South Alabama at Tulane

Away
South Alabama
1-0 L1 · Mixed
Home
Tulane
0-1 W1 · Mixed
Sat, Sep 12 · 11:00 PM · Yulman Stadium

Fan take

How they got here

Last three games · 2025 season

South Alabama · 4-8

Picked #61 in the preseason · now #69.

2-1 in its last three, capped by a 7-point win over Southern Miss as a 2.5-point underdog.

L 26–49 @ Texas State #49 of 668

lost by 23 as a 9.5-point underdog

W 42–35 vs Southern Miss #125 of 668

won by 7 as a 2.5-point underdog

W 26–14 @ UL Monroe #199 of 668

won by 12 as a 4.5-point favorite

L 22–31 vs Louisiana #100 of 668

lost by 9 as a 3.5-point favorite

W 38–31 @ Georgia State #186 of 668

won by 7 as a 6-point favorite

L 14–15 vs Arkansas State #147 of 668

lost by 1 as a 8.5-point favorite

L 24–31 @ Troy #89 of 668

lost by 7 as a 2.5-point favorite

L 22–36 @ North TexasTop 25 #84 of 668

lost by 14 as a 11.5-point underdog

L 20–38 vs Coastal Carolina #120 of 668

lost by 18 as a 14.5-point favorite

L 15–31 @ AuburnTop 25 #41 of 668

lost by 16 as a 26.5-point underdog

L 31–33 vs TulaneTop 25 #66 of 668

lost by 2 as a 13.5-point underdog

W 38–21 vs Morgan State #158 of 668

won by 17 as a 28.5-point favorite

Last three games · 2025 season

Tulane · 11-3

Picked #75 in the preseason · now #74 — about right.

2-1 in its last three, capped by a 13-point win over North Texas as a 2.5-point underdog.

L 10–41 @ Ole MissTop 25 #8 of 668

lost by 31 as a 16.5-point underdog

W 34–21 vs North TexasTop 25 #33 of 668

won by 13 as a 2.5-point underdog

W 27–0 vs Charlotte #243 of 668

won by 27 as a 30.5-point favorite

W 37–13 @ Temple #121 of 668

won by 24 as a 7.5-point favorite

W 35–24 vs Florida Atlantic #116 of 668

won by 11 as a 17.5-point favorite

W 38–32 @ MemphisTop 25 #46 of 668

won by 6 as a 3-point underdog

L 26–48 @ UTSA #46 of 668

lost by 22 as a 6-point favorite

W 24–17 vs Army #81 of 668

won by 7 as a 10.5-point favorite

W 26–19 vs East Carolina #59 of 668

won by 7 as a 7-point favorite

W 31–14 @ Tulsa #124 of 668

won by 17 as a 14.5-point favorite

L 10–45 @ Ole MissTop 25 #16 of 668

lost by 35 as a 11.5-point underdog

W 34–27 vs Duke #69 of 668

won by 7 as a 1.5-point underdog

W 33–31 @ South Alabama #99 of 668

won by 2 as a 13.5-point favorite

W 23–3 vs Northwestern #46 of 668

won by 20 as a 5-point favorite

What’s at stake

Make the CFP field

South Alabama · 1%1% → 1% if win1% → 0% if loss
Tulane · 2%2% → 3% if win2% → 1% if loss

Win the conference

South Alabama · 5%5% → 4% if win5% → 3% if loss
Tulane · 6%6% → 11% if win6% → 10% if loss

Win it all

South Alabama · 0%0% → 0% if win0% → 0% if loss
Tulane · 0%0% → 0% if win0% → 0% if loss

CFP odds as of September 13, 2026

The series

Tulane leads the series 4-1

5 meetings since 2013 · Tulane has won the last 4

  • 2026Tulane 28–24
  • 2025Tulane 33–31
  • 2023Tulane 37–17
  • 2020Tulane 27–24
  • 2013South Alabama 41–39

Best players

South Alabama

Tulane

The line, and the room

South Alabama fans are feeling better about their season (92nd percentile) than Tulane fans are (28th) — even with Tulane favored here.

  • Model · 53%
  • Market · 78%
  • Tulane fans · 28th
  • South Alabama fans · 92nd

Home −9.5 · O/U 48.5

Conditions

83°F · 5 mph wind · Cloudy

Tulane is worth +6.0 points (±3.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 82nd percentile.

69% at home, 51% on the road against FBS opponents (33–15 home, 25–24 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.9 at home vs. away over 79 games — inside the ±6.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 126 miles to get here.

South Alabama 24 – Tulane 28

Tulane 28: 54%South Alabama 24: 46%

Called it — picked Tulane to win.

Recent games

Tulane

  • Wk 1Lat Duke3-17

South Alabama

  • Wk 1Wvs SE Louisiana39-14

Trajectory

2.110.58-0.95Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2South AlabamaTulane

Tulane beat South Alabama 28-24 — exactly what the pregame pick had.