Will Hall

Head coach · Tulane
1st season · since 2026 · Southern Miss before

At Tulane4-4since 2026 · 4-4 this seasonHot seatCool1% · 95th of 132 jobsLast gameW 38-31at Charlotte · Oct 30Nextvs TulsaSat Nov 7 · 12 pm ET · ESPNU
This week · as of Wed Nov 4

4-4, on track for 6-6 in the regular season.

Now

Career arc

Stature score reached, by season of his head-coaching careerFBS medianSouthern MissTulaneLouisiana TechLouisiana TechNational Programrespectable, streakyRegional Programthe building-block levelSouthern Miss when he took over: 15.6 (Regional Program III), its final 2020 readingtook overSouthern Miss, 2021: 3-9, Regional Program IVSouthern Miss, 2021: 3-9, Regional Program IV20213-9Southern Miss, 2022: 7-6, Regional Program IV20227-6Southern Miss, 2023: 3-9, Regional Program IV20233-9Southern Miss, 2024: 1-6, Regional Program IVSouthern Miss, 2024: 1-6, Regional Program IV20241-6-2.5Tulane when he took over: 31.6 (National Program II), its final 2025 readingtook overTulane, 2026: 4-4, National Program IITulane, 2026: 4-4, National Program II20264-4-0.3best: 2026gray dashed: rival programs · ○ the program when he took over · Dashed segments are program changes — spacing is not proportional to calendar time

Bowls and playoffs: 1-0

Southern Miss2022LendingTree BowlW 38-24

This week Wed Nov 4

  • Last gameW 38-31 at Charlotte Fri Oct 30
  • This season4-4
  • On track for6-6 regular season
  • Nextvs. Tulsa Sat Nov 7
  • Stature63rd of 138 FBS programs

Saturday: vs. Tulsa

Sat Nov 7, 12 pm ET ESPNU · Tulsa is 4-4 · First meeting between Hall and Tre Lamb as head coaches · Tulane’s chance to win: 50% (the site’s model)

His week

Tulane Green Wave · 378 views by Wednesday

A few headlines named him in the last 7 days

78th of 138 FBS head coaches

What they are talking about, week and season

Offense: 111th of 138 per play. Defense: 74th.

Offense, per play111thOffense, big plays1stDefense, per play74thDefense, points allowed per trip inside the 4040thWorstBest
Offense, per play111th of 138Offense, big plays1st of 138Defense, per play74th of 138Defense, points allowed per trip inside the 4040th of 138WorstBest
Through 8 games. Each tick is an FBS team, adjusted for opponent strength (CFB Zeitgeist model); the dot is Tulane. The other two rows are where Tulane stands furthest from the middle. Early-season numbers move a lot.

4 games left

  1. Sat Nov 7vs. Tulsa (4-4)ESPNU50%
  2. Sat Nov 14at Rice (1-7)ESPN+70%
  3. Sat Nov 21vs. North Texas (6-2)33%
  4. Fri Nov 27at South Florida (6-2)30%

Percent: Tulane’s chance to win, from the site’s model. Records are through today. Networks as announced; the rest are set closer to kickoff.

How the season got here

Where Tulane stood among 138 FBS programs by stature after each game (1st is the highest; the CFB Zeitgeist ledger).

54th60th66thPreseason60thDuke L 3-17Duke L 3-17L 3-17Duke60thSouth Alabama W 28-24South Alabama W 28-24W 28-24South Alabama60thKansas State L 20-31Kansas State L 20-31L 20-31Kansas State60thSouthern Miss W 24-21Southern Miss W 24-21W 24-21Southern Miss60thArmy L 17-20Army L 17-20L 17-20Army60thMemphis W 31-17Memphis W 31-17W 31-17Memphis60thUTSA L 19-42UTSA L 19-42L 19-42UTSA60thCharlotte W 38-31Charlotte W 38-31W 38-31Charlotte61st
  1. Oct 26–Nov 1W 38-31 at Charlotte3 headlines · 70th of 138Opinion: Charlotte Marks Make-Or-Break Game for Will Hall Yahoo Sports
  2. Oct 19–25L 19-42 vs. UTSA0 headlines
  3. Oct 12–18W 31-17 vs. Memphis3 headlines · 64th of 138Will Hall's Tulane Green Wave beat Memphis 31-17 Audacy
  4. Oct 5–11L 17-20 at Army3 headlines · 63rd of 138Tulane's Will Hall explains opposing fourth-down decisions in 20-17 loss to Army NOLA.com
  5. Sep 28–Oct 4No game0 headlinesTulane coach Will Hall sees good and bad in sloppy win against Southern Miss NOLA.com
  6. Sep 21–27 · rebuiltW 24-21 vs. Southern Miss4 headlines · 66th of 138

Each week as this page showed it at the time. Weeks marked rebuilt came before this page existed: they were built afterward from only what was known by the end of that week.

