CFB Zeitgeist Score
10
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 38th percentile.
Joshua McCray
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
135 RUSH YDS · 3 RUSH TD · 53 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Georgia for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Georgia
Returning around him
- 37% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- 8 Georgia players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -7 net (9 in / 16 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Georgia · Last season: 12-2 (AP #2) · Talent rank #1 · 2026 recruiting class #2
RB · GEORGIA · SEC
Joshua McCray
- 4
- #2
- 6-1 | 235 lb
- Enterprise, AL
Heisman Heat
#57
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2021–2025-75%
Sharp dropoff (-75%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8430 | No. 1392 recruit | HighSchool | Illinois |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Illinois
Composite
0.8430
#1392 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Joshua McCray
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Joshua McCray
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 11g
135Rush yards
53Carries
3Rush TDs
Per game
12.3Rush yards
5Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
159.5Rush yards
63Carries
4Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 135): needs 307.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 135): needs 432.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 135): needs 682.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 6/game over remaining 2.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 8.5/game over remaining 2.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Joshua McCray's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Georgia, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
53 59th
YDS
135 47th
YPC
2.5 9th
TD
3 73rd
Receiving
REC
3 33rd
YDS
5 10th
YPR
1.7 5th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 45-7vs Marshall | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 2 | W 28-6vs Austin Peay | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wk 3 | W 44-41@ Tennessee | 7 | 17 | 2.4 | 2 | 5 | |
| Wk 5 | L 21-24vs Alabama | 6 | 15 | 2.5 | 1 | 7 | |
| Wk 6 | W 35-14vs Kentucky | 5 | 13 | 2.6 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 7 | W 20-10@ Auburn | 6 | 24 | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 8 | W 43-35vs Ole Miss | 5 | 13 | 2.6 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 11 | W 41-21@ Mississippi State | 3 | 5 | 1.7 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 14 | W 16-9@ Georgia Tech | 13 | 43 | 3.3 | 0 | 8 | Season-high 43 yds |
| Wk 15 | W 28-7@ Alabama | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Bowl | L 34-39vs Ole Miss | 2 | -3 | -1.5 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 53 | 135 | 1.9 | 3 | 17 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Illinois5-7HC: Bret Bielema · Run-leaning
2022Illinois8-5HC: Bret Bielema · Run-leaning
2023Illinois5-7HC: Bret Bielema · Balanced
2024Illinois10-3HC: Bret Bielema · Run-leaning
2025Georgia12-2HC: Kirby Smart · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 135 | #392/735 | 47th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 3 | #204/739 | 73rd pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 2.5 | #667/735 | 9th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 3 | #371/552 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 5 | #495/548 | 10th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.13 | #156/362 | 57th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 55 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 7.2% | #421/738 | 43rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 53 | #302/739 | 59th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 17 | #434/733 | 41st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 7 | #455/540 | 16th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 1.7 | #519/548 | 5th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 11.7% | #428/738 | 42nd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 8.8% | #389/738 | 47th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 8.2% | #419/738 | 43rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.9% | #344/738 | 54th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 5.6% | #524/738 | 29th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 4.7% | #476/738 | 36th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 1.2% | #480/738 | 35th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 7.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Road5g | 18.4 | 2.5 | 0.4 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 13.7 | 2.2 | 0.2 |
| Losses2g | 6.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 10.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 16.0 | 2.1 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
10Below cohort
Concern: yards / carry (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.13Low (p25–p50) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Joshua McCrayGeorgiaTae MeadowsTroy· 51% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 51% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 50% sim
Rush TDs
Carries
Receptions
Long run
Rec yards
Rush yards
Yards / carry
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Workhorse
Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Marco Lee’s 2022 season.
Marco Lee
73%match
#2
Jakobi Buchanan
68%
#3
Uriah West
67%
#4
Deion Hankins
66%
#5
Jakobi Buchanan
62%
Matches Marco on
Weight
Recruiting rating
Differs from Marco on
Class year (higher)
Height (higher)
Yards / carry (lower)
Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Andrew Body’s path through Alabama State.
Andrew Body
97%match
#2
Christopher Brown Jr.
96%
#3
Narii Gaither
95%
#4
Larry Rountree III
All-SECNFL Rd 6
92%
#5
Garrett Groshek
92%
Matches Andrew on
Yards per carry
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Braylon Braxton's graduate season at Southern Miss (2025).
Braylon Braxton
58%match
All-Sun Belt
#2
Tucker Gleason
All-MAC
57%
#3
Trenten Howland
58%
#4
Rashad Amos
All-MAC
53%
#5
Joe Fagnano
49%
Matches Braylon on
Weight
Height
Yards / carry
Differs from Braylon on
Rush TD rate (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kirby Smart
Pass share
42.5%
417 pass / 565 run
Plays / game
70.1
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.2%
290 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
1 coach2021
Kirby Smart
Georgia
2022
Kirby Smart
Georgia
2023
Kirby Smart
Georgia
2024
Kirby Smart
Georgia
2025
Kirby Smart
Georgia
Played his entire career under Kirby Smart.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownEnterprise, AL
Height6'1"
Weight235 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamGeorgia
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Illinois | RB4 | #57 | #59 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2023 | Illinois | RB4 | #1302 | #1548 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2022 | Illinois | RB4 | #1429 | #1219 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2021 | Illinois | RB4 | #712 | #893 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Georgia | SEC | RB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-1 | 235 lb | Enterprise, AL |
| 2024 | Illinois | Big Ten | RB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-1 | 235 lb | Enterprise, AL |
| 2023 | Illinois | Big Ten | RB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-1 | 235 lb | Enterprise, AL |
| 2022 | Illinois | Big Ten | RB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-1 | 235 lb | Enterprise, AL |
| 2021 | Illinois | Big Ten | RB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-1 | 235 lb | Enterprise, AL |