Arkansas2-103Pittman's top-2 portal haul in the SEC addresses K, OT, and CB — key areas for a 2-10 team with just 36% production returning.
Arkansas is an entire state's only major program — no in-state rival, a fanbase scattered nationwide that all answers the same Hog Call — chasing the first real glory since a national title sixty years gone, now under a brand-new coach.
Hog fans say the bluebloods of the SEC have spent thirty years treating Arkansas as a guaranteed win on the schedule — the league's outsider with no neighbor to lean on — and they call the Hogs every…
Approaching
30 days
until kickoff · vs North Alabama · Sat Sep 5 · 20:15 UTC
Arkansas is the program with no in-state rival and the most-spread-out fanbase in the SEC.
The Razorbacks return only 36% of their roster, with 41 transfers in and 43 out, while recruiting ranked #46 nationally. Their season path projects between 5-7 wins and 10-3 wins depending on performance.
Tusk is in the pen.
the open questioncan a new staff change the trajectory?
Silverfield, who went 2-10 at Memphis, inherits a 36% production return and a program that hasn't won an SEC game since 2021 — the stakes are clear, the margin for error narrow.
Sam Pittman enters his sixth season with a 2-10 losing record to address, as coordinator changes reshape units and a dispersed fanbase seeks consistency.
Sam Pittman's top-2 SEC portal class arrives as Arkansas rebuilds after a 2-10 season, with AJ Hill (QB) addressing a passing game that lost 85% of its production.
Arkansas dropped 29 spots in SP+ — the steepest collapse in the SEC this cycle, and Sam Pittman’s sixth season opens with a 2-10 record to explain it.
Pittman's top-2 portal haul in the SEC addresses K, OT, and CB — key areas for a 2-10 team with just 36% production returning.
Raylen Sharpe produces at a notably LOWER rate when his team is an underdog than when favored -- he fades when the pressure is on, and his per-target value drops too.
Sam Pittman enters his sixth season with a 2-10 losing record hanging over Arkansas, a program without an in-state rival and a fanbase still uneasy about its direction.
Jaden Platt is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
O'Mega Blake is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Raylen Sharpe is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Kendal Briles hired as OC
Briles running a spread offense is one thing — Briles running it inside the SEC West with Pittman's portal class already loaded is a different pressure test entirely; Arkansas hasn't had an OC this aggressive since they were winning divisions.
Asa Barnes flips to Tennessee
Four EDGE departures already bleeding the depth chart, and now Barnes flips to Knoxville — Pittman's top-8 portal class still has a hole it hasn't answered.
Malique Ewin transfers to Oregon
Four EDGE departures and a class ranked 46th nationally — losing Ewin to Eugene tightens a room already under structural pressure before a single fall-camp snap.
QB battle update given
Pittman's QB room is unsettled heading into fall camp — in the SEC West, that uncertainty doesn't stay quiet for long, and whoever locks it down shapes the whole offensive identity Briles is trying to build.
Two Razorbacks lost for season
Depth math was already tight with four NFL exits — losing two more to season-ending injuries before the first snap is a roster stress test Pittman's development class wasn't built to absorb yet.
3-star DB commits to Arkansas
Pittman's portal dominance gets the headlines, but a development DB in a class ranked 32nd nationally is how you rebuild the backend depth that four draft exits quietly gutted.
Top 3 commits
Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now
36th percentile among FBS programs
Market outlook
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06
Arkansas · Next-Season Outcome Band
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
Ryan Silverfield took over as Arkansas's head coach, replacing Sam Pittman. It is replaces 6-year head coach Sam Pittman (29-41). It's not the hire that's the story anymore — it's everything it set in motion. The room is genuinely divided — believers and skeptics both have receipts.
The 'this hire changes everything' takes -- new-era believers making the case early.
The 'show me the body of work' counter -- resume gaps, scheme fits, and 'not that guy' reads.
Only 9 of 373 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.
Board health this week (278 posts): 19% positive · 52% neutral · 29% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
The second-order trail: commits, decommits, portal and staff knock-on from the hire.
Arkansas signed a top-8 transfer-portal class — 31 additions headlined by Trever Jackson (QB) from Florida State and Julian Neal (CB) from Stanford. It is a top-2 portal class in the SEC this cycle. Portal pickups are proven college players — the split isn't about development, it's about whether they fit the scheme and win their position battles. Coverage is split on whether volume or positional fit is the bigger story.
The 'portal class fills the gaps' believers -- upgrades at real positions of need.
