nov 30 | #14 | #172 | -28.5 | Rice | W 52–3 135 | 9-3 | 6-2 |
| Bowl Season | ||||||||
| 16 | Dec 17 | #11 | #32 | -4 | Old Dominion (N) | L 10–24 | 9-4 | 6-2 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17 | Old Dominion | L 10–24 | — | — | — | -0.074 | 35.9% | 98.5% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Nov 30 | Rice | W 52–3 | 553 | 0 | 28:38 | +0.452 | 55.7% | 129.9% | Blowout win |
| Nov 22 | @UAB | W 48–18 | 531 | 1 | 21:52 | +0.468 | 60.0% | 116.0% | Best success rate |
| Nov 15 | @Navy | L 38–41 | 556 | 2 | 24:49 | +0.300 | 42.3% | 143.7% | One-score loss |
| Nov 7 | UTSA | W 55–23 | 471 | 1 | 20:13 | +0.450 | 56.6% | 130.8% | Blowout win |
| Oct 25 | @Memphis | L 31–34 | 564 | 1 | 26:08 | +0.337 | 48.2% | 147.7% | One-score loss |
| Oct 18 | Florida Atlantic | W 48–13 | 522 | 0 | 28:34 | +0.408 | 47.4% | 132.4% | Blowout win |
| Oct 10 | @North Texas | W 63–36 | 582 | 3 | 29:05 | +0.380 | 57.1% | 113.2% | |
| Oct 3 | Charlotte | W 54–26 | 631 | 4 | 31:46 | +0.238 | 49.5% | 111.2% | Blowout win |
| Sep 20 | South Carolina State | W 63–14 | 504 | 1 | 16:53 | +0.557 | 48.1% | 168.8% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 13 | @Miami | L 12–49 | 332 | 2 | 23:59 | +0.001 | 30.4% | 130.3% | Defense's roughest night |
| Sep 6 | @Florida | W 18–16 | 391 | 0 | 25:47 | +0.155 | 39.1% | 116.9% | One-score win |
| Aug 28 | Boise State | W 34–7 | 372 | 0 | 23:39 | +0.319 | 34.0% | 190.0% | Most explosive |
| Season average (13 games) | 501 | 1.2 | +0.307 | 46.5% | 133.0% | ||||
How They Play · 2025
How They Play · 2025South Florida fields an elite offense behind a strong, gives up the big play defense.
Opponent-adjusted percentiles vs all FBS. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How South Florida actually scores
87th percentile quality, 23rd percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 86th | 11th |
| Akron | 12th | 89th |
| Alabama | 58th | 17th |
| App State | 35th | 47th |
| Arizona | 64th | 37th |
| Arizona State | 41st | 62nd |
| Arkansas | 90th | 12th |
| Arkansas State | 17th | 66th |
| Army | 57th | 43rd |
| Auburn | 47th | 53rd |
| BYU | 78th | 19th |
| Baylor | 69th | 25th |
| Boise State | 66th | 20th |
| Boston College | 37th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 2nd | 98th |
| Buffalo | 11th | 88th |
| California | 28th | 48th |
| Central Michigan | 52nd | 64th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 16th |
| Clemson | 51st | 48th |
| Coastal Carolina | 17th | 83rd |
| Colorado | 18th | 84th |
| Colorado State | 16th | 83rd |
| Delaware | 38th | 58th |
| Duke | 80th | 14th |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 36th |
| Eastern Michigan | 49th | 42nd |
| Florida | 30th | 67th |
| Florida Atlantic | 62nd | 59th |
| Florida International | 42nd | 50th |
| Florida State | 83rd | 32nd |
| Fresno State | 26th | 73rd |
| Georgia | 81st | 3rd |
| Georgia Southern | 73rd | 21st |
| Georgia State | 36th | 70th |
| Georgia Tech | 84th | 5th |
| Hawai'i | 64th | 41st |
| Houston | 27th | 65th |
| Illinois | 75th | 26th |
| Indiana | 95th | 1st |
| Iowa | 44th | 40th |
| Iowa State | 68th | 22nd |
| Jacksonville State | 54th | 38th |
| James Madison | 65th | 44th |
| Kansas | 85th | 28th |
| Kansas State | 71st | 49th |
| Kennesaw State | 56th | 30th |
| Kent State | 21st | 86th |
| Kentucky | 15th | 85th |
| LSU | 14th | 81st |
| Liberty | 43rd | 56th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 73rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 39th | 61st |
| Louisville | 48th | 64th |
| Marshall | 55th | 39th |
| Maryland | 30th | 74th |
| Memphis | 80th | 24th |
| Miami | 76th | 5th |
| Miami (OH) | 34th | 67th |
