Tennessee State at Alabama A&M
How they got here
Last two games
Tennessee State · 0-2
Picked #217 in the preseason · now #146 — better than expected.
Two straight losses.
L 3–63 @ GeorgiaTop 25 #4 of 669
lost by 60 as a 49-point underdog
L 24–26 vs Jackson State #147 of 669
lost by 2 as a 12.5-point underdog
What’s at stake
Tennessee State
- Tennessee State needs 6 more wins in the final 9 to reach bowl eligibility.
- Tennessee State is still shaking off a 27-point loss.
Alabama A&M
- Alabama A&M needs 5 more wins in the final 9 to reach bowl eligibility.
- Alabama A&M is coming off a 27-point win.
The series
Alabama A&M leads the series 6-4
10 meetings since 1977 · Alabama A&M has won the last 2
- 2026Alabama A&M 30–3
- 2025Alabama A&M 23–21
- 2010Tennessee State 27–14
- 2009Alabama A&M 24–7
- 2008Tennessee State 34–13
The line, and the room
The model and the market don’t fully agree on Alabama A&M’s chances here.
Home +3.5 · O/U 49.5
Conditions
80°F · 6 mph wind · Clear
Alabama A&M is worth +27.8 points more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile.
100% at home, 0% on the road against FBS opponents (1–0 home, 0–6 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +4.6 at home vs. away over 31 games — inside the ±11.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 96 miles to get here.
Tennessee State 3 – Alabama A&M 30
Called it — picked Alabama A&M to win.
Recent games
Alabama A&M
- Wk 1Lat Howard24-31
- Wk 1Wvs Miles38-23
Tennessee State
- Wk 1Lvs Jackson State24-26
- Wk 1Lat Georgia3-63
Trajectory
Alabama A&M won 30-3, as picked pregame.