The 'portal is a gamble' counter -- departure losses and the 'plug-and-play doesn't work' read.
Only 12 of 373 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.
Board health this week (278 posts): 19% positive · 52% neutral · 29% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Zero of five. Reset territory.
Opens Sep 5
vs North Alabama · at home
✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style
Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
AR leads the 2026 class with 11 commits. National footprint reaching 9 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
96 signees across 19 states, 2023-2026. AR leads the pull.
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
11 games with TV coverage: 3 national broadcast, 2 ESPN, 6 conference network
Kickoff windows: 4 noon, 6 afternoon, 1 primetime
Recovering 36% of their own fumbles — running cold vs. the ~51% league rate.
5 of 14 own fumbles recovered themselves; 3 of 8 forced fumbles recovered, 2025 only.
Getting hands on the ball but not cashing in: 12% of disruptions converted, vs. the ~19% league rate.
6 interceptions of 52 disrupted passes (46 deflected, 6 intercepted), 2025 only.
Losing the penalty battle: 93 penalties committed vs. 73 drawn on opponents, a 197-yard deficit.
804 penalty yards committed vs. 607 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Fanbase Signals
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
Inside the fanbase — all 12 corners
The split, staged
How Arkansas fans actually talk real · top-upvoted
Accept responsibility? Nah, I think I'll sue the NCAA. ... Accept responsibility? Nah, I think I'll try the NFL. ... Welp, guess I'll accept responsibility
The crowd’s loudest take by upvotes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.
Loudest in the room this week real · by engagement
All 12 corners of the fanbase
Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.
What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model
Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.
~ our readArkansas fans are leaning negative, and they're pointing to real stats and results to back it up — more than most fanbases right now.
✓ counted We read 278 posts from Arkansas fans this week.
Fan claims · every quote verified verbatim
Tough to see them ever being elite at football in the SEC
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Jul 29, 2026 · via CFB
Sure Ryan. Let's look at this quote in December when you're like 5-8 against SEC coaches and we go *maybe* 3-9.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Jul 23, 2026 · via CFB
Arkansas ad hunter having a hell of a year. Fire a coach that won 2 games this season and promote a guy that got 0 wins.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Nov 30, 2025 · via CFB
WHY THE FUCK WOULD YOU KICK!!!! WE HAVE BEEN CARVING THEIR DEFENSE SO FAR WTF!!!
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Sep 13, 2025 · via CFB
Defense looking like shit rn. Plz adjust.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Aug 30, 2025 · via CFB
Silverfield has potential to rebuild this dumpster fire into something average and I will take average after the last few seasons of the “heartbreak hogs”
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Jun 21, 2026 · via razorbacks
“I would bet money he's at another school next season Not trying to be a dick. Just basing this on experience.”— r/CFB
“No "since hired" unfortunately. It specifically does not count his first season because of the damage done to the program by FCM.”— r/CFB
“I'm just so numb to all of this; I'm done. I don't think this team will win another game this year. So many faults, but to top it off this might be the worst tackling team I've seen from Arkansas. At this point, just fire everyone; burn it to the ground and start over. I hat…”— r/CFB
“The annoying part is we’re going to get a bunch of casuals who didn’t watch the game come in like “ARKANSAS WHAT HAPPENED” meanwhile both fanbases are sitting in stunned silence”— r/CFB
“Fun fact: if you're a man over 60 you're required to wear a red gingham button up to this game”— r/CFB
Five Lenses
What people are saying right now
Fanbase Health Index · Arkansas · high confidence
“Defense? From my Razorbacks? It's (slightly) more likely than you think.”
