Georgia

3-0AP #2

SEC · Kirby Smart, year 11 (120-21) · Sanford Stadium · 92,746 · 93,033 avg in 2026

The nationAP #2 · Coaches #2no change
The model#2 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #2 (+28.2) · FPI #3
The marketGeorgia by 13.5vs Oklahoma · our model 85% Georgia · a number, not a pick

LastW 45–17 at Arkansas · Sat Sep 19 · Raylen Wilson 2 sacks, 2 TFL, 3 tackles

Nextvs Oklahoma · Sat Sep 26 · 3:30 pm ET · Sanford Stadium · Georgia by 13.5 · series 1-0 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 22 · through week 3

Georgia · 2026 schedule & results3-0
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#2#217-49Tennessee StateW 63–3 1181-00-0
2Sep 12#3#47-40.5Western KentuckyW 70–20 1342-00-0
3Sep 19#3#141-24.5@ArkansasW 45–17 1253-01-0
4Sep 26#2#18-13.5Oklahoma
5Oct 3#2#41Vanderbilt
6Oct 10@Alabama
7Oct 17Auburn
9Oct 31Florida (N)
10Nov 7@Ole Miss
11Nov 14Missouri
12Nov 21@South Carolina
13Nov 28Georgia Tech
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 19@ArkansasW 45–17464035:40+0.38253.0%117.3%Season-low EPA/play
Sep 12Western KentuckyW 70–20493228:54+0.55650.0%159.6%Most explosive
Sep 5Tennessee StateW 63–3660028:27+0.74370.5%131.7%Season-high EPA/play
Season average (3 games)5390.7+0.56057.8%136.2%
Verdict Begins·Live

Georgia chased a national title for forty years, won back-to-back, and now measures a 12-2 SEC champion as a disappointment.

AP Poll#2 AP

The growing take that the regular-season machine can't close in January anymore — that the Smart dynasty peaked at two. The fanbase has heard it three straight winters, and it stings precisely…

moderate signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Ahead
Sat Oct 10AP #8 Alabamaat Alabama · on the road
Sat Oct 31Georgia-Floridavs AP #21 Florida · neutral site
Sat Nov 7AP #4 Ole Missat Ole Miss · on the road

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 12-2 · last season

Game feel50even gamescombined pts / game8th highest-scoring of 16 in the SEC
Heart rate4-2some dramain one-score games (6 of 14)5th most one-score games of 16 in the SEC
Margin+14.5comfortableavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 16 in the SEC
Tempo71average paceoffensive plays / game5th fastest of 16 in the SEC
Big plays1.18grind it outexplosiveness (IsoPPP)13th most explosive of 16 in the SEC
Home crowd93,033avg attendance6th biggest crowds of 16 in the SEC

✓ measured from 14 games · ranks are among SEC teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Georgia has won four of its last five.

Warming. 9-1 over the last 10, and won the last three.

Streak W3Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 9-1
I enjoy seeing the investment they’re making in their facilities definitely shows their commitment to helping student-athletes succeed
McGee · On33 days after Georgia's 2026 game against Arkansas
The forecast

Next Sep 26

vs Oklahoma · at home

Season line10.5 winsover -110
EliteEliteBend-don't-break

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total2 booksO/U 10.5▲0.5 since Sep 2026
CFP championship#4 in field+600
SEC title#1 in market+205

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-22

Georgia · the story right now 6 storylines developing

What Georgia's recruiting class is really about

the open questiondoes the recruiting haul translate on the field?

recruitingthis cycle~readnew

Ekene Ogboko (#33 nationally, OT) arrives as Georgia's top recruit, but with 16% QB production returning and Florida signing a top-17 class, the SEC's most storied program faces its sharpest test yet.

what happenedGeorgia signed a top-6 recruiting class. ✓ fact
the contexta top-2 recruiting class in the SEC

our readfront page

money down2025 cycle✓ factnew

Zachariah Branch is a legitimate money-down target -- his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.

our readdeveloping

playoff paththis cycle~readnew

Kirby Smart's 11th season opens with a 12-2 record and a #2 AP finish, yet fan skepticism lingers as the playoff path shifts and the program's identity faces its first test in a decade.

what happenedGeorgia: the playoff path shifting. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

closer2025 cycle~attributednew

Joshua McCray: a closer signal screened this season.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Nate Frazier does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Zachariah Branch is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

How past storylines here turned out

Died downGeorgia's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Georgia · 2026

Georgia's most likely season is 12-3 — a conference title and a CFP semifinal. The floor is 8-5; the ceiling is 16-0.

