4recruiting class
Texas10-3CFP #13Latest
The read on Texas depends entirely on who you ask.
belief cooled ↓ 13.0vs prior week
Fanbase belief
Mixed
50/100 · 1,353 mentions
~ our readGrounding
backed by facts
9% cite a stat · 7% typical ✓ counted
~ our readVolatility
Chaotic
σ 19 pts
~ our readThe model
#11
CFB Zeitgeist · +10.5
✓ measured4Hope-Doping·Offseason
Texas spent fifteen years as the sport's punchline, climbed back to the brink under Sarkisian and Arch Manning — and then a 2025 that missed the Playoff turned the swagger into a question.
AP Poll#14 AP
Every flicker of struggle reignites the punchline the program wore for a decade — 'Texas is back?' said with a smirk. The fanbase uses it on itself now, but it wants to bury it for good.
offseason · quiet
Roster Reload - Texas
2026 snapshot - 2026-08-06Returning Production28%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#4 nationally247 composite 973.5
Portal Additions22Primary repair: LB
Portal Losses28Primary pressure: RB
Draft Loss6Heavy NFL Draft loss (6) — 1 with a next man up identified below
Recruiting Reload#7Top-10 recruiting class
RBin 2 - Hollywood Smothersout 6 - Quintrevion WisnerStarter Risk
current room: 206 lbs avg (2025 roster)
IOLin 3 - Laurence Seymoreout 5 - Nick BrooksStarter Risk
current room: 323 lbs avg (2025 roster)
LBin 4 - Rasheem Bilesout 2 - Liona LefauNeed Filled
current room: 236 lbs avg (2025 roster)
WRin 2 - Cam Colemanout 4 - DeAndre Moore Jr.Starter Risk
current room: 198 lbs avg (2025 roster)
CBin 2 - Bo Mascoeout 3 - Kobe BlackDowngrade
current room: 191 lbs avg (2025 roster)
DLin 2 - Ian Geffrardout 2 - Lavon JohnsonEven
current room: 316 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Next man up
Belief EKG
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasonsWire eventStory arc
Approaching
30 days
until kickoff · vs Texas State · Sat Sep 5 · 19:30 UTC
The experience
Texas is the program that spent fifteen years explaining what it used to be, and is now remembering how to speak in present tense.
Offense: StrongTempo: Explosive, big-playDefense: Strong
Texas faces a high-stakes 2026 season with a #10 recruiting class and heavy roster turnover
The team's low continuity and heavy reload, combined with a #10 recruiting class, position it for a competitive but uncertain campaign. With a #7 recruiting rank and significant transfers in and out, the Longhorns will rely on new talent to achieve their 10-3 base scenario.
- Roster reloadTexas has a #10 recruiting class (#7) and a heavy reload with only 28% of returning players, indicating significant changes to the roster.
- ScheduleThe team's base scenario projects a 10-3 record with a bowl game appearance, but ceiling projections suggest a potential 12-2 season and CFP quarterfinal berth.
Data as of 2026-08-01
·
Validated against program evidence
DKR doesn't sleep in the off-season. It waits.
Texas · the story right now
11 storylines developing
What Texas's recruiting class is really about
the open questiondoes the recruiting haul translate on the field?
recruitingthis cycle~readnew
Jonah Williams (#10 nationally) headlines Texas' first top-ranked class in five years — a roster with 28% production returning and six NFL exits now has a face.
what happenedTexas signed the No. 1 recruiting class. ✓ fact
the contextthe program's first top-ranked recruiting class in at least five years
narrative tension · our read
recruitingthis cycle✓ fact★new
Texas signed a top-7 recruiting class.
the contexta top-3 recruiting class in the SEC
narrative tension · our read
marketthis cycle✓ factnew
Texas: the betting market's belief swinging.
narrative tension · our read
money downthis cycle✓ factnew
DeAndre Moore Jr. is a legitimate money-down target -- his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
narrative tension · our read
coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew
Steve Sarkisian enters his sixth season with a 10-3 record, but the program's uneasy fanbase questions whether the coordinator-driven reshaping can sustain a national power's present tense.
what happenedTexas: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew
DeAndre Moore Jr. is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew
Emmett Mosley V is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew
Jack Endries is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew
Parker Livingstone is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle~attributednew
Tre Wisner does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score.
narrative tension · our read
program_outlookthis cycle~readnew
Texas enters 2026 — a 10-3 record and No. 17 SP+ rating highlight a program trying to reconcile its past glory with a present that demands new proof of its national power identity.
what happenedTexas enters 2026 rated No. 17 in 2025 SP+ (+16.2), down 10 spots from 2024. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
How past storylines here turned out
Died downTexas's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
Active arcs
Hot
Sarkisian hints at Arch Manning’s possible return to Texas in 2027
Will Arch Manning return to Texas for another season?
Active
Texas alters football uniform for 2026 season
What specific changes have been made to the Texas Longhorns' uniforms?
Cooling
Texas A&M vs. Missouri: Matchups That Will Decide the Game - Sports Illustrated
Can LSU secure a College Football Playoff spot with a strong performance in their key matchup?
The Offseason Ledger · Texas
6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news- News
Cole Hutson sues NCAA for eligibility
Hutson's lawsuit isn't just a personal fight — if the age-based waiver holds, Sarkisian gets an experienced OL anchor back on a line already absorbing NFL Draft attrition from a top-heavy 2025 class.
- Recruiting
Five-star OT commits to Texas
Six starters drafted off the offensive side and Sarkisian's still building — a five-star tackle at the top of a #1 class keeps the trench depth ahead of what the NFL took out.
- Recruiting
Five-star EDGE Richard Wesley commits 2026
Six starters gone to the NFL and Sark opens the 2026 board with the most electric pass-rusher in the country — the EDGE room doesn't rebuild itself, and Wesley is the ceiling-setter for a class that's already sitting No. 1 nationally.
- Portal
LB Darius Snow transfer commits from Michigan State
Big Ten linebacker to the SEC — Snow is the kind of veteran piece that decides November games.
- News
TRO granted in Hutson eligibility case
TRO granted means Hutson stays in Austin — with six starters gone to the draft and the RB room under a microscope, Sark needed this one to hold before SEC Media Days turned into a damage-control session.
- News
Cole Hutson eligibility update
Hutson staying means Sark's O-line doesn't crack wide open — one continuity win in a room already absorbing six NFL exits.
