5identity shift
Colorado State's fanbase identity shift signals new era.
Colorado State's 2-10 record contrasts with its historical identity as a program defined by the Sonny Lubick 1990s dynasty and the promise of Jay Norvell's era.
Colorado State2-10Cautious optimism is building around Colorado State.
belief cooled ↓ 4.1vs prior week
Fanbase belief
Leaning up
59/100 · 57 mentions · top 17% of FBS
~ our readGrounding
backed by facts
9% cite a stat · 7% typical ✓ counted
~ our readVolatility
Chaotic
σ 31 pts
~ our readThe model
#128
CFB Zeitgeist · -7.1
✓ measured5Hope-Doping·Offseason
Colorado State is the Fort Collins program that finally got a real stage — a Pac-12 invite — at the exact moment it had to fire its coach and start over to prove it deserves the seat.
Title DroughtSince 2002 · 23 yrs
Rams fans have spent a generation watching Colorado get the cameras, the recruits, and the benefit of the doubt while Fort Collins gets called the other Colorado school. The Pac-12 move is the chance…
offseason · quiet
Roster Reload - Colorado State
2026 snapshot - 2026-08-06Returning Production50%Moderate continuity
Talent Composite#92 nationally247 composite 583.7
Portal Additions31Primary repair: TE
Portal Losses38Primary pressure: WR
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#73Depth class
WRin 3 - Jordan Mosleyout 7 - Armani WinfieldStarter Risk
current room: 187 lbs avg (2025 roster)
OTin 5 - Quinton Harrisout 3 - Christian MartinNeed Filled
TEin 5 - Juice Vereenout 2 - Jaxxon WarrenNeed Filled
current room: 241 lbs avg (2025 roster)
RBin 3 - Mel Brownout 4 - Lloyd AvantEven
current room: 197 lbs avg (2025 roster)
DLin 2 - Stephon Wrightout 4 - Caden BranstonStarter Risk
current room: 274 lbs avg (2025 roster)
CBin 2 - Caleb Presleyout 4 - Chance HarrisonStarter Risk
current room: 185 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Belief EKG
WinLoss · hover for score
Approaching
30 days
until kickoff · vs Wyoming · Sat Sep 5 · 22:00 UTC
The experience
Colorado State is the Mountain West program whose Sonny Lubick 1990s dynasty + Canvas Stadium 2017 opening + Jay Norvell era under construction define what Fort-Collins-G5-football looks like.
Offense: SoftRun/Pass: Pass-first, spreadDefense: Poor
Colorado State faces roster challenges but aims for bowl eligibility in 2026
With a #73 recruiting rank and significant transfer losses, Colorado State must rely on moderate continuity and depth class recruitment to achieve its 7-6 base scenario. The team's net portal exporter status highlights a challenging roster rebuild.
- Roster reloadColorado State has a #73 recruiting rank and a recruiting score of 188.82, indicating a depth class recruitment strategy.
Data as of 2026-08-01
·
Validated against program evidence
Cam the Ram is patient.
Colorado State · the story right now
11 storylines developing
What Colorado State's coordinator hires is really about
the open questiondo the new coordinators fit the roster?
coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew
Jay Norvell enters his fourth season at Colorado State with a 2-10 losing record to address, as the program's identity hinges on rebuilding confidence and reshaping units under new coordinators.
what happenedColorado State: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew
Jay Norvell enters his fourth season with a 2-10 losing record to address, as Colorado State's rebuilding effort hinges on coordinator-driven unit reshaping and renewed fan confidence.
what happenedColorado State: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
coachingthis cycle~readnew
Jim Mora, who previously coached at UConn, begins his first season at Colorado State with 50% production returning and a program that hasn't reached a milestone since the Jay Norvell era.
what happenedJim Mora took over as Colorado State's head coach, replacing Jay Norvell. ✓ fact
the contextreplaces 4-year head coach Jay Norvell (18-30)
narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle✓ factnew
Tommy Maher sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach, and his efficiency in competitive snaps sits below the position baseline -- the numbers lean on the opponent giving up.
narrative tension · our read
identitythis cycle~readnew
Colorado State's 2-10 record contrasts with its historical identity as a program defined by the Sonny Lubick 1990s dynasty and the promise of Jay Norvell's era.
what happenedColorado State: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
portal2026-01-22~readnew
Norvell's top-2 Pac-12 portal class targets CB and DL after losing Winfield and Harrison — a rebuild with 50% returning production.
what happenedColorado State signed a top-40 transfer-portal class — 31 additions headlined by Hauss Hejny (QB) from Oklahoma State and Caleb Presley (CB) from San José State. ✓ fact
the contextthe No. 1 portal class in the Pac-12 this cycle
narrative tension · our read
market_swing2026-06-25~readnew
Jay Norvell enters his 4th season at Colorado State with a 2-10 losing record and a #92 talent rank, raising questions about whether the program can elevate beyond its lower-tier FBS status.
what happenedColorado State win total fell from 4 to 3.5 (-0.5 wins) between Jun 24 and Jun 25, 2026 (tier C). ✓ fact
the contextwin total down 0.5 — solo market signal, no peers moved the same direction
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew
Lavon Brown is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew
Tay Lanier is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew
Tommy Maher is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
narrative tension · our read
program_outlookthis cycle~readnew
Colorado State collapsed 31 spots in SP+ — the steepest drop in the Pac-12 this cycle, and Jay Norvell's fourth season opens with a 2-10 record to explain it.
what happenedColorado State enters 2025 rated No. 124 in SP+ (-15.6), down 31 spots from 2024. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
How past storylines here turned out
ReplacedColorado State's defensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →
The story
The Offseason Ledger · Colorado State
1 verified update · portal · recruiting · staff · news- News
Win total: 4 → 3.5 (▼0.5)
Top-33 portal class didn't move the needle — books shaved another half-win off Norvell's total because a #106 recruiting class and a WR room still under pressure means that portal haul has to work perfectly just to stay at four.
Transfer portal snapshot
-1.8 net portal points
(raw ledger: -21.3 — unweighted, no position adjustment)WR-16.7
starter risk
TE+10.5
need not filled
EDGE+10.1
need not filled
IOL-7.0
starter risk
ATH-7.0
starter risk
OT+6.5
need not filled
K-5.5
starter risk
DL-3.6
starter risk
RB-3.6
QB-3.4
CB-1.9
starter risk
S+1.1
LB-0.9
P+0.0
Top 3 commits
2026 class
★★★☆☆
Jermaine Santana-Diaz
#966 national
Projects: Hybrid Nickel — 11 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Hybrid Nickel archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Justin Lewis
#1211 national
★★★☆☆
Troy Foster
#1211 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 14 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
→
Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now
83rd percentile among FBS programs
Fan vs. market↑
83rd
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
(FBS mood rank)
3.5
Vegas O/U wins
(1st among FBS)
(1st among FBS)
Fans 82pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 3 books
Market outlook
Season expectations
Win total3 booksO/U 3.5▼0.5 since Jun 2026
CFP championship#121 in field+100000
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06
Colorado State · Next-Season Outcome Band
Colorado State · Next-Season Outcome BandFloor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 4-8
Base 7-6
Ceiling 9-4
floor4-8No postseason.
base7-6Bowl game.
ceiling9-4Bowl game.
