Tennessee 24-17 Arkansas (Oct 10, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Tennessee · Arkansas

No. 15 Tennessee5-124

Arkansas2-417Final

Sat, Oct 10 · Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, Ark. · Crowd 69,038

No. 15 Tennessee beat Arkansas 24-17.

We had Tennessee favored. It won.

Next: Tennessee beat Alabama 26-10, Sat Oct 17

Next: Arkansas beat Vanderbilt 31-21, Sat Oct 17

Top comment in the game thread

Sleeper cell Max Gilbert successfully deployed. This is some Tennessee football if I've ever seen it.

Q2 0:03 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Oct 10

How it swung

The turning point: MacIntyre intercepted by Lewis at the Arkansas 31, returned 11 yards (Q4, 5:44). Tennessee went from 76% to 50% to win. Fans right then: “If Max makes a game winning field goal I will genuinely never watch college football again” r/CFB game thread

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Tennessee an 88% chance, and the closing betting line (Tennessee was a 13.5-point favorite) put it at 86%.

The edge changed hands 4 times before Tennessee won it.

The edge changed hands 4 times and Arkansas came out on the wrong end.

FinalTennessee 24-17 ArkansasTennessee wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

The two plays that swung it

1Q4 12:52Brame 1-yd TD run, Tennessee goes ahead 17-14Tennessee 54% → 72% (+18)
2Q4 5:44InterceptionMacIntyre intercepted by Lewis at the Arkansas 31, returned 11 yardsTennessee 76% → 50% (−26)

The two plays that swung it

1Q4 12:52Brame 1-yd TD run, Tennessee goes ahead 17-14Arkansas 46% → 28% (−18)
2Q4 5:44InterceptionMacIntyre intercepted by Lewis at the Arkansas 31, returned 11 yardsArkansas 24% → 50% (+26)

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q2 0:03Arkansas kicker Max Gilbert misses a field goal as the first half endsQuoted at the top of the page.
Q3 10:33MacIntyre throws interception to Mitchell as Arkansas fans celebrateDid the teams swap jerseys at halftime??r/CFB game thread
Q3 4:28Arkansas fans celebrate Jackson's touchdown pass to Platt as Tennessee fans despair over Heupelgreat job heupel, you've created a high pressure situation for your qb on the roadr/CFB game threadArkansas fans being shocked is because they’ve watched Arkansas all seasonr/CFB game thread
Q4 7:20Max Gilbert ties it with a 55-yard field goal as Tennessee fans despairIf Max makes a game winning field goal I will genuinely never watch college football againr/CFB game thread
Q4 1:36Arkansas punts with 1:36 left, sparking outrage from fans who call it a surrenderI'd be booing if I was an Arkansas fan too wtfr/CFB game thread

Tennessee’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Tennessee -13.5), at 73% for Tennessee (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Arkansas or Tennessee flair (466 and 732); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Tennessee’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Tennessee scored on 4 of its 13 drives; Arkansas on 3 of its 13.

Tennessee’s drives are teal, Arkansas’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

From Arkansas’s side

Arkansas’s best moment: MacIntyre intercepted by Lewis at the Arkansas 31, returned 11 yards (Q4 5:44). It lifted Arkansas’s win chance by 26 points.

How Arkansas fans took it: “Tusk doesn't deserve this., wheel his enclosure from the field before he has to see any more” r/CFB game thread

“The best we got on 3rd & 10 is a run?”

An Arkansas fan

When fans got loud

Busy

The loudest stretch came in the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was busy.

What it cost

Tennessee’s chance to make the playoff rose from 20% to 22%.

Make the playoff

Tennessee · won20% → ▲22%

Arkansas · lost0% → 0%

Win the conference

Tennessee · won1% → ▲2%

Arkansas · lost0% → 0%

Before the game (October 9, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Tennessee 24, Arkansas 17

Arkansas covered +13.5 by 6.5. The total, 41, stayed under 51.5.

