Next game: at East Carolina
South Florida’s best edge on East Carolina is running
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
South Florida offense against East Carolina defense
East Carolina offense against South Florida defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 94 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +4.44 EPA/play | 3 | 8 | 116 / 181 | 64.1 | 1273 | 7.0 | 6 | 0 | 134.1 | — | 40.1 | 7.7 | 0 | |
Yards by week → Pocket passer· Money-downBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. saves his best for the money downs Starter — 181 pass attempts and 52 carries in 8 games, fewer passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week. This week's matchup — QB Jr. operates within the system without forcing anything. Stokes is the one who operates within the system without forcing anything. Season receipt Yards / attempt7.2 bottom 30th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts INT rate0.0% 97th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Michael Van Buren Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||||||||
| +0.26 EPA/play | 17 | 6 | 9 / 14 | 64.3 | 60 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 | 100.3 | — | 58.6 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.13 EPA/play | 5 | 8 | 121 | 578 #55 FBS | 4.8 | 7 #36 FBS | 39 | 18.5 | 12.6 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — 121 carries and 9 catches in 8 games, more touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Crowther does a little of everything without one standout trait. Carter is the one who hits the crease and outruns the angle. Season receipt Yards / carry5.0 bottom 39th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception11.1 90th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View D.J. Crowther's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.09 EPA/play | 2 | 8 | 52 | 244 | 4.7 | 2 | 21 | 15.4 | 13.5 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 52 carries and 6 catches in 8 games. Fewer touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 134 of 278 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Jason Collins Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.39 EPA/play | 1 | 8 | 33 | 345 | 10.5 | 2 | 42 | |
Yards by week → Slot technicianRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. 33 catches in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Rodgers wins underneath on volume and route precision. Davis is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Reception volume33 74th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Plays like View Bryson Rodgers's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.23 EPA/play | 80 | 8 | 23 | 274 | 11.9 | 2 | 38 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Joshua Porter's full player page | ||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.36 EPA/play | — | 6 | 14 | 186 | 13.3 | 1 | 36 | |
Yards by week → Deep threatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. This week's matchup — WR Seldon beats you over the top. Davis is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception16.5 80th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume14 bottom 17th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Cameron Seldon's full player page | ||||||||
| -0.59 EPA/play | 6 | 5 | 9 | 121 | 13.4 | 0 | 25 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.46 EPA/play | 4 | 3 | 11 | 108 | 9.8 | 0 | 17 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Complete TE · -0.10 EPA/play | 8 | 6 | 10 | 85 | 8.5 | 0 | 20 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. This week's matchup — TE Sullivan shows up in the passing game from any alignment. O'Callaghan is the one who shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Season receipt Yards / reception5.4 bottom 7th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions EPA / play (adj)-0.1 bottom 5th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Wyatt Sullivan's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.32 EPA/play | 47 | 3 | 5 | 54 | 10.8 | 0 | 15 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finisher | 1 | 6 | 26 | 18 | 6 | 5 #38 FBS | 2 |
FinisherTurns pressure into sacks — when he gets there, he finishes. 26 tackles in 6 games. More tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 10 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Pressure-to-sack conversion0.7 90th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View C.J. Hicks's full player page | |||||||
| Pressure Merchant | 4 | 8 | 24 | 13 | 6.5 | 4 | 6 |
Pressure merchantCollapses the pocket even when the sack doesn't come. Starter — 24 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 22 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Hurry rate0.2 76th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Michael Williams II's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 28 | 8 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 19 tackles in 8 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Ryan Jenkins's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 11 | 8 | 16 | 7 | 2.5 | 2 | 2 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate15.6% 52th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Asani Redwood's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 77 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight330 lb 95th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Major Dillard's full player page | |||||||
| 18 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| 56 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 90 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 98 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 25 | 8 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 40 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Zavier Hamilton's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 7 | 6 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman View Sam Robinson's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | — | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 62 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate10.0% 57th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 21th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Grayson Howard's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | 33 | 7 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 62 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate14.6% 81th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 21th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Ashton Mosley's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 6 | 6 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume20 bottom 16th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Rodney Hill's full player page | |||||||||
| 51 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 40 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rover | 5 | 7 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
RoverHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. Starter — 42 tackles in 7 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive backs who play every week. 33 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate9.5% 59th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Ayden Jackson's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 2 | 8 | 39 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — 39 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume39 73th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Tavin Ward's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 8 | 7 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 138 of 244 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Amarion Fortenberry's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 9 | 7 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Israel Boyce's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 15 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 3.5 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt View Tayvion Beasley's full player pageTackle volume21 bottom 21th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 16 | 8 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 138 of 244 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Teddy Foster's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 31 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 138 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.2% bottom 24th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jair Murphy's full player page | |||||||
