Georgia 20-17 Alabama (Oct 10, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Georgia · Alabama

No. 2 Georgia6-020

No. 6 Alabama5-117Final

Sat, Oct 10 · Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Ala. · Crowd 100,077

No. 2 Georgia beat No. 6 Alabama 20-17.

We had Alabama favored. Georgia won.

Next: Georgia lost to Auburn 27-24, Sat Oct 17

Next: Alabama lost to Tennessee 26-10, Sat Oct 17

Top comment in the game thread

Kalen Deboer has every right to be mad. Such a stupid penalty

Q4 2:30 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Oct 10

How it swung

The turning point: Russell 22-yd TD pass to Pritchett, cuts it to 10-7 (Q2, 5:49). Georgia went from 66% to 47% to win.

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Georgia a 49% chance, and the closing betting line (Georgia was a 2.5-point underdog) put it at 42%.

A tight one: Georgia bottomed out at 28% and won.

Up to 72% in the second quarter, then Alabama lost it.

FinalGeorgia 20-17 AlabamaGeorgia wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

The two plays that swung it

1Q2 7:09Stockton 20-yd TD pass to Humphreys, Georgia leads 10-0Georgia 48% → 65% (+17)
2Q2 5:49Russell 22-yd TD pass to Pritchett, cuts it to 10-7Georgia 66% → 47% (−19)

The two plays that swung it

1Q2 7:09Stockton 20-yd TD pass to Humphreys, Georgia leads 10-0Alabama 52% → 35% (−17)
2Q2 5:49Russell 22-yd TD pass to Pritchett, cuts it to 10-7Alabama 34% → 53% (+19)

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q1 8:16A quarterback was stiff-armed by a defender.Bro just got stiff armed by a QB lmaor/CFB game thread
Q2 0:03DeBoer goes for it on 4th down as Crowell scores a touchdownDeboer you are a lucky, LUCKY SON OF A GUNr/CFB game threadEJ Crowell is that duder/CFB game thread
Q4 4:30Fans argue Alabama is robbed by missed DPI and facemask calls on Russell drivesYou can’t in good faith say Georgia hasn’t benefitted immensely from three or four game-breaking callsr/CFB game threadHe was absolutely early. Tackled him before he had a shot at the ball. Russel also grabbed by the facemask on that sack. Two egregious misses back to back.r/CFB game thread
Q4 2:30Fans argue over the personal foul penalty on Lee after Walker's run1. Kirby is a dork for that celebration 2. 81 is a punk for that 3. Lee has no one to blame but himself. That last push was so unnecessaryr/CFB game threadQuoted at the top of the page.

Georgia’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Alabama -2.5), at 37% for Georgia (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Alabama or Georgia flair (3,409 and 6,437); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Georgia’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Georgia scored on 4 of its 9 drives; Alabama on 3 of its 9.

Georgia’s drives are teal, Alabama’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

From Alabama’s side

Alabama’s best moment: Russell 22-yd TD pass to Pritchett, cuts it to 10-7 (Q2 5:49). It lifted Alabama’s win chance by 19 points.

How Alabama fans took it: “Poorly officiated game. Bama made too many mistakes, UGA didn't. Congrats Dawgs, hope for a rematch.” r/CFB game thread

“Not gonna lie, we got away with a MASSIVE hold on #55”

An Alabama fan

When fans got loud

Busy

The closing stretch drew the loudest reaction of the night.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was roaring.

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Georgia fans

bobo“Bobo has been calling nothing but screens for YEARS just to set up those two plays”

screen“They’ll never expect a screen pass! *They fully expected the screen pass*”

holds“Get ready to watch Bama lineman to get away with holds on every Russell scramble without a call”

Alabama fans

refs“Investigate. These. Refs. Take the fine KDB. Call this out all night long. PLEASE.”

targeting“Maybe targeting by the letter of the law, but there’s literally nothing that defender could do different.”

helmet“He literally hit Williams with the crown of his helmet after launching. Absolutely Mickey Mouse referring crew.”

facemask“I genuinely don't know between, the facemask, INT, and helmet to helmet concussion all going UGA's way that you can call this game fairly reffed.”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: call, now, every, don.

Too close to call on 72% of plays.

What it cost

Georgia’s chance to make the playoff rose from 88% to 94%.

Make the playoff

Georgia · won88% → ▲94%

Alabama · lost87% → ▼81%

Win the conference

Georgia · won37% → ▲47%

Alabama · lost29% → ▼20%

Win the title

Georgia · won18% → ▲20%

Alabama · lost14% → ▼13%

Before the game (October 9, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Georgia 20, Alabama 17

Georgia covered +2.5 by 5.5. The total, 37, stayed under 51.5.