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
How the room reacted
Following now · Colorado State · Developing Confidence
Colorado State: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
Colorado State: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
bullish — but with real dissent
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics2 doubt takes
Believers6 bull takes
💬 fans: 15% volume · mostly neutral
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Jay Norvell enters his fourth season at Colorado State with a 2-10 losing record to address, as the program's identity hinges on rebuilding confidence and reshaping units under new coordinators.
Source of record: Colorado State: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
📣Believers6 bullish items -- the case it's working.›
The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.
“A First-Year Student’s Guide to Following Colorado State Football in 2026”
The Rocky Mountain Collegian · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“Colorado State announces long-term partnership with Adidas following Under Armour exit”
The Rocky Mountain Collegian · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“Will BYU be best team to ever play at Colorado State’s Canvas Stadium?”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“10 questions facing Colorado State football before first Pac-12 ” — the real counter.›
The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.
“10 questions facing Colorado State football before first Pac-12 season”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-08-03 · read ↗
💬The boards8 board mentions — too thin to call a stance. Board mood this week: mostly neutral · anger notable (33%).›
Only 8 of 53 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.
"I spent the offseason building a full 2026 preseason preview for every FBS team, each with its own writeup. Here's the Colorado State page ["
r/CSURams ~ fan take
"Texas State officially joins the Pac-12 on July 1, marking one of the most significant moments in school history. Ahead of the conference’s official launch, RamNation Radio s"
RamNation ~ fan take
Board health this week (57 posts): 16% positive · 61% neutral · 23% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Following now · Colorado State · Developing Confidence
Colorado State: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
Colorado State: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
bullish — but with real dissent
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics2 doubt takes
Believers6 bull takes
💬 fans: 15% volume · mostly neutral
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Jay Norvell enters his fourth season with a 2-10 losing record to address, as Colorado State's rebuilding effort hinges on coordinator-driven unit reshaping and renewed fan confidence.
Source of record: Colorado State: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
📣Believers6 bullish items -- the case it's working.›
The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.
“A First-Year Student’s Guide to Following Colorado State Football in 2026”
The Rocky Mountain Collegian · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“Colorado State announces long-term partnership with Adidas following Under Armour exit”
The Rocky Mountain Collegian · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“Will BYU be best team to ever play at Colorado State’s Canvas Stadium?”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“10 questions facing Colorado State football before first Pac-12 ” — the real counter.›
The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.
“10 questions facing Colorado State football before first Pac-12 season”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-08-03 · read ↗
💬The boards8 board mentions — too thin to call a stance. Board mood this week: mostly neutral · anger notable (33%).›
Only 8 of 53 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.
"I spent the offseason building a full 2026 preseason preview for every FBS team, each with its own writeup. Here's the Colorado State page ["
r/CSURams ~ fan take
"Texas State officially joins the Pac-12 on July 1, marking one of the most significant moments in school history. Ahead of the conference’s official launch, RamNation Radio s"
RamNation ~ fan take
Board health this week (57 posts): 16% positive · 61% neutral · 23% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Hibernating
Zero of five. Reset territory.
Streak L6Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 1-9
The forecast
Opens Sep 5
vs Wyoming · at home
Season line3.5 winsover -150
SoftPass-first, spreadPoor
✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style
Rival pulse
Wyoming
Bullish+24
Border War (Bronze Boot)
Colorado
Mixed+3
Rocky Mountain Showdown
Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
29
CA · 7TX · 5FL · 3GA · 2HI · 2ID · 2AZ · 1CO · 1+6 more
CA leads the 2026 class with 7 commits. National footprint reaching 14 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
97 signees across 27 states, 2023-2026. CA leads the pull.
r/cfb this year
[Postgame Thread] Colorado State Defeats Northern Colorado 21-17
[Game Thread] Northern Colorado @ Colorado State (7:00 PM ET)
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
National spotlight
9 games with TV coverage: 8 cable, 1 conference network
Kickoff windows: 1 afternoon, 8 primetime
Fumble luck
Recovering 67% of the fumbles they've forced — running hot vs. the ~49% league rate.
8 of 12 forced fumbles recovered; 7 of 15 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2025 only.
Takeaway conversion
Converting 16% of pass disruptions into takeaways — right in line with the ~19% league rate.
8 interceptions of 51 disrupted passes (43 deflected, 8 intercepted), 2025 only.
Penalty battle
Winning the penalty battle: 70 penalties committed vs. 80 drawn on opponents, a 37-yard edge.
675 penalty yards committed vs. 712 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.
The Pulse on Colorado State
59
Δ -4.1 vs last wk
57
mentions this week · conversation velocity
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"CSU"
— Colorado State fanbase · recurring line
Fanbase Signals
Cohort Divergence1 pctSpread between sub-fanbase cohorts in the Pulse window.
The Fever Year
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
MMountain West Connection
CCampus paper
RRamNation
BBluesky
YYouTube
What little we hear
Only 3 cohort(s) cleared the signal floor this week, so we won’t stage a split we can’t back. Here’s the honest read:
Millennials+0.09
Analytics crowd+0.08
National take+0.07
How Colorado State fans actually talk real · top-upvoted
Rr/CFBthe room
I had to double take, because i thought I had exited out of this thread and accidently went to one of the history subreddits I follow. Well done. I figured you'd blame Cromwell, but this works better.
▲ 354 ▼open ↗
The crowd’s loudest take by upvotes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.
What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model
Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.
106 mentions · 7 sources · week 2026-01. Counts, sources and the divergence rank are measured (fact). Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model read (our read) — never a quote attributed to a person.
Belief checkevidence-driven
~ our readColorado State fans are leaning negative, and they're pointing to real stats and results to back it up — more than most fanbases right now.
backed by facts
the mood
✓ counted We read 57 posts from Colorado State fans this week.