| 12 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | |
| 23 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 35 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 7 | 8 | 13/16 | 81.2 | 25/25 | 64 | 53 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinner | 39 | 8 | 29 | 1301 | 44.9 | 59 | 14 | 2 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +0.36 EPA/play | — | 6 | 6 | 145 | 24.2 | 0 | 33 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.23 EPA/play | 80 | 8 | 7 | 66 | 9.4 | 0 | 27 |
Biggest plays from South Florida’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in South Florida’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 0:19 · South Florida down 9, takes the leadMichael Van Buren Jr. finds Joshua Porter for a 38-yard touchdownSouth Florida at Army, week 2Q4, 0:19 · South Florida 28, Army 240:19Go-ahead touchdown for South Florida with 0:19 left0:19Go-ahead touchdown for South Florida with 0:19 leftGo-ahead touchdown for South Florida with 0:19 leftJoshua Porter 38 yd pass from Michael Van Buren Jr. (Nico Gramatica Kick)▶Watch from this play
CBS Sports College Football
Q4, 0:15 · UTSA down 1, takes the leadA'Marion Peterson runs 1 yard for a touchdownSouth Florida at UTSA, week 6Q4, 0:15 · UTSA 31, South Florida 240:15Go-ahead touchdown for UTSA with 0:15 left0:15Go-ahead touchdown for UTSA with 0:15 leftGo-ahead touchdown for UTSA with 0:15 leftA'Marion Peterson 1 yd Run (Owen McCown Pass to David Amador II for Two-Point Conversion)▶Watch from this play
Q4, 3:08 · Temple down 3, takes the leadAjani Sheppard runs 34 yards for a touchdownTemple at South Florida, week 5Q4, 3:08 · Temple 17, South Florida 133:08Go-ahead touchdown for Temple with 3:08 left3:08Go-ahead touchdown for Temple with 3:08 leftGo-ahead touchdown for Temple with 3:08 leftA.Sheppard rush middle for 34 yards gain to the USF00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play- Q2, 0:47 · South Florida down 7, ties itJason Collins Jr. runs 6 yards for a touchdownUAB at South Florida, week 9Q2, 0:47 · South Florida 10, UAB 10South Florida tied the game in the second quarterSouth Florida tied the game in the second quarterJ.Collins Jr. rush right for 6 yards gain to the UAB00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q1, 3:13 · UTSA down 7, ties itA'Marion Peterson runs 53 yards for a touchdownSouth Florida at UTSA, week 6Q1, 3:13 · UTSA 7, South Florida 75353-yard touchdown run5353-yard touchdown run53-yard touchdown runA.Peterson rush middle for 53 yards gain to the USF00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q1, 0:11 · South Florida breaks the tieMichael Van Buren Jr. finds Bryson Rodgers for a 42-yard touchdownSouth Florida at UTSA, week 6Q1, 0:11 · South Florida 14, UTSA 7South Florida took the lead in the first quarterSouth Florida took the lead in the first quarterBryson Rodgers 42 yd pass from Michael Van Buren Jr. (Nico Gramatica Kick)▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
South Florida lost at UTSA after being 86% to win; the closest win was at Army, down to 3%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave South Florida during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · South Florida
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · South FloridaAyden Jackson leads South Florida with 42 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+17 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
South Florida fields a limited methodical, ball-control offense behind a strong, bend-don't-break defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
South Florida reads strongest in explosive plays allowed (top 7%) and rushing EPA allowed (top 15%); the crux lives in explosive plays, where South Florida sits at the 1st percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
South Florida is worth +2.6 points more at home than on the road.
Bottom third of FBS, 22nd percentile of 133 programs
43% at home, 29% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (18-24 home, 14-34 away). Interval ±4.7.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, South Florida has beaten the number by −1.3 more at home than away over 98 games. That is inside the ±6.7 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Raymond James Stadium seats 65,828 and has averaged 52% full (34,065, 25 games reported). Visitors face the 17th-longest trip of 135 FBS venues: a median 661 miles since 2018. The map isn't translating, though — the split above still reads bottom third of fbs. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 26% of the 2026 roster (28 of 108 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 51 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Deep threatKeshaun Singleton is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks, and he catches those deep shots at a plus rate.
- CloserSam Franklin gets less work in the fourth quarter with a lead than his overall workload would predict: not the trusted closer raw carries might suggest, and what late usage he does get skews toward mop-up duty in blowouts.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
D.J. Crowther and Jason Collins Jr. split the carries (118/170 vs 52/170) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Jason Collins Jr. produces in bigger chunks.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Bryson Rodgers (WR) and Wyatt Sullivan (TE) split the targets (46/61 vs 15/61) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How South Florida actually scores
42nd percentile quality, 56th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
South Florida’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 71st percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 77th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does South Florida hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
84th percentile success on standard downs, 57th on passing downs — a 27-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
South Florida by half
1st-half offense ranks 26th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 67th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of South Florida’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.11; 26th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.01. The widest gap came in week 4: 0.32 raw vs. 0.08 adjusted.
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), South Florida’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (68.9% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 169-play sample) — mid-pack, 100 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), South Florida’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (66.4% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 167-play sample) — mid-pack, 70 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
Recovering 20% of their own fumbles — running cold vs. the ~52% league rate.
1 of 5 own fumbles recovered themselves; 7 of 9 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Getting hands on the ball but not cashing in: 9% of disruptions converted, vs. the ~18% league rate.
2 interceptions of 22 disrupted passes (20 deflected, 2 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
Winning the penalty battle: 39 penalties committed vs. 46 drawn on opponents, a 78-yard edge.
296 penalty yards committed vs. 374 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · South Florida
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Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.