Charleston Southern · Next-Season Outcome Band
Fanbase Health Index · Charleston Southern · medium confidence
FCS Program Prestige · Charleston Southern2025 Coastal Carolina rivalry game
Charleston Southern plays Coastal Carolina in the renewal of the Lowcountry rivalry on September 6, 2025, a symbolic moment of ambition
Charleston Southern5-7Hope-Doping·Offseason
Charleston Southern is the Lowcountry Buccaneer program climbing into FCS relevance, reborn from the Coastal Carolina rivalry and building a new identity.
Standard GapAn in-state rivalry renewed with Coastal Carolina and the ambition to es…
The fanbase believes the Buccaneers have been overlooked by bigger programs, treated as a stepping stone rather than a peer, and they want proof that Charleston Southern can compete at the FCS level.
offseason · quiet
Approaching
21 days
until kickoff · at Lindenwood · Thu Aug 27 · 23:00 UTC
The experience
Charleston Southern is the Lowcountry Buccaneer program climbing into FCS relevance, reborn from the Coastal Carolina rivalry and building a new identity.
The Buccaneers keep the faith.
Charleston Southern · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 3-9
Base 5-7
Ceiling 8-4
floor3-9Sub-.500 season. Playoff bid out of reach.
base5-7Mid-table finish. Conference title a stretch.
ceiling8-4Conference title race. Playoff bid in play.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Warming
Four of five. The board favors this trend.
Streak W1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 5-5
The forecast
Opens Aug 27
vs Lindenwood · away
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on Charleston Southern
—
The Buccaneers keep the faith.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Go Buccaneers."
— Charleston Southern fanbase · recurring line
3 mentions · awaiting signal
Fanbase Health Index · Charleston Southern · medium confidence
Stable (46)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 5-7 (42% win rate)53
Volume — 3 effective signal-N40
Key stats — 2025 — FBS rank
Points/game#130 / 138 · 7th pct16.6
Pts allowed/game#55 / 138 · 61st pct24.0
All 18 stats
Other
First down pass rate#152 / 215 · 30th pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#2 / 7 · 86th pct0.40.0/gm
H1 epa per play opponent#154 / 167 · 8th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct0.40.0/gm
Red Zone & Drive Efficiency (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Red zone trips
Team00.0/gm#165 / 167 · 2nd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Opp90.8/gm#10 / 166 · 95th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#2 / 4 · 75th pct
Red zone score %
Team0.0%0.0%#165 / 167 · 2nd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Opp88.9%88.9%#142 / 166 · 15th pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
Points / drive
Team0.10.0/gm#164 / 167 · 2nd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Opp2.60.2/gm#136 / 166 · 19th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#2 / 4 · 75th pct
Yards / drive
Team16.91.4/gm#163 / 167 · 3rd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Opp45.63.8/gm#144 / 166 · 14th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
Plays / drive
Team6.00.5/gm#151 / 167 · 10th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#3 / 4 · 50th pct
Opp7.40.6/gm#162 / 166 · 3rd pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#4 / 4 · 25th pct
Three-and-out rate
Team40.0%40.0%#164 / 167 · 2nd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#2 / 4 · 75th pct
Opp4.5%4.5%#154 / 166 · 8th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#2 / 4 · 75th pct
Scheme Identity (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Standard-downs success allowed#165 / 172 · 5th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct60.4%60.4%
Passing-downs success#152 / 153 · 1st pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct13.3%13.3%
Line yards / carry allowed#131 / 155 · 16th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct3.33.3
Stuff rate forced#133 / 155 · 15th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct14.1%14.1%