Season storylines
Week 4
“I’m fucking done with this team. Seriously. This offense can’t do fucking shit. FIRE JAY NORVELL”— r/CFB
Week 5
“Hey man, I had a great game. Went to sunny San Diego, explored their cool stadium. Tried some new beers brewed in a new town. And all I had to do was not watch the game.”— r/CFB
Week 1
“Well I am thinking CSU probably won't win the natty this year but I do think they'll bode well in the powerhouse mountain west so that's good 🙃”— r/CFB
Week 7
“I think this makes like 4 times theyve set the Canvas attendance record in the past 2 seasons. Given that stat youd be forgiven for thinking CSU was half decent.”— r/CFB
Week 2
“Rams football is back, and so is your student ticket Colorado State University”— google_news_colorado-state
Forum Pulse
via RamNation
Five Lenses
What people are saying right now
Radio, beat writers & editorial14 posts
News & campus coverage10 posts
Fanbase Health Index · Colorado State · high confidence
Fanbase Health Index · Colorado State · high confidenceStable (48)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 2-10 (17% win rate)30
Volume — 279 effective signal-N79
Cohort Engagement — Divergence 0.01 — quiet35
Fanbase Voice
405 fan mentions
Doomers
vs the 81 highest-volume fanbases - 2025 season
Key stats — 2025 — FBS rank
Points/game#122 / 138 · 12th pct18.5
Pts allowed/game#109 / 138 · 22nd pct30.8
Total yards/gm#120 / 136 · 12th pct324.2
Rush yards/gm#125 / 136 · 9th pct108.2
Pass yards/gm#92 / 136 · 33rd pct215.9
Yards allowed/gm#99 / 136 · 28th pct426.1
Rush yds allowed/gm#123 / 136 · 10th pct205.0
Sacks#118 / 136 · 14th pct16
Interceptions#84 / 136 · 39th pct8
3rd-down conv#122 / 136 · 11th pct32.9%
All 98 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team3890324.2/gm5.14/play#120 / 136 · 12th pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp5113426.1/gm6.27/play#99 / 136 · 28th pct#56 / 70 · 21st pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Rush yards
Team1299108.2/gm1.72/play#125 / 136 · 9th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp2460205.0/gm3.02/play#123 / 136 · 10th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Rush carries
Team36330.2/gm#128 / 136 · 7th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp49040.8/gm#108 / 136 · 21st pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Rush TDs
Team131.1/gm#106 / 136 · 23rd pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp302.5/gm#126 / 136 · 8th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Net pass yards
Team2591215.9/gm3.42/play#92 / 136 · 33rd pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp2653221.1/gm3.26/play#47 / 136 · 66th pct#26 / 70 · 64th pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Pass attempts
Team39432.8/gm#73 / 136 · 47th pct#37 / 70 · 49th pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp32527.1/gm#11 / 136 · 93rd pct#5 / 70 · 94th pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Completions
Team24320.2/gm#68 / 136 · 51st pct#38 / 70 · 47th pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp20517.1/gm#19 / 136 · 87th pct#7 / 70 · 91st pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Pass TDs
Team151.2/gm#97 / 136 · 29th pct#55 / 70 · 23rd pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp181.5/gm#63 / 136 · 54th pct#39 / 70 · 46th pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Passer rating
Team125.4125.4#91 / 136 · 34th pct#54 / 70 · 24th pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp142.5142.5#108 / 136 · 21st pct#57 / 70 · 20th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Interceptions thrown
Team121.0/gm#29 / 136 · 79th pct#11 / 70 · 86th pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp80.7/gm#44 / 136 · 68th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Sacks (def)
Team161.3/gm#118 / 136 · 14th pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Opp322.7/gm#112 / 136 · 18th pct#56 / 70 · 21st pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#8 / 10 · 30th pct
Tackles for loss
Team463.8/gm#130 / 136 · 5th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#9 / 10 · 20th pct
Opp746.2/gm#102 / 136 · 26th pct#57 / 70 · 20th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#8 / 10 · 30th pct
First downs
Team22018.3/gm#113 / 136 · 18th pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp25621.3/gm#83 / 136 · 40th pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
3rd-down conv
Team524.3/gm#128 / 136 · 7th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp736.1/gm#94 / 136 · 32nd pct#55 / 70 · 23rd pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
3rd-down att
Team15813.2/gm#115 / 136 · 16th pct#54 / 70 · 24th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp15713.1/gm#20 / 136 · 86th pct#11 / 70 · 86th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
4th-down conv
Team141.2/gm#60 / 136 · 57th pct#35 / 70 · 51st pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp131.1/gm#58 / 136 · 58th pct#28 / 70 · 61st pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
4th-down att
Team302.5/gm#43 / 136 · 69th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp191.6/gm#18 / 136 · 88th pct#12 / 70 · 84th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Time of possession
Team322:0426:50/gm#133 / 136 · 3rd pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp397:5633:10/gm#102 / 136 · 26th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Kicking & Punting
Field goals#132 / 135 · 3rd pct5/10 (50.0%)
Extra points25/25
Punting#4 / 136 · 98th pct47.6 avg · 59 punts
Turnovers & special teams
Turnovers
Team201.7/gm#28 / 136 · 80th pct#10 / 70 · 87th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp161.3/gm#65 / 136 · 53rd pct#35 / 70 · 51st pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Fumbles lost
Team80.7/gm#25 / 136 · 82nd pct#9 / 70 · 89th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp80.7/gm#90 / 136 · 35th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
INT return TDs
Team00.0/gm#76 / 135 · 44th pct#39 / 70 · 46th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 136 · 100th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
INT return yards
Team695.8/gm#97 / 136 · 29th pct#47 / 70 · 34th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp12710.6/gm#82 / 136 · 40th pct#43 / 70 · 40th pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Punt ret yds
Team21217.7/gm#35 / 136 · 75th pct#24 / 70 · 67th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp1109.2/gm#71 / 136 · 49th pct#41 / 70 · 43rd pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Punt ret TDs
Team10.1/gm#14 / 135 · 90th pct#11 / 70 · 86th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 135 · 100th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Kick ret yds
Team31926.6/gm#96 / 136 · 30th pct#45 / 70 · 37th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp27222.7/gm#28 / 136 · 80th pct#20 / 70 · 73rd pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Kick ret TDs
Team00.0/gm#40 / 136 · 71st pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 135 · 100th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Penalty yards
Team67556.2/gm#68 / 136 · 51st pct#33 / 70 · 54th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp71259.3/gm#90 / 136 · 35th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Other
Fourth down go rate#13 / 138 · 91st pct#5 / 70 · 94th pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct0.50.0/gm
Kick ret (opp)#19 / 136 · 87th pct#12 / 70 · 84th pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct121.0/gm
Fumbles recovered#33 / 136 · 76th pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct80.7/gm
First down pass rate#61 / 215 · 72nd pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct0.50.0/gm
Punt returns#75 / 136 · 46th pct#45 / 70 · 37th pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct151.2/gm
Red zone pass rate#76 / 154 · 51st pct#36 / 70 · 50th pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct0.40.0/gm
Penalties (opp)#84 / 136 · 39th pct#50 / 70 · 30th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct806.7/gm
H2 epa per play#84 / 142 · 42nd pct#44 / 70 · 39th pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct0.20.0/gm
Interceptions (def)#84 / 136 · 39th pct#44 / 70 · 39th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct80.7/gm
Fumbles rec (def)#86 / 136 · 38th pct#50 / 70 · 30th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct80.7/gm
Kick returns#88 / 136 · 36th pct#40 / 70 · 44th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct171.4/gm
Penalties#92 / 136 · 33rd pct#42 / 70 · 41st pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct705.8/gm
Passes intercepted opponent#97 / 136 · 29th pct#55 / 70 · 23rd pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct121.0/gm
Punt ret (opp)#100 / 136 · 27th pct#59 / 70 · 17th pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct191.6/gm
Recruiting rating#106 / 138 · 24th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct140.211.7/gm
H2 epa per play opponent#108 / 143 · 25th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct0.20.0/gm
H1 epa per play#130 / 162 · 20th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct0.10.0/gm
H1 epa per play opponent#139 / 167 · 17th pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct0.30.0/gm
Situational
3rd-down conversion
