North Alabama · Next-Season Outcome Band
Fanbase Health Index · North Alabama · medium confidence
FCS Program Prestige · North AlabamaFCS Transition (2022)
North Alabama moves from Division II to Division I FCS
Miracle
North Alabama2-10Hope-Doping·Offseason
North Alabama is the Alabama program that climbed to Division I in 2022 and is learning the difference between reclassification and relevance.
Standard GapA program that was asked to move up but is discovering it was better sui…
Fans here believe the chip is uncertain: North Alabama was told reclassification would make them relevant, that FCS legitimacy was worth the transition. Three years later, a 2–10 season suggests the m…
offseason · quiet
Approaching
23 days
until kickoff · vs Samford · Sat Aug 29 · 23:00 UTC
The experience
North Alabama is the Alabama program that climbed to Division I in 2022 and is learning the difference between reclassification and relevance.
The Lions rest in the shade.
North Alabama · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 0-12
Base 2-10
Ceiling 5-7
floor0-12Sub-.500 season. Playoff bid out of reach.
base2-10Mid-table finish. Conference title a stretch.
ceiling5-7Conference title race. Playoff bid in play.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Hibernating
Zero of five. Reset territory.
Streak L5Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 2-8
The forecast
Opens Aug 29
vs Samford · neutral site
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on North Alabama
—
The Lions rest in the shade.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Go Lions."
— North Alabama fanbase · recurring line
3 mentions · awaiting signal
Fanbase Health Index · North Alabama · medium confidence
Stable (39)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 2-10 (17% win rate)39
Volume — 2 effective signal-N38
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
North Alabama · 2025 schedule & results2-10Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 55% · 0 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | #191 | #118 | +27.5 | @Western Kentucky | L 6–55 143 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #199 | #154 | +15.5 | @Southeast Missouri State | L 21–30 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #203 | #354 | — | Northeastern State | W 49–21 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #220 | #133 | +17 | @Illinois State | L 36–38 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #205 | #143 | +11.5 | @Abilene Christian | L 23–52 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #221 | #195 | +4 | Central Arkansas | L 21–49 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #246 | #154 | +11.5 | Eastern Kentucky | W 35–14 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #223 | #131 | +19.5 | @Austin Peay | L 28–56 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #233 | #226 | +3.5 | @Utah Tech | L 33–34 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #231 | #189 | +9.5 | West Georgia | L 17–24 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| 12 | Nov 16 | #232 | #72 | +33.5 | @Tarleton State | L 0–61 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #233 | #132 | +18 | Southern Utah | L 34–36 | 2-10 | 1-5 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22 | Southern Utah | L 34–36 | — | — | — | +0.175 | 40.0% | 127.8% | One-score loss |
| Nov 16 | @Tarleton State | L 0–61 | — | — | — | -0.319 | 21.1% | 119.3% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Nov 8 | West Georgia | L 17–24 | — | — | — | -0.074 | 31.0% | 122.3% | One-score loss |
| Nov 1 | @Utah Tech | L 33–34 | — | — | — | +0.091 | 40.0% | 125.1% | One-score loss |
| Oct 25 | @Austin Peay | L 28–56 | — | — | — | -0.039 | 35.6% | 134.3% | Defense's roughest night |
| Oct 18 | Eastern Kentucky | W 35–14 | — | — | — | +0.259 | 52.9% | 108.9% | Best success rate |
| Oct 11 | Central Arkansas | L 21–49 | — | — | — | -0.073 | 32.5% | 142.9% | Most explosive |
| Oct 4 | @Abilene Christian | L 23–52 | — | — | — | +0.232 | 41.7% | 131.5% | Blowout loss |
| Sep 20 | @Illinois State | L 36–38 | — | — | — | +0.201 | 44.0% | 122.4% | One-score loss |
| Sep 13 | Northeastern State | W 49–21 | — | — | — | +0.280 | 43.1% | 125.5% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 6 | @Southeast Missouri State | L 21–30 | — | — | — | +0.036 | 37.0% | 136.0% | Best defensive stand |
| Aug 30 | @Western Kentucky | L 6–55 | 258 | 1 | 29:49 | -0.107 | 25.0% | 128.7% | Blowout loss |
| Season average (12 games) | 258 | 1.0 | +0.055 | 37.0% | 127.1% | ||||
Schedule mirage
How much of North Alabama's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.06; 25th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.00. The widest gap came in week 1: -0.11 raw vs. -0.00 adjusted.
Home-Field Advantage · North Alabama · 2018-present
Elite
43% home win rate vs 16% on the road. margin runs +17.3 better at home. Braly Municipal Stadium seats 14,215, averaging 54% full (7,725 attendance, 11 games reported).
Home16-21Away7-35
Venue texture
73°F average kickoff temp; 7% of games had measurable precipitation; 5 mph average wind.
Based on 27 home games with weather data.
FCS Program Prestige · North Alabama
Mid-Major Contender
All-Time Record
26-65
since 1912 · 16 seasons · .285 win rate
HOME
16-23
AWAY
9-38
NEUTRAL
1-4
1910s
1950s
1970s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
UAC Standing · 2025
7th in the UAC
North Alabama is 7th of 8 in the UAC at 1-5. The path to the title is steep — the focus is on playoff positioning and rivalry wins.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abilene Christian | 6-0 |
| 2 | Tarleton State | 5-1 |
| 3 | Austin Peay | 3-3 |
| 4 | West Georgia | 3-3 |
| 5 | Eastern Kentucky | 2-4 |
| 6 | Central Arkansas | 1-5 |
| 7 | North Alabama | 1-5 |
| 8 | West Florida | 0-0 |
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
The 2025 2–10 Season
Worst record since transition; final season at Braly Municipal Stadium
Wound
Moment of the Year · North Alabama · 2025
Moment of the Year · North Alabama · 2025Won 49-21 vs Northeastern State
Week 3 of 2025. A statement margin. Recruiting boards re-rendered overnight.
Playoff History
Playoff HistoryRecent postseason (2016): 0-1
Most recent: 2016 — loss 29-3 (away). Last 5 postseason: 0-1.
2016
r/cfb moments
188
[Postgame Thread] BYU Defeats North Alabama 66-14
All-time top community posts · ranked by upvotes
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