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dual Threat · +0.45 EPA/play | 10 | 12 | 198 / 326 | 60.7 | 2714 #52 FBS | 8.3 | 19 #44 FBS | 11 | 143.2 | 76.1 | 6.9 | 6.6 | |
Yards by week → Dual Threat· Money-downDangerous with both arm and legs — defenses can't just pin the ears back. saves his best for the money downs Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. 10 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Rush yards / carry5.6 93th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Yards / attempt9.1 88th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Taylen Green's full player page | |||||||||||||
| +0.48 EPA/play | 7 | 5 | 33 / 54 | 61.1 | 441 | 8.2 | 3 | 0 | 148.0 | 64.2 | 9.1 | 1.8 | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Stuff% | 10+% | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speed Merchant · +0.19 EPA/play | 4 | 12 | 168 | 1068 #31 FBS | 6.4 | 8 | 57 | 14.8 | 17.2 | 20.9 | 17.8 | 12.1% (41/338) | |
Yards by week → Speed MerchantCuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 48 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry7.1 95th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share14.3% 66th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like our readTwo-star recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile our readReinvented: changed shape entirely — Workhorse to Speed Merchant, his CFB Index score went from the 44th percentile among FBS RBs to the 96th our readthe ball security is the one real worry — 2.04 fumbles per 100 touches (top-decile concern) | |||||||||||||
| Power Back · +0.19 EPA/play | — | 9 | 55 | 286 | 5.2 | 5 | 23 | 8.2 | 5.5 | 9.4 | 11.3 | — | |
Yards by week → Power BackShort-yardage and goal-line specialist. Carries the load, owns the red zone. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 10 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt View Braylen Russell's full player pageRush TD rate9.1% 97th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / carry4.5 bottom 21th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries | |||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.88 EPA/play | 9 | 12 | 57 | 760 | 13.3 | 5 | 36 | 14.8 | 14.2 | 22.5% (76/338) | |
Yards by week → Slot TechnicianRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 97 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Reception volume57 89th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.9 93th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View O'Mega Blake's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.66 EPA/play | 6 | 12 | 41 | 592 | 14.4 | 3 | 58 | 11.9 | 12.5 | 18.0% (61/338) | |
Yards by week → Possession Receiver· Money-downReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. lives on the sticks and moves the chains 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception14.1 56th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.7 74th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Raylen Sharpe's full player page | |||||||||||
| Move TE · +1.51 EPA/play | 88 | 10 | 19 | 519 | 27.3 | 4 | 62 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 6.5% (22/338) | |
Yards by week → Move TELined up out wide as often as inline. Creates mismatches downfield. 34 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception27.7 100th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions EPA / play (adj)1.5 100th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.27 EPA/play | 3 | 11 | 28 | 319 | 11.4 | 3 | 26 | 6.7 | 6.5 | 13.9% (47/338) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. The most common profile in its group this season — 332 of 558 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · sophomore · 3-star, 2024 class View CJ Brown's full player page | |||||||||||
| Move TE · +0.50 EPA/play | 83 | 11 | 21 | 296 | 14.1 | 2 | 34 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 9.2% (31/338) | |
Yards by week → Move TELined up out wide as often as inline. Creates mismatches downfield. 34 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception14.9 87th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.5 bottom 46th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jaden Platt's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.80 EPA/play | 17 | 5 | 12 | 167 | 13.9 | 2 | 42 | 1.8 | 6.1 | 5.3% (18/338) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception11.4 bottom 31th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate16.7% 91th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jalen Brown's full player page | |||||||||||
| +0.29 EPA/play | 15 | 10 | 9 | 101 | 11.2 | 1 | 25 | 6.1 | 4 | 5.0% (17/338) | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 97 | 12 | 43 | 27 | 15.5 #15 FBS | 8 #27 FBS | 6 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate36.0% 99th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score climbed from the 31st percentile to the 95th among FBS IDLs | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 1 | 9 | 31 | 16 | 6 | 3.5 | 4 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate19.4% 69th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readFading: his CFB Index score went from the 87th percentile among FBS IDLs to the 45th | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | — | 10 | 28 | 11 | 1.5 | 1 | 2 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · senior our readBreakout: his CFB Index score went from the 5th percentile among FBS IDLs to the 63rd | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 5 | 11 | 27 | 14 | 4.5 | 0 | 6 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight326 lb 94th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readFading: his CFB Index score moved from the 82nd to 38th percentile among FBS IDLs | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 95 | 11 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight389 lb 100th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score moved from the 14th to 53rd percentile among FBS IDLs | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 88 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 2.5 | 0 | 2 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight325 lb 93th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Danny Saili's full player page | |||||||