| Michigan | 67th | 33rd |
| Michigan State | 27th | 75th |
| Middle Tennessee | 39th | 52nd |
| Minnesota | 29th | 77th |
| Mississippi State | 22nd | 77th |
| Missouri | 61st | 30th |
| Missouri State | 55th | 46th |
| NC State | 86th | 23rd |
| Navy | 94th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 48th | 57th |
| Nevada | 3rd | 97th |
| New Mexico | 58th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 9th | 87th |
| North Carolina | 13th | 89th |
| North Texas | 98th | 7th |
| Northern Illinois | 8th | 92nd |
| Northwestern | 52nd | 36th |
| Notre Dame | 99th | 20th |
| Ohio | 67th | 18th |
| Ohio State | 93rd | 4th |
| Oklahoma | 20th | 80th |
| Oklahoma State | 5th | 95th |
| Old Dominion | 83rd | 45th |
| Ole Miss | 89th | 2nd |
| Oregon | 91st | 10th |
| Oregon State | 2nd | 98th |
| Penn State | 73rd | 33rd |
| Pittsburgh | 60th | 39th |
| Purdue | 25th | 78th |
| Rice | 6th | 94th |
| Rutgers | 70th | 27th |
| SMU | 74th | 42nd |
| Sam Houston | 4th | 96th |
| San Diego State | 24th | 76th |
| San José State | 45th | 69th |
| South Alabama | 36th | 58th |
| South Carolina | 23rd | 86th |
| South Florida | 87th | 23rd |
| Southern Miss | 40th | 55th |
| Stanford | 10th | 90th |
| Syracuse | 5th | 95th |
| TCU | 72nd | 35th |
| Temple | 70th | 34th |
| Tennessee | 96th | 11th |
| Texas | 45th | 55th |
| Texas A&M | 82nd | 14th |
| Texas State | 92nd | 8th |
| Texas Tech | 77th | 31st |
| Toledo | 50th | 61st |
| Troy | 14th | 80th |
| Tulane | 79th | 15th |
| Tulsa | 20th | 70th |
| UAB | 61st | 45th |
| UCF | 33rd | 82nd |
| UCLA | 23rd | 79th |
| UConn | 95th | 13th |
| UL Monroe | 11th | 92nd |
| UNLV | 88th | 9th |
| USC | 98th | 2nd |
| UTEP | 1st | 99th |
| UTSA | 77th | 51st |
| Utah | 97th | 6th |
| Utah State | 46th | 63rd |
| Vanderbilt | 100th | 0th |
| Virginia | 59th | 27th |
| Virginia Tech | 32nd | 71st |
| Wake Forest | 42nd | 72nd |
| Washington | 92nd | 8th |
| Washington State | 33rd | 52nd |
| West Virginia | 7th | 93rd |
| Western Kentucky | 53rd | 29th |
| Western Michigan | 31st | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 0th | 100th |
| Wyoming | 8th | 91st |
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
South Florida's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 96th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 84th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does South Florida hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
86th percentile success on standard downs, 46th on passing downs — a 40-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 82nd | 69th |
| Akron | 20th | 36th |
| Alabama | 47th | 76th |
| App State | 41st | 80th |
| Arizona | 54th | 54th |
| Arizona State | 40th | 37th |
| Arkansas | 90th | 97th |
| Arkansas State | 51st | 40th |
| Army | 37th | 44th |
| Auburn | 73rd | 24th |
| Austin Peay | 56th | 13th |
| BYU | 91st | 46th |
| Ball State | 5th | 3rd |
| Baylor | 70th | 77th |
| Boise State | 42nd | 63rd |
| Boston College | 56th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 10th | 17th |
| Bryant | 7th | 2nd |
| Buffalo | 29th | 20th |
| California | 25th | 66th |
| Central Michigan | 57th | 11th |
| Charlotte | 7th | 7th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 65th |
| Clemson | 49th | 34th |
| Coastal Carolina | 16th | 22nd |
| Colorado | 8th | 48th |
| Colorado State | 29th | 35th |
| Delaware | 66th | 31st |
| Duke | 82nd | 63rd |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 91st |
| Eastern Michigan | 46th | 67th |
| Florida | 52nd | 45th |
| Florida Atlantic | 44th | 61st |
| Florida International | 50th | 26th |