Off32.9%#122 / 136 · 11th pct#66 / 70 · 7th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Def46.5%#131 / 136 · 4th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
4th-down conversion
Off46.7%#105 / 136 · 24th pct#59 / 70 · 17th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Def68.4%#125 / 136 · 9th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Turnover margin#98 / 136 · 29th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct-0.33/gm
Sack rate (def)#111 / 136 · 19th pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#9 / 10 · 20th pct4.9%
Red Zone & Drive Efficiency (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Red zone trips
Team312.6/gm#123 / 167 · 27th pct#66 / 70 · 7th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp453.8/gm#120 / 166 · 28th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Red zone score %
Team83.9%83.9%#48 / 167 · 72nd pct#28 / 70 · 61st pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp82.2%82.2%#110 / 166 · 34th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Points / drive
Team1.60.1/gm#116 / 167 · 31st pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp2.40.2/gm#124 / 166 · 26th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Yards / drive
Team36.13.0/gm#122 / 167 · 28th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp42.83.6/gm#112 / 166 · 33rd pct#55 / 70 · 23rd pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Plays / drive
Team6.60.6/gm#75 / 167 · 56th pct#39 / 70 · 46th pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Opp6.60.6/gm#100 / 166 · 40th pct#44 / 70 · 39th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Three-and-out rate
Team19.5%19.5%#139 / 167 · 17th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp9.9%9.9%#128 / 166 · 23rd pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Scheme Identity (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Rush rate over expected#100 / 145 · 32nd pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct-3.3%-3.3%
Havoc rate
Team13.5%13.5%#114 / 140 · 19th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct
Opp18.6%18.6%#126 / 140 · 11th pct#66 / 70 · 7th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct
Standard-downs success
Team45.5%45.5%#106 / 154 · 32nd pct#57 / 70 · 20th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct
Opp49.5%49.5%#97 / 172 · 44th pct#46 / 70 · 36th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct
Passing-downs success
Team29.0%29.0%#98 / 153 · 37th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct
Opp35.9%35.9%#133 / 149 · 11th pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct
Line yards / carry
Team2.92.9#68 / 143 · 53rd pct#39 / 70 · 46th pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct
Opp3.33.3#130 / 155 · 17th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct
Stuff rate
Team19.7%19.7%#93 / 143 · 36th pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct
Opp14.8%14.8%#128 / 155 · 18th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct
Power success rate
Team53.3%53.3%#132 / 137 · 4th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct
Opp72.7%72.7%#89 / 141 · 38th pct#45 / 70 · 37th pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct
Efficiency
Completion %
Off61.7%#72 / 136 · 48th pct#46 / 70 · 36th pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Def63.1%#83 / 136 · 40th pct#44 / 70 · 39th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Yards / attempt
Off6.6#99 / 136 · 28th pct#56 / 70 · 21st pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Def8.2#120 / 136 · 12th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Yards / completion
Off10.7#109 / 136 · 21st pct#59 / 70 · 17th pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Def12.9#123 / 136 · 10th pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Yards / carry#119 / 136 · 13th pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct3.6
Yards / play#111 / 136 · 19th pct#61 / 70 · 14th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct5.14
Scoring margin#124 / 136 · 10th pct#66 / 70 · 7th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#9 / 11 · 27th pct-12.3/gm
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats — 2025 season
Quarterbacks
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.18 EPA/play | 8 | 9 | 128 / 201 | 63.7 | 1354 | 6.7 | 9 | 3 | 132.1 | 45.1 | 5.9 | 9.0 | |
Yards by week → Pocket PasserBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 97 of 183 classified this way. Played in 9 of 21 games this season · sophomore · 3-star, 2023 class View Jackson Brousseau's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Pocket Passer · +0.08 EPA/play | 3 | 5 | 70 / 107 | 65.4 | 740 | 6.9 | 5 | 7 | 125.9 | 42.2 | 4.3 | 4.5 | |
Yards by week → Pocket PasserBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. 97 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / attempt7.5 bottom 44th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts INT rate6.5% bottom 1th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Darius Curry's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Pocket Passer · +0.26 EPA/play | 16 | 3 | 44 / 82 | 53.7 | 488 | 6.0 | 1 | 2 | 102.8 | 36.5 | 4.6 | 4.7 | |
Yards by week → Pocket PasserBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. 97 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / attempt6.1 bottom 14th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Completion %54.1% bottom 8th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi's full player page | |||||||||||||
Running Backs
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Stuff% | 10+% | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.08 EPA/play | 2 | 9 | 102 | 508 | 5.0 | 2 | 31 | 13.1 | 12.7 | 16.7 | 14.7 | 5.0% (18/360) | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 186 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry5.1 bottom 46th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate2.0% bottom 20th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jalen Dupree's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Satellite Back · +0.14 EPA/play | 25 | 12 | 90 | 417 | 4.6 | 5 | 23 | 14.4 | 13.5 | 20.9 | 14.0 | 8.1% (29/360) | |
Yards by week → Satellite BackDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 50 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Receiving share21.1% 93th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception10.9 83th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score moved from the 3rd to 66th percentile among FBS RBs | |||||||||||||
| Balanced Back · -0.05 EPA/play | 29 | 10 | 49 | 260 | 5.3 | 1 | 73 | 5.6 | 5.7 | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 186 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry5.3 53th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate2.0% bottom 20th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Justin Marshall's full player page | |||||||||||||
Receivers
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Complete TE · +0.72 EPA/play | 81 | 9 | 31 | 388 | 12.5 | 7 #38 FBS | 48 | 8.3 | 8.6 | 11.4% (41/360) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 177 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception11.8 58th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions TD rate22.6% 96th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.26 EPA/play | 10 | 12 | 32 | 358 | 11.2 | 0 | 35 | 11 | 10.4 | 15.0% (54/360) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception10.9 bottom 26th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 8th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Tommy Maher's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.39 EPA/play | 6 | 12 | 35 | 315 | 9 | 2 | 39 | 5.5 | 7.2 | 11.9% (43/360) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception8.1 bottom 8th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate5.7% bottom 32th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Tay Lanier's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.36 EPA/play | 1 | 9 | 22 | 276 | 12.5 | 2 | 49 | 7.2 | 9.1 | 10.6% (38/360) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. The most common profile in its group this season — 332 of 558 classified this way. Played in 9 of 21 games this season · junior View Armani Winfield's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.56 EPA/play | 82 | 11 | 22 | 244 | 11.1 | 0 | 31 | 5 | 5.2 | 8.9% (32/360) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception9.9 bottom 19th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 8th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Lavon Brown's full player page | |||||||||||
| +0.23 EPA/play | 19 | 2 | 7 | 95 | 13.6 | 1 | 27 | 13 | 16.3 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| -0.19 EPA/play | — | 6 | 11 | 84 | 7.6 | 0 | 14 | 9.2 | 7.2 | 6.9% (25/360) | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| +0.10 EPA/play | 11 | 6 | 8 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 6.7 | 4.8 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
Defensive Line
