Tony Sanchez
Followed Jerry Kill. Tony Sanchez held New Mexico State at Regional Program V for 3 seasons.
In his own words
Awaiting signal — no quotes collected from this staff yet this cycle.
Career arc
His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.
Reached Regional Program in his 1st career season — faster than 20% of the 925 FBS coaches who have ever reached Regional Program (rank #1 of 925 by seasons-to-arrival).
Style position and drift
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
5–6 against his rivals. Winless in 3 tries against Bryan Harsin.
His own effect, isolated
A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.
Model fit as of 2026-09-04.
Coaching career
13th-best New Mexico State tenure of 20 by the numbers.
Underperforms his recruiting talent on offense and performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on defense.
Followed Jerry Kill (2022–2023).
| Season | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||
| Record | 3–9 | 4–8 | 0–0 | |
| Postseason | — | — | — | |
| Recruiting rank | #131 | #126 | #134 | |
| Style — pass rate | ||||
| Pass rate | 39.3 | 57.0 | 51.3 | |
| Coordinators | ||||
| OC | Tyler Wright / Andrew Mitchell | David Yost | David Yost | |
| DC | Joe Morris | Joe Morris | Joe Morris | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||
| Offense | 9 | 7 | 89 | |
| Defense | 15 | 64 | 31 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only) | ||||
| 1st-down pass% | 30.7 | 53.4 | 48.6 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 31.8 | 57.6 | 36.4 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 18.8 | 19.5 | — | |
A portal-built roster.
Brings in smaller-than-position-typical players than most.
A typical class-year mix of incoming transfers.
AI Narratives — “New Mexico State — stat check”.
10th-best UNLV tenure of 12 by the numbers.
Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on offense and underperforms his recruiting talent on defense.
Followed Bobby Hauck (2010–2014) · succeeded by Marcus Arroyo (2020–2022).
| Season | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||||
| Record | 3–9 | 4–8 | 5–7 | 4–8 | 4–8 | |
| Postseason | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Recruiting rank | #106 | #81 | #117 | #99 | #100 | |
| Style — pass rate | ||||||
| Pass rate | 42.2 | 36.1 | 36.2 | 39.0 | 46.7 | |
| Coordinators | ||||||
| OC | Barney Cotton | Barney Cotton | Barney Cotton | Barney Cotton | Garin Justice | |
| DC | Kent Baer | Kent Baer | Kent Baer | Tim Skipper | Tim Skipper | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||||
| Offense | 48 | 50 | 59 | 47 | 31 | |
| Defense | 11 | 17 | 20 | 10 | 27 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only) | ||||||
| 1st-down pass% | 37.7 | 32.4 | 29.9 | 31.5 | 40.3 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 41.2 | 23.6 | 24.8 | 31.2 | 27.7 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 30.8 | 26.9 | 26.0 | 45.2 | 41.5 | |