| 9 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 44 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 10 | 12 | 81 | 36 | 45 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 1 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · senior View Xavian Sorey Jr.'s full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 14 | 12 | 79 | 29 | 50 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · senior View Stephen Dix Jr.'s full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 7 | 11 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · sophomore · 4-star, 2024 class our readAscending: his CFB Index score now sits at the 55th percentile among FBS LBs, up from the 17th | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 42 | 7 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume17 bottom 12th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Wyatt Simmons's full player page | |||||||||
| 26 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 20 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 3 | 12 | 64 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume64 85th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Larry Worth III's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 22 | 12 | 59 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume59 79th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score moved from the 19th to 51st percentile among FBS Ss | |||||||
| Rover | 23 | 12 | 55 | 10 #20 FBS | 2 | 2 | 0 |
RoverHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 83 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate18.2% 91th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Julian Neal's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 16 | 12 | 52 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume52 68th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Miguel Mitchell's full player page | |||||||
| Rover | 13 | 11 | 52 | 11 #12 FBS | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Rover· Takeaway threatHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 83 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate21.2% 96th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score moved from the 57th to 92nd percentile among FBS Ss | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 4 | 10 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate21.4% 96th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readBounce-Back: his CFB Index score shows a real arc: 55th percentile among FBS Ss, fell to 21st, now back up to 62nd | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 19 | 9 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate20.0% 95th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Shakur Smalls's full player page | |||||||
| 15 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 80 | 12 | 14/18 | 77.8 | 47/47 | 89 | 53 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cannon | 37 | 12 | 34 | 1552 | 45.6 | 62 | 13 | 4 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.04 EPA/play | 1 | 9 | 10 | 240 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.29 EPA/play | 15 | 10 | 17 | 107 | 6.3 | 0 | 26 |
2025 stat leaders
finalRoster
2025+17 more
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | #76 | #186 | -48.5 | Alabama A&M | W 52–7 131 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #93 | #122 | -24.5 | Arkansas State (N) | W 56–14 136 | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #67 | #17 | +4.5 | @Ole Miss | L 35–41 142 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #58 | #56 | -7 | @Memphis | L 31–32 137 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #52 | #3 | +5 | Notre Dame | L 13–56 132 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #58 | #15 | +10.5 | @Tennessee | L 31–34 138 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #55 | #10 | +8.5 | Texas A&M | L 42–45 132 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #52 | #33 | -2.5 | Auburn | L 24–33 115 | 2-6 | 0-4 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #50 | #64 | -5 | Mississippi State | L 35–38 148 | 2-7 | 0-5 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #53 | #22 | +4.5 | @LSU | L 22–23 124 | 2-8 | 0-6 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #55 | #25 | +8.5 | @Texas | L 37–52 139 | 2-9 | 0-7 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | #51 | #23 | +4.5 | Missouri | L 17–31 120 | 2-10 | 0-8 |
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29 | Missouri | L 17–31 | 246 | 0 | 25:57 | +0.004 | 41.1% | 126.7% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Nov 22 | @Texas | L 37–52 | 512 | 2 | 34:17 | +0.324 | 45.7% | 142.5% | |
| Nov 15 | @LSU | L 22–23 | 340 | 3 | 25:15 | +0.021 | 38.2% | 145.7% | One-score loss |
| Nov 1 | Mississippi State | L 35–38 | 433 | 0 | 34:21 | +0.255 | 48.1% | 108.7% | One-score loss |
| Oct 25 | Auburn | L 24–33 | 331 | 4 | 22:20 | +0.127 | 48.9% | 118.9% | |
| Oct 18 | Texas A&M | L 42–45 | 527 | 0 | 26:12 | +0.533 | 46.9% | 177.0% | Most explosive |
| Oct 11 | @Tennessee | L 31–34 | 497 | 3 | 34:55 | +0.337 | 50.0% | 120.0% | One-score loss |
| Sep 27 | Notre Dame | L 13–56 | 367 | 2 | 27:13 | +0.111 | 46.8% | 103.5% | Defense's roughest night |
| Sep 20 | @Memphis | L 31–32 | 500 | 3 | 27:55 | +0.184 | 50.0% | 118.6% | One-score loss |
| Sep 13 | @Ole Miss | L 35–41 | 526 | 1 | 33:11 | +0.495 | 52.8% | 149.2% | One-score loss |
| Sep 6 | Arkansas State | W 56–14 | 630 | 2 | 23:03 | +0.693 | 65.5% | 142.7% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Aug 30 | Alabama A&M | W 52–7 | 552 | 0 | 33:39 | +0.407 | 49.3% | 145.0% | Blowout win |
| Season average (12 games) | 455 | 1.7 | +0.291 | 48.6% | 133.2% | ||||
Arkansas fields an elite offense behind a porous defense.