| Florida State | 65th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 22nd | 71st |
| Georgia | 95th | 69th |
| Georgia Southern | 64th | 84th |
| Georgia State | 22nd | 75th |
| Georgia Tech | 92nd | 89th |
| Hawai'i | 33rd | 87th |
| Houston | 61st | 29th |
| Idaho | 30th | 78th |
| Idaho State | 93rd | 14th |
| Illinois | 79th | 95th |
| Indiana | 97th | 98th |
| Iowa | 74th | 19th |
| Iowa State | 80th | 58th |
| Jacksonville State | 59th | 56th |
| James Madison | 77th | 52nd |
| Kansas | 99th | 82nd |
| Kansas State | 37th | 59th |
| Kennesaw State | 44th | 67th |
| Kent State | 15th | 5th |
| Kentucky | 62nd | 29th |
| LSU | 18th | 52nd |
| Lafayette | 0th | 12th |
| Liberty | 65th | 53rd |
| Lindenwood | 4th | 1st |
| Long Island University | 24th | 78th |
| Louisiana | 24th | 23rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 41st | 24th |
| Louisville | 84th | 32nd |
| Maine | 3rd | 18th |
| Marshall | 71st | 62nd |
| Maryland | 11th | 86th |
| Massachusetts | 5th | 9th |
| Memphis | 75th | 68th |
| Merrimack | 1st | 83rd |
| Miami | 80th | 64th |
| Miami (OH) | 33rd | 39th |
| Michigan | 73rd | 74th |
| Michigan State | 48th | 39th |
| Middle Tennessee | 69th | 47th |
| Minnesota | 35th | 33rd |
| Mississippi State | 52nd | 35th |
| Missouri | 76th | 50th |
| Missouri State | 32nd | 50th |
| Murray State | 1st | 6th |
| NC State | 58th | 71st |
| Navy | 95th | 72nd |
| Nebraska | 78th | 51st |
| Nevada | 17th | 16th |
| New Mexico | 38th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 16th | 33rd |
| North Carolina | 14th | 30th |
| North Texas | 100th | 97th |
| Northern Illinois | 9th | 5th |
| Northwestern | 48th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 88th | 99th |
| Ohio | 69th | 76th |
| Ohio State | 99th | 99th |
| Oklahoma | 39th | 41st |
| Oklahoma State | 14th | 7th |
| Old Dominion | 72nd | 79th |
| Ole Miss | 83rd | 95th |
| Oregon | 93rd | 55th |
| Oregon State | 54th | 25th |
| Penn State | 76th | 73rd |
| Pittsburgh | 35th | 56th |
| Purdue | 46th | 88th |
| Rice | 20th | 0th |
| Rutgers | 71st | 84th |
| SMU | 50th | 57th |
| Sam Houston | 26th | 4th |
| San Diego State | 84th | 1st |
| San José State | 68th | 70th |
| South Alabama | 53rd | 28th |
| South Carolina | 31st | 8th |
| South Carolina State | 10th | 3rd |
| South Florida | 86th | 46th |
| Southern Miss | 27th | 38th |
| Stanford | 12th | 12th |
| Syracuse | 19th | 10th |
| TCU | 63rd | 82nd |
| Temple | 85th | 22nd |
| Tennessee | 97th | 81st |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 88th | 59th |
| Texas State | 60th | 93rd |
| Texas Tech | 45th | 65th |
| Toledo | 67th | 42nd |
| Troy | 18th | 27th |
| Tulane | 81st | 86th |
| Tulsa | 43rd | 43rd |
| UAB | 34th | 94th |
| UCF | 39th | 20th |
| UCLA | 28th | 48th |
| UConn | 96th | 37th |
| UL Monroe | 13th | 14th |
| UNLV | 78th | 85th |
| USC | 94th | 90th |
| UT Martin | 2nd | 41st |
| UTEP | 3rd | 10th |
| UTSA | 67th | 92nd |
| Utah | 87th | 96th |
| Utah State | 31st | 49th |
| Vanderbilt | 90th | 100th |
| Virginia | 36th | 73rd |
| Virginia Tech | 59th | 21st |
| Wake Forest | 21st | 31st |
| Washington | 98th | 93rd |
| Washington State | 61st | 44th |
| West Virginia | 12th | 18th |
| Western Kentucky | 55th | 80th |
| Western Michigan | 86th | 16th |
| Wisconsin | 6th | 27th |
| Wyoming | 23rd | 15th |
Halftime identity
South Florida by half
1st-half offense ranks 85th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 89th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Schedule mirage
How much of South Florida's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.31; 95th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.10. The widest gap came in week 1: 0.32 raw vs. 0.02 adjusted.