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 55 | 11 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · sophomore · 3-star, 2023 class our readAscending: his CFB Index score now sits at the 29th percentile among FBS IDLs, up from the 5th | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 49 | 12 | 28 | 8 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight305 lb 78th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score went from the 14th percentile among FBS IDLs to the 45th | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 77 | 10 | 25 | 3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate2.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jack Moran's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 91 | 9 | 24 | 4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate2.1% bottom 10th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readFading: his CFB Index score now sits at the 24th percentile among FBS IDLs, up from the 63rd | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 39 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate16.7% 58th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View DeAndre Gill Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 94 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight330 lb 95th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Alton Tarber's full player page | |||||||
| 90 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 92 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Linebackers
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 40 | 12 | 148 | 58 | 90 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume148 100th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate3.4% bottom 20th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score went from the 28th percentile among FBS LBs to the 90th | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 45 | 10 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume47 bottom 45th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 18th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Robert Edmonson's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 44 | 10 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Coverage 'BackerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 99 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate4.9% 79th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate0.0% bottom 23th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jacob Ellis's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 11 | 10 | 35 | 11 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume35 bottom 29th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 18th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jeremy Naborne's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 23 | 6 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 2.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 6 of 21 games this season · senior View Jaseim Mitchell's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | 56 | 11 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 97 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate5.4% bottom 29th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 18th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kenyon Agurs's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | 9 | 5 | 21 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 97 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume21 bottom 15th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jaques Evans's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | 52 | 10 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 97 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate15.8% 82th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate10.5% 94th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Paul Tangelo's full player page | |||||||||
| 47 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
Defensive Backs
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 32 | 12 | 72 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume72 92th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jake Jarmolowich's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 12 | 9 | 58 | 0 | 4 #23 FBS | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid Nickel· Takeaway threatMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate0.0% bottom 14th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||
| Rover | 7 | 11 | 56 | 13 #2 FBS | 1 | 4.5 | 3.5 |
RoverHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 83 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate23.2% 98th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 4 | 12 | 31 | 8 #45 FBS | 1 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate25.8% 99th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jahari Rogers's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 17 | 12 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate13.0% 75th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View C.J. Blocker's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 15 | 6 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate5.0% bottom 34th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Ayden Hector's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 18 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate10.5% 63th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View AJ Noland's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 27 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate5.9% bottom 39th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Dylan Phelps's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 32 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.7% bottom 43th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View D'Angelo Hagans Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| 29 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 | |
| — | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 16 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Kicking
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 98 | 11 | 5/10 | 50 | 25/25 | 40 | 50 |
Kick Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satellite Back · +0.14 EPA/play | 25 | 12 | 11 | 268 | 24.4 | 0 | 50 |
Punt Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.06 EPA/play | 24 | 10 | 6 | 138 | 23 | 1 | 91 |
| Possession Receiver · +0.26 EPA/play | 10 | 12 | 7 | 59 | 8.4 | 0 | 29 |
2025 stat leaders
final
2025 stat leaders
1.
Owen Long
LB
148 tot (def)
2.
Jake Jarmolowich
DB
72.0 tot (def)
3.
Jace Bellah
DB
58.0 tot (def)
4.
Lemondre Joe
DB
56.0 tot (def)
5.
Robert Edmonson
LB
47.0 tot (def)
Roster
2025
24
players carry a qualified CFB Index Score this season.
Lemondre Joe
CB
#8 of 364
Jace Bellah
S
#46 of 544
Owen Long
LB
#66 of 583
Rocky Beers
TE
#29 of 156
Jahari Rogers
CB
#86 of 364
Jake Jarmolowich
S
#185 of 544
+18 more
Colorado State · 2025 schedule & results2-10Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 57% · 2 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | #115 | #48 | +22.5 | @Washington | L 21–38 135 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #95 | #255 | -34.5 | Northern Colorado | W 21–17 134 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 21 | #120 | #19 | +5.5 | UTSA | L 16–17 135 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #103 | #189 | -6.5 | Washington State | L 3–20 126 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #126 | #71 | +4.5 | @San Diego State | L 24–45 130 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #131 | #86 | +5.5 | Fresno State | W 49–21 133 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #102 | #98 | -2.5 | Hawai'i | L 19–31 129 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #121 | #99 | +6 | @Wyoming | L 0–28 120 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| 11 | Nov 9 | #143 | #119 | +4.5 | UNLV | L 10–42 128 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #186 | #91 | +15.5 | @New Mexico | L 17–20 135 | 2-8 | 1-2 |
| 13 | Nov 23 | #177 | #38 | +17 | @Boise State | L 21–49 150 | 2-9 | 1-3 |
| 14 | Nov 28 | #185 | #142 | +2.5 | Air Force | L 21–42 117 | 2-10 | 1-3 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28 | Air Force | L 21–42 | 335 | 0 | 19:13 | +0.488 | 48.9% | 134.9% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Nov 23 | @Boise State | L 21–49 | 332 | 4 | 23:05 | -0.008 | 28.6% | 146.1% | Blowout loss |
| Nov 15 | @New Mexico | L 17–20 | 299 | 4 | 32:30 | -0.060 | 32.9% | 111.0% | One-score loss |
| Nov 9 | UNLV | L 10–42 | 292 | 1 | 26:51 | -0.062 | 29.9% | 115.2% | Blowout loss |
| Oct 25 | @Wyoming | L 0–28 | 305 | 3 | 28:11 | -0.099 | 39.3% | 97.6% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Oct 18 | Hawai'i | L 19–31 | 261 | 1 | 25:01 | +0.153 | 39.7% | 137.1% | |
| Oct 11 | Fresno State | W 49–21 | 334 | 0 | 25:12 | +0.393 | 40.4% | 163.9% | Most explosive |
| Oct 4 | @San Diego State | L 24–45 | 355 | 0 | 25:58 | +0.282 | 44.6% | 139.3% | Defense's roughest night |
| Sep 27 | Washington State | L 3–20 | 334 | 1 | 28:37 | +0.050 | 46.2% | 88.2% | |
| Sep 21 | UTSA | L 16–17 | 407 | 0 | 33:33 | +0.182 | 37.8% | 127.4% | One-score loss |
| Sep 6 | Northern Colorado | W 21–17 | 371 | 5 | 30:37 | +0.135 | 54.9% | 78.1% | Best success rate |
| Aug 31 | @Washington | L 21–38 | 265 | 1 | 23:16 | +0.176 | 36.7% | 158.0% | |
| Season average (12 games) | 324 | 1.7 | +0.136 | 40.0% | 124.7% | ||||
How They Play · 2025
How They Play · 2025Colorado State fields a limited pass-first offense behind a porous, gives up the big play defense.