Transfer portal snapshot
-1.4 net portal points
(raw ledger: -20.6 — unweighted, no position adjustment)RB-11.6
starter risk
S-8.9
starter risk
OT+8.1
need not filled
IOL-7.8
starter risk
LB+7.1
need not filled
WR-6.9
starter risk
CB-3.9
LS+2.0
low confidence
P+1.0
low confidence
DL+0.6
TE-0.2
QB-0.1
K+0.0
Top 3 commits
2026 class
★★★★★
Dia Bell
#18 national
★★★★★
John Meredith III
#20 national
★★★★★
Tyler Atkinson
#31 national
Blue-chip pedigree, profiling early as a prototypical linebacker — 11 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Balanced Linebacker archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
↓
Fan confidence a bit lower than recent years
24th percentile among FBS programs
Fan vs. market↓
24th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
(FBS mood rank)
9.5
Vegas O/U wins
(95th among FBS)
(95th among FBS)
Market 71pp more optimistic than fan mood
Win total consensus · 3 books
Market outlook
Season expectations
Win total3 booksO/U 9.5
CFP championship#4 in field+650
SEC title#2 in market+300
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06
Texas · Next-Season Outcome Band
Texas · Next-Season Outcome BandFloor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 7-6
Base 10-3
Ceiling 12-2
floor7-6Bowl game.
base10-3Bowl game.
ceiling12-2Conference title + cFP quarterfinal.
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
How the room reacted
Following now · Texas · Recruiting Confidence
Texas signed the No. 1 class. Talent in the door isn't the same as talent on the field.
Texas signed the No. 1 recruiting class. It is the program's first top-ranked recruiting class in at least five years. A No. 1 class doesn't just raise the ceiling — it IS the ceiling. Now development has to match it. The bulls are loud — the coverage treats this class as a program-level statement.
near-unanimous belief
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers19 bull takes
💬 fans: 6% volume · negative overall
Developing4 new this week
yesterdayTexas Longhorns Recruiting Intel: Easton Royal, Noah Roberts, new names visiting Austin soon — On3
2 days agoHold the flip! 5-star WR Texas commit to visit UT during Ohio St. game — Longhorns Wire
2 days agoDays after landing Landen Williams-Callis, Texas is aiming for top-10 RB in class of 2028 — Hook'em Headlines
4 days agoLanden Williams-Callis commits to Texas — Official
2 weeks agoTRO granted in Hutson eligibility case — Reported
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Landen Williams
“Days after landing Landen Williams-Callis, Texas is aiming for top-10 RB in class of 2028” — Hook'em Headlines · 2026-08-04
Easton Royal Recruit
“Texas Longhorns Recruiting Intel: Easton Royal, Noah Roberts, new names visiting Austin soon” — On3 · 2026-08-05
Steve Sarkisian Head coach
“Steve Sarkisian's Recruiting Blueprint at Running Back Is Separating Texas From the SEC” — Sports Illustrated · 2026-08-04
Suffers Major Recruit
“Texas A&M Suffers Major Recruiting Loss to the Texas Longhorns” — sports.yahoo.com · 2026-08-02
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Jonah Williams (#10 nationally) headlines Texas' first top-ranked class in five years — a roster with 28% production returning and six NFL exits now has a face.
Next · what to watch
The obvious read is 'more talent.' The non-obvious one: a big class intensifies the depth-chart squeeze, which is itself a portal pressure the signing-day headline never mentions. Watch attrition and portal balance once camp opens — early enrollees and portal departures will tell you which of these names actually stick.
Source of record: Texas signed the No. 1 recruiting class — the program's first top-ranked recruiting class in at least five years.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
📣Believers19 bullish/recruiting items -- the case it's working.›
The optimistic read: the class is real, the program is a destination again.
“Texas Longhorns Recruiting Intel: Easton Royal, Noah Roberts, new names visiting Austin soon”
On3 · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“Hold the flip! 5-star WR Texas commit to visit UT during Ohio St. game”
Longhorns Wire · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
“Days after landing Landen Williams-Callis, Texas is aiming for top-10 RB in class of 2028”
Hook'em Headlines · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The 'rankings don't tell the whole story' counter -- development gaps, position holes still open.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards6% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines. Board mood this week: negative overall · anger notable (74%).›
This event was in 178 of 3148 board posts (6%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
"/r/LonghornNation Daily Off Topic Free Talk Thread ======================================================================= ##### Today: August 5 [Last Thread]("
r/LonghornNation ~ fan take
"Punter Mac Chiumento Former FSU punter Mac Chiumento has found his new home. The former Seminole committed to the Texas Longhorns on Sunday, becoming the first of FSU's 28 tra"
HornFans ~ fan take
Board health this week (1239 posts): 13% positive · 51% neutral · 36% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Following now · Texas · Recruiting Confidence
Texas signed the top-7 class. Talent in the door isn't the same as talent on the field.
Texas signed a top-7 recruiting class. It is a top-3 recruiting class in the SEC. A top-7 class is a program-level investment. Development timelines decide the return. The bulls are loud — the coverage treats this class as a program-level statement.
near-unanimous belief
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers19 bull takes
💬 fans: 6% volume · negative overall
Developing4 new this week
yesterdayTexas Longhorns Recruiting Intel: Easton Royal, Noah Roberts, new names visiting Austin soon — On3
2 days agoHold the flip! 5-star WR Texas commit to visit UT during Ohio St. game — Longhorns Wire
2 days agoDays after landing Landen Williams-Callis, Texas is aiming for top-10 RB in class of 2028 — Hook'em Headlines
4 days agoLanden Williams-Callis commits to Texas — Official
2 weeks agoTRO granted in Hutson eligibility case — Reported
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Landen Williams
“Days after landing Landen Williams-Callis, Texas is aiming for top-10 RB in class of 2028” — Hook'em Headlines · 2026-08-04
Easton Royal Recruit
“Texas Longhorns Recruiting Intel: Easton Royal, Noah Roberts, new names visiting Austin soon” — On3 · 2026-08-05
Steve Sarkisian Head coach
“Steve Sarkisian's Recruiting Blueprint at Running Back Is Separating Texas From the SEC” — Sports Illustrated · 2026-08-04
Suffers Major Recruit
“Texas A&M Suffers Major Recruiting Loss to the Texas Longhorns” — sports.yahoo.com · 2026-08-02
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Near-unanimous belief in the class — which means the expectations bar just moved up before a single snap.
Next · what to watch
The obvious read is 'more talent.' The non-obvious one: a big class intensifies the depth-chart squeeze, which is itself a portal pressure the signing-day headline never mentions. Watch attrition and portal balance once camp opens — early enrollees and portal departures will tell you which of these names actually stick.
