cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Will Crowder /Troy

Will Crowder

QB · Troy · Jr · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

1,327 PASS YDS · 11 PASS TD · 30 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Troy for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Troy for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Quarterback · Troy

Returning around him

  • 33% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (14 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Troy · Last season: 8-6 · Talent rank #99 · 2026 recruiting class #82

QB · TROY · SUN BELT

Will Crowder

  • 3
  • #9
  • 6-2 | 215 lb
  • Gardendale, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

42

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 67th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#321

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2025
28.02021
57.02022
94.02023
5472024
1,3272025

+4639%

Up 4639% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#635 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class3
Jersey9
Measurements6-2 | 215 lb
HometownGardendale, AL
Primary teamTroy

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 635 recruit
Composite rating 0.8726 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin Gardendale Gardendale, AL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8726 No. 635 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Troy 2023
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 5, 2022
Season Move Context
2023 West Virginia -> Troy 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#321Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#470Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8726

#635 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Will Crowder

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Crowder Throws Four TD Passes, Troy Knocks Off Georgia State on Senior Day &nbsp"Own fansNational: 2 mentions · belief +100 · "Hello, we’re the Troy Trojans (high = 64, low = 96). You may remember me from th"National
  • Own fans · n=1
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Will Crowder

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
1,327Pass yards
11Pass TDs
5INT
Per game
165.9Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
2,156Pass yards
18Pass TDs
8INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,327): needs 334.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,327): needs 534.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 11): needs 2.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 11): needs 3.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 11): needs 4.8/game over remaining 5.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Will Crowder's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Troy, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #321 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 45.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 1,327 11 TD | 5 INT | #124/382 (68th pct)
Completion rate 58.7% 115/196 completions | #236/383 (39th pct)
Yards/attempt 6.8 Explosiveness through the air | #199/382 (48th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Steady volume against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Steady volume

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
115 67th
ATT
196 70th
CMP%
58.7% 39th
Y/A
6.8 48th

Passing Production

YDS
1,327 68th
TD
11 76th
INT
5 32nd

Rushing

CAR
57 74th
YDS
30 47th
YPC
0.5 21st
TD
2 73rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 38-20vs Nicholls14/24144306.072.33 TD passes
Wk 2L 16-27@ Clemson19/31223137.254.43 INTs — rough day
Wk 3L 7-28vs Memphis2/37002.311.0
Wk 12L 0-33@ Old Dominion11/2198014.74.5
Wk 13W 31-19vs Georgia State27/43361408.453.3Season-high 361 yds
Wk 14W 28-18@ Southern Miss24/34285318.455.73 TD passes
Wk 15L 14-31@ James Madison15/34196005.835.1
BowlL 13-17@ Jacksonville State3/613002.267.1
Total115/19613271155.644.2
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021West Virginia6-6HC: Neal Brown · Balanced
2022West Virginia5-7HC: Neal Brown · Balanced
2023Troy11-3HC: Jon Sumrall · Balanced
2024Troy4-8HC: Gerad Parker · Run-leaning
2025Troy8-6HC: Gerad Parker · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Troy11519658.7%1,3276.8115129.0----
2024Troy446369.8%5478.750169.0----
2023Troy91369.2%947.210155.4----
2022West Virginia66100.0%579.510234.8----
2021West Virginia22100.0%2814.000217.6----
Career5 loaded seasons17628062.9%2,0537.3185142.1----
SeasonTeam
2025Troy57300.52--
2024Troy17633.71--
2023Troy6-4-0.70--
2022West Virginia144.00--
2021West Virginia----------
Career5 loaded seasons81931.13--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 30 2 rush TD | #216/408 (47th pct)
Usage 45.4% 73.2% pass share | 14.1% rush share | #112/428 (74th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.12 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #182/200 (10th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 1,327 #124/382 68th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 11 #99/407 76th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 115 #127/383 67th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 58.7% #236/383 39th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 6.8 #199/382 48th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 30 #216/408 47th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.12 #182/200 10th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 181 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 45.4% #112/428 74th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 196 #125/407 70th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 5 #276/407 32nd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 57 #108/408 74th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 16 #207/391 47th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #113/408 73rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 0.5 #321/407 21st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 73.2% #134/428 69th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 55.6% #127/428 71st pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 54.3% #136/428 68th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 47.9% #94/428 78th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 40.5% #106/428 75th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 37.5% #123/428 71st pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 14.1% #111/428 74th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/258 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home3g1712.35.60.0
Road5g1630.85.71.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins3g2633.37.60.3
Losses5g1070.24.40.8