Watch the biggest plays from Tulane’s games, ranked by how much each moved the chance to win.

Hot seat

See every job →

This season

1%chance he’s out by the end of this seasonCool95th-hottest of 132 FBS jobs
0%50%+

Our hot-seat model, on his record so far, the win chances for every game he has left, and his contract (a bigger buyout, relative to pay, makes a change costlier). Ranked against the 132 FBS head coaches with 3+ games this season.

His first rated season here.

His hot seat, week by week

The chance he’s out by the end of that season, as it stood after every week of his tenure here, by today’s model.

BoilingHotWarmCool20262026, week 3 (3 games in): 1%, 96th-hottest of 133 FBS jobs2026, week 4 (4 games in): 1%, 100th-hottest of 137 FBS jobs2026, week 5 (4 games in): 1%, 97th-hottest of 137 FBS jobs2026, week 6 (5 games in): 2%, 92nd-hottest of 137 FBS jobs2026, week 7 (6 games in): 1%, 102nd-hottest of 137 FBS jobs2026, week 8 (7 games in): 1%, 98th-hottest of 137 FBS jobs2026, week 9 (8 games in): 1%, 100th-hottest of 137 FBS jobs2026, week 10 (8 games in): 1%, 95th-hottest of 132 FBS jobsnow

What drives his number

The biggest factors, each against the typical FBS job today.

  • ▼ Cooler
    Year 1 · tenure, which this model overrates
    (why?)

    Tenure is one of this model’s strongest inputs, but its weight was set when retirements like Nick Saban’s and Bob Stoops’ still counted as being pushed out, so it overstates how much tenure matters.

  • ▲ Hotter
    4-4, outscored by 23
  • ▼ Cooler
    No previous seasons here to judge him on

What happened to coaches like him, 2004–2025

A different comparison: past coaches, not today’s, grouped by one fact at a time. Neither line knows the games he has left or his contract, so they can sit above or below his chance.

Were 4-4 after 8 games
8% pushed out over results · of 504 coaches
Were in year 1, after 8 games
1% pushed out over results · of 521 coaches
The outcome
Pushed out over results — a firing, forced resignation, mutual parting or non-renewal, each read case by case. Leaving for a better job, or retiring on his own terms, doesn’t count.
Buyout
No figure on file for this coach. The salary database predates the last coaching carousel; a name mismatch is suppressed rather than misattributed.

How good is this number? Checked on every FBS coach from 2010 to 2025, with its percentages calibrated each season on earlier years only: they track what happened — coaches it put near 25% were out about a quarter of the time — and a version pricing the games left with the previous season’s ratings ranked jobs as well as the ranking this page used before. Each week it learns from coaches who were still on the job at that point, so a firing during the season counts. In the Boiling zone it has run a few points high. Every job, and the method.

Poach watch

This winter

2%chance he leaves this winter for a head-coaching job elsewhere, or an NFL coordinator jobSettled70th-highest of 132 FBS head coaches
0%50%+

Our poach model, on his record so far, the win chances for every game he has left, his program, his pay and his background. Ranked against the 132 FBS head coaches this season. The zone words describe the market’s interest; none of them says he is leaving.

What drives his number

The biggest factors in his profile, each against the typical FBS head coach today. The games he has left are priced into the number, not listed here.

  • ▼ Lower
    His first season at Tulane
  • ▲ Higher
    No record for him here before this season · his first year in the job
  • ▲ Higher
    Age 46 · neither at his alma mater nor in the state he was born in
How good is this number? It ranks a head coach who leaves for another head-coaching job ahead of one who stays 78 to 82% of the time, and its average came within a point of the share who actually left. What it can’t do

Tested on every FBS head coach from 2012 through 2025, each season scored by a model fit only on the seasons before it. From three games on, given one coach who left for a head-coaching job elsewhere or an NFL coordinator job and one who stayed, it ranked the one who left ahead 79 to 82% of the time; in a season’s first two games, 78%. Its average chance came within a point of the share who actually left. It counts a move a coach makes while he still holds the job; when his school ends it, that doesn’t count, even if another school then hires him.

  • The live number prices the games he has left with the power model’s ratings from this season. The test priced them with each team’s rating from the season before, because ratings made during past seasons were not kept, so this live version could not be replayed.
  • Programs new to FBS have no FBS record before this season in the data it reads, so their coaches are scored without one.
  • It is frozen: it learns nothing from 2026 until a deliberate refit.
  • A coach hired in December needs his background (age, alma mater, the state he was born in) added before his first game, or he shows as not rated.