Source of record: Texas signed a top-7 recruiting class — a top-3 recruiting class in the SEC.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
📣Believers19 bullish/recruiting items -- the case it's working.›
The optimistic read: the class is real, the program is a destination again.
“Texas Longhorns Recruiting Intel: Easton Royal, Noah Roberts, new names visiting Austin soon”
On3 · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“Hold the flip! 5-star WR Texas commit to visit UT during Ohio St. game”
Longhorns Wire · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
“Days after landing Landen Williams-Callis, Texas is aiming for top-10 RB in class of 2028”
Hook'em Headlines · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The 'rankings don't tell the whole story' counter -- development gaps, position holes still open.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards6% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines. Board mood this week: negative overall · anger notable (74%).›
This event was in 178 of 3148 board posts (6%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
"/r/LonghornNation Daily Off Topic Free Talk Thread ======================================================================= ##### Today: August 5 [Last Thread]("
r/LonghornNation ~ fan take
"Punter Mac Chiumento Former FSU punter Mac Chiumento has found his new home. The former Seminole committed to the Texas Longhorns on Sunday, becoming the first of FSU's 28 tra"
HornFans ~ fan take
Board health this week (1239 posts): 13% positive · 51% neutral · 36% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Warming
Four of five. The board favors this trend.
Streak W3Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 8-2
The forecast
Opens Sep 5
vs Texas State · at home
Season line9.5 winsover +115
StrongExplosive, big-playStrong
✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style
Rival pulse
Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
26
TX · 14CA · 3FL · 3GA · 2CO · 1LA · 1MI · 1NC · 1
TX leads the 2026 class with 14 commits. National footprint reaching 8 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
100 signees across 14 states, 2023-2026. TX leads the pull.
Recruiting & portal buzz
2028 4* QB Neimann Lawrence commits to Texas
2027 4* S Junior Tu'upo commits to Texas
Top r/cfb community posts · last 12 months
Voter spread
66 of 66 AP voters have them ranked, final AP ballot (2025) — from #7, Greg Madia (The Daily Progress), to #14, Josh Furlong (KSL).
Individual AP Top 25 ballots, final AP ballot, 2025 — 66 voters tracked.
National spotlight
12 games with TV coverage: 8 national broadcast, 2 ESPN, 2 conference network
Kickoff windows: 3 noon, 6 afternoon, 3 primetime
Fumble luck
78% recovery rate on the fumbles they've forced — well above the ~49% league baseline.
7 of 9 forced fumbles recovered, 2025 only.
Takeaway conversion
25% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — running hot vs. the ~19% league average.
13 interceptions of 53 disrupted passes (40 deflected, 13 intercepted), 2025 only.
Penalty battle
108 penalties committed, 75 drawn on opponents — ceding 345 yards of field position.
906 penalty yards committed vs. 561 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.
The Pulse on Texas
50
Δ -13.0 vs last wk
1,353
mentions this week · conversation velocity
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"The Eyes of Texas are upon you."
— Texas fanbase · recurring line
Fanbase Signals
Cohort Divergence5 pctSpread between sub-fanbase cohorts in the Pulse window.
The Fever Year
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
Inside the fanbase — all 12 corners
Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
LLocked On
GGood Bull Hunting
UUnderdog Dynasty
WWreck Em Red
BBurnt Orange Nation
CCampus paper
The split, staged
Warmest corner+0.00
Boomers & Gen X
most bought-in cohort our read
vs
Coldest corner−0.00
Bettors
most skeptical cohort our read
How Texas fans actually talk real · top-upvoted
The crowd’s loudest take by upvotes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.
Loudest in the room this week real · by engagement
All 12 corners of the fanbase
skeptical
buying in
Boomers & Gen X+0.10
Bettors−0.04
Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.
What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model
Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.
3868 mentions · 8 sources · week 2026-01. Counts, sources and the divergence rank are measured (fact). Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model read (our read) — never a quote attributed to a person.
Fan reads
What's in the air
Manning’s future with the Longhorns could shape Texas’ roster and performance.
Will Arch Manning return to Texas for another season?
Yes, we know. Steve Sarkisian is the greatest. 🤢🤢🤢🤮🤮🤮 what's new? Media always hyping Texas despite their tiny football trophy case. All swimming trophies in Austin.YouTube · Josh Pate's College Football Show
Arch has yet to be a good qb. Texas is praised in the offseason yet againYouTube · ESPN College Football
The tweaks signal a potential shift in team identity and branding.
What specific changes have been made to the Texas Longhorns' uniforms?
Lol if it was any other team in Texas that did this the Tech fans would be rabid and calling shame...YouTube · On Texas Football
1. Of course, Laurence Seymour will have to win the starting position and he will have to play at a very high level for Texas to reach his expectations. Nonetheless, it is very good hearing the positive reports about Seymour. 2. For some reason…YouTube · On Texas Football
Swanson's decision to choose Texas over SMU adds a key piece to the Longhorns' future lineup.
What does landing four-star tackle Brian Swanson over Oklahoma and SMU mean for Texas' 2027 offensive line class?
If it were a Texas player UT would over sanctioned themselves to make it clear they weren't with it.YouTube · On Texas Football
BOOM, Huge ! Welcome Brian Swanson OL to the 40 acres and the Longhorn Nation. Go Flood Go 👍. Hook’Em Horns 🤘🏽🤘🏿🤘🏼🤘🏾🤘🤘🏻🏈🇺🇸YouTube · On Texas Football
Belief checkevidence-driven
~ our readTexas fans are down on the program, and they're pointing to real stats and results to back it up — more than most fanbases right now.
backed by facts
the mood
✓ counted We read 1239 posts from Texas fans this week.
Red River Showdown
Fan mood across the 2025 season, both sides — our read
Hover a week for both sides’ game
Shaded weeks show whose fanbase read warmer, our measure of what fans actually said, not a poll.
What fans are saying
Fan claims · every quote verified verbatim
program directionEarly signal — few voices
fans believe Sark and Texas face unfair perceptions
He’s campaigning for reforms for things almost everyone on this sub wants but because it’s coming from Sark/Texas yall just instantly react as if it’s bad.
Sark will probably never get the credit he deserves from the national media because even if he won a natty, he did it at Texas with all the money and resources.
Based on 2 comments from 2 posters across 2 threads · Jul 23, 2026 · via CFB
player performanceWidely held among fans
fans believe Arch Manning is uniquely explosive and impactful when he scrambles or improvises
- Arch Manning’s mobility and off-script play
When Arch Manning scrambles, the result is often a big play, and even a long touchdown run.
