Texas A&M 34-7 Arkansas (Oct 3, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Arkansas · Texas A&M

Arkansas2-37

Texas A&M3-234Final

Sat, Oct 3 · Kyle Field, College Station, Texas · Crowd 108,657

Texas A&M beat Arkansas 34-7.

We had Texas A&M favored. It won.

Next: Arkansas lost to Tennessee 24-17, Sat Oct 10

Next: Texas A&M lost to Missouri 27-6, Sat Oct 10

Top comment in the game thread

Fun fact- before A&M moved to the SEC in 2012, Arkansas was leading the series 41-24-3. It's now 42-37-3.

Q2 4:31 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Oct 3

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Texas A&M a 90% chance, and the closing betting line (Texas A&M was a 13.5-point favorite) put it at 86%.

Favored the whole way: Texas A&M never fell below 83%.

Arkansas never had better than a 17% chance.

FinalTexas A&M 34-7 ArkansasTexas A&M wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q1 3:00Edwards runs for a touchdown as fans mock Arkansas and the uniformsKJ Edwards kinda reminds me of Achaner/CFB game thread
Q1 0:24Jackson throws deep touchdown to Marshall as Aggie fans lament defenseThat’s a (former) Aggie touchdown, we count thoser/CFB game thread
Q2 4:31Texas A&M scores a touchdown after 10 plays inside the Arkansas 10-yard lineQuoted at the top of the page.Arkansas is to Texas A&M what Texas A&M is to the rest of CFBr/CFB game thread

Texas A&M’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Texas A&M -13.5), at 86% for Texas A&M (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Texas A&M or Arkansas flair (1,013 and 550); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Texas A&M’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Texas A&M scored on 6 of its 9 drives; Arkansas on 1 of its 9.

Texas A&M’s drives are teal, Arkansas’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

“Fun fact- before A&M moved to the SEC in 2012, Arkansas was leading the series 41-24-3. It's now 42-37-3.”

A Texas A&M fan

How fans reacted

Steady

It was the second quarter that had fans talking the most.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was steady; the crowd was steady.

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Texas A&M fans

reed“Oh my god, Reed actualy stepped up INTO the pocket. Might things get better? Oh, Craver is out. No. Things will not get better.”

Arkansas fans

silverfield“I'm not sure why, but Silverfield just wearing a tshirt on the sideline really irks me.”

shirt“Silverfield wears that shirt when he rinses his milk glass with water and drinks the cloudy mixture.”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: ball, run, don, take.

What it cost

Texas A&M’s chance to make the playoff rose from 25% to 27%.

Make the playoff

Arkansas · lost0% → 0%

Texas A&M · won25% → ▲27%

Before the game (October 2, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Texas A&M 34, Arkansas 7

Texas A&M covered −13.5 by 13.5. The total, 41, stayed under 51.5.

Team totals	Arkansas	Texas A&M
Total yards	214	401
Passing	13 of 25, 111 yds	13 of 19, 170 yds
Rushing	22 for 103 yds	49 for 231 yds
First downs	14	23
Third down	3 of 10	9 of 16
Fourth down	0 of 2	1 of 2
Turnovers	1	0
Penalties	7 for 40 yds	7 for 70 yds
Time of possession	21:52	38:08

Arkansas leaders

Passing KJ Jackson 13 of 25, 111 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
Rushing Sutton Smith 6 for 41 yds; Braylen Russell 7 for 40 yds
Receiving Chris Marshall 7 for 76 yds, 1 TD; Sutton Smith 5 for 24 yds

Texas A&M leaders

Passing Marcel Reed 13 of 19, 170 yds
Rushing KJ Edwards 11 for 66 yds, 2 TD; Marcel Reed 9 for 66 yds, 1 TD
Receiving Kiotti Armstrong 1 for 54 yds; TK Norman 3 for 36 yds

No rain through the game

77° at kickoff · no rain recorded

October game-day temperatures at Kyle Field

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:55 left6:06 p.m.