Opponent-adjusted percentiles vs all FBS. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Team identity · competitive snaps only
90th percentile quality, 12th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 86th | 11th |
| Akron | 12th | 89th |
| Alabama | 58th | 17th |
| App State | 35th | 47th |
| Arizona | 64th | 37th |
| Arizona State | 41st | 62nd |
| Arkansas | 90th | 12th |
| Arkansas State | 17th | 66th |
| Army | 57th | 43rd |
| Auburn | 47th | 53rd |
| BYU | 78th | 19th |
| Baylor | 69th | 25th |
| Boise State | 66th | 20th |
| Boston College | 37th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 2nd | 98th |
| Buffalo | 11th | 88th |
| California | 28th | 48th |
| Central Michigan | 52nd | 64th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 16th |
| Clemson | 51st | 48th |
| Coastal Carolina | 17th | 83rd |
| Colorado | 18th | 84th |
| Colorado State | 16th | 83rd |
| Delaware | 38th | 58th |
| Duke | 80th | 14th |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 36th |
| Eastern Michigan | 49th | 42nd |
| Florida | 30th | 67th |
| Florida Atlantic | 62nd | 59th |
| Florida International | 42nd | 50th |
| Florida State | 83rd | 32nd |
| Fresno State | 26th | 73rd |
| Georgia | 81st | 3rd |
| Georgia Southern | 73rd | 21st |
| Georgia State | 36th | 70th |
| Georgia Tech | 84th | 5th |
| Hawai'i | 64th | 41st |
| Houston | 27th | 65th |
| Illinois | 75th | 26th |
| Indiana | 95th | 1st |
| Iowa | 44th | 40th |
| Iowa State | 68th | 22nd |
| Jacksonville State | 54th | 38th |
| James Madison | 65th | 44th |
| Kansas | 85th | 28th |
| Kansas State | 71st | 49th |
| Kennesaw State | 56th | 30th |
| Kent State | 21st | 86th |
| Kentucky | 15th | 85th |
| LSU | 14th | 81st |
| Liberty | 43rd | 56th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 73rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 39th | 61st |
| Louisville | 48th | 64th |
| Marshall | 55th | 39th |
| Maryland | 30th | 74th |
| Memphis | 80th | 24th |
| Miami | 76th | 5th |
| Miami (OH) | 34th | 67th |
| Michigan | 67th | 33rd |
| Michigan State | 27th | 75th |
| Middle Tennessee | 39th | 52nd |
| Minnesota | 29th | 77th |
| Mississippi State | 22nd | 77th |
| Missouri | 61st | 30th |
| Missouri State | 55th | 46th |
| NC State | 86th | 23rd |
| Navy | 94th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 48th | 57th |
| Nevada | 3rd | 97th |
| New Mexico | 58th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 9th | 87th |
| North Carolina | 13th | 89th |
| North Texas | 98th | 7th |
| Northern Illinois | 8th | 92nd |
| Northwestern | 52nd | 36th |
| Notre Dame | 99th | 20th |
| Ohio | 67th | 18th |
| Ohio State | 93rd | 4th |
| Oklahoma | 20th | 80th |
| Oklahoma State | 5th | 95th |
| Old Dominion | 83rd | 45th |
| Ole Miss | 89th | 2nd |
| Oregon | 91st | 10th |
| Oregon State | 2nd | 98th |
| Penn State | 73rd | 33rd |
| Pittsburgh | 60th | 39th |
| Purdue | 25th | 78th |
| Rice | 6th | 94th |
| Rutgers | 70th | 27th |
| SMU | 74th | 42nd |
| Sam Houston | 4th | 96th |
| San Diego State | 24th | 76th |
| San José State | 45th | 69th |
| South Alabama | 36th | 58th |
| South Carolina | 23rd | 86th |
| South Florida | 87th | 23rd |
| Southern Miss | 40th | 55th |
| Stanford | 10th | 90th |
| Syracuse | 5th | 95th |
| TCU | 72nd | 35th |
| Temple | 70th | 34th |
| Tennessee | 96th | 11th |
| Texas | 45th | 55th |
| Texas A&M | 82nd | 14th |
| Texas State | 92nd | 8th |
| Texas Tech | 77th | 31st |
| Toledo | 50th | 61st |
| Troy | 14th | 80th |
| Tulane | 79th | 15th |
| Tulsa | 20th | 70th |
| UAB | 61st | 45th |
| UCF | 33rd | 82nd |
| UCLA | 23rd | 79th |
| UConn | 95th | 13th |
| UL Monroe | 11th | 92nd |
| UNLV | 88th | 9th |
| USC | 98th | 2nd |
| UTEP | 1st | 99th |
| UTSA | 77th | 51st |
| Utah | 97th | 6th |
| Utah State | 46th | 63rd |
| Vanderbilt | 100th | 0th |
| Virginia | 59th | 27th |
| Virginia Tech | 32nd | 71st |
| Wake Forest | 42nd | 72nd |
| Washington | 92nd | 8th |
| Washington State | 33rd | 52nd |
| West Virginia | 7th | 93rd |
| Western Kentucky | 53rd | 29th |
| Western Michigan | 31st | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 0th | 100th |
| Wyoming | 8th | 91st |
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 88th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 51st — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