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-74g96.81.04.40.8
Weeks 8+4g2351.86.80.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

42Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (91st). Concern: completion % (27th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 174 · 91st pct
0fumb
Interceptions#53 / 183 · 67th pct
5pass
Pass TDs#99 / 183 · 45th pct
11pass
Rush TDs#101 / 183 · 39th pct
2rush
Yards / att#110 / 183 · 38th pct
6.8pass
Pass yards#124 / 183 · 33rd pct
1327pass
Rush yards#131 / 183 · 29th pct
30rush
Completion %#133 / 183 · 28th pct
58.7%pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Concerns: EPA / dropback.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.120
23th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.12Below (<p25) (n=94)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Will CrowderTroyNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 81% simDrake LindseyMinnesota· 78% simCade KlubnikClemson· 72% sim
Fumbles lost
91
Crowder
66
Vattiato
91
Lindsey
66
Klubnik
Interceptions
67
Crowder
44
Vattiato
56
Lindsey
56
Klubnik
Pass TDs
45
Crowder
64
Vattiato
72
Lindsey
64
Klubnik
Rush TDs
39
Crowder
39
Vattiato
59
Lindsey
59
Klubnik
Yards / att
38
Crowder
13
Vattiato
16
Lindsey
63
Klubnik
Pass yards
33
Crowder
57
Vattiato
61
Lindsey
78
Klubnik
Rush yards
29
Crowder
27
Vattiato
1
Lindsey
42
Klubnik
Completion %
28
Crowder
41
Vattiato
56
Lindsey
73
Klubnik

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Pocket Passer

Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jacob Zeno’s 2022 season.

Jacob Zeno

76%match

UAB · 2022

#2

Ken Seals

Vanderbilt · 2023

76%
#3

Aidan Armenta

UL Monroe · 2025

70%
#4

Grant Wilson

Old Dominion · 2023

69%
#5

AJ Swann

App State · 2025

69%

Matches Jacob on

INT rate
EPA / dropback (adj)
TD rate

Differs from Jacob on

Rush yards / carry (lower)
Recruiting rating (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Bryson Barnes’s path through Utah State.

Bryson Barnes

90%match

Utah State · 2025

All-Mountain West
#2

Braylon Braxton

Southern Miss · 2025

All-Sun Belt
87%
#3

Ben Gulbranson

Stanford · 2025

86%
#4

Noah Kim

Eastern Michigan · 2025

86%
#5

Lunch Winfield

Louisiana · 2025

86%

Matches Bryson on

Height
Completion %
Yards per attempt

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Grayson James's graduate season at Boston College (2025).

Grayson James

29%match

Boston College · 2025

All-ACC
#2

Preston Stone

Northwestern · 2025

All-Big Ten
29%
#3

Hudson Card

Purdue · 2024

27%
#4

Miller Moss

Louisville · 2025

All-Big Ten
26%
#5

Nick Vattiato

Middle Tennessee · 2025

25%

Matches Grayson on

Height

Differs from Grayson on

Class year (lower)
EPA / dropback (adj) (lower)
Yards / attempt (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Gerad Parker

Pass share

47.1%

431 pass / 484 run

Plays / game

65.4

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

17.0%

342 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

3 coaches
2021
Chip Lindsey
Troy
2022
Jon Sumrall
Troy
era →
2023
Jon Sumrall
Troy
2024
Gerad Parker
Troy
era →
2025
Gerad Parker
Troy

Played under 3 different head coaches: Chip Lindsey, Jon Sumrall, and Gerad Parker. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGardendale, AL
Height6'2"
Weight215 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Troy QB3 #321 #470 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Troy QB3 #227 #139 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 West Virginia QB3 #624 #685 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12
2021 West Virginia QB3 #649 #547 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Troy Sun Belt QB 3 No. 9 | 6-2 | 215 lb | Gardendale, AL
2024 Troy Sun Belt QB 3 No. 9 | 6-2 | 215 lb | Gardendale, AL
2023 Troy Sun Belt QB 3 No. 9 | 6-2 | 215 lb | Gardendale, AL
2022 West Virginia Big 12 QB 3 No. 9 | 6-2 | 215 lb | Gardendale, AL
2021 West Virginia Big 12 QB 3 No. 9 | 6-2 | 215 lb | Gardendale, AL