Floor8-5A bowl game.
Base12-3A conference title and a CFP semifinal.
Ceiling16-0A conference title and a national title.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Georgia · Recruiting Confidence

Georgia signed the top-6 class. Talent in the door isn't the same as talent on the field.

Georgia signed a top-6 recruiting class. It is a top-2 recruiting class in the SEC. A top-6 class is a program-level investment. Development timelines decide the return. The bulls are loud — the coverage treats this class as a program-level statement.

near-unanimous belief where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers20 bull takes
💬 fans: 2% volume · negative overall
Developing3 new this week
yesterdayGeorgia Football Commits Continue To Dominate During 2026 Season — Sports Illustrated
2 days ago5-star Georgia QB decommit making his first career start — UGA Wire
3 days agoNation's No. 1 recruit visits Georgia despite Ohio State commitment — UGA Wire
last weekVizzina cleared to play vs UNC — Reported
last weekWin total: 10 → 10.5 (▲0.5)
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
White Out Recruit
“Impressive Georgia Football Commit Reaps Big "White Out" Visit” — Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-16
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Ekene Ogboko (#33 nationally, OT) arrives as Georgia's top recruit, but with 16% QB production returning and Florida signing a top-17 class, the SEC's most storied program faces its sharpest test yet.
Source of record: Georgia signed a top-6 recruiting class — a top-2 recruiting class in the SEC.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards quiet
📣Believers20 bullish/recruiting items -- the case it's working.

The optimistic read: the class is real, the program is a destination again.

“5-star Georgia QB decommit making his first career start”
UGA Wire · 2026-09-20 · read ↗
“Georgia football recruiting podcast: Which 5-Star recruit was impressed the most after UGA’s whiteout?”
DawgNation · 2026-09-16 · read ↗
“Impressive Georgia Football Commit Reaps Big "White Out" Visit”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-16 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The 'rankings don't tell the whole story' counter -- development gaps, position holes still open.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards2% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines. Board mood this week: negative overall · anger notable (71%).

This event was in 248 of 13020 board posts (2%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"I don’t care about the No. 4 rank, but fer chrissakes at least get your analysis right. 1. “The Bulldogs have played one of the worst schedules in the country to this point. That w"
r/georgiabulldogs ~ fan take
"UGA will be screwed in another two years. We still have players from the 2023-2024 classes, but now we can hardly get 5 stars to consider us. This will be the last year Kirby has t"
r/CFB ~ fan take

Board health this week (314 posts): 19% positive · 44% neutral · 37% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

Belief EKG
2023 season2022 season2021 seasonW 34-3 vs Clemson (Wk 1)W 48-3 vs Tennessee Tech (Wk 2)W 13-12 vs Kentucky (Wk 3)L 34-41 vs Alabama (Wk 5)W 31-13 vs Auburn (Wk 6)W 41-31 vs Mississippi State (Wk 7)W 30-15 vs Texas (Wk 8)W 34-20 vs Florida (Wk 10)L 10-28 vs Ole Miss (Wk 11)W 31-17 vs Tennessee (Wk 12)HIGHLOW
2024 season2022 season2021 seasonW 48-7 vs UT Martin (Wk 1)W 45-3 vs Ball State (Wk 2)W 24-14 vs South Carolina (Wk 3)W 49-21 vs UAB (Wk 4)W 27-20 vs Auburn (Wk 5)W 51-13 vs Kentucky (Wk 6)W 37-20 vs Vanderbilt (Wk 7)W 43-20 vs Florida (Wk 9)W 30-21 vs Missouri (Wk 10)W 52-17 vs Ole Miss (Wk 11)W 38-10 vs Tennessee (Wk 12)W 31-23 vs Georgia Tech (Wk 13)L 24-27 vs Alabama (Wk 14)HIGHLOW
2024 season2023 season2021 seasonW 49-3 vs Oregon (Wk 1)W 33-0 vs Samford (Wk 2)W 48-7 vs South Carolina (Wk 3)W 39-22 vs Kent State (Wk 4)W 26-22 vs Missouri (Wk 5)W 42-10 vs Auburn (Wk 6)W 55-0 vs Vanderbilt (Wk 7)W 42-20 vs Florida (Wk 9)W 27-13 vs Tennessee (Wk 10)W 45-19 vs Mississippi State (Wk 11)W 16-6 vs Kentucky (Wk 12)W 37-14 vs Georgia Tech (Wk 13)W 50-30 vs LSU (Wk 14)W 42-41 vs Ohio State (Wk 18)HIGHLOW
2024 season2023 season2022 seasonW 10-3 vs Clemson (Wk 1)W 56-7 vs UAB (Wk 2)W 40-13 vs South Carolina (Wk 3)W 62-0 vs Vanderbilt (Wk 4)W 37-0 vs Arkansas (Wk 5)W 34-10 vs Auburn (Wk 6)W 30-13 vs Kentucky (Wk 7)W 34-7 vs Florida (Wk 9)W 43-6 vs Missouri (Wk 10)W 41-17 vs Tennessee (Wk 11)W 56-7 vs Charleston Southern (Wk 12)W 45-0 vs Georgia Tech (Wk 13)L 24-41 vs Alabama (Wk 14)W 34-11 vs Michigan (Wk 18)W 33-18 vs Alabama (Wk 20)HIGHLOW
2020 offseason2019 offseasonWire: Eight players drafted out and OT still the exposed nerve — this depth chart tells you whether…Story arc: SEC dribbles out next round of 2026 football scheduling news with release of…Wk 34Wk 4361th11th
2024 season · 11W-3L2023 season · 13W-1L2022 season · 15W-0L2021 season · 14W-1L2025 offseason · fan confidence percentile
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasonsWire eventStory arc

