Wyoming

1-2

Mountain West · Jay Sawvel, year 3 (8-19) · War Memorial Stadium · 29,181 · 24,105 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#120 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #118 (-15.0) · FPI #133
The marketHawai'i by 3vs Hawai'i · our model 43% Wyoming · a number, not a pick

LastL 10–24 at Central Michigan · Sat Sep 19 · Dash Bauman 1 TFL, 12 tackles

Nextvs Hawai'i · Sat Sep 26 · 3 pm ET · War Memorial Stadium · Hawai'i by 3 · series 17-12, last win 2023 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 22 · through week 3

Wyoming · 2026 schedule & results1-2
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#111#79+3@Colorado StateL 13–35 1200-10-0
2Sep 12#112#257-23.5Northern ColoradoW 21–13 1221-10-0
3Sep 19#129#131-1.5@Central MichiganL 10–24 1251-20-0
4Sep 26#136#80+3Hawai'i
5Oct 3#137#67@North Dakota State
6Oct 10@San José State
7Oct 17Northern Illinois
8Oct 24Air Force
10Nov 8@UNLV
11Nov 14@UTEP
12Nov 22New Mexico
13Nov 28UConn
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 19@Central MichiganL 10–24342224:12+0.12442.6%137.3%Season-high EPA/play
Sep 12Northern ColoradoW 21–13304228:53+0.11341.9%89.2%Best defensive stand
Sep 5@Colorado StateL 13–35273430:41-0.02541.8%90.0%Season-low EPA/play
Season average (3 games)3062.7+0.07042.1%105.5%
Verdict Begins·Live

Wyoming plays the highest home games in major college football — 7,220 feet up in Laramie, where the thin air and the cold are the program's best recruit, and 'Cowboy Tough' is a literal description.

Title DroughtSince 1988 · 38 yrs

Cowboy fans are tired of being filed under 'cold, remote, forgettable' by people who've never had to play a December night in Laramie. They say the altitude humbles every recruiting-ranking darling…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 4-8 · last season

Game feel36rock fightscombined pts / game12th highest-scoring of 12 in the Mountain West
Heart rate1-2some dramain one-score games (3 of 12)7th most one-score games of 12 in the Mountain West
Margin-4.5competitiveavg scoring margin9th best margin of 12 in the Mountain West
Tempo64average paceoffensive plays / game8th fastest of 12 in the Mountain West
Big plays1.20grind it outexplosiveness (IsoPPP)11th most explosive of 12 in the Mountain West
Home crowd23,433avg attendance8th biggest crowds of 12 in the Mountain West

✓ measured from 12 games · ranks are among Mountain West teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Wyoming has won one of its last five.

Cold. 3-7 over the last 10, and lost the last one.

Streak L1Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 3-7
I made a mistake, and I apologize for my actions, and I did not represent the school or the program in the correct way
Williams · Uwbrandingiron3 days after Wyoming's 2026 game against Northern Colorado
The forecast

Next Sep 26

vs Hawai'i · at home

PoorMethodical, ball-controlPoor

~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

CFP championship#126 in field+100000
Mountain West title#8 in market+2000

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-22

Wyoming · the story right now 5 storylines developing

What Wyoming's identity shift is really about

the open questionwhere does it go from here?

identitythis cycle~readnew

Wyoming's 4-8 record this season contrasts with its 2017 11-2 peak, highlighting the challenge of recapturing the altitude-driven, high-octane identity that once defined Laramie football.

what happenedWyoming: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Wyoming enters 2026 — the 4-8 record and 1% returning production create a stark contrast to the program's altitude-driven identity and 2017 legacy.

what happenedWyoming enters 2026 rated No. 110 in 2025 SP+ (-11.3). ✓ fact
the contexttop-quintile returning production in FBS — 1% of production comes back

our readbackground

coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew

Jay Sawvel enters his third season with a 4-8 losing record to uphold, as Wyoming's altitude advantage and past success remain the only markers of its identity in a weak FBS tier.

what happenedWyoming: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Johnmichael Gyllenborg is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Michael Fitzgerald is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.

our readbackground

How past storylines here turned out

AnsweredWyoming's head-coaching hire held for another season.
Died downWyoming's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
Died downWyoming's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Wyoming · 2026

Wyoming's most likely season is 5-7 — no postseason. The floor is 3-9; the ceiling is 8-5.

