Georgia 38-14 Vanderbilt (Oct 3, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Vanderbilt · Georgia

Vanderbilt3-214

No. 2 Georgia5-038Final

Sat, Oct 3 · Sanford Stadium, Athens, Ga. · Crowd 93,033

No. 2 Georgia beat Vanderbilt 38-14.

We had Georgia favored. It won.

Next: Vanderbilt lost to Ole Miss 52-17, Sat Oct 10

Next: Georgia beat Alabama 20-17, Sat Oct 10

Top comment in the game thread

DBs need to tighten up by next week, can't count on the refs to bail them out against Bama.

Q2 3:43 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Oct 3

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Georgia a 93% chance, and the closing betting line (Georgia was a 25.5-point favorite) put it at 98%.

Favored the whole way: Georgia never fell below 94%.

Vanderbilt never had better than a 6% chance.

Blocked field goalQ2 7:43

FinalGeorgia 38-14 VanderbiltGeorgia wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q2 14:41Gunner Stockton throws a 55-yard bomb to Landon Roldan for a first downLandon “99 OVR” Roldanr/CFB game thread
Q2 3:43Fans call a ruling on Berlowitz pass to Sherrill weak and softQuoted at the top of the page.That was a ten-ply call.r/CFB game thread
Q2 0:35A player ran between the hedges in the end zone.Our hedges covering better than the secondary todayr/CFB game thread
Q3 11:36A receiver made a spectacular catch after the ball was tipped.WHAT A CATCHr/CFB game thread
Q4 12:16Georgia's Ellis intercepts Berlowitz as fans celebrate the turnoverMy 4th comment of today wondering why Ellis hasn't mirrored Junior Sherrill all gamer/CFB game thread

Georgia’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Georgia -25.5), at 96% for Georgia (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Georgia or Vanderbilt flair (1,857 and 182); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Georgia’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Georgia scored on 6 of its 10 drives; Vanderbilt on 2 of its 9.

Georgia’s drives are teal, Vanderbilt’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

“Knew it was coming at some point”

A Georgia fan

How fans reacted

Quiet

The loudest stretch came in the fourth quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was quiet; the crowd was steady.

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Vanderbilt fans

position“It would have been a career high for the kicker. 58 yards is silly against GA and you give them the ball back with good field position.”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: now, back, call, need.

What it cost

Georgia’s chance to make the playoff rose from 88% to 90%.

Make the playoff

Vanderbilt · lost3% → ▼2%

Georgia · won88% → ▲90%

Win the conference

Vanderbilt · lost0% → 0%

Georgia · won39% → ▲40%

Win the title

Vanderbilt · lost0% → 0%

Georgia · won20% → ▲21%

Before the game (October 2, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Georgia 38, Vanderbilt 14

Vanderbilt covered +25.5 by 1.5. The total, 52, went over 49.5.

Team totals	Vanderbilt	Georgia
Total yards	293	471
Passing	14 of 25, 208 yds	25 of 32, 295 yds
Rushing	26 for 85 yds	34 for 176 yds
First downs	13	26
Third down	5 of 12	7 of 10
Fourth down	1 of 2	0 of 0
Turnovers	1	0
Penalties	9 for 60 yds	4 for 40 yds
Time of possession	27:12	32:48

Vanderbilt leaders

Passing Blaze Berlowitz 12 of 23, 190 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
Rushing Blaze Berlowitz 8 for 37 yds; Sedrick Alexander 8 for 35 yds, 1 TD
Receiving Junior Sherrill 7 for 107 yds, 1 TD; Ja'Cory Thomas 2 for 43 yds

Georgia leaders

Passing Gunner Stockton 25 of 32, 295 yds, 3 TD
Rushing Bo Walker 5 for 71 yds; Chauncey Bowens 10 for 31 yds, 1 TD
Receiving Dwight Phillips Jr. 5 for 75 yds, 1 TD; Landon Roldan 2 for 57 yds, 1 TD

No rain through the game

79° at kickoff · no rain recorded

Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 61 other games played at Sanford Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 71°, with about 7 in 10 games between 63° and 79°.