Opponent-adjusted percentiles vs all FBS. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Colorado State actually scores
16th percentile quality, 83rd percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 86th | 11th |
| Akron | 12th | 89th |
| Alabama | 58th | 17th |
| App State | 35th | 47th |
| Arizona | 64th | 37th |
| Arizona State | 41st | 62nd |
| Arkansas | 90th | 12th |
| Arkansas State | 17th | 66th |
| Army | 57th | 43rd |
| Auburn | 47th | 53rd |
| BYU | 78th | 19th |
| Baylor | 69th | 25th |
| Boise State | 66th | 20th |
| Boston College | 37th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 2nd | 98th |
| Buffalo | 11th | 88th |
| California | 28th | 48th |
| Central Michigan | 52nd | 64th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 16th |
| Clemson | 51st | 48th |
| Coastal Carolina | 17th | 83rd |
| Colorado | 18th | 84th |
| Colorado State | 16th | 83rd |
| Delaware | 38th | 58th |
| Duke | 80th | 14th |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 36th |
| Eastern Michigan | 49th | 42nd |
| Florida | 30th | 67th |
| Florida Atlantic | 62nd | 59th |
| Florida International | 42nd | 50th |
| Florida State | 83rd | 32nd |
| Fresno State | 26th | 73rd |
| Georgia | 81st | 3rd |
| Georgia Southern | 73rd | 21st |
| Georgia State | 36th | 70th |
| Georgia Tech | 84th | 5th |
| Hawai'i | 64th | 41st |
| Houston | 27th | 65th |
| Illinois | 75th | 26th |
| Indiana | 95th | 1st |
| Iowa | 44th | 40th |
| Iowa State | 68th | 22nd |
| Jacksonville State | 54th | 38th |
| James Madison | 65th | 44th |
| Kansas | 85th | 28th |
| Kansas State | 71st | 49th |
| Kennesaw State | 56th | 30th |
| Kent State | 21st | 86th |
| Kentucky | 15th | 85th |
| LSU | 14th | 81st |
| Liberty | 43rd | 56th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 73rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 39th | 61st |
| Louisville | 48th | 64th |
| Marshall | 55th | 39th |
| Maryland | 30th | 74th |
| Memphis | 80th | 24th |
| Miami | 76th | 5th |
| Miami (OH) | 34th | 67th |
| Michigan | 67th | 33rd |
| Michigan State | 27th | 75th |
| Middle Tennessee | 39th | 52nd |
| Minnesota | 29th | 77th |
| Mississippi State | 22nd | 77th |
| Missouri | 61st | 30th |
| Missouri State | 55th | 46th |
| NC State | 86th | 23rd |
| Navy | 94th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 48th | 57th |
| Nevada | 3rd | 97th |
| New Mexico | 58th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 9th | 87th |
| North Carolina | 13th | 89th |
| North Texas | 98th | 7th |
| Northern Illinois | 8th | 92nd |
| Northwestern | 52nd | 36th |
| Notre Dame | 99th | 20th |
| Ohio | 67th | 18th |
| Ohio State | 93rd | 4th |
| Oklahoma | 20th | 80th |
| Oklahoma State | 5th | 95th |
| Old Dominion | 83rd | 45th |
| Ole Miss | 89th | 2nd |
| Oregon | 91st | 10th |
| Oregon State | 2nd | 98th |
| Penn State | 73rd | 33rd |
| Pittsburgh | 60th | 39th |
| Purdue | 25th | 78th |
| Rice | 6th | 94th |
| Rutgers | 70th | 27th |
| SMU | 74th | 42nd |
| Sam Houston | 4th | 96th |
| San Diego State | 24th | 76th |
| San José State | 45th | 69th |
| South Alabama | 36th | 58th |
| South Carolina | 23rd | 86th |
| South Florida | 87th | 23rd |
| Southern Miss | 40th | 55th |
| Stanford | 10th | 90th |
| Syracuse | 5th | 95th |
| TCU | 72nd | 35th |
| Temple | 70th | 34th |
| Tennessee | 96th | 11th |
| Texas | 45th | 55th |
| Texas A&M | 82nd | 14th |
| Texas State | 92nd | 8th |
| Texas Tech | 77th | 31st |
| Toledo | 50th | 61st |
| Troy | 14th | 80th |
| Tulane | 79th | 15th |
| Tulsa | 20th | 70th |
| UAB | 61st | 45th |
| UCF | 33rd | 82nd |
| UCLA | 23rd | 79th |
| UConn | 95th | 13th |
| UL Monroe | 11th | 92nd |
| UNLV | 88th | 9th |
| USC | 98th | 2nd |
| UTEP | 1st | 99th |
| UTSA | 77th | 51st |
| Utah | 97th | 6th |
| Utah State | 46th | 63rd |
| Vanderbilt | 100th | 0th |
| Virginia | 59th | 27th |
| Virginia Tech | 32nd | 71st |
| Wake Forest | 42nd | 72nd |
| Washington | 92nd | 8th |
| Washington State | 33rd | 52nd |
| West Virginia | 7th | 93rd |
| Western Kentucky | 53rd | 29th |
| Western Michigan | 31st | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 0th | 100th |
| Wyoming | 8th | 91st |
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
Colorado State's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 91st percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 93rd — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Colorado State hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
29th percentile success on standard downs, 35th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 82nd | 69th |
| Akron | 20th | 36th |
| Alabama | 47th | 76th |
| App State | 41st | 80th |
| Arizona | 54th | 54th |
| Arizona State | 40th | 37th |
| Arkansas | 90th | 97th |
| Arkansas State | 51st | 40th |
| Army | 37th | 44th |
| Auburn | 73rd | 24th |
| Austin Peay | 56th | 13th |
| BYU | 91st | 46th |
| Ball State | 5th | 3rd |
| Baylor | 70th | 77th |
| Boise State | 42nd | 63rd |
| Boston College | 56th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 10th | 17th |
| Bryant | 7th | 2nd |
| Buffalo | 29th | 20th |
| California | 25th | 66th |
| Central Michigan | 57th | 11th |
| Charlotte | 7th | 7th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 65th |
| Clemson | 49th | 34th |
| Coastal Carolina | 16th | 22nd |
| Colorado | 8th | 48th |
| Colorado State | 29th | 35th |
| Delaware | 66th | 31st |
| Duke | 82nd | 63rd |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 91st |
| Eastern Michigan | 46th | 67th |
| Florida | 52nd | 45th |
| Florida Atlantic | 44th | 61st |
| Florida International | 50th | 26th |
| Florida State | 65th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 22nd | 71st |
| Georgia | 95th | 69th |
| Georgia Southern | 64th | 84th |
| Georgia State | 22nd | 75th |
| Georgia Tech | 92nd | 89th |
| Hawai'i | 33rd | 87th |
| Houston | 61st | 29th |
| Idaho | 30th | 78th |
| Idaho State | 93rd | 14th |
| Illinois | 79th | 95th |
| Indiana | 97th | 98th |
| Iowa | 74th | 19th |
| Iowa State | 80th | 58th |
| Jacksonville State | 59th | 56th |
| James Madison | 77th | 52nd |
| Kansas | 99th | 82nd |
| Kansas State | 37th | 59th |
| Kennesaw State | 44th | 67th |
| Kent State | 15th | 5th |
| Kentucky | 62nd | 29th |
| LSU | 18th | 52nd |
| Lafayette | 0th | 12th |
| Liberty | 65th | 53rd |
| Lindenwood | 4th | 1st |
| Long Island University | 24th | 78th |
| Louisiana | 24th | 23rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 41st | 24th |
| Louisville | 84th | 32nd |
| Maine | 3rd | 18th |
| Marshall | 71st | 62nd |
| Maryland | 11th | 86th |
| Massachusetts | 5th | 9th |
| Memphis | 75th | 68th |
| Merrimack | 1st | 83rd |
| Miami | 80th | 64th |
| Miami (OH) | 33rd | 39th |
| Michigan | 73rd | 74th |
| Michigan State | 48th | 39th |
| Middle Tennessee | 69th | 47th |
| Minnesota | 35th | 33rd |
| Mississippi State | 52nd | 35th |