Based on 2 comments from 2 posters across 2 threads · Jul 1, 2026–Jul 11, 2026 · via LonghornNation, On Texas Football
recruiting effortLimited signal that season
fans believe Texas is currently excelling in its recruiting efforts
Boom! Texas killing it recruiting. Hook'em! LWC 5'7 1/2" 195 pounds and powerful as well as fast, with great movement. Barry Sanders was 5'8" 203 pounds, he didn't need to be bigger to be a GREAT RB.
Boom! Texas killing it recruiting. LWC 5'7 1/2" 195 pounds and powerful as well as fast, with great movement. Barry Sanders was 5'8" 203 pounds, he didn't need to be bigger to be a GREAT RB. Hook'em!
Based on 2 comments from 1 poster across 2 threads · Aug 2, 2026 · via Inside Texas Football, On Texas Football
recruiting resultWidely held among fans that season
fans believe Easton Royal's commitment to Texas is uncertain and may depend on the team's on-field success
I hope the Texas offense is so efficient and productive that the Longhorns have numerous WRs and RBs that have statistically dominant seasons for Texas in 2026. Personally, I hope that level of production is much more impactful on Easton Royal remaining committed to Texas, rather than Monshun Sales flipping to Texas.
Based on 2 comments from 1 poster across 1 thread · Jul 17, 2026 · via Inside Texas Football
nil resourcesLimited signal that season
fans believe Texas's baseball program is at a disadvantage because it is not included in the school's revenue share, making it harder to compete with other SEC schools in the NIL era
Another missed opportunity to ask schloss about texas baseball not being included in the schools rev share and how this greatly impacts his ability to recruit and keep up with the other SEC schools.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Jul 10, 2026 · via On Texas Football
Show all 11
job securityLimited signal that season
fans think Sark is responsible for Texas's lack of success
The 2026 Texas Longhorns are overrated, again. After the Longhorns start the season 2-3, which is highly possible, I believe Sark will be let go.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Aug 1, 2026 · via On Texas Football
coaching decisionEarly signal — few voices
fans believe stopping Lendale White on 4th-and-2 changed the game
My what if is simple but it possibly would have changed down the road. What if Lendale picks up that 1st down?
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Jul 6, 2026 · via The Joel Klatt Show: A College Football Podcast
coaching decisionWidely held among fans that season
fans believe Steve Sarkisian needs to fully utilize his team's talent and play with aggressive intensity
If Coach Sarkisian is truly "All Gas And No Brakes," his offense will dominate opposing defenses and his defense will dominate opposing offenses.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Jul 5, 2026 · via On Texas Football
program directionLimited signal that season
fans believe Steve Sarkisian is losing too many games
Sarkisian missed his window at texas. Its only going sideways or backwards from here. If he hires an oc he might have a chance.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Jun 18, 2026 · via On Texas Football
program directionLimited signal that season
fans fear Texas Tech's moves will hurt their conference standing
This will not only destroy Tech, but their conference the Big 12 and ACC as well.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Jun 9, 2026 · via LonghornNation
player performanceWidely held among fans that season
fans believe Arch Manning has struggled with accuracy in key games
I am surprised at how unpolished Arch is though. I never bought into Arch looking like a Heisman candidate but he's still struggling with some of the basics.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Sep 6, 2025 · via CFB
Season storylines
Week 6
“Yeah, before the 20s breakthrough didn't they lose 10 in a row? it seems more streaky and better team wins to me, barring last year.”— r/CFB
Week 7
“Kentucky literally lost. Texas figuratively lost. All the neutral fans lost for watching that “football” game.”— r/CFB
Week 10
“Man they shit the bed for sure. Just keep winning and they’d be in right? Wrong.”— r/CFB
Week 19
“NIL and Cignetti have unleashed the juggernaut in hiding that was #1ndiana. What a fucking season”— r/CFB
Week 8
“I turned the game off after the missed kick in the 3rd, you’re welcome Longhorn Nation. Now to go watch the highlights. I love you all, Hook Em 🤘”— r/CFB
Five Lenses
What people are saying right now
Radio, beat writers & editorial9 posts
Diehard fan boards12 posts
News & campus coverage13 posts
Rent free · r/cfb fan posts, last season
Texas fans this offseason 67% of posts bring up another team▼3pp quieter#1 of 43 saltiest · mostly about Ohio State
Who Texas fans can’t stop bringing up
- Ohio State18%
- Notre Dame11%
- Alabama10%
- Oklahoma8%
- Florida6%
share of Texas’s football posts that mention each team
Texas lives rent-free in
- Texas A&M19%
- Houston17%
- SMU17%
- Texas State15%
- Texas Tech12%
share of each rival fanbase’s football posts that bring up Texas
Fanbase Health Index · Texas · high confidence
Fanbase Health Index · Texas · high confidenceGrowing (69)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 10-3 (77% win rate)71
Volume — 10783 effective signal-N100
Cohort Engagement — Divergence 0.05 — quiet35
From the booth
The Lexicon
458 posts and articles vs the field · 2026 season
Word of the Weekarch×26.4wk 1
arch
×26.4 the field
Signature — ≥10× the rest of college football
arch×26.4n=37
sarkisian×53.1n=26
manning×26.3n=30
arch manning×46.5n=24
royal×45.3n=21
texas'×75.5n=19
callis×37.8n=19
landen×32.6n=19
sark×12.4n=18
Characteristic — 3–10×
sales×9.3n=20
“I feel Texas is at the point where they have to make the national championship while they have Arch, otherwise Sark may be in the hot seat.”
youtube/Josh Pate's College Football Show · fan post, verbatim
Fans using ARCH (8 examples)
All sounds good, except the dropped WR balls being on bad throws by Arch. Don't need that, lol. I'm sure its not the same issue that placed em last year
arch doesn’t have a strong arm. I’m hearing from some commentator. The kid had the arm.
"Arch Manning" and "Heisman candidates", and they'll continue to fail on delivery.
Arch or RPO maybe mixed with Pass/Run opt. Like OSU, can't afford to not convert in
You guys tlkn about Arch over saying didn’t watch football last yr but hey thts why they play the games…
Joel is conveniently leaving out that in Arch's backhalf of the season that he is hyping is that a lot of stat padding happened
I feel like the Arch and Dante hype is a bit too much. They both are projected to be elite NFL players
I am of the belief that Arch Manning is a talented QB, but Joel, your argument against Arch doubters is comical!
