cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tommy Doman /Florida

Tommy Doman

P · Florida · Sr · #19

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Buffalo — Rd 7, Pick 23, #239 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Buffalo2026 NFL rookie season

#239Rd 7 · Pick 23
Buffalo2026 NFL rookie season

P · FLORIDA · SEC

Tommy Doman

  • 4
  • #19
  • 6-4 | 218 lb
  • Rochester Hills, MI

CFB Zeitgeist P Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#15514

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP P AWARD

Ray Guy

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2023

2022

Michigan · P

2023

Michigan · P

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2024

Michigan · P

2025

Florida · P

NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 7, Pick 23 · #239 overall · Buffalo

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1589 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R7 &middot; #239
Buffalo &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionP
Class4
Jersey19
Measurements6-4 | 218 lb
HometownRochester Hills, MI
Primary teamFlorida

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1589 recruit
Composite rating 0.8356 HighSchool
Signed with Michigan 2021
Origin St. Mary's Orchard Lake, MI, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8356 No. 1589 recruit | HighSchool | Michigan

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Florida 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 13, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Michigan -> Florida 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#15514Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#15102Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Michigan

Composite

0.8356

#1589 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 7, Pick 23

#239 overall · Buffalo

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tommy Doman

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tommy Doman

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Tommy Doman already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #15514 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

OTHER season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 0 Combined rushing and receiving
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns
Usage -- Role share still loading
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

This player profile will sharpen as more advanced context is loaded.

Balanced profile

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppPUNTYDSAVGLONGIN20Note
Wk 1W 55-0vs Long Island University14747.0471
Wk 2L 16-18vs South Florida418746.8632
Wk 3L 10-20@ LSU521743.4513
Wk 4L 7-26@ Miami733247.4570
Wk 6W 29-21vs Texas519539.0512
Wk 7L 17-34@ Texas A&M627145.2572
Wk 8W 23-21vs Mississippi State416140.3451
Wk 10L 20-24vs Georgia523947.8652
Wk 11L 7-38@ Kentucky38327.7332
Wk 12L 24-34@ Ole Miss419047.5622
Wk 13L 11-31vs Tennessee415639.0450
Wk 14W 40-21vs Florida State212462.0710
Total50220244.47117
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Michigan13-1HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy
2023Michigan15-0HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Michigan8-5HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-heavy
2025Florida4-8HC: Billy Napier · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Punting Punting YDS 2,202 #57/179 69th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting LONG 71 #6/179 97th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting NO 50 #58/179 68th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting YPP 44 #69/179 62nd pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting IN 20 17 #53/166 69th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting TB 6 #7/142 96th pct Metricvs FBS peers

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Ray Guy award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home7g
Road5g

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins4g
Losses8g

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-76g
Weeks 8+6g

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · P · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Billy Napier

Pass share

49.4%

372 pass / 381 run

Plays / game

62.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.1%

311 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Billy Napier
Florida
2023
Billy Napier
Florida
2024
Billy Napier
Florida
2025
Billy Napier
Florida

Played his entire career under Billy Napier.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRochester Hills, MI
Height6'4"
Weight218 lb
Class4
PositionP
Jersey19

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2023)

All-Big Ten

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2023 All-Big Ten all_conference Michigan | Big Ten P

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Michigan P4 #15514 #15102 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Michigan P4 #14816 #13604 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Michigan P4 #14134 #12968 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Florida SEC P 4 No. 19 | 6-4 | 218 lb | Rochester Hills, MI
2024 Michigan Big Ten P 4 No. 19 | 6-4 | 218 lb | Rochester Hills, MI
2023 Michigan Big Ten P 4 No. 19 | 6-4 | 218 lb | Rochester Hills, MI
2022 Michigan Big Ten P 4 No. 19 | 6-4 | 218 lb | Rochester Hills, MI