CFB Zeitgeist
MFMark Fletcher Jr.

Mark Fletcher Jr.

Mark Fletcher Jr. ran for 507 yards in the College Football Playoff and carried Miami to the national championship game. Then he turned down the NFL to come back and finish the job.

RB · Miami · Cl 3 · #4

CFB Zeitgeist 80

Mark Fletcher Jr. ran for 507 yards in the College Football Playoff and carried Miami to the national championship game. Then he turned down the NFL to come back and finish the job.

Aura™ · Him Watch the full board →
Hype = tape +16aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 100th percentile of RBs; the tape says 83rd — the discourse is fair.
Aura — fan perception100th pctl
Production — on-field83rd pctl
n=103 mentions · cohort: RBs · 140 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = wepa_rushing

He led the ACC with 1,192 rushing yards in 2025, scored 12 times, and saved his best for January -- 507 yards across four Playoff games as Miami reached the national championship. A 6-2, 225 senior could have left for the draft; instead he stayed, telling reporters he'd always planned to be "a true senior," and Mario Cristobal has held him up as the program's standard. Now he's a preseason All-American anchoring a Cristobal backfield built on exactly the kind of downhill, gap-scheme power he runs. The forward stakes are the rematch with history: Miami was one game from a title, and Fletcher came back to close the gap. A projected 1,500-yard season would do two things at once -- vault a throwback power back into the top tier of 2027 draft running backs, and give the Hurricanes the closer they were missing.

PLAY STYLE

Fletcher is a true bruiser -- 6-2, 225, built to fall forward. The power shows up on tape and in the numbers: PFF charted 3.66 yards after contact per carry and 104 forced missed tackles in 2025, and our play-by-play put his rushing-touchdown rate in the 81st percentile, the mark of a back defenses can't stop at the goal line (he scored 12 times). Scouts (Vikings Wire's summer eval) describe a runner who "keeps his legs moving through contact" but "also elusive in space," with "dynamic change-of-direction skills once in the second level" and "excellent motor to finish big runs late." The honest read is in the efficiency: a 52nd-percentile success rate and mid-pack yards-per-carry say he's a volume-and-finish back more than a home-run hitter -- the chunk gains come from contact balance and a closing motor, not breakaway speed. He's a gap-scheme, between-the-tackles hammer who wears defenses down and finishes drives.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#149 national
CFB
College
Miami
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-ACC

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Mario Cristobal
Miami
2024
Mario Cristobal
Miami
2025
Mario Cristobal
Miami

Played his entire career under Mario Cristobal.

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2023Miami7-6HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced
2024Miami10-3HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Miami13-3HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

80All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush yards (95th). Strength: carries (95th).

Rush yards#16 / 349 · 96th pct
1192rush
Carries#17 / 349 · 95th pct
216rush
Rush TDs#19 / 349 · 94th pct
12rush
Rec yards#91 / 338 · 73rd pct
140rece
Yards / carry#98 / 349 · 71st pct
5.5rush
Long run#107 / 349 · 68th pct
57rush
Receptions#103 / 338 · 67th pct
17rece
Fumbles lost#55 / 201 · 49th pct
1fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Awards

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-ACC

Career stats

Rushing

Classic running back rushing table with season and career context.

Season Team CARYDSAVGTDLNG
2025 MiamiFinal snapshot 2161,1925.512--
2024 MiamiFinal snapshot 1126075.49--
2023 MiamiFinal snapshot 1055144.95--
Career 3 loaded seasonsCareer row reflects the stat seasons currently loaded in this database. 4332,3135.326--

Receiving

Passing-game production that separates pure runners from all-purpose backs.

Season Team RECYDSAVGTDLNG
2025 MiamiFinal snapshot 171408.22--
2024 MiamiFinal snapshot 1010610.60--
2023 MiamiFinal snapshot 7628.90--
Career 3 loaded seasonsCareer row reflects the stat seasons currently loaded in this database. 343089.12--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 18 · 2025

W 24–14

at Ohio State

90 rush yds (19 car)

Game log

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 27-24vs Notre Dame15664.4015Season-high 172 yds
Wk 2W 45-3vs Bethune-Cookman11867.8217
Wk 3W 49-12vs South Florida161207.5238
Wk 4W 26-7vs Florida241164.8120
Wk 6W 28-22@ Florida State12403.3010
Wk 8L 21-24vs Louisville8182.316
Wk 9W 42-7vs Stanford231064.63163 rushing TDs
Wk 10L 20-26@ SMU16845.3014
Wk 13W 34-17@ Virginia Tech6193.207
Wk 14W 38-7@ Pittsburgh10303.018
BowlW 10-3@ Texas A&M1717210.1056
BowlW 24-14@ Ohio State19904.7019
BowlW 31-27@ Ole Miss221336.0019
BowlL 21-27@ Indiana171126.6257
Total21611925.31257

How he plays

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

80All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush yards (95th). Strength: carries (95th).

