CFB Zeitgeist Score
42
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 67th percentile.
Will Crowder
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
1,327 PASS YDS · 11 PASS TD · 30 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Troy for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · Troy
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Troy · Last season: 8-6 · Talent rank #99 · 2026 recruiting class #82
QB · TROY · SUN BELT
CFB Zeitgeist Score
42
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 67th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#321
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2025Up 4639% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8726 | No. 635 recruit | HighSchool |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | West Virginia -> Troy | 3-star | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8726
#635 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,327): needs 334.6/game over remaining 5.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,327): needs 534.6/game over remaining 5.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 11): needs 2.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 11): needs 3.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 11): needs 4.8/game over remaining 5.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Will Crowder's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Troy, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Steady volume against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
Passing Production
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 8 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 38-20vs Nicholls | 14/24 | 144 | 3 | 0 | 6.0 | 72.3 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 2 | L 16-27@ Clemson | 19/31 | 223 | 1 | 3 | 7.2 | 54.4 | 3 INTs — rough day |
| Wk 3 | L 7-28vs Memphis | 2/3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2.3 | 11.0 | |
| Wk 12 | L 0-33@ Old Dominion | 11/21 | 98 | 0 | 1 | 4.7 | 4.5 | |
| Wk 13 | W 31-19vs Georgia State | 27/43 | 361 | 4 | 0 | 8.4 | 53.3 | Season-high 361 yds |
| Wk 14 | W 28-18@ Southern Miss | 24/34 | 285 | 3 | 1 | 8.4 | 55.7 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 15 | L 14-31@ James Madison | 15/34 | 196 | 0 | 0 | 5.8 | 35.1 | |
| Bowl | L 13-17@ Jacksonville State | 3/6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 67.1 | |
| Total | 115/196 | 1327 | 11 | 5 | 5.6 | 44.2 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Troy | 115 | 196 | 58.7% | 1,327 | 6.8 | 11 | 5 | 129.0 | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Troy | 44 | 63 | 69.8% | 547 | 8.7 | 5 | 0 | 169.0 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Troy | 9 | 13 | 69.2% | 94 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 155.4 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | West Virginia | 6 | 6 | 100.0% | 57 | 9.5 | 1 | 0 | 234.8 | -- | -- |
| 2021 | West Virginia | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 28 | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 217.6 | -- | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 176 | 280 | 62.9% | 2,053 | 7.3 | 18 | 5 | 142.1 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Troy | 57 | 30 | 0.5 | 2 | -- |
| 2024 | Troy | 17 | 63 | 3.7 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | Troy | 6 | -4 | -0.7 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | West Virginia | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2021 | West Virginia | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 81 | 93 | 1.1 | 3 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,327 | #124/382 | 68th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 11 | #99/407 | 76th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 115 | #127/383 | 67th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 58.7% | #236/383 | 39th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.8 | #199/382 | 48th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 30 | #216/408 | 47th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.12 | #182/200 | 10th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 181 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 45.4% | #112/428 | 74th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 196 | #125/407 | 70th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 5 | #276/407 | 32nd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 57 | #108/408 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 16 | #207/391 | 47th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 2 | #113/408 | 73rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 0.5 | #321/407 | 21st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 73.2% | #134/428 | 69th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 55.6% | #127/428 | 71st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 54.3% | #136/428 | 68th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 47.9% | #94/428 | 78th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 40.5% | #106/428 | 75th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 37.5% | #123/428 | 71st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 14.1% | #111/428 | 74th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/258 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 8 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home3g | 171 | 2.3 | 5.6 | 0.0 |
| Road5g | 163 | 0.8 | 5.7 | 1.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 263 | 3.3 | 7.6 | 0.3 |
| Losses5g | 107 | 0.2 | 4.4 | 0.8 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 96.8 | 1.0 | 4.4 | 0.8 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 235 | 1.8 | 6.8 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Elite: fumbles lost (91st). Concern: completion % (27th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Concerns: EPA / dropback.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jacob Zeno’s 2022 season.
Jacob Zeno
Ken Seals
Aidan Armenta
Grant Wilson
AJ Swann
Matches Jacob on
Differs from Jacob on
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Bryson Barnes’s path through Utah State.
Bryson Barnes
Braylon Braxton
Ben Gulbranson
Noah Kim
Lunch Winfield
Matches Bryson on
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Grayson James's graduate season at Boston College (2025).
Grayson James
Preston Stone
Hudson Card
Miller Moss
Nick Vattiato
Matches Grayson on
Differs from Grayson on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Gerad Parker
Pass share
47.1%
431 pass / 484 run
Plays / game
65.4
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
17.0%
342 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
3 coachesPlayed under 3 different head coaches: Chip Lindsey, Jon Sumrall, and Gerad Parker. Multi-era developmental context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Troy | QB3 | #321 | #470 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | Troy | QB3 | #227 | #139 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2022 | West Virginia | QB3 | #624 | #685 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2021 | West Virginia | QB3 | #649 | #547 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Troy | Sun Belt | QB | 3 | No. 9 | 6-2 | 215 lb | Gardendale, AL |
| 2024 | Troy | Sun Belt | QB | 3 | No. 9 | 6-2 | 215 lb | Gardendale, AL |
| 2023 | Troy | Sun Belt | QB | 3 | No. 9 | 6-2 | 215 lb | Gardendale, AL |
| 2022 | West Virginia | Big 12 | QB | 3 | No. 9 | 6-2 | 215 lb | Gardendale, AL |
| 2021 | West Virginia | Big 12 | QB | 3 | No. 9 | 6-2 | 215 lb | Gardendale, AL |