cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kalel Mullings /Michigan

Kalel Mullings

RB · Michigan · Sr · #20

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLTennessee — drafted 2025, Rd 6, Pick 12, #188 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

TennesseeEntering 2nd NFL season

#188Rd 6 · Pick 12
TennesseeEntering 2nd NFL season

RB · MICHIGAN · BIG TEN

Kalel Mullings

  • 4
  • #20
  • 6-2 | 233 lb
  • West Roxbury, MA

CFB Zeitgeist RB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#65

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2024

2021

Michigan · RB

2022

Michigan · RB

2023

Michigan · RB

2024

Michigan · RB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

NFL Draft 2025 · Rd 6, Pick 12 · #188 overall · Tennessee

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2024
30.02022
2222023
9482024

+3060%

Up 3060% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#153 national
CFB
College
Michigan
2021–2024
NFL
NFL Draft
R6 &middot; #188
Tennessee &middot; 2025

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey20
Measurements6-2 | 233 lb
HometownWest Roxbury, MA
Primary teamMichigan

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 153 recruit
Composite rating 0.9329 HighSchool
Signed with Michigan 2020
Origin Milton Academy Boston, MA, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 4-star | 0.9329 No. 153 recruit | HighSchool | Michigan

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#65Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#77Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Michigan

Composite

0.9329

#153 national

NFL Draft

2025 · Rd 6, Pick 12

#188 overall · Tennessee

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kalel Mullings

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kalel Mullings

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Kalel Mullings already has 2 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #65 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 25.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 153 recruit

2024 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2024 season snapshot | final

2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 983 948 rush | 35 rec | #46/735 (94th pct)
Rush TD 12 185 carries | #19/739 (98th pct)
Yards/carry 5.1 Per-rush efficiency | #257/735 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse against FBS RB peers.

Workhorse

2024 Season · Final

2024 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
185 95th
YDS
948 94th
YPC
5.1 65th
TD
12 98th

Receiving

REC
6 47th
YDS
35 40th
YPR
5.8 35th
TD
0 70th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Michigan12-1HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-leaning
2022Michigan13-1HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy
2023Michigan15-0HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Michigan8-5HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2024Michigan1859485.112--
2023Michigan362226.21--
2022Michigan14302.13--
2021Michigan----------
Career4 loaded seasons2351,2005.116--
SeasonTeam
2024Michigan6355.80--
2023Michigan23216.00--
2022Michigan----------
2021Michigan----------
Career4 loaded seasons8678.40--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 6 35 rec yds | #291/552 (47th pct)
Usage 25.9% 43.1% rush share | #39/738 (95th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.38 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #2/362 (100th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 948 #46/735 94th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 12 #19/739 98th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.1 #257/735 65th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 6 #291/552 47th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 35 #329/548 40th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.38 #2/362 100th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 194 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 25.9% #39/738 95th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 185 #36/739 95th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 63 #95/733 87th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 12 #365/540 33rd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 5.8 #357/548 35th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 74 #74/200 64th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 24.7 #29/199 86th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 3 #85/206 59th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 43.1% #45/738 94th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 29.7% #39/738 95th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 26.3% #39/738 95th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 26.0% #72/738 90th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 23.0% #10/738 99th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 17.8% #34/738 96th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 2.3% #376/738 49th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sherrone Moore

Pass share

40.9%

340 pass / 492 run

Plays / game

64.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

256 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2024

2 coaches
2021
Jim Harbaugh
Michigan
2022
Jim Harbaugh
Michigan
2023
Jim Harbaugh
Michigan
2024
Sherrone Moore
Michigan
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Jim Harbaugh → Sherrone Moore. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWest Roxbury, MA
Height6'2"
Weight233 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey20

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🥈

ALL-CONFERENCE · 1ST TEAM

All-Conf 1st team (2024)

All-Big Ten

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-Big Ten all_conference Michigan | Big Ten RB
2024 All-Big Ten all_conference Big Ten --

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Michigan RB4 #65 #77 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Michigan RB4 #437 #272 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Michigan RB4 #742 #460 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten
2021 Michigan RB4 #1771 #1324 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Michigan Big Ten RB 4 No. 20 | 6-2 | 233 lb | West Roxbury, MA
2023 Michigan Big Ten RB 4 No. 20 | 6-2 | 233 lb | West Roxbury, MA
2022 Michigan Big Ten RB 4 No. 20 | 6-2 | 233 lb | West Roxbury, MA
2021 Michigan Big Ten RB 4 No. 20 | 6-2 | 233 lb | West Roxbury, MA