Floor3-9No postseason, 2 fewer wins.
Base5-7No postseason.
Ceiling8-5A bowl game.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Wyoming · Developing Confidence

Wyoming: the fanbase's identity shifting.

bullish — but with real dissent where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics1 doubt take
Believers3 bull takes
🎪 drama: simmering💬 fans: 10% volume
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Wyoming's 4-8 record this season contrasts with its 2017 11-2 peak, highlighting the challenge of recapturing the altitude-driven, high-octane identity that once defined Laramie football.
Source of record: Wyoming: the fanbase's identity shifting.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards quiet
🎪The circus“Cowgirls Have Big Day at Messick Invite - Record Two Flight…” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“Cowgirls Have Big Day at Messick Invite - Record Two Flight Titles”
University of Wyoming Athletics · 2026-09-20 · read ↗
📣Believers3 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.

“Men’s Golf Tied for Third Following Day 1 of the Gene Miranda Falcon Invite”
University of Wyoming Athletics · 2026-09-19 · read ↗
“Men’s Golf Tied for Second Following Round 2 of the Gene Miranda Falcon Invite”
University of Wyoming Athletics · 2026-09-20 · read ↗
“Westwood Wins Mountain West Defensive Player of the Week Honors”
University of Wyoming Athletics · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Wyoming OC on QB Tyler Hughes: 'He's the Guy ... No Doubt…” — the real counter.

The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.

“Wyoming OC on QB Tyler Hughes: 'He's the Guy ... No Doubt About It'”
7220sports.com · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
💬The boards10% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines.

This event was in 54 of 524 board posts (10%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Wyoming is the worst team in the FBS. Tom Burman and Jay Sawvel need to go. Simple as that. We need to leadership that will embrace the NIL era and take a new approach to game play"
r/CFB ~ fan take
"how truly far this Wyoming program has gone down. At one time we were competitive.......just let that sink in! I remember going to BYU games, but now they have left us like the red"
WyoNation ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Following now · Wyoming · Season outlook Confidence

Wyoming enters the season in the middle of the pack. That's the whole tension.

Wyoming enters 2026 rated No. 110 in 2025 SP+ (-11.3). It is top-quintile returning production in FBS — 1% of production comes back. SP+ describes what the program HAS done, not what it will do. The season is the field test. Preview coverage is split — believers and skeptics are reading the same data differently.

bullish — but with real dissent where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics1 doubt take
Believers3 bull takes
🎪 drama: simmering💬 fans: 12% volume
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Wyoming enters 2026 — the 4-8 record and 1% returning production create a stark contrast to the program's altitude-driven identity and 2017 legacy.
Source of record: Wyoming enters 2026 rated No. 110 in 2025 SP+ (-11.3) — top-quintile returning production in FBS — 1% of production comes back.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards loud
🎪The circus“Cowgirls Have Big Day at Messick Invite - Record Two Flight…” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“Cowgirls Have Big Day at Messick Invite - Record Two Flight Titles”
University of Wyoming Athletics · 2026-09-20 · read ↗
📣Believers3 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.

“Men’s Golf Tied for Third Following Day 1 of the Gene Miranda Falcon Invite”
University of Wyoming Athletics · 2026-09-19 · read ↗
“Men’s Golf Tied for Second Following Round 2 of the Gene Miranda Falcon Invite”
University of Wyoming Athletics · 2026-09-20 · read ↗
“Westwood Wins Mountain West Defensive Player of the Week Honors”
University of Wyoming Athletics · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Wyoming OC on QB Tyler Hughes: 'He's the Guy ... No Doubt…” — the real counter.

The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.

“Wyoming OC on QB Tyler Hughes: 'He's the Guy ... No Doubt About It'”
7220sports.com · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
💬The boards12% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in.

This event was in 61 of 524 board posts (12%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Wyoming is the worst team in the FBS. Tom Burman and Jay Sawvel need to go. Simple as that. We need to leadership that will embrace the NIL era and take a new approach to game play"
r/CFB ~ fan take
"how truly far this Wyoming program has gone down. At one time we were competitive.......just let that sink in! I remember going to BYU games, but now they have left us like the red"
WyoNation ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Rival pulse

Colorado State
Bullish
+25
Border War (Bronze Boot)

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Wyoming is the Mountain West program whose 7,220-ft War Memorial Stadium altitude + Craig Bohl 2017 11-2 + Josh Allen 2018 #7 NFL draft define what Laramie-frontier-football looks like.

