cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Michael Richard Jr. /Louisiana Tech

Michael Richard Jr.

DB · Louisiana Tech · Jr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

38 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Louisiana Tech for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Louisiana Tech for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · Louisiana Tech

Returning around him

  • 54% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (11 in / 24 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Louisiana Tech · Last season: 8-5 · Talent rank #116 · 2026 recruiting class #111

DB · LOUISIANA TECH · CONFERENCE USA

Michael Richard Jr.

  • 3
  • #1
  • 5-11 | 178 lb
  • New Orleans, LA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

62

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 90th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12675

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Louisiana Tech
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class3
Jersey1
Measurements5-11 | 178 lb
HometownNew Orleans, LA
Primary teamLouisiana Tech

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12675Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12700Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Michael Richard Jr.

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Michael Richard Jr.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
38Tackles
5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
45Tackles
5.9Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 38): needs 21/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 38): needs 31/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Michael Richard Jr. is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Louisiana Tech's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 5.0 tackles for loss, and 3 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12675 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 5.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 38 28 solo | #976/4942 (80th pct)
TFL 5.0 Backfield disruption | #553/4972 (89th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
38 80th
SOLO
28 87th
TFL
5.0 89th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th
INT
3 94th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 24-0vs SE Louisiana320.00.00
Wk 2L 7-23@ LSU640.50.010Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 3W 49-14vs New Mexico State320.00.00
Wk 4W 30-20vs Southern Miss520.00.00
Wk 5W 30-11@ UTEP440.00.011
Wk 7L 7-35@ Kennesaw State552.00.00
Wk 9L 27-28vs Western Kentucky211.50.01
Wk 11L 24-25@ Delaware220.00.00
Wk 12L 3-28@ Washington State210.00.00
Wk 13W 34-28vs Liberty540.00.011
Wk 14W 42-30@ Missouri State111.00.00
Total38285.00.033
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Louisiana Tech3-9HC: Sonny Cumbie · Balanced
2025Louisiana Tech8-5HC: Sonny Cumbie · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Louisiana Tech38285.00.033--
2023Louisiana Tech32141.50.07----
Career2 loaded seasons70426.50.0103--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 3 0 pick-six TD | #56/869 (94th pct)
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 38 #976/4942 80th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 5.0 #553/4972 89th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 3 #56/869 94th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 28 #608/4584 87th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g3.60.30.00.4
Road6g3.30.60.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g3.50.20.00.3
Losses5g3.40.80.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.30.40.00.2
Weeks 8+5g2.40.50.00.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

62Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (89th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Interceptions#56 / 817 · 90th pct
3inte
Tackles for loss#553 / 2975 · 80th pct
5.0defe
Solo tackles#608 / 2975 · 79th pct
28defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Tackles#976 / 2975 · 67th pct
38defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Michael Richard Jr.Louisiana TechTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 81% simTy BenefieldBoise State· 79% simAhmaad MosesSMU· 79% sim
Interceptions
90
Jr.
75
Benefield
98
Moses
Tackles for loss
80
Jr.
56
Ra-El
94
Benefield
83
Moses
Solo tackles
79
Jr.
100
Ra-El
100
Benefield
98
Moses
Passes defended
78
Jr.
91
Ra-El
78
Benefield
78
Moses
Tackles
67
Jr.
99
Ra-El
99
Benefield
99
Moses
Sacks
24
Jr.
24
Ra-El
24
Benefield
63
Moses
QB hurries
22
Jr.
22
Ra-El
55
Benefield
22
Moses

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Centerfielder

Single-high range who erases the deep middle of the field.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Noah Pierre’s 2022 season.

Noah Pierre

92%match

Indiana · 2022

#2

Cedric Stone

Liberty · 2021

87%
#3

Jaydin Young

Arizona · 2021

85%
#4

Jayden Williams

Florida Atlantic · 2022

83%
#5

Rolliann Sturkey

Central Michigan · 2021

82%

Matches Noah on

Weight
Tackle volume
Height

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Devin Lemear's junior season at Baylor (2023).

Devin Lemear

92%match

Baylor · 2023

#2

Jayden Sweeney

Florida Atlantic · 2025

87%
#3

Zion Tracy

Penn State · 2025

86%
#4

Taylon Doss

Arkansas State · 2022

85%
#5

Dylan Hasz

App State · 2025

84%

Matches Devin on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sonny Cumbie

Pass share

37.1%

311 pass / 527 run

Plays / game

64.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.4%

234 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Sonny Cumbie
Louisiana Tech
2025
Sonny Cumbie
Louisiana Tech

Played his entire career under Sonny Cumbie.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownNew Orleans, LA
Height5'11"
Weight178 lb
Class3
PositionDB
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Louisiana Tech DB3 #12675 #12700 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Louisiana Tech DB3 #12866 #13468 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Louisiana Tech Conference USA DB 3 No. 1 | 5-11 | 178 lb | New Orleans, LA
2024 Louisiana Tech Conference USA DB 3 No. 1 | 5-11 | 178 lb | New Orleans, LA
2023 Louisiana Tech Conference USA DB 3 No. 1 | 5-11 | 178 lb | New Orleans, LA