cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Elijah Mc-Cantos /App State

Elijah Mc-Cantos

DB · App State · Jr · #13

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

52 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to App State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to App State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · App State

Returning around him

  • 14% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -3 net (38 in / 41 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

App State · Last season: 5-8 · Talent rank #79 · 2026 recruiting class #116

DB · APP STATE · SUN BELT

Elijah Mc-Cantos

  • 3
  • #13
  • 6-0 | 190 lb
  • Miami, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

50

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 75th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#15109

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#690 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class3
Jersey13
Measurements6-0 | 190 lb
HometownMiami, FL
Primary teamApp State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 690 recruit
Composite rating 0.8737 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin Edison Miami, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8737 No. 690 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#15109Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#15189Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8737

#690 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Elijah Mc-Cantos

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Elijah Mc-Cantos

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
52Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
61Tackles
1.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 52): needs 14/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 52): needs 24/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Elijah Mc-Cantos is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on App State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #15109 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 52 28 solo | #550/4942 (89th pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
52 89th
SOLO
28 87th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th
INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 34-11@ Charlotte410.00.01
Wk 2W 20-13vs Lindenwood1
Wk 3L 22-38@ Southern Miss431.00.00
Wk 5L 14-47@ Boise State540.00.01
Wk 6W 27-23vs Oregon State630.00.00
Wk 7W 41-20@ Georgia State630.00.00
Wk 8L 37-45vs Coastal Carolina220.00.010
Wk 9L 21-24@ Old Dominion400.00.00
Wk 12L 10-58@ James Madison530.00.00
Wk 13W 26-24vs Marshall710.00.00
Wk 14L 29-30vs Arkansas State980.00.00Season-high 9 tackles
Total52281.00.022
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Illinois8-5HC: Bret Bielema · Run-leaning
2023Illinois5-7HC: Bret Bielema · Balanced
2025App State5-8HC: Dowell Loggains · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025App State52281.00.022--
2023Illinois530.00.0------
2022Illinois1--0.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons58311.00.022--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 0 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 52 #550/4942 89th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 35 #185/578 68th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 28 #608/4584 87th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 17.5 #249/578 57th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g4.80.00.00.0
Road6g4.70.20.00.3

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins5g4.60.00.00.2
Losses6g4.80.20.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.20.20.00.3
Weeks 8+5g5.40.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

50Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (81st). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Tackles#550 / 2975 · 81st pct
52defe
Solo tackles#608 / 2975 · 79th pct
28defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Elijah Mc-CantosApp StateTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 81% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 78% simDevin LafayetteTroy· 77% sim
Tackles
81
Mc-Cantos
99
Ra-El
98
Martin
99
Lafayette
Solo tackles
79
Mc-Cantos
100
Ra-El
87
Martin
98
Lafayette
Interceptions
75
Mc-Cantos
31
Martin
75
Lafayette
Passes defended
67
Mc-Cantos
91
Ra-El
67
Martin
91
Lafayette
Tackles for loss
28
Mc-Cantos
56
Ra-El
63
Martin
56
Lafayette
Sacks
24
Mc-Cantos
24
Ra-El
24
Martin
63
Lafayette
QB hurries
22
Mc-Cantos
22
Ra-El
22
Martin
22
Lafayette

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Taj Ward’s 2023 season.

Taj Ward

89%match

Cincinnati · 2023

#2

Kamo'i Latu

Wisconsin · 2022

89%
#3

Marcus Banks

Mississippi State · 2023

88%
#4

Marcus Fuqua

Buffalo · 2023

86%
#5

Quinton Reese

Liberty · 2023

88%

Matches Taj on

Height
PD rate
Tackle volume

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Alex Odom's senior season at Temple (2023).

Alex Odom

86%match

Temple · 2023

#2

Malcolm Jones

Jacksonville State · 2025

74%
#3

Jalen Woods

UCLA · 2025

72%
#4

Sione Fotu

Houston · 2025

70%
#5

Jake St. Andre

Louisiana · 2025

70%

Matches Alex on

Class year
Height
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dowell Loggains

Pass share

55.6%

508 pass / 405 run

Plays / game

70.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.7%

389 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Shawn Clark
App State
2023
Shawn Clark
App State
2025
Dowell Loggains
App State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Shawn Clark → Dowell Loggains. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMiami, FL
Height6'0"
Weight190 lb
Class3
PositionDB
Jersey13

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 App State DB3 #15109 #15189 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Illinois DB3 #12749 #12734 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Illinois DB3 #9227 #8840 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 App State Sun Belt DB 3 No. 13 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Miami, FL
2024 App State Sun Belt DB 3 No. 13 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Miami, FL
2023 Illinois Big Ten DB 3 No. 13 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Miami, FL
2022 Illinois Big Ten DB 3 No. 13 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Miami, FL