CFB Zeitgeist Score
25
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 27th percentile.
Lavon Brown
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
244 REC YDS · 22 REC · 0 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Colorado State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · Colorado State
Returning around him
- 50% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: -7 net (31 in / 38 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Colorado State · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #92 · 2026 recruiting class #106
WR · COLORADO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Lavon Brown
- 2
- #82
- 6-0 | 195 lb
- Chatsworth, CA
Heisman Heat
#5107
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Colorado State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds
#20 in market ▼ from #17 · 6 books
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8606 | No. 1104 recruit | HighSchool |
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8207 | No. 1882 recruit | HighSchool | Colorado State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8606
#1104 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Lavon Brown
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Lavon Brown
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
11.1
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #349 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 34th
Why it matters
#349 of 531 All FBS WRs at 11.1 yards per reception (22 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 11.1 (34th)
MODERATE · n=22 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#451 / 531
- Receiving TDs#476 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 11 vs UNLV — 50 ypr
Result L 10-42
The week the volume broke through — put up 50 yds vs UNLV.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 11g
244Rec yards
22Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
22.2Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
288.4Rec yards
26Receptions
0Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 244): needs 228/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 244): needs 378/game over remaining 2.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 22): needs 19/game over remaining 2.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 22): needs 29/game over remaining 2.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 4/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Lavon Brown's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Colorado State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
22 66th
YDS
244 63rd
YPR
11.1 43rd
TD
0 45th
Returns
KR YDS
27 30th
KR AVG
13.5 19th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 21-38@ Washington | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 2 | W 21-17vs Northern Colorado | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 4 | L 16-17vs UTSA | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 6 | L 24-45@ San Diego State | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 7 | W 49-21vs Fresno State | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 8 | L 19-31vs Hawai'i | 3 | 32 | 10.7 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 9 | L 0-28@ Wyoming | 1 | 31 | 31.0 | 0 | 31 | |
| Wk 11 | L 10-42vs UNLV | 4 | 50 | 12.5 | 0 | 15 | Season-high 50 yds |
| Wk 12 | L 17-20@ New Mexico | 3 | 25 | 8.3 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 13 | L 21-49@ Boise State | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 14 | L 21-42vs Air Force | 4 | 34 | 8.5 | 0 | 15 | |
| Total | 22 | 244 | 12.3 | 0 | 31 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Colorado State2-10HC: Jay Norvell · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Colorado State | 22 | 244 | 11.1 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 22 | 244 | 11.1 | 0 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Colorado State | -- | -- | 27 | -- | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | -- | -- | 27 | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 22 | #383/1110 | 66th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 244 | #410/1107 | 63rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #615/1111 | 45th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 11.1 | #635/1106 | 43rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 27 | #167/238 | 30th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 8.7% | #556/1137 | 51st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 31 | #586/1105 | 47th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 13.5 | #191/236 | 19th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick returns | 2 | #132/243 | 46th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt returns | 1 | #182/237 | 24th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 6.0% | #327/1137 | 71st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 5.2% | #692/1137 | 39th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 5.0% | #636/1137 | 44th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 5.0% | #482/1137 | 58th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 4.9% | #401/1137 | 65th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 3.2% | #771/1137 | 32nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/302 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 2.2 | 22.8 | 10.5 | 0.0 |
| Road5g | 1.8 | 21.4 | 14.2 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 0.5 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 |
| Losses9g | 2.3 | 25.6 | 12.2 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 1.2 | 12.0 | 10.1 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 2.7 | 30.7 | 13.8 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
25Below cohort
Elite: fumbles lost (80th). Concern: rec tds (6th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Lavon BrownColorado StateJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 60% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 57% simAaron TurnerRice· 57% sim
Fumbles lost
Receptions
Yards / catch
Rec yards
Long catch
Rec TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Cade Sutherland’s 2020 season.
Cade Sutherland
89%match
#2
Zeriah Beason
83%
#3
Dino Tomlin
82%
#4
Demarcus Jones
76%
#5
Brian Casteel
76%
Matches Cade on
Height
Yards / reception
Reception volume
Differs from Cade on
Class year (higher)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Treyvhon Saunders’s path through Colgate.
Treyvhon Saunders
98%match
#2
Kenneth Womack
All-MAC
98%
#3
Karim Page
95%
#4
Tony Poljan
95%
#5
Miequle Brock
94%
Matches Treyvhon on
Yards per reception
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Bailey Stockton's sophomore season at Georgia Tech (2025).
Bailey Stockton
80%match
#2
David Amador II
79%
#3
Zeriah Beason
79%
#4
Tama Uiliata
78%
#5
Marquis Johnson
77%
Matches Bailey on
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Recruiting rating
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jay Norvell
Pass share
52.1%
393 pass / 362 run
Plays / game
62.9
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
11.1%
315 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Jay Norvell
Colorado State
Played his entire career under Jay Norvell.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownChatsworth, CA
Height6'0"
Weight195 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey82
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamColorado State
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Colorado State | WR2 | #5107 | #5508 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | Colorado State | WR2 | #5361 | #5631 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Colorado State | Mountain West | WR | 2 | No. 82 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Chatsworth, CA |
| 2024 | Colorado State | Mountain West | WR | 2 | No. 82 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Chatsworth, CA |
| 2023 | Colorado State | Mountain West | WR | 2 | No. 82 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Chatsworth, CA |