South Florida reads strongest in passing epa (top 6%) and epa / play (top 10%); the crux lives in explosive plays allowed, where South Florida sits at the 17th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
ELITE · 90+STRONG · 70+AVERAGE · 40-70CONCERN · 10-40BOTTOM · <10
Most Similar Programs · South Florida
Most Similar Programs · South FloridaReads Like
CharlotteTier 3 · Prestige T2 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontColorado StateTier 3 · Prestige T2 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontEast CarolinaTier 3 · Prestige T2 · Similarly-sized rosters up front
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Home-Field Advantage · South Florida · 2018-present
Strong
50% home win rate vs 26% on the road. margin runs +9.9 better at home. Raymond James Stadium seats 65,828, averaging 52% full (34,344 attendance, 20 games reported).
Home23-23Away12-33
Positional competition · RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Nykahi Davenport and Sam Franklin split the carries (97/177 vs 80/177) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Nykahi DavenportSam Franklin
Carries
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
Targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-carry share
concentration alone -- EPA/carry doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 2 claims, 0 survived, 2 falsified
Positional competition · WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Keshaun Singleton (WR) and Wyatt Sullivan (TE) split the targets (64/86 vs 22/86) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Keshaun SingletonWyatt Sullivan
Targets
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
3rd-down targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Garbage-time share
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-catch share
concentration alone -- EPA/target doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 3 claims, 0 survived, 3 falsified
What changed
South Florida’s play-calling, before and after the change
Offense: Joel Gordon (2023–2024) → Joel Gordon / co-Kodi Burns (2025)
Play-calling barely moved on the change — every rate held within a few points.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
Defense: Ernie Sims (interim) (2022) → Todd Orlando (2023–2025)
The biggest shift: 1st-down pass rate moved up 9 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
Season by season
How South Florida’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Defense: Todd Orlando (2023–2025)
1st-down pass rate
2023: 44% → 2025: 48% · 5-pt range · #165 of 189 · less than most
Red-zone pass rate
2023: 32% → 2025: 34% · 6-pt range · #161 of 189 · less than most
4th-down go rate
2023: 53% → 2025: 44% · 13-pt range · #114 of 188 · a typical amount
Defensive identity · pass zones
What this defense gives up, by zone.
On short passes, South Florida’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (64.5% vs 65.9% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 161-play sample) — mid-pack, 36 of 133 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball leaderboard here: at the defense level, most teams face well under 30 rich-feed deep targets all season — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess.
Screened 133 claims, 133 survived · 2025 only, in the 399 games with the detailed play-text feed; n=161 short-zone plays faced, raw rate 63.4%
Venue texture
80°F average kickoff temp; 12% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.
Based on 72 home games with weather data.
The CFP Era
12 seasons inside the CFP era, no bids yet — the era the program is still trying to break into.