| Missouri | 76th | 50th |
| Missouri State | 32nd | 50th |
| Murray State | 1st | 6th |
| NC State | 58th | 71st |
| Navy | 95th | 72nd |
| Nebraska | 78th | 51st |
| Nevada | 17th | 16th |
| New Mexico | 38th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 16th | 33rd |
| North Carolina | 14th | 30th |
| North Texas | 100th | 97th |
| Northern Illinois | 9th | 5th |
| Northwestern | 48th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 88th | 99th |
| Ohio | 69th | 76th |
| Ohio State | 99th | 99th |
| Oklahoma | 39th | 41st |
| Oklahoma State | 14th | 7th |
| Old Dominion | 72nd | 79th |
| Ole Miss | 83rd | 95th |
| Oregon | 93rd | 55th |
| Oregon State | 54th | 25th |
| Penn State | 76th | 73rd |
| Pittsburgh | 35th | 56th |
| Purdue | 46th | 88th |
| Rice | 20th | 0th |
| Rutgers | 71st | 84th |
| SMU | 50th | 57th |
| Sam Houston | 26th | 4th |
| San Diego State | 84th | 1st |
| San José State | 68th | 70th |
| South Alabama | 53rd | 28th |
| South Carolina | 31st | 8th |
| South Carolina State | 10th | 3rd |
| South Florida | 86th | 46th |
| Southern Miss | 27th | 38th |
| Stanford | 12th | 12th |
| Syracuse | 19th | 10th |
| TCU | 63rd | 82nd |
| Temple | 85th | 22nd |
| Tennessee | 97th | 81st |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 88th | 59th |
| Texas State | 60th | 93rd |
| Texas Tech | 45th | 65th |
| Toledo | 67th | 42nd |
| Troy | 18th | 27th |
| Tulane | 81st | 86th |
| Tulsa | 43rd | 43rd |
| UAB | 34th | 94th |
| UCF | 39th | 20th |
| UCLA | 28th | 48th |
| UConn | 96th | 37th |
| UL Monroe | 13th | 14th |
| UNLV | 78th | 85th |
| USC | 94th | 90th |
| UT Martin | 2nd | 41st |
| UTEP | 3rd | 10th |
| UTSA | 67th | 92nd |
| Utah | 87th | 96th |
| Utah State | 31st | 49th |
| Vanderbilt | 90th | 100th |
| Virginia | 36th | 73rd |
| Virginia Tech | 59th | 21st |
| Wake Forest | 21st | 31st |
| Washington | 98th | 93rd |
| Washington State | 61st | 44th |
| West Virginia | 12th | 18th |
| Western Kentucky | 55th | 80th |
| Western Michigan | 86th | 16th |
| Wisconsin | 6th | 27th |
| Wyoming | 23rd | 15th |
Halftime identity
Colorado State by half
1st-half offense ranks 20th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 42nd — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Schedule mirage
How much of Colorado State's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.14; 51st percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.03. The widest gap came in week 1: 0.18 raw vs. 0.03 adjusted.
Colorado State reads strongest in explosive plays (top 55%) and rushing epa (top 63%); the crux lives in passing epa allowed, where Colorado State sits at the 0th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
ELITE · 90+STRONG · 70+AVERAGE · 40-70CONCERN · 10-40BOTTOM · <10
Most Similar Programs · Colorado State
Most Similar Programs · Colorado StateReads Like
CharlotteTier 3 · Prestige T2 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontEast CarolinaTier 3 · Prestige T2 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontFlorida InternationalTier 3 · Prestige T2 · Similarly-sized rosters up front
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Home-Field Advantage · Colorado State · 2018-present
Strong
44% home win rate vs 21% on the road. margin runs +8.7 better at home. Canvas Stadium seats 36,500, averaging 82% full (29,818 attendance, 26 games reported).
Home20-25Away9-32
Positional competition · RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Jalen Dupree and Lloyd Avant split the carries (102/189 vs 87/189) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Lloyd Avant owns the receiving work.
Jalen DupreeLloyd Avant
Carries
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
Targets
p = 0.029 -- real, not noise
Top-5-carry share
concentration alone -- EPA/carry doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 2 claims, 1 survived, 1 falsified
Positional competition · WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Tommy Maher (WR) and Rocky Beers (TE) split the targets (54/92 vs 38/92) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Rocky Beers produces in bigger chunks.
Tommy MaherRocky Beers
Targets
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
3rd-down targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Garbage-time share
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-catch share
concentration and EPA/target agree -- a real boom/bust split
Screened 3 claims, 1 survived, 2 falsified
What changed
Colorado State’s play-calling, before and after the change
Offense: Jon Budmayr (2021) → Matt Mumme (2022–2025)
Play-calling barely moved on the change — every rate held within a few points.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
Defense: Freddie Banks (2022–2024) → Tyson Summers (2025)
The biggest shift: 1st-down pass rate moved up 7 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
Season by season
How Colorado State’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Offense: Matt Mumme (2022–2025)
1st-down pass rate
2022: 43% → 2025: 48% · 17-pt range · #22 of 171 · more than most
Red-zone pass rate
2022: 32% → 2025: 38% · 21-pt range · #22 of 171 · more than most
4th-down go rate
2022: 47% → 2025: 52% · 31-pt range · #21 of 171 · more than most
Defensive identity · pass zones
What this defense gives up, by zone.
On short passes, Colorado State’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (65.9% vs 65.9% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 88-play sample) — mid-pack, 66 of 133 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball leaderboard here: at the defense level, most teams face well under 30 rich-feed deep targets all season — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess.
Screened 133 claims, 133 survived · 2025 only, in the 399 games with the detailed play-text feed; n=88 short-zone plays faced, raw rate 65.9%
Venue texture
61°F average kickoff temp; 3% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.
Based on 67 home games with weather data.
The CFP Era
12 seasons inside the CFP era, no bids yet — the era the program is still trying to break into.
TRAJECTORY · quality-score line · AP rank dotted · CFP bids marked · coach regimes ribboned
Program Quality
AP Rank (inverted)
CFP Appearance
Colorado State's 2014–2025 record is 60-81. The era is still being written; the CFP line is the one the program is arguing for.
All-Time Record
543-617-32
since 1902 · 122 seasons · .455 win rate
HOME
286-230-22
AWAY
239-366-10
NEUTRAL
18-21
1900s
1910s
1920s
1930s
1940s
1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
The program, in full — read the essay
Colorado State earned a Pac-12 invitation to play at the Power-conference level. It then went 2-10 in the Mountain West, fired its head coach mid-October, and walked into the new conference on the worst on-field footing it has had in years. The upgrade arrived at exactly the wrong moment.
