Three real tests left: Memphis 15%, UAB 38%, Rice 66%
Win out 3% · expect 1.9 of 4 more wins
73%NAVY
38%UAB
66%RICE
15%MEM
Temple's chance to win each game left, from our model: Navy 73%, UAB 38%, Rice 66%, Memphis 15%
Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%. Black tick: the betting line’s chance, shown where it differs from ours by 20 points or more.
Bowl chance went from 72% to 8%, peaking at 72% before a game
Our model, entering each game. The letter is the result of the game before it.
StandingTied for 10th in the American Athletic · 1-3 in conference play · All standings
Temple · 2026 schedule and results2-6Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 54% · 0 opponents played so far are in the AP top 25 now.Our rank entering each game: #90 to #116
Win chances are our model for Temple, through 8 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
Line is the closing point spread for Temple: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, big plays)▼
Median odds across sportsbooks · Nov 5. A number with a minus is the favorite: −130 means $130 wins $100. A plus is the underdog: +170 means $100 wins $170.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 8 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
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This week and this season
Worth watchingGames average 50 combined points, even games
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-6
Game feel50even gamescombined pts / game10th highest-scoring of 14 in the American Athletic
Heart rate1-4white-knucklein one-score games (5 of 8)2nd most one-score games of 14 in the American Athletic
Margin-3.0outgunnedavg scoring margin11th best margin of 14 in the American Athletic
Tempo58methodicaloffensive plays / game14th fastest of 14 in the American Athletic
Big plays1.24some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)7th most explosive of 14 in the American Athletic
Home crowd24,270avg attendance6th biggest crowds of 14 in the American Athletic
Measured from 8 games · ranks are among American Athletic teams the same season
Team storyThe story of this team right now, in one line.
The weekly grind
Temple is the North Philadelphia program that Matt Rhule dragged to an AAC title and a top-25 ranking, then watched slide back to the bottom — and is now handing the rebuild to a 275-win coach who refuses to be realistic about how fast the Owls can climb.
Title DroughtSince 2016 · 10 yrs
Fans are sick of being the program everyone treats as a coaching stepping-stone — the place a Rhule or an Addazio uses to get to the next job. They want Keeler's refusal to be realistic to mean…
Read the full program story ↓
Game-day weather57° at kickoff, 0% chance of rain, 20 mph gusts
Temple · Game-day weather
This Saturday: Cool. Bring a jacket.
Temple at Navy · Saturday, Nov. 7 · 3:30 pm ET · CBS Sports Network · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.
57°feels like
0%average rain chance
20 mphwind gusts
96weather score, Comfortable
Forecast, read Thu Nov 5, 5:20 am ET. It can change until kickoff.
Typical at Lincoln Financial Field: kickoff time makes little difference, scores run 90 to 92
This game is at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. The kickoff times below are for Lincoln Financial Field, Temple's home stadium.
At kickoff, 114 regular-season Saturdays at each kickoff time, 2018 to 2025. Typical means the average of those Saturdays. It is not a forecast.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50. Gusts count toward the score (up to 15 points). Average rain chance: the hourly chances of rain over the first 3 hours and 20 minutes, averaged.
Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience
Temple is the American Athletic program whose 2016 10-4 + AAC championship under Matt Rhule + Lincoln Financial Field NFL-stadium-shared identity define what Philadelphia-G5-football looks like.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site
Range of outcomes · Temple · 2026