Offense: PoorTempo: Methodical, ball-controlDefense: Poor
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Wyoming

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-22
Returning Production23%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#127 nationally247 composite 528.3
Portal Additions19Primary repair: EDGE
Portal Losses16Primary pressure: RB
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#114Depth class
Sin 3 - Anthony Beavers Jr.4.28out 2 - Caleb Merritt3.49Upgrade
current room: 192 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Balanced Linebacker2024 profileis steady in every phase without a signature trait
IOLin 3 - Jason Maciejczak3.49out 2 - Wes King3.60Upgrade
current room: 298 lbs avg (2025 roster)
EDGEin 3 - Jack Dunkley3.30out 2 - Axel Ramazani3.49Upgrade
current room: 237 lbs avg (2025 roster)
RBin 2 - Markell Holman3.50out 3 - Patrick Broadway II3.49Even
current room: 203 lbs avg (2025 roster)
CBin 2 - Logan Mackey3.30out 2 - Tyrese Boss3.60Downgrade
current room: 183 lbs avg (2025 roster)
DLin 1 - Ja'Quan Redfern3.40out 2 - Lucas Samsula3.60Downgrade
current room: 272 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Full roster (115 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Wyoming

2 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Wyoming QB battle emerges

    Fall camp shorthanded, SP+ trending down, and now the QB room has no clear answer — Sawvel's 2026 rebuild starts with the hardest question still open.

  2. News

    Tim Polasek joins NDSU staff

    Polasek leaving Wyoming for NDSU while the Cowboys carry a class ranked 89th and a falling SP+ isn't a lateral move — it's a signal about which program he thinks has actual upward trajectory right now.

    Jul 18Reported
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

+0.6 net portal points
(raw ledger: +7.1 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
S
+4.3
DL
-3.7
LB
-3.5
low confidence
ATH
+3.5
low confidence
TE
+3.5
low confidence
IOL
+3.2
EDGE
+2.8
CB
-2.7
LS
+1.0
low confidence
RB
-1.0
QB
-0.2
WR
-0.1
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★☆☆
Colin Ford
TE · Aurora, IL
#731 national
Profiles like a typical incoming tight end — 17 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Complete TE archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Jordan Styles
WR · The Woodlands, TX
#1708 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 11 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Jonathan Pearcy
IOL · Liberty, MO
#1754 national
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

23
TX · 5MO · 4CA · 2CO · 2IL · 2NV · 2WY · 2AZ · 1+3 more

TX leads the 2026 class with 5 commits. National footprint reaching 11 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

105 signees across 16 states, 2023-2026. TX leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAID1MTNDMN5WI3MINYMAORNV3WY8SDIA3IL8INOHPANJCTCA14UTCO10NE4MO9KYWVVAMDDERIAZ1NMKS5ARTN1NCSCDCOKLAMS1ALGAAKHITX29FL
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Wyoming player grew up 762 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

9th-farthest from home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%310–911 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi8%8 of 106 players
Farthest2,290 miJunus McGraw · Anchorage, AK
Closest41 miDrew Jackson · Cheyenne, WY

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to War Memorial Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 106 of 115 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns WY · 2026 roster

8.8% of the Wyoming roster grew up in WY.

10 of 114 players, drawn from 28 states in all. That is the 129th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

TX · 20CO · 18CA · 11WY · 10MO · 9IL · 6NE · 5KS · 4+20 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

114 players across 28 states. Biggest pull outside WY: TX (20).

MEVTNHWAID1MTNDMN3WI2MINY1MAORNV4WY10SD1IA3IL6INOH1PA2NJ1CTCA11UTCO18NE5MO9KY1WVVAMDDERIAZ1NMKS4AR1TN2NCSCDCOK1LAMS1AL1GA2AK1HITX20FL1
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 1 listed player fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and is excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

Community pulse

No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 47% never transferred. F
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence a bit lower than recent years

19th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
19th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
4.5
Vegas O/U wins
(12th among FBS)
Fan mood aligned with market consensus
Win total consensus · 1 book
PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

The penalty battle is a wash: 17 penalties committed vs. 15 drawn on opponents.

147 penalty yards committed vs. 137 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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