90th percentile success on standard downs, 97th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 82nd | 69th |
| Akron | 20th | 36th |
| Alabama | 47th | 76th |
| App State | 41st | 80th |
| Arizona | 54th | 54th |
| Arizona State | 40th | 37th |
| Arkansas | 90th | 97th |
| Arkansas State | 51st | 40th |
| Army | 37th | 44th |
| Auburn | 73rd | 24th |
| Austin Peay | 56th | 13th |
| BYU | 91st | 46th |
| Ball State | 5th | 3rd |
| Baylor | 70th | 77th |
| Boise State | 42nd | 63rd |
| Boston College | 56th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 10th | 17th |
| Bryant | 7th | 2nd |
| Buffalo | 29th | 20th |
| California | 25th | 66th |
| Central Michigan | 57th | 11th |
| Charlotte | 7th | 7th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 65th |
| Clemson | 49th | 34th |
| Coastal Carolina | 16th | 22nd |
| Colorado | 8th | 48th |
| Colorado State | 29th | 35th |
| Delaware | 66th | 31st |
| Duke | 82nd | 63rd |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 91st |
| Eastern Michigan | 46th | 67th |
| Florida | 52nd | 45th |
| Florida Atlantic | 44th | 61st |
| Florida International | 50th | 26th |
| Florida State | 65th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 22nd | 71st |
| Georgia | 95th | 69th |
| Georgia Southern | 64th | 84th |
| Georgia State | 22nd | 75th |
| Georgia Tech | 92nd | 89th |
| Hawai'i | 33rd | 87th |
| Houston | 61st | 29th |
| Idaho | 30th | 78th |
| Idaho State | 93rd | 14th |
| Illinois | 79th | 95th |
| Indiana | 97th | 98th |
| Iowa | 74th | 19th |
| Iowa State | 80th | 58th |
| Jacksonville State | 59th | 56th |
| James Madison | 77th | 52nd |
| Kansas | 99th | 82nd |
| Kansas State | 37th | 59th |
| Kennesaw State | 44th | 67th |
| Kent State | 15th | 5th |
| Kentucky | 62nd | 29th |
| LSU | 18th | 52nd |
| Lafayette | 0th | 12th |
| Liberty | 65th | 53rd |
| Lindenwood | 4th | 1st |
| Long Island University | 24th | 78th |
| Louisiana | 24th | 23rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 41st | 24th |
| Louisville | 84th | 32nd |
| Maine | 3rd | 18th |
| Marshall | 71st | 62nd |
| Maryland | 11th | 86th |
| Massachusetts | 5th | 9th |
| Memphis | 75th | 68th |
| Merrimack | 1st | 83rd |
| Miami | 80th | 64th |
| Miami (OH) | 33rd | 39th |
| Michigan | 73rd | 74th |
| Michigan State | 48th | 39th |
| Middle Tennessee | 69th | 47th |
| Minnesota | 35th | 33rd |
| Mississippi State | 52nd | 35th |
| Missouri | 76th | 50th |
| Missouri State | 32nd | 50th |
| Murray State | 1st | 6th |
| NC State | 58th | 71st |
| Navy | 95th | 72nd |
| Nebraska | 78th | 51st |
| Nevada | 17th | 16th |
| New Mexico | 38th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 16th | 33rd |
| North Carolina | 14th | 30th |
| North Texas | 100th | 97th |
| Northern Illinois | 9th | 5th |
| Northwestern | 48th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 88th | 99th |
| Ohio | 69th | 76th |
| Ohio State | 99th | 99th |
| Oklahoma | 39th | 41st |
| Oklahoma State | 14th | 7th |
| Old Dominion | 72nd | 79th |
| Ole Miss | 83rd | 95th |
| Oregon | 93rd | 55th |
| Oregon State | 54th | 25th |
| Penn State | 76th | 73rd |
| Pittsburgh | 35th | 56th |
| Purdue | 46th | 88th |
| Rice | 20th | 0th |
| Rutgers | 71st | 84th |
| SMU | 50th | 57th |
| Sam Houston | 26th | 4th |
| San Diego State | 84th | 1st |
| San José State | 68th | 70th |
| South Alabama | 53rd | 28th |
| South Carolina | 31st | 8th |
| South Carolina State | 10th | 3rd |
| South Florida | 86th | 46th |
| Southern Miss | 27th | 38th |
| Stanford | 12th | 12th |
| Syracuse | 19th | 10th |
| TCU | 63rd | 82nd |
| Temple | 85th | 22nd |
| Tennessee | 97th | 81st |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 88th | 59th |
| Texas State | 60th | 93rd |
| Texas Tech | 45th | 65th |
| Toledo | 67th | 42nd |
| Troy | 18th | 27th |
| Tulane | 81st | 86th |
| Tulsa | 43rd | 43rd |
| UAB | 34th | 94th |
| UCF | 39th | 20th |
| UCLA | 28th | 48th |
| UConn | 96th | 37th |
| UL Monroe | 13th | 14th |
| UNLV | 78th | 85th |
| USC | 94th | 90th |
| UT Martin | 2nd | 41st |
| UTEP | 3rd | 10th |
| UTSA | 67th | 92nd |
| Utah | 87th | 96th |
| Utah State | 31st | 49th |
| Vanderbilt | 90th | 100th |
| Virginia | 36th | 73rd |
| Virginia Tech | 59th | 21st |
| Wake Forest | 21st | 31st |
| Washington | 98th | 93rd |