TRAJECTORY · quality-score line · AP rank dotted · CFP bids marked · coach regimes ribboned
Program Quality
AP Rank (inverted)
CFP Appearance
South Florida's 2014–2025 record is 71-76. The era is still being written; the CFP line is the one the program is arguing for.
War on I-4
14 meetings since 2005 See the whole history →
Heat trajectory
Week-by-week rivalry heat isn't tracked yet for this matchup — check back as the 2026-27 season approaches and real fan-intel signal accumulates.
Fan Heat Index
Who's more worked up right now
Cross-fanbase rivalry sentiment for this matchup hasn't been measured yet this week — both sides show as neutral until real signal comes in.
South Florida
Awaiting
Ucf
Awaiting
South Florida
—
Ucf
—
THE LAST 5 · year-by-year
- L 2022 Loss 39–46
- L 2021 Loss 13–17
- L 2020 Loss 46–58
- L 2019 Loss 7–34
- L 2018 Loss 10–38
All-Time Record
164-152
since 1999 · 27 seasons · .518 win rate
HOME
98-61
AWAY
57-85
NEUTRAL
9-6
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
The program, in full — read the essay
South Florida played its first game in 1997 and was ranked No. 2 in the country by 2007. In 2025, Alex Golesh rebuilt the Bulls into a 9-4 team scoring 43 points a game — then left for Auburn before the bowl. USF hired Brian Hartline. This story keeps restarting.
No program in modern college football climbed as fast as South Florida. Jim Leavitt built it from nothing — literally, a 1997 startup — beat Auburn in overtime, toppled West Virginia, and watched the polls put his Tampa team second in the country. The fall was proportional: Leavitt's firing in 2010, years of losing, near-irrelevance while the sport moved on. The Bulls spent a decade explaining what they used to be.
Alex Golesh gave the rebuild a legitimate answer. The 2025 Bulls opened by routing No. 25 Boise State 34-7, then won at Florida on a walk-off field goal eight days later — the first ranked wins since 2016. USF hit No. 18 in the polls and finished 9-4 behind an offense averaging 43 points a game. Then Golesh left for Auburn before the bowl, which USF lost, and the cycle that defined the program for fifteen years threatened to restart: build something real, watch the architect leave.
Brian Hartline — the former Ohio State OC, signed to a six-year, $21 million deal — is the next bet. The 2026 season is USF's last at Raymond James Stadium before an on-campus home opens, which makes it a threshold year in two directions. What 2026 answers is whether Hartline can hold the momentum Golesh built, or whether the Bulls are learning the lesson again that the rise is only as durable as the coach who runs it.
How they play
Explosive and tempo-driven — the Golesh-era identity was a top-ten scoring offense that played fast, spread the field, and trusted the recruiting base in talent-rich Florida to provide the athletes to run it. Raymond James is a cavernous NFL stadium that makes even good crowds look sparse; the on-campus stadium opening in 2027 is designed to change that equation. Hartline's Ohio State background is pass-game-centric and NFL-development-oriented — a credentialing that fits the USF brand of football even as the system details are still emerging.
Steady
South Florida 2016–2025. Holding the line. The 10-year slope (-0.07 rungs / yr) doesn't tilt either way — the program lives at roughly Tier 3.
CFP Era · South Florida
12 seasons on file
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
down middle peak CFP year
Season Standing · 2025 · 9-4 · CFP #24 / AP #25
Season Standing · 2025 · 9-4 · CFP #24 / AP #25Ranked (25-16)
South Florida: Ranked in the AP/Coaches polls, 16-25. National relevance achieved.
R0R1R2R3R4R5R6R7R8R9
Sub-FBSBuildingBowlRankedContenderPlayoff
American Athletic Standing · 2025
5th in the American Athletic
South Florida sits 5th of 14 in the American Athletic at 6-2. Mid-conference — moves up or down depend on rivalry results and the late-season closing run.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Navy | 8-1 |
| 2 | Tulane | 8-1 |
| 3 | North Texas | 7-2 |
| 4 | East Carolina | 6-2 |
| 5 | South Florida | 6-2 |
| 6 | Memphis | 4-4 |
| 7 | UTSA | 4-4 |
| 8 | Army | 4-5 |
| 9 | Florida Atlantic | 3-5 |
| 10 | Temple | 3-5 |
| 11 | Rice | 2-6 |
| 12 | UAB | 2-6 |
| 13 | Tulsa | 1-7 |
| 14 | Charlotte | 0-8 |
Coaching Era · South Florida
Coaching Era · South FloridaBrian Hartline
Brian Hartline took over from Alex Golesh for the 2026 season.