Sonny Lubick's field is named for a reason. From 1993 to 2007, Lubick willed Fort Collins into a program that mattered — six conference titles across the WAC and Mountain West, an 11-2 team in 1997, Joey Porter becoming a Super Bowl champion, ranked finishes that the program still defines itself by. The Doyt Perry equivalent in Fort Collins: a coach who built the only sustained winning era in program history and whose name on the turf is the reminder that it happened once and can happen again. Canvas Stadium opened in 2017 — a sleek on-campus build at the foot of the Rockies, the first dedicated on-campus venue in decades — as a physical statement that the Rams intended to be taken seriously.
Jay Norvell was fired on October 19, 2025 after a 2-5 start, with Tyson Summers finishing the year as interim. The final record was 2-10, 1-7 in the Mountain West — the program's worst in years and a humiliating curtain call for its final MW season before the Pac-12 move. Jim Mora was hired to lead the reset, a credentialed NFL-pedigree coach charged with making the Pac-12 leap feel earned rather than premature.
The 2026 question in Fort Collins is the starkest possible version of the program's ongoing chip: can the Rams prove the Pac-12 move was based on trajectory rather than optimism? Colorado State hasn't won a conference title since 2002. Mora's first team enters the Pac-12 without a recent winning season to point to. The Rocky Mountain Showdown against Colorado is the annual measuring stick, and right now the Buffaloes have the cameras and the buzz. The Rams need wins before they get the conversation.
How they play
Hard-nosed, trench-first football is the Lubick-era inheritance — defense, toughness, the chip of being overlooked in its own state. Mora's background is NFL defensive structure and professional-level accountability; the expectation is a physical reset, emphasis on run game and line development, a departure from the more pass-first approaches that didn't produce results. Canvas Stadium's mountain setting and capacity give the Rams a legitimate home-field case; the roster needs to justify the venue.
Steady
Colorado State 2016–2025. Holding the line. The 10-year slope (-0.11 rungs / yr) doesn't tilt either way — the program lives at roughly Tier 2.
CFP Era · Colorado State
12 seasons on file
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
down middle peak CFP year
Season Standing · 2025 · 2-10
Season Standing · 2025 · 2-10FBS sub-.500
Colorado State: Below .500 in FBS play. The rebuild bar.
R0R1R2R3R4R5R6R7R8R9
Sub-FBSBuildingBowlRankedContenderPlayoff
Pac-12 Standing · 2025
7th in the Pac-12
Colorado State is 7th of 8 in the Pac-12 at 1-3. The path to the title is steep — the focus is on bowl access and rivalry wins.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington State | 4-1 |
| 2 | San Diego State | 3-1 |
| 3 | Boise State | 2-2 |
| 4 | Fresno State | 2-3 |
| 5 | Oregon State | 1-2 |
| 6 | Utah State | 1-2 |
| 7 | Colorado State | 1-3 |
| 8 | Texas State | 0-0 |
Coaching Era · Colorado State
Coaching Era · Colorado StateJim Mora
Jim Mora took over from Jay Norvell for the 2026 season.
Era Jim Mora · 2026–presentPrev: Jay Norvell (2022–2025)OC: Pryce TracyPrev OC: Matt Mumme (2022–2025)DC: Tyson Summers / co-Kenny McClendonPrev DC: Tyson Summers (2025)
1
year · era
Rituals
Three gameday rituals — the ones outsiders never quite catch.
Sonny Lubick Era (1993-2007)
since 1993
Sonny Lubick's 1993-2007 tenure produced the program's all-time peaks — 1994 10-2 + #16 AP, 1997 11-2 + Holiday Bowl championship + #16 AP. Multiple Mountain West (then WAC) championships + sustained competitive cycles. Lubick's age-66 retirement after 2007 closed the era. The football complex is named for him.
Canvas Stadium 2017 Opening
since 2017
Canvas Stadium (built 2017) — Colorado State's first dedicated on-campus stadium since 1968 — replaced decades at Hughes Stadium. The 41,000 capacity + on-campus location + Fort Collins Front Range setting + corporate naming-rights modernity create a venue distinct from larger flagship-state programs.
Rocky Mountain Showdown (vs Colorado)
since 1893
Colorado State-Colorado plays the Rocky Mountain Showdown — first played 1893, paused intermittently. The In-State Front Range rivalry crosses MW vs Big 12 conference lines. The Rocky Mountains backdrop + the altitude angle + the CFB-bicycle-trophy create a venue tradition unique to Colorado-region football.
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
1997 Holiday Bowl season
An 11-2 Lubick team and a New Year's-tier bowl trip — the program's high-water mark
2017
Canvas Stadium opens
The on-campus stadium finally gives the Rams a real home and a recruiting pitch
Norvell fired mid-2025
A 2-5 start in the final MW season triggers the firing, capping a 2-10 year
Wound
Moment of the Year · Colorado State · 2025
Moment of the Year · Colorado State · 2025Lost 21-49 at Boise State
Week 13 of 2025. A reckoning loss — the data point the next season must answer.
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
Bowl / Postseason LedgerRecent postseason (2014-2024): 0-5
Most recent: 2024 — loss 17-43 (home). Last 5 postseason: 0-5.
20242017201620152014
NFL Draft Pipeline
2022–2025
NFL Draft PipelineDeveloping
3 picks last 5 cycles. Pipeline emerging.
3
picks · 0 R1
#55
Trey McBride
Tight End · 2022 · Arizona · #1/119 final season
#158
Mohamed Kamara
Defensive Edge · 2024 · Miami · #3/418 final season
#166
Tory Horton
Wide Receiver · 2025 · Seattle · #12/497 final season
#77 all-time · 5 first-round picksthe talent factory →
Unit lineage
Colorado State’s offense and defense, by coordinator
FBS-relative efficiency percentile per season (2014–2025), same population as the Coordinator Mirror board. Dashed vertical lines mark a coordinator change.
Offense2014–2025
2014 · Dave Baldwin (interim)2015–2017 · Will Friend2018–2019 · Dave Johnson2020 · Joey Lynch2021 · Jon Budmayr2022–2025 · Matt Mumme
Hired for 2026: Pryce Tracy — not yet reflected in on-field data.
Defense2014–2025
2014 · co-Marty English / co-Al Simmons2015 · Tyson Summers2016–2017 · Marty English2018–2019 · John Jancek2020–2021 · Chuck Heater2022–2024 · Freddie Banks2025 · Tyson Summers
Hired for 2026: Tyson Summers / co-Kenny McClendon — not yet reflected in on-field data.
Elite (≥70th pct)AveragePoor (≤30th pct)
Chronicle Visuals
Average 2025 continuity (50% back) — qb room anchors it, offense is the stress point.
The portal upgraded the TE room but opened a hole at WR.
1 player drafted in 2025; the reload runs through the portal and recruiting.
Colorado State sits where recruit talent and draft yield largely match.
r/cfb moments
523
[Postgame Thread] South Dakota State Defeats Colorado State 42-23
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