| Washington State | 61st | 44th |
| West Virginia | 12th | 18th |
| Western Kentucky | 55th | 80th |
| Western Michigan | 86th | 16th |
| Wisconsin | 6th | 27th |
| Wyoming | 23rd | 15th |
Halftime identity
1st-half offense ranks 99th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 58th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Schedule mirage
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.29; 84th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.07. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.55 raw vs. 0.10 adjusted.
Arkansas reads strongest in rushing epa (top 5%) and success rate (top 8%); the crux lives in success rate allowed, where Arkansas sits at the 8th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
Most Similar Programs · Arkansas
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Home-Field Advantage · Arkansas · 2018-present
43% home win rate vs 20% on the road. margin runs +6.3 better at home. Razorback Stadium seats 80,000, averaging 89% full (71,353 attendance, 25 games reported).
Positional competition · RB room
Michael Washington and Braylen Russell split the carries (164/217 vs 53/217) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Michael Washington owns the receiving work; Braylen Russell produces in bigger chunks.
Positional competition · WR/TE room
O'Mega Blake (WR) and Jaden Platt (TE) split the targets (73/104 vs 31/104) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
What changed
The biggest shift: red-zone pass rate moved up 14 points. The rest held closer to steady.
The biggest shift: 4th-down go rate moved down 6 points. The rest held closer to steady.
Season by season
Defensive identity · pass zones
On short passes, Arkansas’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (64.2% vs 65.9% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 97-play sample) — mid-pack, 32 of 133 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball leaderboard here: at the defense level, most teams face well under 30 rich-feed deep targets all season — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess.
67°F average kickoff temp; 10% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.
Based on 78 home games with weather data.
12 seasons inside the CFP era, no bids yet — the era the program is still trying to break into.
Arkansas's 2014–2025 record is 61-86. The era is still being written; the CFP line is the one the program is arguing for.
All-Time Record
since 1903 · 123 seasons · .554 win rate
Arkansas fired Sam Pittman after a 56-13 home loss to Notre Dame, watched Bobby Petrino go winless the rest of the way, and hired Ryan Silverfield from Memphis in November. The Razorbacks go 2-10 in 2025 and start over — again — as the SEC's only program with an entire state and no in-state rival to lean on.
There is one program in the state of Arkansas. No in-state Power rival, no split allegiance, no hedge: the whole state calls the Hogs. The Hog Call — Woo Pig Sooie — is the most distinctive sound in the sport, the thing that follows Razorback diaspora to road games in Fayetteville and Little Rock and everywhere the alumni scatter. Frank Broyles' 1964 team went 11-0 and won the national championship. That is 62 years ago and remains the program's solitary claim at that level. In between, there have been peaks — Darren McFadden's two Heisman runner-up seasons, Bobby Petrino's 2011 Cotton Bowl team — and long stretches of finishing in the SEC's middle or worse, watching the league's blue bloods treat Fayetteville as a manageable stop on the schedule.
The 2025 season was the worst of the recent era. A 56-13 home loss to Notre Dame ended Pittman's tenure — a coach the fanbase genuinely loved, a man who had taken the program to an Outback Bowl peak and held it with loyalty that felt authentic to Razorback country. The firing was not clean, and the Bobby Petrino interim stretch — the same coach who departed in scandal in 2012, the great what-if wound — made the winter more complicated. Ryan Silverfield arrives from Memphis, where he went 50-26 in six years. He is the 35th head coach in program history. The offseason fact that moved belief: for the first time in years, the Razorbacks share a conference again with old Southwest rival Texas, which resets a blood feud and gives the program a rivalry with genuine stakes.
