Samford · Next-Season Outcome Band
Fanbase Health Index · Samford · medium confidence
FCS Program Prestige · Samford1991 FCS Semifinal
Samford goes 12-2 and reaches the FCS national championship semifinal, the program's deepest playoff run
Heartbreak
Samford1-11Hope-Doping·Offseason
Samford is the SoCon program that came closest to a national championship in 1991 (lost 12-2 in the semifinal) and won a title in 2022 — but has never broken through to the next level despite consistent contention.
Title DroughtSince 1991 · 34 yrs
Samford came within one game of the national championship in 1991 but has been chasing that level ever since. The 2022 title proved the Bulldogs can still win, but the national stage has eluded them f…
offseason · quiet
Approaching
23 days
until kickoff · at North Alabama · Sat Aug 29 · 23:00 UTC
The experience
Samford is the SoCon program that came closest to a national championship in 1991 (lost 12-2 in the semifinal) and won a title in 2022 — but has never broken through to the next level despite consistent contention.
The Bulldogs are patient.
Samford · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 0-12
Base 1-11
Ceiling 4-8
floor0-12Sub-.500 season. Playoff bid out of reach.
base1-11Mid-table finish. Conference title a stretch.
ceiling4-8Conference title race. Playoff bid in play.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Hibernating
Zero of five. Reset territory.
Streak L5Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 1-9
The forecast
Opens Aug 29
vs North Alabama · neutral site
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on Samford
—
The Bulldogs are patient.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Go Samford"
— Samford fanbase · recurring line
3 mentions · awaiting signal
Fanbase Health Index · Samford · medium confidence
Stable (37)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 1-11 (8% win rate)35
Volume — 2 effective signal-N39
Key stats — 2025 — FBS rank
Points/game#134 / 138 · 4th pct14.6
Pts allowed/game#134 / 138 · 4th pct37.9
All 18 stats
Other
First down pass rate#97 / 215 · 55th pct#34 / 70 · 53rd pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct0.40.0/gm
H1 epa per play opponent#153 / 167 · 9th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct0.40.0/gm
H1 epa per play#157 / 162 · 4th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct-0.1-0.0/gm
Red Zone & Drive Efficiency (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Red zone trips
Team30.2/gm#152 / 167 · 10th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct
Opp131.1/gm#23 / 166 · 87th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct
Red zone score %
Team33.3%33.3%#163 / 167 · 3rd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct
Opp92.3%92.3%#152 / 166 · 9th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct
Points / drive
Team0.20.0/gm#163 / 167 · 3rd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct
Opp3.20.3/gm#151 / 166 · 10th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct
Yards / drive
Team14.11.2/gm#165 / 167 · 2nd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct
Opp41.53.5/gm#97 / 166 · 42nd pct#49 / 70 · 31st pct
Plays / drive
Team4.70.4/gm#165 / 167 · 2nd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct
Opp6.50.5/gm#82 / 166 · 51st pct#35 / 70 · 51st pct
Three-and-out rate
Team21.4%21.4%#144 / 167 · 14th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct
Opp17.9%17.9%#26 / 166 · 85th pct#14 / 70 · 81st pct
Scheme Identity (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Standard-downs success allowed#125 / 172 · 28th pct#59 / 70 · 17th pct51.2%51.2%
Passing-downs success
Team15.2%15.2%#151 / 153 · 2nd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct
