CFB Zeitgeist Score
52
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by long run at the 93rd percentile.
Dante Dowdell
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
560 RUSH YDS · 3 RUSH TD · 112 CARRIES
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Georgia
2025Kentucky
2026Georgia
RB · KENTUCKY · SEC
Dante Dowdell
- 3
- #2
- 6-2 | 227 lb
- Picayune, MS
Heisman Heat
#110
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025+522%
Up 522% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4-star | 0.9442 | No. 123 recruit | HighSchool | Oregon |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Kentucky -> Georgia | 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate |
| 2025 | Nebraska -> Kentucky | 3-star | 0.8900 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Oregon -> Nebraska | 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Oregon
Composite
0.9442
#123 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Dante Dowdell
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Dante Dowdell
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per carry
5.0
yds
P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries
National rank #37 of 69
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 47th
Why it matters
#37 of 69 P4 + Notre Dame RBs at 5.0 yards per carry (112 carries).
Vs cohort
This player 5.0 (47th)
MODERATE · n=112 cohort 69
- Also strong
- Rushing yards (total)#44 / 69
- Rushing WEPA per carry#58 / 66
Signature Moment
Week 1 vs Toledo — 129 ypc
Result W 24-16
The week the volume broke through — put up 129 yds vs Toledo.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 12g
560Rush yards
112Carries
3Rush TDs
Per game
46.7Rush yards
9Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
606.7Rush yards
121Carries
3Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 560): needs 190/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 560): needs 440/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 560): needs 940/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 7/game over remaining 1.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 12/game over remaining 1.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 17/game over remaining 1.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Dante Dowdell's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kentucky, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
112 82nd
YDS
560 82nd
YPC
5.0 62nd
TD
3 73rd
Receiving
REC
7 51st
YDS
30 37th
YPR
4.3 19th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 24-16vs Toledo | 14 | 129 | 9.2 | 1 | 79 | Season-high 129 yds |
| Wk 2 | L 23-30vs Ole Miss | 14 | 56 | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 3 | W 48-23vs Eastern Michigan | 8 | 29 | 3.6 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 5 | L 13-35@ South Carolina | 13 | 24 | 1.8 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 6 | L 14-35@ Georgia | 7 | 9 | 1.3 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 8 | L 13-16vs Texas | 11 | 27 | 2.5 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 9 | L 34-56vs Tennessee | 12 | 52 | 4.3 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 10 | W 10-3@ Auburn | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 11 | W 38-7vs Florida | 7 | 104 | 14.9 | 1 | 65 | |
| Wk 12 | W 42-10vs Tennessee Tech | 13 | 87 | 6.7 | 1 | 19 | |
| Wk 13 | L 17-45@ Vanderbilt | 4 | 5 | 1.3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 14 | L 0-41@ Louisville | 6 | 27 | 4.5 | 0 | 9 | |
| Total | 112 | 560 | 4.8 | 3 | 79 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Oregon12-2HC: Dan Lanning · Balanced
2024Nebraska7-6HC: Matt Rhule · Balanced
2025Kentucky5-7HC: Mark Stoops · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 560 | #133/735 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 3 | #204/739 | 73rd pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.0 | #280/735 | 62nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 7 | #270/552 | 51st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 30 | #344/548 | 37th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.06 | #279/362 | 23rd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 99 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 14.0% | #203/738 | 73rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 112 | #132/739 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 79 | #27/733 | 96th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 9 | #425/540 | 21st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 4.3 | #447/548 | 19th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 25.9% | #166/738 | 78th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 18.2% | #170/738 | 77th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 16.5% | #200/738 | 73rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 10.8% | #311/738 | 58th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 10.3% | #190/738 | 74th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.4% | #271/738 | 63rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 2.0% | #401/738 | 46th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 69.1 | 6.5 | 0.4 |
| Road5g | 15.2 | 2.5 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 72.0 | 7.6 | 0.6 |
| Losses7g | 28.6 | 2.8 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 49.4 | 4.0 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 44.7 | 5.4 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
52Mid-pack
Elite: long run (92nd). Concern: rec yards (17th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.06Below (<p25) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Dante DowdellKentuckyJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 81% simBill DavisLouisiana· 80% simQuinton JacksonRice· 78% sim
Long run
Carries
Rush yards
Yards / carry
Rush TDs
Receptions
Rec yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Workhorse
Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ja'Quinden Jackson’s 2023 season.
Ja'Quinden Jackson
79%match
#2
Deshaun Fenwick
73%
#3
Anthony Tyus III
71%
#4
Phil Mafah
NFL Rd 7
70%
#5
Lamar Radcliffe
69%
Matches Ja'Quinden on
Weight
EPA / carry (adj)
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Joshua Samuel’s path through Austin Peay.
Joshua Samuel
96%match
#2
Garrett Groshek
95%
#3
Narii Gaither
92%
#4
Carson Steele
All-MAC
92%
#5
Demetric Felton
NFL Rd 6
90%
Matches Joshua on
Yards per carry
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Anthony Tyus III's junior season at Northwestern (2023).
Anthony Tyus III
75%match
All-MAC
#2
Carson Hansen
All-Big 12
72%
#3
Ja'Quinden Jackson
71%
#4
Carson Steele
All-MAC
69%
#5
Deion Hankins
All-Conference USA
66%
Matches Anthony on
Yards / carry
Height
EPA / carry (adj)
Differs from Anthony on
Class year (lower)
Recruiting rating (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Mark Stoops
Pass share
46.2%
366 pass / 427 run
Plays / game
66.1
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
10.0%
280 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Mark Stoops
Kentucky
2024
Mark Stoops
Kentucky
2025
Mark Stoops
Kentucky
Played his entire career under Mark Stoops.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownPicayune, MS
Height6'2"
Weight227 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamKentucky
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.