CFB Zeitgeist Score
38
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 45th percentile.
Alvon Isaac
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
350 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 73 CARRIES
In Portal · 2026
In transfer portal
RB · SOUTH FLORIDA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
CFB Zeitgeist Score
38
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 45th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#4141
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepRotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-star | 0.8500 | No. 1565 recruit | HighSchool | South Florida |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | South Florida -> -- | 3-star | 0.8500 | Withdrawn |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to South Florida
Composite
0.8500
#1565 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Alvon Isaac is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 350 rushing yards, 12 catches, and 350 return yards for South Florida. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
Receiving
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 34-7vs Boise State | 3 | 52 | 17.3 | 0 | 49 | |
| Wk 2 | W 18-16@ Florida | 5 | 36 | 7.2 | 0 | 22 | |
| Wk 3 | L 12-49@ Miami | 6 | 20 | 3.3 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 4 | W 63-14vs South Carolina State | 7 | 13 | 1.9 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 6 | W 54-26vs Charlotte | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 7 | W 63-36@ North Texas | 12 | 64 | 5.3 | 0 | 11 | Season-high 64 yds |
| Wk 8 | W 48-13vs Florida Atlantic | 8 | 19 | 2.4 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 9 | L 31-34@ Memphis | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 11 | W 55-23vs UTSA | 5 | 14 | 2.8 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 12 | L 38-41@ Navy | 7 | 32 | 4.6 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 13 | W 48-18@ UAB | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 14 | W 52-3vs Rice | 6 | 22 | 3.7 | 0 | 8 | |
| Bowl | L 10-24vs Old Dominion | 7 | 41 | 5.9 | 0 | 12 | |
| Total | 73 | 350 | 5.5 | 0 | 49 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | South Florida | 73 | 350 | 4.8 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 73 | 350 | 4.8 | 0 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | South Florida | 12 | 120 | 10.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 12 | 120 | 10.0 | 0 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 350 | #233/735 | 68th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #447/739 | 40th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.8 | #326/735 | 56th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 12 | #180/552 | 68th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 120 | #131/548 | 76th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.03 | #325/362 | 10th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 66 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 9.5% | #332/738 | 55th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 73 | #233/739 | 69th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 49 | #173/733 | 77th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 29 | #133/540 | 76th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 10.0 | #121/548 | 78th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 224 | #32/200 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 126 | #6/27 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 22.4 | #49/199 | 76th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 21.0 | #5/27 | 85th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 10 | #31/206 | 85th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt returns | 6 | #10/29 | 69th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 15.0% | #349/738 | 53rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 11.1% | #314/738 | 58th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 10.7% | #316/738 | 57th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 10.4% | #340/738 | 54th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 7.1% | #334/738 | 55th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 5.6% | #417/738 | 44th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 3.2% | #287/738 | 61st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #78/256 | 70th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 26.0 | 6.4 | 0.0 |
| Road6g | 28.0 | 4.4 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 27.3 | 6.0 | 0.0 |
| Losses4g | 26.0 | 4.4 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 35.3 | 7.3 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 17.2 | 3.3 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
Concern: rush tds (3rd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Patrick Smith’s 2022 season.
Patrick Smith
Cam Davis
Clay Ash
Jocquez Smith
Jordan Houston
Matches Patrick on
Differs from Patrick on
Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Rickey Spruill’s path through Wagner.
Rickey Spruill
Justin Henderson
Ryan Ingram
Bryant Barr
Travis Theis
Matches Rickey on
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Clay Ash's sophomore season at West Virginia (2025).
Clay Ash
Patrick Smith
Duke Watson
Diore Hubbard
DJ Butler
Matches Clay on
Differs from Clay on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Alex Golesh
Pass share
44.8%
404 pass / 498 run
Plays / game
69.4
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.8%
291 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Alex Golesh.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | South Florida | RB2 | #4141 | #4401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | American Athletic |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | South Florida | American Athletic | RB | 2 | No. 10 | 5-9 | 185 lb | Hawthorne, FL |
| 2024 | South Florida | American Athletic | RB | 2 | No. 10 | 5-9 | 185 lb | Hawthorne, FL |