Fanbase Voice
2,754 fan mentions
Measured
vs the 28 highest-volume fanbases - 2026 season
Season Vocabulary
2026SARK
sarkseclineterrymuschampsales
But he’s not. Norm Chow was the play caller. sark was a Qb coach, I believe.
2025TECH
techbluemiamialabamawestmichigan
Would love to see Texas tech v Texas week one
2024USC
uschookemewersvinceyardsrose bowl
Elite 2026 Safety Zelus Hicks has Committed to Texas. The 6’3 185 S from Carrollton, GA chose the Longhorns over Georgia, usc, & Ohio State. Ranked as a Top 25 Recruit in ‘26 🤘🏼 Source -
Words of the season
how the conversation changed, year to year
2026
sark×5.6sec×2.2line×2.5terry×10.0muschamp×6.8
2025
tech×4.4blue×6.6miami×3.6alabama×2.3west×6.5
2024
usc×5.9hookem×14.6ewers×61.6vince×38.5yards×4.6
Your Vocabulary Clustersales / commitment / star
salescommitmentstar
with 4 other fanbasesKey stats — 2025 — FBS rank
Points/game#34 / 138 · 76th pct30.5
Pts allowed/game#23 / 138 · 84th pct20.3
Total yards/gm#62 / 136 · 55th pct388.7
Rush yards/gm#83 / 136 · 40th pct138.0
Pass yards/gm#41 / 136 · 71st pct250.7
Yards allowed/gm#41 / 136 · 71st pct338.8
Rush yds allowed/gm#14 / 136 · 90th pct103.9
Sacks#8 / 136 · 95th pct39
Interceptions#12 / 136 · 92nd pct16
3rd-down conv#75 / 136 · 46th pct39.2%
All 98 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team5053388.7/gm5.99/play#62 / 136 · 55th pct#37 / 69 · 48th pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp4405338.8/gm4.92/play#41 / 136 · 71st pct#30 / 69 · 58th pct#8 / 16 · 56th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Rush yards
Team1794138.0/gm2.13/play#83 / 136 · 40th pct#44 / 69 · 38th pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp1351103.9/gm1.51/play#14 / 136 · 90th pct#12 / 69 · 84th pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Rush carries
Team42332.5/gm#86 / 136 · 38th pct#42 / 69 · 41st pct#11 / 16 · 38th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp43033.1/gm#42 / 136 · 70th pct#31 / 69 · 57th pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Rush TDs
Team171.3/gm#85 / 136 · 38th pct#49 / 69 · 30th pct#13 / 16 · 25th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp131.0/gm#24 / 136 · 83rd pct#18 / 69 · 75th pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Net pass yards
Team3259250.7/gm3.87/play#41 / 136 · 71st pct#24 / 69 · 67th pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp3054234.9/gm3.41/play#105 / 136 · 24th pct#57 / 69 · 19th pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Pass attempts
Team42032.3/gm#46 / 136 · 67th pct#22 / 69 · 70th pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp46535.8/gm#124 / 136 · 10th pct#63 / 69 · 10th pct#16 / 16 · 6th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Completions
Team25819.8/gm#55 / 136 · 60th pct#30 / 69 · 58th pct#8 / 16 · 56th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp29122.4/gm#124 / 136 · 10th pct#60 / 69 · 14th pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Pass TDs
Team282.2/gm#20 / 136 · 86th pct#15 / 69 · 80th pct#3 / 16 · 88th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp181.4/gm#63 / 136 · 54th pct#39 / 69 · 45th pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Passer rating
Team141.0141.0#46 / 136 · 67th pct#30 / 69 · 58th pct#8 / 16 · 56th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp127.5127.5#52 / 136 · 62nd pct#31 / 69 · 57th pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Interceptions thrown
Team70.5/gm#97 / 136 · 29th pct#47 / 69 · 33rd pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp161.2/gm#124 / 136 · 10th pct#60 / 69 · 14th pct#15 / 16 · 12th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Sacks (def)
Team393.0/gm#8 / 136 · 95th pct#6 / 69 · 93rd pct#3 / 16 · 88th pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct
Opp231.8/gm#63 / 136 · 54th pct#35 / 69 · 51st pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct
Tackles for loss
Team826.3/gm#26 / 136 · 82nd pct#16 / 69 · 78th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Opp786.0/gm#115 / 136 · 16th pct#62 / 69 · 12th pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
First downs
Team24719.0/gm#81 / 136 · 41st pct#46 / 69 · 35th pct#11 / 16 · 38th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp24919.2/gm#63 / 136 · 54th pct#37 / 69 · 48th pct#11 / 16 · 38th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
3rd-down conv
Team695.3/gm#65 / 136 · 53rd pct#32 / 69 · 55th pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp644.9/gm#46 / 136 · 67th pct#26 / 69 · 64th pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
3rd-down att
Team17613.5/gm#48 / 136 · 65th pct#23 / 69 · 68th pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp19414.9/gm#118 / 136 · 14th pct#61 / 69 · 13th pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
4th-down conv
Team90.7/gm#109 / 136 · 21st pct#58 / 69 · 17th pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp141.1/gm#68 / 136 · 51st pct#33 / 69 · 54th pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
4th-down att
Team171.3/gm#116 / 136 · 15th pct#59 / 69 · 16th pct#11 / 16 · 38th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp312.4/gm#97 / 136 · 29th pct#50 / 69 · 29th pct#15 / 16 · 12th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Time of possession
Team370:2928:30/gm#79 / 136 · 43rd pct#42 / 69 · 41st pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp409:3131:30/gm#112 / 136 · 18th pct#59 / 69 · 16th pct#13 / 16 · 25th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Kicking & Punting
Field goals#33 / 135 · 76th pct20/24 (83.3%)
Extra points48/48
Punting#43 / 136 · 69th pct44.5 avg · 59 punts
Turnovers & special teams
Turnovers
Team90.7/gm#131 / 136 · 4th pct#65 / 69 · 7th pct#15 / 16 · 12th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp231.8/gm#113 / 136 · 18th pct#60 / 69 · 14th pct#16 / 16 · 6th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Fumbles lost
Team20.2/gm#131 / 136 · 4th pct#66 / 69 · 6th pct#16 / 16 · 6th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp70.5/gm#71 / 136 · 49th pct#41 / 69 · 42nd pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
INT return TDs
Team00.0/gm#76 / 135 · 44th pct#39 / 69 · 45th pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 136 · 100th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 16 · 100th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
INT return yards
Team513.9/gm#106 / 136 · 23rd pct#52 / 69 · 26th pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp947.2/gm#56 / 136 · 60th pct#32 / 69 · 55th pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Punt ret yds
Team48437.2/gm#4 / 136 · 98th pct#4 / 69 · 96th pct#2 / 16 · 94th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp15511.9/gm#92 / 136 · 33rd pct#50 / 69 · 29th pct#11 / 16 · 38th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Punt ret TDs
Team20.2/gm#5 / 135 · 97th pct#5 / 69 · 94th pct#2 / 16 · 94th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 135 · 100th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 16 · 100th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Kick ret yds
Team34526.5/gm#87 / 136 · 37th pct#38 / 69 · 46th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp49237.8/gm#88 / 136 · 36th pct#53 / 69 · 25th pct#15 / 16 · 12th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Kick ret TDs
Team00.0/gm#40 / 136 · 71st pct#17 / 69 · 77th pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 135 · 100th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 16 · 100th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Penalty yards
