cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Quinn Henicle /Old Dominion

Quinn Henicle

QB · Old Dominion · Fr · #10

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

184 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD · 209 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Old Dominion for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Old Dominion for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · Old Dominion

Returning around him

  • 74% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (15 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Old Dominion · Last season: 10-3 · Talent rank #122 · 2026 recruiting class #102

QB · OLD DOMINION · SUN BELT

Quinn Henicle

  • 1
  • #10
  • 6-2 | 211 lb
  • Downingtown, PA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

22

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 99th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2468

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2316 national
CFB
College
Old Dominion
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class1
Jersey10
Measurements6-2 | 211 lb
HometownDowningtown, PA
Primary teamOld Dominion

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2316 recruit
Composite rating 0.8189 HighSchool
Signed with Old Dominion 2024
Origin Downingtown West Downingtown, PA, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8189 No. 2316 recruit | HighSchool | Old Dominion

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2468Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2761Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Old Dominion

Composite

0.8189

#2316 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Quinn Henicle

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The Hokies lost 45-26 to Old Dominion last year in Blacksburg. [Thomas Hughes]"Rivals
  • Rivals · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Quinn Henicle

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
184Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
26.3Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
341.7Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 184): needs 469.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 184): needs 636/game over remaining 6.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 4.2/game over remaining 6.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 6.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 5.8/game over remaining 6.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Quinn Henicle's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Old Dominion, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2468 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 16.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 4 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 184 0 TD | 0 INT | #236/382 (38th pct)
Completion rate 42.5% 17/40 completions | #359/383 (7th pct)
Yards/attempt 4.6 Explosiveness through the air | #326/382 (15th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Dual-threat

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
17 39th
ATT
40 47th
CMP%
42.5% 7th
Y/A
4.6 15th

Passing Production

YDS
184 38th
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th

Rushing

CAR
44 66th
YDS
209 80th
YPC
4.8 75th
TD
2 73rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 2W 54-6vs North Carolina Central3/520004.042.1
Wk 6W 47-7vs Coastal Carolina1/42000.517.1
Wk 8L 27-63@ James Madison
Wk 10W 31-6@ UL Monroe0/10000.02.9
Wk 12W 33-0vs Troy
Wk 13W 45-10@ Georgia Southern2/535007.031.2
BowlW 24-10@ South Florida11/25127005.140.2
Total17/40184003.326.7
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Old Dominion10-3HC: Ricky Rahne · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Old Dominion174042.5%1844.60081.1----
Career1 loaded season174042.5%1844.60081.1----
SeasonTeam
2025Old Dominion442094.82--
Career1 loaded season442094.82--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 209 2 rush TD | #83/408 (80th pct)
Usage 16.1% 22.5% pass share | 12.3% rush share | #230/428 (46th pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 184 #236/382 38th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 0 #285/407 30th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 17 #233/383 39th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 42.5% #359/383 7th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 4.6 #326/382 15th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 209 #83/408 80th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 16.1% #230/428 46th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 40 #215/407 47th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 51 #45/391 89th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 44 #139/408 66th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.8 #103/407 75th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #113/408 73rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 24.0% #225/428 48th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 22.5% #245/428 43rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 20.9% #235/428 45th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 16.5% #223/428 48th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 14.0% #229/428 47th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 12.3% #241/428 44th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 12.3% #131/428 70th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.22 #83/140 41st pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 36 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 4 #237/258 9th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home3g7.30.02.20.0
Road4g40.50.04.00.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins6g30.70.03.30.0
Losses1g

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-73g49.70.03.20.0
Weeks 8+4g8.80.03.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

22Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (99th). Concern: pass tds (0th).

Interceptions#1 / 183 · 99th pct
0pass
Rush yards#71 / 183 · 62nd pct
209rush
Rush TDs#101 / 183 · 39th pct
2rush
Fumbles lost#154 / 174 · 8th pct
4fumb
Yards / att#180 / 183 · 2nd pct
4.6pass
Completion %#183 / 183 · 1st pct
42.5%pass
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
184pass
Pass TDs#184 / 183 · 0th pct
0pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.22Low (p25–p50) (n=72)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Quinn HenicleOld DominionRyan BrownePurdue· 59% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 54% simLogan FifeNew Mexico State· 54% sim
Interceptions
99
Henicle
14
Browne
44
Vattiato
5
Fife
Rush yards
62
Henicle
61
Browne
27
Vattiato
20
Fife
Rush TDs
39
Henicle
59
Browne
39
Vattiato
26
Fife
Fumbles lost
8
Henicle
18
Browne
66
Vattiato
18
Fife
Yards / att
2
Henicle
23
Browne
13
Vattiato
19
Fife
Completion %
1
Henicle
29
Browne
41
Vattiato
13
Fife
Pass yards
0
Henicle
56
Browne
57
Vattiato
58
Fife
Pass TDs
0
Henicle
33
Browne
64
Vattiato
45
Fife

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ricky Rahne

Pass share

38.0%

330 pass / 539 run

Plays / game

66.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.4%

267 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Ricky Rahne
Old Dominion

Played his entire career under Ricky Rahne.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDowningtown, PA
Height6'2"
Weight211 lb
Class1
PositionQB
Jersey10

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Old Dominion QB1 #2468 #2761 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Old Dominion Sun Belt QB 1 No. 10 | 6-2 | 211 lb | Downingtown, PA
2024 Old Dominion Sun Belt QB 1 No. 10 | 6-2 | 211 lb | Downingtown, PA