Arkansas 0, Texas A&M 0 · Texas A&M 86% to win

no rain · 77°

Smith 5-yd run

Where this weather comes from

Measured at College Station airport, 2.1 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last 4 games

Arkansas · 2-2

Rated 145th in our preseason ratings, 128th now, up 17 spots.

2-2 in its last 4 — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 34-6 vs Tulsa #109 of 668

won by 28 as a 7-point favorite

L 17-45 vs GeorgiaTop 25 #2 of 668

lost by 28 as a 24.5-point underdog

L 10-43 @ UtahTop 25 #29 of 668

lost by 33 as a 13.5-point underdog

W 31-14 vs North Alabama #206 of 668

won by 17 as a 40.5-point favorite

Last 4 games

Texas A&M · 2-2

Rated 6th in our preseason ratings, 15th now.

2-2 in its last 4 — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 6-35 @ LSUTop 25 #14 of 668

lost by 29 as an 8.5-point underdog

L 21-31 vs KentuckyTop 25 #86 of 668

lost by 10 as a 16.5-point favorite

W 48-20 vs Arizona State #46 of 668

won by 28 as a 15.5-point favorite

W 50-0 vs Missouri State #90 of 668

won by 50 as a 38.5-point favorite

Week by week

Texas A&M

Wk 1Wvs Missouri State50-0
Wk 2Wvs Arizona State48-20
Wk 3Lvs Kentucky21-31
Wk 4Lat LSU6-35

Arkansas

Wk 1Wvs North Alabama31-14
Wk 2Lat Utah10-43
Wk 3Lvs Georgia17-45
Wk 4Wvs Tulsa34-6

Power rating by week

Texas A&M is rated 12.5 points ahead as of week 4. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Texas A&M’s explosive plays against Arkansas, 72 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Texas A&M’s explosive plays against Arkansas’s defense
Texas A&M offense, 5th percentile · Arkansas defense, 77th
Arkansas’s EPA/play against Texas A&M’s defense
Arkansas offense, 22nd percentile · Texas A&M defense, 82nd
Arkansas’s rushing EPA against Texas A&M’s defense
Arkansas offense, 8th percentile · Texas A&M defense, 72nd

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

ArkansasTexas A&M

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Arkansas leads the series 42-37-3

82 meetings since 1903 · Texas A&M has won the last 4

2025Texas A&M 45-42
2024 · neutral siteTexas A&M 21-17
2023 · neutral siteTexas A&M 34-22
2022 · neutral siteTexas A&M 23-21
2021 · neutral siteArkansas 20-10

Each line is Texas A&M’s chance to win through that meeting. Texas A&M is 3-1 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Texas A&M fans are feeling it less than most fanbases this week (20th among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.

Texas A&M favored by 13.5 · Total 51.5

How games like this usually go

Texas A&M by 13.5, and it went to form

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward Arkansas.

The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Warm and dry. Feels like 80° at kickoff.

Arkansas at Texas A&M · Saturday, Oct. 3, 2026 · Kyle Field, College Station

80°feels like at kickoff
Dryno rain at kickoff
95weather score, Comfortable
Tiedfor the best of the day's 5 kickoff times

At kickoff, Oct. 3, 2026.

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 5 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the best of the day's five kickoff times. At Kyle Field that day, a 6:45 pm kickoff would have scored 97, against 95 at 6 pm.

11 am: 72, Rough
2:30 pm: 52, Rough
3:15 pm: 54, Rough
6 pm: 95, Comfortable (this game)
6:45 pm: 97, Comfortable

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

At kickoff, Oct. 3, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.

Home field

Texas A&M is worth +8.6 points (±3.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile.

77% at home, 37% on the road against FBS opponents (40-12 home, 13-22 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.3 at home vs. away over 94 games — inside the ±5.4 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 397 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Texas A&M 23, Arkansas 21Sep 24, 2022

Our History pages cover 4 of their meetings since 2015.

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Texas A&M15th0-2
Arkansas12th0-1

Full SEC standings

Texas A&M beats Arkansas 34-7