Regular season ·

Arkansas beat Tennessee

No. 4 Tennessee4-114
Arkansas4-219Final
Sat, Oct 5 · Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, Ark. · Crowd 75,573 · 79°, clearABC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Arkansas had a 5 percent chance to win with 8:19 left in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 19-14, October 5, 2024.

How the game turned

Arkansas aheadTennessee aheadBiggest swingLow: 5%
123

Q4 1:17 Arkansas 19, Tennessee 14

Arkansas 61% to win

Singleton 11-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Arkansas goes ahead 19-14

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 5:48 · Arkansas 3, Tennessee 0Ramsey 20-yd field goal, Arkansas goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q3 12:33 · Arkansas 3, Tennessee 7Arkansas's win chance fell from 32% to 12%.Sampson 4-yd TD run, Tennessee goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3Q4 1:17 · Arkansas 19, Tennessee 14Arkansas's win chance rose from 39% to 61%.Singleton 11-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Arkansas goes ahead 19-14

Arkansas's lowest chance to win was 5 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 1:17 left in the 4th quarter, Arkansas's chance to win went from 39 percent to 61 percent when Arkansas scored a touchdown.

The score went from Arkansas 13, Tennessee 14 to Arkansas 19, Tennessee 14.

The play: Singleton 11-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Arkansas goes ahead 19-14.

What happened next

  1. Tennessee's next game: W 23-17 vs Florida, Oct 12

    7 days later

  2. Arkansas's next game: L 10-34 vs LSU, Oct 19

    14 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 5, 2024: Tennessee 34, Arkansas 31, Oct 11, 2025

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

Share: Post on X · Text it ·