Rival pulse

Florida
Hopeful
+19
Georgia-Florida
Face-off →
South Carolina
Bearish
-26
South Carolina-Georgia

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Georgia is the program that chased the sentence for forty years, and now refuses to leave it.

Offense: EliteDefense: EliteDefensive shape: Bend-don't-break
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2025 · Wk 9Climbed to No. 5 in the AP Top 25Week 8 · Won 43-35 at home over Ole Miss4 · from No. 9
  • 2025 · Wk 6Fell to No. 12 in the AP Top 25Week 5 · Lost 21-24 at home to Alabama7 · from No. 5
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Georgia

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-22
Returning Production69%High continuity
Talent Composite#1 nationally247 composite 1003.7
Portal Additions9Primary repair: QB
Portal Losses16Primary pressure: OT
Draft Loss8Heavy NFL Draft loss (8) — 2 with a next man up identified below
Recruiting Reload#6Top-10 recruiting class
CBin 2 - Gentry Williams3.70out 3 - Dominick Kelly4.00Downgrade
current room: 191 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Hybrid Nickel2023 profilemoves between deep coverage and the slot
Sin 2 - Ja'Marley Riddle3.70out 3 - Joenel Aguero3.80Downgrade
current room: 202 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Rover2025 profileTakeaway threathits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away the kind of DB who takes it back the other way
OTin 1 - TyQuez Richardson3.70out 3 - Nyier Daniels4.28Starter Risk
WRin 1 - Isiah Canion4.50out 1 - Maurice Gleaton Jr.3.49Even
current room: 198 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Possession Receiver2025 profilemoves the chains on third down
EDGEin 1 - Amaris Williams4.50out 1 - Elo Modozie4.00Even
Versatile End2025 profileholds up snap after snap without a weakness to attack
Former four-star
RBin 1 - Dante Dowdell4.00out 1 - Rod Robinson II3.60Even
current room: 213 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Workhorse2025 profileBoom-or-bustjust keeps getting the ball, series after series his yards come in chunks — feast or famine
Third program
Next man up
TE · departedOscar Delp4★ · Rd 3, Pk 9
Confirmed starter
WR · departedZachariah Branch5★ · Rd 3, Pk 15
nowDillon Bell3★ · SR
Confirmed starter
Full roster (129 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Georgia

6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Jalon Walker out for season

    Eight starters already gone to the draft and now Walker's out for the year — Kirby's fall camp depth talk just became the whole story.

  2. News

    Georgia extends OC Mike Bobo

    Eight starters gone to the draft and a No. 2 class coming in — Kirby keeping Bobo means the offense doesn't rebuild, it reloads under the same system.

  3. News

    Vizzina cleared to play vs UNC

    After blowing out WKU 70-20, the Bulldogs get their QB controversy resolved — Vizzina cleared means Kirby's got his guy under center heading into the meat of the SEC schedule.

    Sep 13Reported
  4. News

    Player arrested after leaving team

    Eight starters already gone to the draft and now another body off the roster — Kirby's depth math keeps getting harder before Tennessee State even kicks off.

