CFB Zeitgeist Score
38
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.
Kelby Collins
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
10 TACKLES · 2 SACKS
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to South Carolina
2025Alabama
2026South Carolina
DL · ALABAMA · SEC
Kelby Collins
- 3
- #17
- 6-4 | 275 lb
- Gardendale, AL
Heisman Heat
#11238
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DEFENSE AWARD
Nagurski
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4-star | 0.9764 | No. 45 recruit | HighSchool | Florida |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Alabama -> South Carolina | 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate |
| 2025 | Florida -> Alabama | 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Florida
Composite
0.9764
#45 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Kelby Collins
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Kelby Collins
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 8g
10Tackles
3Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
1Tackles
0.4Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
16Tackles
4.9Tackles for loss
3.2Sacks
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 10): needs 14/game over remaining 5.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 10): needs 18/game over remaining 5.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 2): needs 0.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 2): needs 1.6/game over remaining 5.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Kelby Collins is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Alabama's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 3.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
10 42nd
SOLO
3 28th
TFL
3.0 80th
SACK
2.0 90th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 8 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 17-31@ Florida State | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | W 73-0vs UL Monroe | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 5 | W 24-21@ Georgia | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 6 | W 30-14vs Vanderbilt | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | W 27-24@ Missouri | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 12 | L 21-23vs Oklahoma | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 2 tackles |
| Wk 13 | W 56-0vs Eastern Illinois | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Bowl | W 34-24@ Oklahoma | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 10 | 3 | 3.0 | 2.0 | — | 0 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Florida5-7HC: Billy Napier · Balanced
2024Florida8-5HC: Billy Napier · Run-leaning
2025Alabama11-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 10 | #2859/4942 | 42nd pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 3.0 | #1006/4972 | 80th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 2.0 | #491/4972 | 90th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 3 | #3280/4584 | 28th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 8 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Road4g | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Losses2g | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+2g | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort
38Mid-pack
Concern: solo tackles (1st).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · DL · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Kelby CollinsAlabamaMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 44% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 42% simJackson KuwatchMiami (OH)· 40% sim
Sacks
Tackles for loss
QB hurries
Passes defended
Tackles
Solo tackles
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The 3-Tech Penetrator
Disruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield.
IDL
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ramon Puryear’s 2023 season.
Ramon Puryear
86%match
#2
Rueben Bain Jr.
HendricksConsensus All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 15
84%
#3
Isaiah McGuire
All-SECNFL Rd 4
84%
#4
Jamree Kromah
83%
#5
Dylan Horton
NFL Rd 4
82%
Matches Ramon on
TFL rate
Sack rate
Weight
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Myles Murphy's junior season at Clemson (2022).
Myles Murphy
86%match
All-ACCNFL Rd 1 · Pk 29
#2
Rueben Bain Jr.
HendricksConsensus All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 15
85%
#3
Matayo Uiagalelei
All-Big Ten
84%
#4
Jared Verse
1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 19
83%
#5
Isaiah Foskey
Consensus All-AmericanNFL Rd 2 · Pk 9
78%
Matches Myles on
Class year
Weight
TFL rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kalen DeBoer
Pass share
53.4%
523 pass / 456 run
Plays / game
65.3
15 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.8%
384 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Nick Saban
Alabama
2024era →
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama
2025
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama
Coaching transition mid-career: Nick Saban → Kalen DeBoer. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownGardendale, AL
Height6'4"
Weight275 lb
Class3
PositionDL
Jersey17
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamAlabama
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.