Team totals	Tennessee	Arkansas
Total yards	414	288
Passing	18 of 29, 247 yds	15 of 27, 155 yds
Rushing	35 for 167 yds	34 for 133 yds
First downs	20	15
Third down	4 of 13	2 of 11
Fourth down	0 of 0	0 of 0
Turnovers	3	1
Penalties	6 for 35 yds	7 for 63 yds
Time of possession	27:56	32:04

Tennessee leaders

Passing George MacIntyre 18 of 29, 247 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
Rushing DeSean Bishop 19 for 138 yds, 1 TD; Daune Morris 8 for 33 yds
Receiving Dasaahn Brame 3 for 87 yds; Mike Matthews 4 for 78 yds

Arkansas leaders

Passing KJ Jackson 15 of 27, 155 yds, 1 TD
Rushing Cam Settles 8 for 50 yds; Sutton Smith 11 for 40 yds
Receiving Chris Marshall 7 for 56 yds; Monte Harrison 1 for 29 yds

No rain and calm

90° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 6 mph from the south, gusts to 12

The usual here around this date is 68°, with about 7 in 10 games between 59° and 77°.

October game-day temperatures at Razorback Stadium

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

Fourth quarter, 5:44 left6:09 p.m.

Tennessee 17, Arkansas 17 · Arkansas 50% to win

no rain · wind 6 mph from the south · 83°

MacIntyre intercepted by Lewis at the Arkansas 31, returned 11 yards

Measured at Fayetteville/drake airport, 4.4 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Tennessee · 4-1

Rated 30th in our preseason ratings, 26th now.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 24-14 vs Auburn #56 of 668

won by 10 as a 6-point favorite

L 17-20 vs TexasTop 25 #5 of 668

lost by 3 as a 5.5-point underdog

W 42-9 vs Kennesaw State #153 of 668

won by 33 as a 35.5-point favorite

W 45-24 @ Georgia Tech #84 of 668

won by 21 as a 12.5-point favorite

W 56-9 vs Furman #166 of 668

won by 47 as a 49.5-point favorite

Last three games

Arkansas · 2-3

Rated 145th in our preseason ratings, 120th now, up 25 spots.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 7-34 @ Texas A&MTop 25 #17 of 668

lost by 27 as a 13.5-point underdog

W 34-6 vs Tulsa #109 of 668

won by 28 as a 7-point favorite

L 17-45 vs GeorgiaTop 25 #2 of 668

lost by 28 as a 24.5-point underdog

L 10-43 @ UtahTop 25 #29 of 668

lost by 33 as a 13.5-point underdog

W 31-14 vs North Alabama #206 of 668

won by 17 as a 40.5-point favorite

Week by week

Arkansas

Wk 1Wvs North Alabama31-14
Wk 2Lat Utah10-43
Wk 3Lvs Georgia17-45
Wk 4Wvs Tulsa34-6
Wk 5Lat Texas A&M7-34

Tennessee

Wk 1Wvs Furman56-9
Wk 2Wat Georgia Tech45-24
Wk 3Wvs Kennesaw State42-9
Wk 4Lvs Texas17-20
Wk 5Wvs Auburn24-14

Power rating by week

Tennessee is rated 9.9 points ahead as of week 5. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Arkansas’s explosive plays against Tennessee, 84 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Arkansas’s explosive plays against Tennessee’s defense
Arkansas offense, 11th percentile · Tennessee defense, 95th
Arkansas’s EPA/play against Tennessee’s defense
Arkansas offense, 22nd percentile · Tennessee defense, 96th
Tennessee’s rushing EPA against Arkansas’s defense
Tennessee offense, 95th percentile · Arkansas defense, 18th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

TennesseeArkansas

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Tennessee leads the series 14-7

21 meetings since 1907 · Tennessee won the last meeting

2025Tennessee 34-31
2024Arkansas 19-14
2020Arkansas 24-13
2015Arkansas 24-20
2011Arkansas 49-7

Each line is Arkansas’s chance to win through that meeting. Arkansas is 1-1 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Tennessee fans are feeling it about like the typical fanbase this week (41st among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.

Tennessee favored by 13.5 · Total 51.5

How games like this usually go

Tennessee by 13.5, and it went to form

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.

The market

The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Arkansas is worth +2.1 points (±4.1) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 18th percentile.

38% at home, 22% on the road against FBS opponents (19-31 home, 8-29 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -6.7 at home vs. away over 92 games — outside the ±5.7 noise, one of the few buildings where results say more.

The visitors travel about 573 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Arkansas 19, Tennessee 14Oct 5, 2024

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Arkansas15th0-2
Tennessee9th1-1

Full SEC standings

No. 15 Tennessee beats Arkansas 24-17