Georgia Southern beats Old Dominion 23-15
Team pages: Georgia Southern · Old Dominion
Georgia Southern beat Old Dominion 23-15. Share this game
We had Georgia Southern favored. It won.
Next: Georgia Southern vs App State, Sat Oct 31
Next: Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech, Sat Oct 24 · 5:00 PM ET · Old Dominion underdog by 12.5
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Georgia Southern a 63% chance, and the closing betting line (Georgia Southern was a 3-point favorite) put it at 60%.
The edge changed hands 4 times before Georgia Southern won it.
Up to 74% in the first quarter, then Old Dominion lost it.
Georgia Southern · Q2 13:29Georgia Southern 23-15 Old Dominion
Georgia Southern wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Old Dominion 15-23 Georgia SouthernOld Dominion lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.The two plays that swung it
- 1Q1 9:02Henicle 14-yd runGeorgia Southern 54% → 44% (−10)
- 2Q1 1:10FumbleRoche 5-yd run, fumblesGeorgia Southern 47% → 60% (+13)
The two plays that swung it
- 1Q1 9:02Henicle 14-yd runOld Dominion 46% → 56% (+10)
- 2Q1 1:10FumbleRoche 5-yd run, fumblesOld Dominion 53% → 40% (−13)
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Georgia Southern -3), at 52% for Georgia Southern (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.Watch the plays
The bar and the arrow show Georgia Southern’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.
- Q1, 2:57Gibbs 11-yd TD runties it 7-7Q1, 2:57 · Georgia Southern 7, Old Dominion 7▲10%Georgia Southern’s chance to win, 40% to 50%▲10%Georgia Southern’s chance to win, 40% to 50%▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q1, 1:10Roche 5-yd runfumblesQ1, 1:10 · Georgia Southern 7, Old Dominion 7▲13%Georgia Southern’s chance to win, 47% to 60%▲13%Georgia Southern’s chance to win, 47% to 60%▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q2, 5:42Bryan sacked for a 13-yd lossQ2, 5:42 · Georgia Southern 10, Old Dominion 7▼2%Georgia Southern’s chance to win, 71% to 69%▼2%Georgia Southern’s chance to win, 71% to 69%▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q3, 4:29Helton 11-yd TD pass to GibbsGeorgia Southern leads 23-7Q3, 4:29 · Georgia Southern 23, Old Dominion 7▲8%Georgia Southern’s chance to win, 87% to 95%▲8%Georgia Southern’s chance to win, 87% to 95%▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q4, 12:47Helton intercepted by Gibson at the ODU04, returned 34 yardsillegal block in back on OduQ4, 12:47 · Georgia Southern 23, Old Dominion 723-7score after the play23-7score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q4, 11:13Huff 71-yd TD pass to JohnsonQ4, 11:13 · Georgia Southern 23, Old Dominion 15▲7%Georgia Southern’s chance to win, 83% to 90%▲7%Georgia Southern’s chance to win, 83% to 90%▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q4, 1:20Huff sacked for a 3-yd lossfumblesQ4, 1:20 · Georgia Southern 23, Old Dominion 15▼5%Georgia Southern’s chance to win, 91% to 86%▼5%Georgia Southern’s chance to win, 91% to 86%▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
Every drive
Georgia Southern scored on 5 of its 10 drives; Old Dominion on 2 of its 10.
Georgia Southern’s drives are teal, Old Dominion’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
From Old Dominion’s side
Old Dominion’s best moment: Henicle 14-yd run (Q1 9:02). It lifted Old Dominion’s win chance by 10 points.
What it cost
Georgia Southern’s chance to win the conference rose from 3% to 5%.
Win the conference
Before the game (October 14, 2026) → after this result, in our model.
Georgia Southern plays vs App State on Sat Oct 31 with a 5% chance to win the conference.