Team90669.7/gm#8 / 136 · 95th pct#3 / 69 · 97th pct#1 / 16 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp56143.2/gm#31 / 136 · 78th pct#17 / 69 · 77th pct#2 / 16 · 94th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Other
Recruiting rating#1 / 138 · 100th pct#1 / 69 · 100th pct#1 / 16 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct312.324.0/gm
Fumbles rec (def)#3 / 136 · 99th pct#3 / 69 · 97th pct#1 / 16 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct20.2/gm
Penalties#3 / 136 · 99th pct#2 / 69 · 99th pct#1 / 16 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct1088.3/gm
H2 epa per play opponent#7 / 143 · 96th pct#5 / 69 · 94th pct#2 / 16 · 94th pct0.00.0
Interceptions (def)#12 / 136 · 92nd pct#9 / 69 · 88th pct#2 / 16 · 94th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct161.2/gm
Red zone pass rate#18 / 154 · 89th pct#6 / 69 · 93rd pct#1 / 16 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct0.50.0/gm
Passes intercepted opponent#23 / 136 · 84th pct#11 / 69 · 86th pct#3 / 16 · 88th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct70.5/gm
Punt returns#25 / 136 · 82nd pct#15 / 69 · 80th pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct221.7/gm
H2 epa per play#43 / 142 · 70th pct#26 / 69 · 64th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct0.20.0/gm
Fumbles recovered#49 / 136 · 65th pct#19 / 69 · 74th pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct70.5/gm
H1 epa per play opponent#51 / 167 · 70th pct#28 / 69 · 61st pct#8 / 16 · 56th pct0.10.0/gm
Kick returns#56 / 136 · 60th pct#19 / 69 · 74th pct#3 / 16 · 88th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct221.7/gm
Penalties (opp)#66 / 136 · 52nd pct#38 / 69 · 46th pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct755.8/gm
First down pass rate#71 / 215 · 67th pct#22 / 69 · 70th pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct0.50.0/gm
Punt ret (opp)#85 / 136 · 38th pct#49 / 69 · 30th pct#13 / 16 · 25th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct171.3/gm
Kick ret (opp)#86 / 136 · 38th pct#51 / 69 · 28th pct#15 / 16 · 12th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct241.8/gm
H1 epa per play#103 / 162 · 37th pct#56 / 69 · 20th pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct0.10.0/gm
Fourth down go rate#115 / 138 · 17th pct#59 / 69 · 16th pct#11 / 16 · 38th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct0.30.0/gm
Situational
3rd-down conversion
Off39.2%#75 / 136 · 46th pct#42 / 69 · 41st pct#11 / 16 · 38th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Def33.0%#18 / 136 · 88th pct#10 / 69 · 87th pct#3 / 16 · 88th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
4th-down conversion
Off52.9%#76 / 136 · 45th pct#46 / 69 · 35th pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Def45.2%#33 / 136 · 76th pct#16 / 69 · 78th pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Turnover margin#4 / 136 · 98th pct#4 / 69 · 96th pct#1 / 16 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct+1.08/gm
Sack rate (def)#23 / 136 · 84th pct#14 / 69 · 81st pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct8.4%
Red Zone & Drive Efficiency (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Red zone trips
Team433.3/gm#71 / 167 · 58th pct#41 / 69 · 42nd pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp322.5/gm#48 / 166 · 72nd pct#13 / 69 · 83rd pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Red zone score %
Team81.4%81.4%#66 / 167 · 61st pct#36 / 69 · 49th pct#13 / 16 · 25th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp78.1%78.1%#82 / 166 · 51st pct#37 / 69 · 48th pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Points / drive
Team2.20.2/gm#61 / 167 · 64th pct#39 / 69 · 45th pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp1.50.1/gm#27 / 166 · 84th pct#19 / 69 · 74th pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Yards / drive
Team39.33.0/gm#97 / 167 · 43rd pct#57 / 69 · 19th pct#15 / 16 · 12th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp40.43.1/gm#72 / 166 · 57th pct#36 / 69 · 49th pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Plays / drive
Team6.40.5/gm#108 / 167 · 36th pct#54 / 69 · 23rd pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp6.60.5/gm#86 / 166 · 49th pct#36 / 69 · 49th pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Three-and-out rate
Team12.5%12.5%#65 / 167 · 62nd pct#34 / 69 · 52nd pct#8 / 16 · 56th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp14.7%14.7%#67 / 166 · 60th pct#34 / 69 · 52nd pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Scheme Identity (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Rush rate over expected#111 / 145 · 24th pct#51 / 69 · 28th pct#13 / 16 · 25th pct-4.3%-4.3%
Havoc rate
Team18.4%18.4%#24 / 140 · 84th pct#17 / 69 · 77th pct#5 / 16 · 75th pct
Opp15.7%15.7%#78 / 140 · 45th pct#38 / 69 · 46th pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct
Standard-downs success
Team45.3%45.3%#109 / 154 · 30th pct#58 / 69 · 17th pct#15 / 16 · 12th pct
Opp44.6%44.6%#34 / 172 · 81st pct#21 / 69 · 71st pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct
Passing-downs success
Team32.4%32.4%#58 / 153 · 63rd pct#32 / 69 · 55th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct
Opp27.5%27.5%#30 / 149 · 81st pct#18 / 69 · 75th pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct
Line yards / carry
Team2.82.8#87 / 143 · 40th pct#44 / 69 · 38th pct#11 / 16 · 38th pct
Opp2.72.7#29 / 155 · 82nd pct#14 / 69 · 81st pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct
Stuff rate
Team22.1%22.1%#123 / 143 · 15th pct#62 / 69 · 12th pct#14 / 16 · 19th pct
Opp22.1%22.1%#24 / 155 · 85th pct#13 / 69 · 83rd pct#4 / 16 · 81st pct
Power success rate
Team62.2%62.2%#112 / 137 · 19th pct#60 / 69 · 14th pct#15 / 16 · 12th pct
Opp50.0%50.0%#4 / 141 · 98th pct#3 / 69 · 97th pct#2 / 16 · 94th pct
Efficiency
Completion %
Off61.4%#77 / 136 · 44th pct#47 / 69 · 33rd pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Def62.6%#78 / 136 · 43rd pct#39 / 69 · 45th pct#12 / 16 · 31st pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Yards / attempt
Off7.8#40 / 136 · 71st pct#25 / 69 · 65th pct#8 / 16 · 56th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Def6.6#39 / 136 · 72nd pct#24 / 69 · 67th pct#7 / 16 · 62nd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Yards / completion
Off12.6#31 / 136 · 78th pct#16 / 69 · 78th pct#8 / 16 · 56th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Def10.5#24 / 136 · 83rd pct#19 / 69 · 74th pct#3 / 16 · 88th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Yards / carry#82 / 136 · 40th pct#44 / 69 · 38th pct#10 / 16 · 44th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct4.2
Yards / play#42 / 136 · 70th pct#27 / 69 · 62nd pct#6 / 16 · 69th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct5.99
Scoring margin#32 / 136 · 77th pct#25 / 69 · 65th pct#9 / 16 · 50th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct+10.2/gm
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats — 2025 season
Quarterbacks
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dual Threat · +0.28 EPA/play | 16 | 13 | 248 / 404 | 61.4 | 3163 #27 FBS | 7.8 | 26 #16 FBS | 7 | 144.9 | 70.6 | 7.7 | 4.5 | |