  5. News

    Georgia RB depth chart updated

    Eight starters drafted and the RB room still moves — Kirby reshuffles the backfield depth while preseason all-SEC voters already have Georgia penciled in as the conference's team to beat.

    Jul 24Reported
  6. News

    Georgia releases projected depth chart

    Eight players drafted out and OT still the exposed nerve — this depth chart tells you whether Kirby patched the trench or just reshuffled names on a thin roster.

    Jun 28Reported
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-4.4 net portal points
(raw ledger: -24.2 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
OT
-8.0
starter risk
CB
-4.2
QB
+4.1
low confidence
DL
-3.7
low confidence
LB
-3.7
low confidence
IOL
-3.6
low confidence
TE
-3.6
low confidence
S
-3.5
WR
+1.0
EDGE
+0.5
RB
+0.4
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★★
Ekene Ogboko
OT · Durham, NC
#37 national
★★★★☆
Kaiden Prothro
TE · Bowdon, GA
#39 national
Blue-chip pedigree, profiling early as a prototypical tight end — 17 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Complete TE archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★★☆
Craig Dandridge
WR · Alpharetta, GA
#81 national
Blue-chip pedigree, profiling early as a prototypical wide receiver — 13 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

32
GA · 19FL · 3NC · 3AZ · 1MD · 1MI · 1OH · 1PA · 1+2 more

GA leads the 2026 class with 19 commits. National footprint reaching 10 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

119 signees across 24 states, 2023-2026. GA leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMI1NY1MA1ORNV1WYSDIA1IL2IN1OH2PA2NJ3CT1CA4UTCONEMO1KYWVVA4MD1DERIAZ1NMKSARTN3NC7SC1DCOKLA1MSAL1GA58AKHITX4FL17
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles

That is 5.4% of every high-school FBS signee GA produced over those cycles — the biggest share any program takes — Georgia Tech is next. The full map →

Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Georgia player grew up 112 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

6th-closest to home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%60–438 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi41%51 of 125 players
Farthest1,988 miNate Frazier · Compton, CA
Closest1 miKhalil Barnes · Athens, GA

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Sanford Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 125 of 129 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns GA · 2026 roster

60% of the Georgia roster grew up in GA.

76 of 127 players, drawn from 25 states in all. That is the 13th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

Signing day undersells it: only 49% of the last 4 classes were from GA, but walk-ons and transfers pull the roster 11 points back toward home.

GA · 76FL · 7NC · 7CA · 5TX · 5TN · 4AZ · 2LA · 2+17 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

127 players across 25 states. Biggest pull outside GA: FL (7).

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMI1NY1MA1ORNV1WYSDIA1IL1INOH2PA2NJ1CT1CA5UTCONEMO1KYWVVA1MD1DERIAZ2NMKSARTN4NC7SC1DCOK1LA2MS1AL1GA76AKHITX5FL7
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 2 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

Recruiting & portal buzz

2027 3* WR Gavin Honore decommits from Georgia
45 upvotes · Feb 2026
Georgia Offensive Lineman Nyier Daniels to transfer to Tarleton
27 upvotes · Jun 2026

Top r/cfb community posts · last 12 months

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 2 drafted so far, 50% never transferred. A
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence lower than any point since 2025

26th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
26th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
10.5
Vegas O/U wins
(98th among FBS)
Market 72pp more optimistic than fan mood
Win total consensus · 2 books
Pollster gapPollsters don't agree -- here's how far apart.
Voter spread

68 of 68 AP voters have them ranked, AP ballot, week 3 (2026) — from #1, David Paschall (Chattanooga Times Free Press), to #8, Stephen Means (Cleveland.com).

Individual AP Top 25 ballots, AP ballot, week 3, 2026 — 68 voters tracked.

Turnover luckHow much of the margin was skill vs. the bounce.
Fumble luck

The bounces have gone their way on their own fumbles: 60% recovered, vs. ~52% expected.

3 of 5 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.

TakeawaysWhat this defense does once it gets the ball.
Takeaway conversion

Cashing in at a normal clip: 14% of disrupted passes intercepted, close to ~19% league-wide.

2 interceptions of 14 disrupted passes (12 deflected, 2 intercepted), 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

The flags haven't favored them: 19 penalties committed vs. 14 drawn on opponents, 100 yards behind.

192 penalty yards committed vs. 92 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site