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Charleston Southern · 2025 schedule & results5-7Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 50% · 1 AP top-25 opponent on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | #237 | #49 | +38.5 | @Vanderbilt | L 3–45 59 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #184 | #105 | +27.5 | @Coastal Carolina | L 0–13 78 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #215 | #191 | +2.5 | Lindenwood | L 28–35 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #228 | #181 | +11.5 | @William & Mary | L 7–34 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #240 | #165 | +10.5 | South Carolina State | W 31–24 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #240 | #155 | +13.5 | @Gardner-Webb | L 27–30 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #233 | #90 | +30.5 | Tennessee Tech | L 13–27 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #228 | #245 | -2 | @Western Illinois | W 29–24 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #221 | #236 | -3 | Eastern Illinois | W 17–16 | 3-6 | 2-2 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #222 | #191 | +10.5 | @Southeast Missouri State | W 23–17 | 4-6 | 3-2 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #208 | #168 | +10 | @UT Martin | L 14–17 | 4-7 | 3-3 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #208 | #249 | -12.5 | Tennessee State | W 7–6 | 5-7 | 4-3 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22 | Tennessee State | W 7–6 | — | — | — | -0.048 | 45.9% | 66.8% | Best success rate |
| Nov 15 | @UT Martin | L 14–17 | — | — | — | +0.104 | 40.7% | 152.4% | One-score loss |
| Nov 1 | @Southeast Missouri State | W 23–17 | — | — | — | +0.110 | 32.0% | 164.0% | One-score win |
| Oct 25 | Eastern Illinois | W 17–16 | — | — | — | +0.040 | 40.0% | 126.4% | One-score win |
| Oct 18 | @Western Illinois | W 29–24 | — | — | — | +0.290 | 41.4% | 145.1% | One-score win |
| Oct 11 | Tennessee Tech | L 13–27 | — | — | — | +0.015 | 20.0% | 200.5% | Most explosive |
| Oct 4 | @Gardner-Webb | L 27–30 | — | — | — | +0.367 | 42.9% | 158.6% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 27 | South Carolina State | W 31–24 | — | — | — | +0.143 | 40.4% | 136.3% | One-score win |
| Sep 20 | @William & Mary | L 7–34 | — | — | — | +0.261 | 34.1% | 155.5% | |
| Sep 13 | Lindenwood | L 28–35 | — | — | — | +0.353 | 39.1% | 171.1% | One-score loss |
| Sep 6 | @Coastal Carolina | L 0–13 | — | — | — | -0.233 | 23.9% | 97.9% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Aug 30 | @Vanderbilt | L 3–45 | — | — | — | -0.108 | 19.6% | 149.6% | Defense's roughest night |
| Season average (12 games) | — | — | +0.108 | 35.0% | 143.7% | ||||
Schedule mirage
How much of Charleston Southern's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.11; 41st percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.02. The widest gap came in week 2: -0.17 raw vs. -0.02 adjusted.
Home-Field Advantage · Charleston Southern · 2018-present
Elite
47% home win rate vs 25% on the road. margin runs +14.8 better at home. Buccaneer Field seats 4,000, averaging 94% full (3,765 attendance, 10 games reported).
Home16-18Away11-33
Venue texture
75°F average kickoff temp; 4% of games had measurable precipitation; 9 mph average wind.
Based on 24 home games with weather data.
FCS Program Prestige · Charleston Southern
Mid-Major Contender
All-Time Record
110-131
since 1996 · 24 seasons · .456 win rate
HOME
59-34
AWAY
36-83
NEUTRAL
15-14
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
Big South-OVC Standing · 2025
4th in the Big South-OVC
Charleston Southern sits 4th of 8 in the Big South-OVC at 4-3. Mid-conference — moves up or down depend on rivalry results and the late-season closing run.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | UT Martin | 6-1 |
| 2 | Gardner-Webb | 5-2 |
| 3 | Lindenwood | 5-2 |
| 4 | Charleston Southern | 4-3 |
| 5 | Southeast Missouri State | 3-4 |
| 6 | Western Illinois | 3-4 |
| 7 | Eastern Illinois | 2-5 |
| 8 | Tennessee State | 0-7 |
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
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