Yards by week → Dual ThreatDangerous with both arm and legs — defenses can't just pin the ears back. National Player-of-the-Year finalist — invited to the closing-night ceremony — trending, not yet confirmed. 10 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Rush yards / carry4.3 83th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Yards / attempt8.7 83th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score climbed from the 49th percentile to the 82nd among FBS QBs | |||||||||||||
| +2.43 EPA/play | 18 | 5 | 8 / 11 | 72.7 | 85 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 167.6 | 95.1 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
Running Backs
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Stuff% | 10+% | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.17 EPA/play | 5 | 9 | 131 | 597 | 4.6 | 3 | 48 | 13.6 | 15.5 | 17.8 | 10.1 | 8.5% (30/355) | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 186 of 349 classified this way. Played in 9 of 21 games this season · junior · 3-star, 2023 class Aura Tax — perception-vs-production gap across 3 tracked snapshots, 66 mentions | |||||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.07 EPA/play | 6 | 8 | 55 | 236 | 4.3 | 2 | 22 | 8 | 11.2 | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 186 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry4.9 bottom 39th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share6.8% bottom 23th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Christian Clark's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Workhorse · -0.15 EPA/play | 4 | 8 | 54 | 196 | 3.6 | 0 | 18 | 7.9 | 10.7 | 18.2 | 7.3 | — | |
Yards by week → WorkhorseBuilt to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 52 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight227 lb 92th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate0.0% bottom 6th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View CJ Baxter's full player page | |||||||||||||
| -0.02 EPA/play | 9 | 4 | 37 | 152 | 4.1 | 1 | 14 | 9.8 | 11.4 | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
| -0.08 EPA/play | 31 | 3 | 29 | 122 | 4.2 | 0 | 16 | 2.6 | 7.0 | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
Receivers
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.25 EPA/play | 1 | 13 | 54 | 834 #57 FBS | 15.4 | 7 #38 FBS | 75 | 16.7 | 14.8 | 25.9% (92/355) | |
Yards by week → Possession Receiver· Boom-or-bustReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception15.2 70th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume54 85th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score moved from the 51st to 87th percentile among FBS WRs | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.77 EPA/play | — | 11 | 38 | 532 | 14 | 4 | 46 | 9.8 | 8.6 | 13.0% (46/355) | |
Yards by week → Possession Receiver· Money-downReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. lives on the sticks and moves the chains The most common profile in its group this season — 332 of 558 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · junior View DeAndre Moore Jr.'s full player page | |||||||||||
| Jump-Ball Target · +0.45 EPA/play | 13 | 12 | 29 | 516 | 17.8 | 6 #62 FBS | 83 | 5.1 | 5.7 | 12.7% (45/355) | |
Yards by week → Jump-Ball Target· Money-downWins contested catches at the goal line. Size and catch radius are the weapons. lives on the sticks and moves the chains 29 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TD rate20.7% 98th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Yards / reception15.0 69th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Parker Livingstone's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +1.46 EPA/play | 3 | 9 | 28 | 408 | 14.6 | 3 | 40 | 10 | 5.4 | 5.9% (21/355) | |
Yards by week → Possession Receiver· Money-downReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. lives on the sticks and moves the chains 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception14.7 64th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)1.5 100th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Emmett Mosley V's full player page | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.12 EPA/play | 88 | 12 | 33 | 346 | 10.5 | 3 | 54 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 13.5% (48/355) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. The most common profile in its group this season — 177 of 223 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · junior View Jack Endries's full player page | |||||||||||
| +0.32 EPA/play | 84 | 6 | 7 | 109 | 15.6 | 1 | 32 | 0 | 5.2 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| +0.18 EPA/play | 17 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 10.6 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 5.1 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| +1.37 EPA/play | 7 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 9.4 | 1 | 30 | 6.3 | 5.1 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
Defensive Line
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 93 | 11 | 31 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate12.9% bottom 43th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Hero Kanu's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 98 | 10 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight313 lb 85th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Maraad Watson's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 97 | 8 | 19 | 9 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight308 lb 81th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Alex January's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 99 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight346 lb 99th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Cole Brevard's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 44 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight342 lb 98th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readFading: his CFB Index score now sits at the 10th percentile among FBS IDLs, up from the 37th | |||||||
| 15 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | |
| 96 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
Linebackers
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | — | 10 | 70 | 37 | 33 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 1 | 2 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · junior · 5-star, 2023 class View Anthony Hill Jr.'s full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 18 | 12 | 68 | 26 | 42 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · junior · 4-star, 2023 class View Liona Lefau's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 26 | 12 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 5.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Sideline-to-SidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 102 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.7 93th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate1.7% bottom 35th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score went from the 26th percentile among FBS LBs to the 77th | |||||||||