Team totals	Georgia	Alabama
Total yards	455	346
Passing	18 of 22, 249 yds	16 of 31, 185 yds
Rushing	39 for 206 yds	29 for 161 yds
First downs	21	17
Third down	7 of 13	6 of 13
Fourth down	0 of 0	1 of 1
Turnovers	1	1
Penalties	7 for 57 yds	5 for 50 yds
Time of possession	33:28	26:32

Georgia leaders

Passing Gunner Stockton 18 of 22, 249 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
Rushing Dwight Phillips Jr. 17 for 120 yds; Bo Walker 10 for 69 yds
Receiving Jaden Reddell 1 for 53 yds; Craig Dandridge 4 for 45 yds

Alabama leaders

Passing Keelon Russell 16 of 30, 185 yds, 1 TD
Rushing Trae'shawn Brown 9 for 90 yds; Keelon Russell 9 for 41 yds
Receiving Ryan Williams 3 for 39 yds; Lotzeir Brooks 2 for 37 yds

No rain and calm

62° at kickoff · 0.01 in of rain · wind 6 mph from the west, gusts to 16

The usual here around this date is 71°, with about 7 in 10 games between 61° and 82°.

October game-day temperatures at Bryant-Denny Stadium

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

Second quarter, 5:49 left7:53 p.m.

Georgia 10, Alabama 7 · Alabama 53% to win

no rain · wind 6 mph from the west, gusts to 13 · 62°

Russell 22-yd TD pass to Pritchett, cuts it to 10-7

Measured at Tuscaloosa Muni airport, 3.8 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Georgia · 5-0

Rated 2nd in our preseason ratings, 1st now.

Three straight wins, one over ranked or top-40 competition.

W 38-14 vs Vanderbilt #43 of 668

won by 24 as a 25.5-point favorite

W 41-13 vs OklahomaTop 25 #21 of 668

won by 28 as an 11.5-point favorite

W 45-17 @ Arkansas #134 of 668

won by 28 as a 24.5-point favorite

W 70-20 vs Western Kentucky #52 of 668

won by 50 as a 40.5-point favorite

W 63-3 vs Tennessee State #191 of 668

won by 60 as a 49.5-point favorite

Last three games

Alabama · 5-0

Rated 21st in our preseason ratings, 8th now, up 13 spots.

Three straight wins, 2 over ranked or top-40 competition.

W 56-23 @ Mississippi StateTop 25 #66 of 668

won by 33 as a 5.5-point favorite

W 49-18 vs South Carolina #31 of 668

won by 31 as a 12.5-point favorite

W 50-36 vs Florida State #90 of 668

won by 14 as an 18.5-point favorite

W 45-17 @ KentuckyTop 25 #95 of 668

won by 28 as a 9.5-point favorite

W 48-10 vs East Carolina #76 of 668

won by 38 as a 28.5-point favorite

Week by week

Alabama

Wk 1Wvs East Carolina48-10
Wk 2Wat Kentucky45-17
Wk 3Wvs Florida State50-36
Wk 4Wvs South Carolina49-18
Wk 5Wat Mississippi State56-23

Georgia

Wk 1Wvs Tennessee State63-3
Wk 2Wvs Western Kentucky70-20
Wk 3Wat Arkansas45-17
Wk 4Wvs Oklahoma41-13
Wk 5Wvs Vanderbilt38-14

Power rating by week

Georgia is rated 4.3 points ahead as of week 5. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Georgia’s passing EPA against Alabama, 44 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Georgia’s passing EPA against Alabama’s defense
Georgia offense, 96th percentile · Alabama defense, 52nd
Georgia’s explosive plays against Alabama’s defense
Georgia offense, 58th percentile · Alabama defense, 24th
Georgia’s success rate against Alabama’s defense
Georgia offense, 97th percentile · Alabama defense, 78th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

GeorgiaAlabama

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Alabama leads the series 45-26-3

74 meetings since 1902 · Alabama won the last meeting

2025Alabama 24-21
2025 · neutral siteGeorgia 28-7
2024Alabama 41-34
2023 · neutral siteAlabama 27-24
2021 · neutral siteGeorgia 33-18The 2021 game and what was said

Each line is Alabama’s chance to win through that meeting. Alabama is 4-2 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Alabama fans are feeling it about like the typical fanbase this week (50th among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.

Alabama favored by 2.5 · Total 51.5

How games like this usually go

Alabama by 2.5, on the usual path until 1:52 left in the fourth

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 252 games since 2025 with a favorite of under 3.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 5.5 points toward Alabama.

The total rose 1 point.

The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Alabama is worth +6.1 points (±3.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 84th percentile.

92% at home, 78% on the road against FBS opponents (47-4 home, 32-9 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.6 at home vs. away over 99 games — inside the ±6.0 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 246 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Georgia 28, Alabama 7SEC Championship · Dec 6, 2025

Our History pages cover 10 of their meetings since 2015.

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Alabama2nd3-0
Georgia1st3-0

Full SEC standings

No. 2 Georgia beats No. 6 Alabama 20-17