Rush yards#16 / 349 · 96th pct
1192rush
Carries#17 / 349 · 95th pct
216rush
Rush TDs#19 / 349 · 94th pct
12rush
Rec yards#91 / 338 · 73rd pct
140rece
Yards / carry#98 / 349 · 71st pct
5.5rush
Long run#107 / 349 · 68th pct
57rush
Receptions#103 / 338 · 67th pct
17rece
Fumbles lost#55 / 201 · 49th pct
1fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

PLAY STYLE

Fletcher is a true bruiser -- 6-2, 225, built to fall forward. The power shows up on tape and in the numbers: PFF charted 3.66 yards after contact per carry and 104 forced missed tackles in 2025, and our play-by-play put his rushing-touchdown rate in the 81st percentile, the mark of a back defenses can't stop at the goal line (he scored 12 times). Scouts (Vikings Wire's summer eval) describe a runner who "keeps his legs moving through contact" but "also elusive in space," with "dynamic change-of-direction skills once in the second level" and "excellent motor to finish big runs late." The honest read is in the efficiency: a 52nd-percentile success rate and mid-pack yards-per-carry say he's a volume-and-finish back more than a home-run hitter -- the chunk gains come from contact balance and a closing motor, not breakaway speed. He's a gap-scheme, between-the-tackles hammer who wears defenses down and finishes drives.

2026 Outlook

Returning to Miami for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Miami

Returning around him

  • 12% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 9 Miami players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -6 net (13 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Miami · Last season: 13-3 (AP #10) · Talent rank #15 · 2026 recruiting class #13

Perception vs tape

Mark Fletcher Jr. ran for 507 yards in the College Football Playoff and carried Miami to the national championship game. Then he turned down the NFL to come back and finish the job.

He led the ACC with 1,192 rushing yards in 2025, scored 12 times, and saved his best for January — 507 yards across four Playoff games as Miami reached the national championship. A 6-2, 225 senior could have left for the draft; instead he stayed, telling reporters he'd always planned to be "a true senior," and Mario Cristobal has held him up as the program's standard. Now he's a preseason All-American anchoring a Cristobal backfield built on exactly the kind of downhill, gap-scheme power he runs. The forward stakes are the rematch with history: Miami was one game from a title, and Fletcher came back to close the gap. A projected 1,500-yard season would do two things at once — vault a throwback power back into the top tier of 2027 draft running backs, and give the Hurricanes the closer they were missing.

How he plays

Fletcher is a true bruiser — 6-2, 225, built to fall forward. The power shows up on tape and in the numbers: PFF charted 3.66 yards after contact per carry and 104 forced missed tackles in 2025, and our play-by-play put his rushing-touchdown rate in the 81st percentile, the mark of a back defenses can't stop at the goal line (he scored 12 times). Scouts (Vikings Wire's summer eval) describe a runner who "keeps his legs moving through contact" but "also elusive in space," with "dynamic change-of-direction skills once in the second level" and "excellent motor to finish big runs late." The honest read is in the efficiency: a 52nd-percentile success rate and mid-pack yards-per-carry say he's a volume-and-finish back more than a home-run hitter — the chunk gains come from contact balance and a closing motor, not breakaway speed. He's a gap-scheme, between-the-tackles hammer who wears defenses down and finishes drives.

2026 outlook · as of 2026-06-13

DNA match

Player DNA

The Workhorse

Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kalel Mullings’s 2024 season.

Kalel Mullings

74%match

Michigan · 2024

All-Big TenNFL Rd 6
#2

LJ Martin

BYU · 2024

72%
#3

LJ Martin

BYU · 2025

70%
#4

CJ Donaldson

West Virginia · 2023

69%
#5

Carson Steele

Ball State · 2022

All-MAC
68%

Matches Kalel on

Weight
Class year

Differs from Kalel on

Yards / reception (higher)
EPA / carry (adj) (lower)
Receiving share (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to LJ Martin's junior season at BYU (2025).

LJ Martin

75%match

BYU · 2025

#2

Darren Grainger

Georgia State · 2023

69%
#3

Phil Mafah

Clemson · 2023

All-ACCNFL Rd 7
71%
#4

Logan Diggs

LSU · 2023

70%
#5

Kye Robichaux

Boston College · 2023

All-ACC
68%

Matches LJ on

Yards / carry
Weight
Yards / reception

Differs from LJ on

Recruiting rating (higher)
Receiving share (lower)

Peer comparator

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Mark Fletcher Jr.MiamiCamryn EdwardsUConn· 90% simShomari LawrenceMissouri State· 90% simDylan RileyBoise State· 89% sim
Rush yards
96
Jr.
96
Edwards
90
Lawrence
94
Riley
Carries
95
Jr.
93
Edwards
92
Lawrence
91
Riley
Rush TDs
94
Jr.
97
Edwards
80
Lawrence
89
Riley
Rec yards
73
Jr.
81
Edwards
62
Lawrence
75
Riley
Yards / carry
71
Jr.
84
Edwards
58
Lawrence
82
Riley
Long run
68
Jr.
88
Edwards
83
Lawrence
92
Riley
Receptions
67
Jr.
75
Edwards
75
Lawrence
59
Riley
Fumbles lost
49
Jr.
49
Lawrence

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Development

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
5142023
6072024
1,1922025

+132%

Up 132% from first season to most-recent.