cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Gabe Jones /Colorado State

Gabe Jones

DL · Colorado State · So · #95

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

3 TACKLES · 0.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Colorado State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Colorado State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Colorado State

Returning around him

  • 50% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (31 in / 38 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Colorado State · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #92 · 2026 recruiting class #106

DL · COLORADO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Gabe Jones

  • 2
  • #95
  • 6-4 | 290 lb
  • Dallas, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

24

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 51st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#15579

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#128 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class2
Jersey95
Measurements6-4 | 290 lb
HometownDallas, TX
Primary teamColorado State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2524 recruit
Composite rating 0.8350 HighSchool
Signed with Coastal Carolina 2026
Origin Luella Locust Grove, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2026 3-star | 0.8350 No. 2524 recruit | HighSchool | Coastal Carolina
2022 3-star | 0.8144 No. 128 recruit | JUCO | New Mexico State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Colorado State 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 23, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 New Mexico State -> Colorado State 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#15579Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#15699Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Coastal Carolina

Composite

0.8350

#2524 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Gabe Jones

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Gabe Jones

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Gabe Jones is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Colorado State's defense, with 0.5 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #15579 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 3 1 solo | #3908/4942 (21st pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 0.5 Pass-rush finish | #1501/4972 (70th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
3 21st
SOLO
1 13th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.5 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 1 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 21-38@ Washington311.00.50Season-high 3 tackles
Total311.00.50
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023New Mexico State10-5HC: Jerry Kill · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Colorado State2-10HC: Jay Norvell · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Colorado State311.00.5------
2023New Mexico State1--0.50.0------
Career2 loaded seasons411.50.5------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 3 #3908/4942 21st pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.5 #1501/4972 70th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 1 #3987/4584 13th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 1 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Road1g3.01.00.50.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Losses1g3.01.00.50.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-71g3.01.00.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

24Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: tackles (0th).

Sacks#1367 / 2975 · 51st pct
0.5defe
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe
Solo tackles#2969 / 2975 · 0th pct
1defe
Tackles#2976 / 2975 · 0th pct
3defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Gabe JonesColorado StateTyler MartinMassachusetts· 40% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 38% simMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 37% sim
Sacks
51
Jones
24
Martin
63
Vaughns
89
Montgomery
Tackles for loss
28
Jones
63
Martin
85
Vaughns
85
Montgomery
QB hurries
22
Jones
22
Martin
22
Vaughns
22
Montgomery
Passes defended
18
Jones
67
Martin
48
Vaughns
67
Montgomery
Solo tackles
0
Jones
87
Martin
96
Vaughns
82
Montgomery
Tackles
0
Jones
98
Martin
99
Vaughns
99
Montgomery

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jay Norvell

Pass share

52.1%

393 pass / 362 run

Plays / game

62.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.1%

315 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Jay Norvell
Colorado State
2025
Jay Norvell
Colorado State

Played his entire career under Jay Norvell.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDallas, TX
Height6'4"
Weight290 lb
Class2
PositionDL
Jersey95

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 New Mexico State DL2 #15579 #15699 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 New Mexico State DL2 #13698 #13378 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Colorado State Mountain West DL 2 No. 95 | 6-4 | 290 lb | Dallas, TX
2024 New Mexico State Conference USA DL 2 No. 95 | 6-4 | 290 lb | Dallas, TX
2023 New Mexico State Conference USA DL 2 No. 95 | 6-4 | 290 lb | Dallas, TX