Opp33.3%33.3%#110 / 149 · 27th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Samford · 2025 schedule & results1-11Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 52% · 1 AP top-25 opponent on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | #149 | #243 | -6.5 | West Georgia | L 3–34 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #216 | #205 | -2.5 | The Citadel | L 13–40 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #212 | #15 | +52 | @Baylor | L 7–42 145 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #192 | #210 | +10.5 | @Western Carolina | L 35–50 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #209 | #215 | +7 | Furman | L 13–31 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #225 | #133 | — | @Mercer | L 21–45 | 0-6 | 0-4 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #232 | #264 | -3.5 | @VMI | W 24–22 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #235 | #200 | +10 | Chattanooga | L 13–49 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #251 | #178 | +12.5 | @Wofford | L 16–26 | 1-8 | 1-6 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #245 | #161 | +18.5 | East Tennessee State | L 14–38 | 1-9 | 1-7 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #255 | #133 | +25.5 | @Austin Peay | L 16–30 | 1-10 | 1-7 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #247 | #11 | +53.5 | @Texas A&M | L 0–48 128 | 1-11 | 1-7 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22 | @Texas A&M | L 0–48 | 77 | 0 | 26:56 | -0.236 | 8.2% | 85.1% | Blowout loss |
| Nov 15 | @Austin Peay | L 16–30 | — | — | — | -0.149 | 39.7% | 101.5% | |
| Nov 8 | East Tennessee State | L 14–38 | — | — | — | +0.048 | 29.5% | 159.3% | |
| Nov 1 | @Wofford | L 16–26 | — | — | — | -0.221 | 28.6% | 137.5% | Best defensive stand |
| Oct 25 | Chattanooga | L 13–49 | — | — | — | +0.001 | 27.1% | 148.5% | Blowout loss |
| Oct 18 | @VMI | W 24–22 | — | — | — | +0.159 | 40.0% | 127.0% | One-score win |
| Oct 4 | @Mercer | L 21–45 | — | — | — | +0.112 | 29.6% | 176.8% | Most explosive |
| Sep 27 | Furman | L 13–31 | — | — | — | -0.074 | 33.8% | 136.6% | |
| Sep 20 | @Western Carolina | L 35–50 | — | — | — | +0.347 | 47.0% | 142.6% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 13 | @Baylor | L 7–42 | 195 | 4 | 25:54 | -0.065 | 27.6% | 92.9% | Blowout loss |
| Aug 28 | West Georgia | L 3–34 | — | — | — | -0.241 | 33.8% | 103.2% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Season average (11 games) | 136 | 2.0 | -0.029 | 31.3% | 128.3% | ||||
Schedule mirage
How much of Samford's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is -0.03; 2nd percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's -0.02. The widest gap came in week 2: -0.24 raw vs. -0.03 adjusted.
Home-Field Advantage · Samford · 2018-present
Strong
57% home win rate vs 35% on the road. margin runs +11.7 better at home. Seibert Stadium seats 6,700, averaging 61% full (4,096 attendance, 11 games reported).
Home22-16Away15-27
Venue texture
74°F average kickoff temp; 7% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.
Based on 28 home games with weather data.
FCS Program Prestige · Samford
National Program
All-Time Record
157-245-17
since 1902 · 77 seasons · .374 win rate
HOME
91-75-9
AWAY
61-161-8
NEUTRAL
5-9
1900s
1910s
1920s
1930s
1940s
1960s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
Southern Standing · 2025
9th in the Southern
Samford is 9th of 10 in the Southern at 1-7. The path to the title is steep — the focus is on playoff positioning and rivalry wins.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mercer | 8-0 |
| 2 | Western Carolina | 6-2 |
| 3 | East Tennessee State | 5-3 |
| 4 | Wofford | 5-3 |
| 5 | Furman | 4-4 |
| 6 | Chattanooga | 4-5 |
| 7 | The Citadel | 3-5 |
| 8 | Tennessee Tech | 1-0 |
| 9 | Samford | 1-7 |
| 10 | VMI | 0-8 |
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2022 SoCon Championship
Samford wins a SoCon title, proving the program could still win when it mattered
Moment of the Year · Samford · 2025
Moment of the Year · Samford · 2025Lost 0-48 at Texas A&M
Week 13 of 2025. A reckoning loss — the data point the next season must answer.
FCS → NFL Pipeline
2022–2022
FCS → NFL PipelineDeveloping
1 picks last 5 cycles. The pipeline is real but still building volume.
1
picks · last 5 yrs
#162
Montrell Washington
Wide Receiver · 2022 · Denver
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site