Box score
Georgia Southern 23, Old Dominion 15
Georgia Southern covered −3 by 5. The total, 38, stayed under 44.5.
| Team totals | Georgia Southern | Old Dominion |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 405 | 264 |
| Passing | 32 of 41, 272 yds | 15 of 24, 199 yds |
| Rushing | 35 for 133 yds | 32 for 65 yds |
| First downs | 28 | 16 |
| Third down | 3 of 12 | 3 of 10 |
| Fourth down | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| Penalties | 13 for 120 yds | 12 for 100 yds |
| Time of possession | 36:26 | 23:34 |
Georgia Southern leaders
- Passing Turner Helton 23 of 30, 205 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing Tyrese Woodgett 16 for 77 yds; Terrance Gibbs 6 for 44 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Alex Taylor 7 for 75 yds; Andre Greene Jr. 7 for 61 yds
Old Dominion leaders
- Passing Ryan Huff 9 of 14, 115 yds, 1 TD
- Rushing Maurki James 4 for 29 yds; Devin Roche 15 for 25 yds
- Receiving TJ Johnson 2 for 83 yds, 1 TD; Kendall Harris 4 for 47 yds
No rain through the game
67° at kickoff · no rain recorded
October game-day temperatures at S.B. Ballard Stadium
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Norfolk Nas/chamber airport, 3.5 miles away, and Norfolk International Airport, 6.3 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games
Georgia Southern · 2-4
Rated 99th in our preseason ratings, 80th now, up 19 spots.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
W 31-0 vs Charleston Southern #219 of 668
won by 31 as a 28.5-point favorite
Last three games
Old Dominion · 2-4
Rated 65th in our preseason ratings, 112th now.
1-2 in its last three, capped by a 7-point win over App State as an 8.5-point underdog.
Week by week
Old Dominion
- Wk 2Lat Virginia Tech21-44
- Wk 3Lvs East Carolina17-20
- Wk 4Lvs James Madison20-46
- Wk 5Lat Georgia State10-42
- Wk 6Wat App State10-3
Georgia Southern
- Wk 2Lat Clemson7-22
- Wk 3Lat Jacksonville State27-31
- Wk 4Lvs Houston28-42
- Wk 5Wat Coastal Carolina31-24
- Wk 6Lvs James Madison24-27
Power rating by week
Georgia Southern is rated 2.5 points ahead as of week 6. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
Matchups
Biggest mismatch: Old Dominion’s rushing EPA against Georgia Southern, 78 points
Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Old Dominion’s rushing EPA against Georgia Southern’s defense
Old Dominion offense, 1st percentile · Georgia Southern defense, 79th
Old Dominion’s EPA/play against Georgia Southern’s defense
Old Dominion offense, 0th percentile · Georgia Southern defense, 58th
Georgia Southern’s explosive plays against Old Dominion’s defense
Georgia Southern offense, 43rd percentile · Old Dominion defense, 82nd
Season profile, all the rows
Season profile
The series
Old Dominion leads the series 3-2
5 meetings since 2011 · Old Dominion has won the last 3
- 2025Old Dominion 45-10
- 2024Old Dominion 47-19
- 2023Old Dominion 20-17
- 2022Georgia Southern 28-23
- 2011 · neutral siteGeorgia Southern 55-48
Each line is Old Dominion’s chance to win through that meeting. Old Dominion is 1-1 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Georgia Southern fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (95th among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.
Georgia Southern favored by 3 · Total 44.5
How games like this usually go
Georgia Southern by 3, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 252 games since 2025 with a favorite of under 3.5 points.
The market
The spread moved 0.5 points toward Georgia Southern.
The total fell 5 points.
Spread: +2.5 → +3 · Total: 49.5 → 44.5
The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds
Home field
Old Dominion is worth +2.6 points (±3.6) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 25th percentile.
42% at home, 29% on the road against FBS opponents (17-23 home, 13-32 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.9 at home vs. away over 90 games — inside the ±6.9 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 439 miles to get here.
Last meeting in our History pages
- Old Dominion 20, Georgia Southern 17Nov 18, 2023
Where next
Conference standings
Place in the conference, then conference record.
- Old Dominion9th1-2
- Georgia Southern7th1-1