Tennessee State · Next-Season Outcome Band
Fanbase Health Index · Tennessee State · medium confidence
FCS Program Prestige · Tennessee State2024 FCS playoff appearance
Tennessee State made the FCS playoffs under Eddie George, proving the Tigers could compete at the highest level
Tennessee State2-10Hope-Doping·Offseason
Tennessee State is the Nashville HBCU Tiger program in transition, anchored by the Eddie George legacy of a 9-4 playoff season, and now rebuilding under new coach Reggie Barlow.
Standard GapA historic HBCU program that had a stellar 2024 season under Eddie Georg…
Tennessee State went 9-4 and made the FCS playoffs under Eddie George in 2024, a moment that energized the Nashville HBCU fanbase and proved the Tigers could compete. But the progr…
offseason · quiet
Approaching
24 days
until kickoff · vs Jackson State · Sun Aug 30 · 00:30 UTC
The experience
Tennessee State is the Nashville HBCU Tiger program in transition, anchored by the Eddie George legacy of a 9-4 playoff season, and now rebuilding under new coach Reggie Barlow.
The Tigers wait in the brush.
Tennessee State · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 0-12
Base 2-10
Ceiling 5-7
floor0-12Sub-.500 season. Playoff bid out of reach.
base2-10Mid-table finish. Conference title a stretch.
ceiling5-7Conference title race. Playoff bid in play.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Hibernating
Zero of five. Reset territory.
Streak L5Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 1-9
The forecast
Opens Aug 30
vs Jackson State · at home
r/cfb this year
[Postgame Thread] Tennessee State Defeats Howard 24-7
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
The Pulse on Tennessee State
—
The Tigers wait in the brush.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Go Tigers."
— Tennessee State fanbase · recurring line
7 mentions · awaiting signal
Fanbase Health Index · Tennessee State · medium confidence
Stable (43)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 2-10 (17% win rate)39
Volume — 6 effective signal-N47
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Tennessee State · 2025 schedule & results2-10Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 46% · 0 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | #161 | #261 | -6.5 | North Carolina A&T | W 24–21 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #226 | #124 | +32.5 | North Dakota State | L 3–59 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #206 | #175 | +1 | Alabama A&M | L 21–23 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #212 | #110 | +31.5 | Tennessee Tech | L 8–35 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #221 | #219 | +5 | @Eastern Illinois | L 7–31 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #229 | #228 | +16.5 | @Southeast Missouri State | L 12–28 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #243 | #197 | +2 | Howard | W 24–7 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #225 | #245 | -3 | Western Illinois | L 16–17 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #223 | #225 | +3.5 | Lindenwood | L 13–35 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #243 | #177 | +14.5 | @UT Martin | L 7–26 | 2-8 | 0-5 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #247 | #166 | +15 | Gardner-Webb | L 14–30 | 2-9 | 0-6 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #249 | #208 | +12.5 | @Charleston Southern | L 6–7 | 2-10 | 0-7 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22 | @Charleston Southern | L 6–7 | — | — | — | +0.018 | 31.7% | 144.2% | One-score loss |
| Nov 15 | Gardner-Webb | L 14–30 | — | — | — | -0.031 | 33.3% | 136.4% | |
| Nov 8 | @UT Martin | L 7–26 | — | — | — | -0.152 | 32.7% | 82.1% | |
| Nov 1 | Lindenwood | L 13–35 | — | — | — | -0.097 | 29.4% | 100.9% | |
| Oct 25 | Western Illinois | L 16–17 | — | — | — | -0.046 | 37.5% | 134.6% | Best defensive stand |
| Oct 18 | Howard | W 24–7 | — | — | — | +0.061 | 25.5% | 191.3% | Most explosive |
| Oct 11 | @Southeast Missouri State | L 12–28 | — | — | — | -0.149 | 24.6% | 179.9% | Defense's roughest night |
| Oct 4 | @Eastern Illinois | L 7–31 | — | — | — | +0.071 | 45.2% | 129.7% | Best success rate |
| Sep 27 | Tennessee Tech | L 8–35 | — | — | — | -0.202 | 32.9% | 107.1% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Sep 13 | Alabama A&M | L 21–23 | — | — | — | +0.164 | 37.3% | 160.7% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 6 | North Dakota State | L 3–59 | — | — | — | -0.133 | 21.7% | 115.0% | Blowout loss |
| Aug 30 | North Carolina A&T | W 24–21 | — | — | — | -0.019 | 30.0% | 164.7% | One-score win |
| Season average (12 games) | — | — | -0.043 | 31.8% | 137.2% | ||||
Schedule mirage
How much of Tennessee State's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is -0.04; 1st percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's -0.03. The widest gap came in week 2: -0.08 raw vs. -0.04 adjusted.
Home-Field Advantage · Tennessee State · 2018-present
Strong
55% home win rate vs 28% on the road. margin runs +10.7 better at home. Nissan Stadium seats 69,143, averaging 8% full (5,728 attendance, 12 games reported).
Home20-16Away11-28
Venue texture
69°F average kickoff temp; 15% of games had measurable precipitation; 8 mph average wind.
Based on 26 home games with weather data.
FCS Program Prestige · Tennessee State
Mid-Major Contender
All-Time Record
126-130-2
since 1972 · 33 seasons · .488 win rate
HOME
59-39-1
AWAY
46-70-1
NEUTRAL
21-21
1970s
1980s
2000s
2010s
2020s
Big South-OVC Standing · 2025
8th in the Big South-OVC
Tennessee State is 8th of 8 in the Big South-OVC at 0-7. The path to the title is steep — the focus is on playoff positioning and rivalry wins.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | UT Martin | 6-1 |
| 2 | Gardner-Webb | 5-2 |
| 3 | Lindenwood | 5-2 |
| 4 | Charleston Southern | 4-3 |
| 5 | Southeast Missouri State | 3-4 |
| 6 | Western Illinois | 3-4 |
| 7 | Eastern Illinois | 2-5 |
| 8 | Tennessee State | 0-7 |
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2024
Eddie George era
Eddie George's presence as head coach brought credibility and a 9-4 season to the Tigers
Moment of the Year · Tennessee State · 2025
Moment of the Year · Tennessee State · 2025Won 24-7 vs Howard
Week 8 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.
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