The 2026 season will tell the first chapter of the Silverfield story, and the specific question it will answer is simple: can a new staff use the portal to rebuild the roster fast enough to be competitive in the SEC East before the fanbase's patience runs to a new bottom? Arkansas has the travel crowd, the booster infrastructure, and the state's undivided attention. The ceiling has always been real. The search has been for a coach long enough to find it.
SEC physicality is the historical baseline — from Broyles' option roots to the McFadden-era downhill run game to Petrino's vertical passing attack, Arkansas at its best is a program that wins in the trenches and stretches the field. Silverfield comes from a Memphis system built on tempo spread football and portal-first roster construction. The 2026 identity will be a hybrid: the existing SEC-caliber depth the program maintained under Pittman layered against a new staff installing a different offensive vocabulary. The defensive alignment entering fall camp is the early indicator.
Arkansas 2016–2025. Holding the line. The 10-year slope (-0.01 rungs / yr) doesn't tilt either way — the program lives at roughly Tier 2.
12 seasons on file
down middle peak CFP year
Season Standing · 2025 · 2-10
Arkansas: Below .500 in FBS play. The rebuild bar.
SEC Standing · 2025
Arkansas is 16th of 16 in the SEC at 0-8. The path to the title is steep — the focus is on bowl access and rivalry wins.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ole Miss | 8-1 |
| 2 | Alabama | 8-2 |
| 3 | Georgia | 8-2 |
| 4 | Texas A&M | 7-1 |
| 5 | Texas | 6-2 |
| 6 | Vanderbilt | 6-2 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | 6-3 |
| 8 | Missouri | 4-4 |
| 9 | Tennessee | 4-4 |
| 10 | LSU | 3-5 |
| 11 | Florida | 2-6 |
| 12 | Kentucky | 2-6 |
| 13 | Auburn | 1-7 |
| 14 | Mississippi State | 1-7 |
| 15 | South Carolina | 1-7 |
| 16 | Arkansas | 0-8 |
Coaching Era · Arkansas
Ryan Silverfield took over from Sam Pittman for the 2026 season.
Three gameday rituals — the ones outsiders never quite catch.
since 1920s
The 'Woo Pig Sooie!' chant (call-and-response, builds 'WOOOO PIIIIG SOOOOIE!' three times in increasing volume) is the program's defining cultural artifact. Used as greeting between fans nationwide; reaches volume thresholds at Razorback Stadium that visiting teams cite as among the SEC's loudest moments.
since 1996
Arkansas-LSU plays for the Golden Boot trophy — molded in the shape of Arkansas and Louisiana combined. The series predates the trophy (started 1906) but the boot itself only began in 1996. The rivalry survives realignment because of the geographic + cultural overlap.
since 1969
Tusk is the live mascot (a real Russian boar; predecessor Big Red Cook served 1969-2005). Sue E. Pig is the costumed mascot. The combination of a real live boar + a costumed pig at the same game is uniquely Arkansas — both an absurdity and a brand.
Program memory
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
Broyles' 11-0 team wins the program's only national title
2002
Matt Jones to DeCori Birmingham in the final seconds beats LSU — the signature modern Razorback play
A motorcycle crash and scandal end the Petrino era just as the program had climbed to top-5 expectations — the great what-if wound
Heartbreak
Moment of the Year · Arkansas · 2025
Week 8 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
Most recent: 2024 — win 39-26 (home). Last 5 postseason: 4-1.
NFL Draft Pipeline
2022–202613 picks last 5 cycles. Reliable mid-tier pipeline.
Unit lineage
FBS-relative efficiency percentile per season (2014–2025), same population as the Coordinator Mirror board. Dashed vertical lines mark a coordinator change.
Hired for 2026: Tim Cramsey — not yet reflected in on-field data.
Hired for 2026: Ron Roberts / co-Deron Wilson — not yet reflected in on-field data.
All-time top community posts · ranked by upvotes
Arkansas · Next-Season Outcome Band
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
Fanbase Health Index · Arkansas · high confidence
2025 stat leaders
How They Play · 2025
Most Similar Programs · Arkansas
Season Standing · 2025 · 2-10
Coaching Era · Arkansas
Moment of the Year · Arkansas · 2025
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
NFL Draft Pipeline