Era Brian Hartline · 2026–presentPrev: Alex Golesh (2023–2025)OC: Tim BeckPrev OC: Joel Gordon / co-Kodi Burns (2025)DC: Josh AldridgePrev DC: Todd Orlando (2023–2025)
1
year · era
Rituals
Three gameday rituals — the ones outsiders never quite catch.
Jim Leavitt 1997-2009 (Founding Era)
since 1997
Jim Leavitt — the program's first head coach, hired 1995 + coached from 1997-2009 — built USF from scratch through FCS to FBS to Big East entry. The 2007 season's #2 AP rank (briefly, after wins over Auburn + West Virginia) was the program's all-time peak moment. Leavitt's 2009 firing (player-abuse allegations) ended the era abruptly.
Raymond James Stadium (NFL Co-Tenant)
since 1998
USF plays home games in Raymond James Stadium — the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' NFL stadium. The 65,000+ capacity + pirate ship + professional production values create a venue experience unique among AAC programs. The lack of on-campus stadium is structural identity.
Charlie Strong Tenure (2017-2019)
since 2017
Charlie Strong's 2017-2019 tenure — coming from the Texas firing — produced consecutive 10-2 and 7-6 seasons. The Strong era's recruiting + competitive cycles + AAC East division contention defined the post-Leavitt rebuild. Jeff Scott's 2020-2022 era followed; Alex Golesh's 2023-present tenure continues the rebuild.
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2007
USF reaches No. 2
After beating Auburn in overtime and toppling West Virginia, the 10-year-old program climbs to No. 2 in the country — the high point of the fastest rise in modern football
2025
Two ranked wins in eight days
USF opens the season routing No. 25 Boise State 34-7, then wins at Florida 18-16 on a walk-off field goal — its first ranked wins since 2016 — and enters the AP poll at No. 18
2025
Golesh leaves for Auburn
The coach who rebuilt the program departs before the bowl game, which USF loses — a familiar twist for a program that keeps losing what it builds
Wound
Moment of the Year · South Florida · 2025
Moment of the Year · South Florida · 2025Lost 12-49 at Miami
Week 3 of 2025. A reckoning loss — the data point the next season must answer.
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
Bowl / Postseason LedgerRecent postseason (2015-2025): 4-3
Most recent: 2025 — loss 10-24 (home). Last 5 postseason: 3-2.
20252024202320182017
Unit lineage
South Florida’s offense and defense, by coordinator
FBS-relative efficiency percentile per season (2014–2025), same population as the Coordinator Mirror board. Dashed vertical lines mark a coordinator change.
Offense2014–2025
2014 · Paul Wulff2015 · co-Danny Hope / co-David Reaves2016 · co-T. J. Weist / co-Darren Hiller2017–2018 · Sterlin Gilbert2019 · Kerwin Bell2020–2021 · Charlie Weis Jr.2022 · Travis Trickett2023–2024 · Joel Gordon2025 · Joel Gordon / co-Kodi Burns
Hired for 2026: Tim Beck — not yet reflected in on-field data.
Defense2014–2025
2014 · Chuck Bresnahan2015 · Tom Allen2016 · Raymond Woodie Jr.2017–2019 · Brian Jean-Mary2020–2021 · Glenn Spencer2022 · Ernie Sims (interim)2023–2025 · Todd Orlando
Hired for 2026: Josh Aldridge — not yet reflected in on-field data.
Elite (≥70th pct)AveragePoor (≤30th pct)
Chronicle Visuals
Among the most continuous rosters into 2025 — 100% back, anchored by the qb room, only offense to settle.
The portal upgraded the DL room but opened a hole at CB.
South Florida signs higher-rated classes than its draft yield delivers.
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