October game-day temperatures at Sanford Stadium

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:45 left12:49 p.m.

Vanderbilt 0, Georgia 0 · Georgia 96% to win

no rain · 79°

Berlowitz 4-yd run

Where this weather comes from

Measured at Athens Municipal airport, 2.7 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last 4 games

Vanderbilt · 3-1

Rated 45th in our preseason ratings, 46th now.

3-1 in its last 4, one over ranked or top-40 competition.

L 15-21 @ Auburn #56 of 668

lost by 6 as a 10-point underdog

W 35-31 vs NC State #37 of 668

won by 4 as a 3-point favorite

W 35-26 vs Delaware #41 of 668

won by 9 as a 20.5-point favorite

W 28-9 vs Austin Peay #105 of 668

won by 19 as a 29.5-point favorite

Last 4 games

Georgia · 4-0

Rated 2nd in our preseason ratings, 1st now.

4 straight wins, one over ranked or top-40 competition.

W 41-13 vs OklahomaTop 25 #21 of 668

won by 28 as an 11.5-point favorite

W 45-17 @ Arkansas #134 of 668

won by 28 as a 24.5-point favorite

W 70-20 vs Western Kentucky #52 of 668

won by 50 as a 40.5-point favorite

W 63-3 vs Tennessee State #191 of 668

won by 60 as a 49.5-point favorite

Week by week

Georgia

Wk 1Wvs Tennessee State63-3
Wk 2Wvs Western Kentucky70-20
Wk 3Wat Arkansas45-17
Wk 4Wvs Oklahoma41-13

Vanderbilt

Wk 1Wvs Austin Peay28-9
Wk 2Wvs Delaware35-26
Wk 3Wvs NC State35-31
Wk 4Lat Auburn15-21

Power rating by week

Georgia is rated 11.4 points ahead as of week 4. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Georgia’s EPA/play against Vanderbilt, 71 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Georgia’s EPA/play against Vanderbilt’s defense
Georgia offense, 97th percentile · Vanderbilt defense, 26th
Georgia’s passing EPA against Vanderbilt’s defense
Georgia offense, 96th percentile · Vanderbilt defense, 31st
Vanderbilt’s explosive plays against Georgia’s defense
Vanderbilt offense, 67th percentile · Georgia defense, 40th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

VanderbiltGeorgia

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Georgia leads the series 60-17-2

79 meetings since 1903 · Georgia has won the last 6

2023Georgia 37-20
2022Georgia 55-0
2021Georgia 62-0
2019Georgia 30-6
2018Georgia 41-13

Each line is Georgia’s chance to win through that meeting.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Georgia fans are feeling it about like the typical fanbase this week (58th among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.

Georgia favored by 25.5 · Total 49.5

How games like this usually go

Georgia by 25.5, and it went to form

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward Georgia.

The total fell 8 points.

The books’ cut: 3.6%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Hot and dry. Feels like 86° at kickoff.

Vanderbilt at Georgia · Saturday, Oct. 3, 2026 · Sanford Stadium, Athens

86°feels like at kickoff
Dryno rain at kickoff
72weather score, Rough

At kickoff, Oct. 3, 2026.

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 9 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game is ringed. At Sanford Stadium that day, a 7:30 pm or 8 pm kickoff would have scored 96, against 72 at 12:45 pm.

11 am: 84, Mixed
noon: 77, Mixed
12:45 pm: 72, Rough (this game)
2 pm: 69, Rough
3:30 pm: 68, Rough
4:15 pm: 73, Rough
6 pm: 86, Mixed
7:30 pm: 96, Comfortable
8 pm: 96, Comfortable

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

At kickoff, Oct. 3, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.

Home field

Georgia is worth +3.6 points (±3.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 40th percentile.

93% at home, 88% on the road against FBS opponents (43-3 home, 30-4 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -2.2 at home vs. away over 88 games — inside the ±5.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 246 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Vanderbilt 17, Georgia 16Oct 15, 2016

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Georgia2nd2-0
Vanderbilt13th0-1

Full SEC standings

No. 2 Georgia beats Vanderbilt 38-14