| Thumper | 1 | 12 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 15.5 #15 FBS | 12 #6 FBS | 2 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 97 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate36.0% 100th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate27.9% 100th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Colin Simmons's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | 91 | 10 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 97 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate17.5% 88th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate7.5% 81th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Ethan Burke's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | 8 | 12 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 97 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate14.7% 78th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate8.8% 99th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Trey Moore's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | 14 | 12 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 97 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate28.6% 100th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate14.3% 99th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Brad Spence's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | 40 | 9 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 97 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate12.5% 67th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate12.5% 98th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Lance Jackson's full player page | |||||||||
| 19 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 51 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Defensive Backs
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rover | 4 | 13 | 80 | 3 | 3 #56 FBS | 4 | 0 |
RoverHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. 83 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate3.8% bottom 28th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score moved from the 34th to 90th percentile among FBS Ss | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 16 | 10 | 70 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. All-American — named 1st team by at least one NCAA-recognized selector. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate1.4% bottom 19th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 29 | 13 | 46 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate13.0% 75th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Graceson Littleton's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 3 | 11 | 40 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · senior · 4-star, 2022 class View Jaylon Guilbeau's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 5 | 11 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 2.5 | 1 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · junior · 4-star, 2023 class our readReinvented: changed shape entirely — Centerfielder to Hybrid Nickel, his CFB Index score went from the 26th percentile among FBS Ss to the 86th | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 2 | 8 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 8 of 21 games this season · sophomore · 4-star, 2023 class View Derek Williams Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 11 | 8 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate27.3% 100th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Kade Phillips's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 24 | 9 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate10.5% 63th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Warren Roberson's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 17 | 7 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 7 of 21 games this season · sophomore · 5-star, 2024 class View Xavier Filsaime's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 6 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate0.0% bottom 14th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Kobe Black's full player page | |||||||
| 23 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 27 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
Kicking
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 49 | 13 | 20/24 | 83.3 | 48/48 | 108 | 53 |
Punting
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 19 | 13 | 59 | 2627 | 44.5 | 62 | 23 | 9 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
Kick Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 13 | 13 | 262 | 20.2 | 0 | 25 |
Punt Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 13 | 21 | 476 | 22.7 | 2 | 79 |
2025 stat leaders
final
2025 stat leaders
1.
Jelani McDonald
DB
80.0 tot (def)
2.
Arch Manning
QB
3,163 yds (pass)
3.
Ryan Wingo
WR
834 yds (rec)
4.
Liona Lefau
LB
68.0 tot (def)
5.
Ty'Anthony Smith
LB
59.0 tot (def)
Roster
2025
29
players carry a qualified CFB Index Score this season.
Colin Simmons
LB
#3 of 583
Jelani McDonald
S
#52 of 544
Anthony Hill Jr.
LB
#58 of 583
Michael Taaffe
S
#64 of 544
Ryan Wingo
WR
#74 of 485
Malik Muhammad
CB
#67 of 364
+23 more
Texas · 2025 schedule & results10-3Brutal slateAverage opponent win rate 51% · 7 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule. 3 ranked wins banked (time-of-game rank).
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | #7 | #1 | +2 | @Ohio State | L 7–14 121 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #3 | #109 | -36.5 | San José State | W 38–7 137 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #3 | #141 | -40.5 | UTEP | W 27–10 139 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 21 | #7 | #129 | -39.5 | Sam Houston | W 55–0 120 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #8 | #20 | -4.5 | @Florida | L 21–29 122 | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #9 | #18 | -2.5 | Oklahoma (N)Top 10 win | W 23–6 128 | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #8 | #83 | -13.5 | @Kentucky | W 16–13 141 | 5-2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #11 | #64 | -8 | @Mississippi State | W 45–38 165 | 6-2 | 3-1 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #13 | #27 | -3.5 | VanderbiltTop 10 win | W 34–31 122 | 7-2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | Nov 16 | #17 | #6 | +4 | @Georgia | L 10–35 124 | 7-3 | 4-2 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #25 | #55 | -8.5 | Arkansas | W 52–37 139 | 8-3 | 5-2 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | #25 | #12 | +2.5 | Texas A&MTop 10 win | W 27–17 132 | 9-3 | 6-2 |
| Bowl Season | ||||||||
| 18 | Dec 31 | #21 | #26 | -4.5 | Michigan (N) | W 41–27 | 10-3 | 6-2 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31 | Michigan | W 41–27 | — | — | — | +0.376 | 47.1% | 153.3% | |
| Nov 29 | Texas A&M | W 27–17 | 397 | 0 | 27:45 | +0.217 | 34.8% | 182.7% | |
| Nov 22 | Arkansas | W 52–37 | 490 | 0 | 25:43 | +0.414 | 49.2% | 155.5% | |
| Nov 16 | @Georgia | L 10–35 | 274 | 1 | 24:51 | -0.012 | 33.9% | 124.0% | |
| Nov 1 | Vanderbilt | W 34–31 | 428 | 0 | 29:01 | +0.270 | 45.2% | 125.3% | One-score win |
| Oct 25 | @Mississippi State | W 45–38 | 428 | 1 | 30:01 | +0.199 | 39.3% | 152.3% | One-score win |
| Oct 18 | @Kentucky | W 16–13 | 179 | 0 | 20:37 | -0.121 | 26.8% | 132.3% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Oct 11 | Oklahoma | W 23–6 | 304 | 0 | 30:58 | +0.109 | 35.5% | 121.5% | |
| Oct 4 | @Florida | L 21–29 | 341 | 2 | 25:53 | +0.229 | 31.6% | 216.3% | Most explosive |
| Sep 21 | Sam Houston | W 55–0 | 607 | 0 | 33:51 | +0.775 | 60.0% | 149.6% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 13 | UTEP | W 27–10 | 341 | 1 | 36:47 | -0.047 | 40.7% | 79.3% | |
| Sep 6 | San José State | W 38–7 | 472 | 2 | 30:15 | +0.190 | 42.2% | 121.6% | Blowout win |
| Aug 30 | @Ohio State | L 7–14 | 336 | 1 | 27:55 | -0.120 | 41.8% | 90.6% | One-score loss |
| Season average (13 games) | 383 | 0.7 | +0.191 | 40.6% | 138.8% | ||||
How They Play · 2025
How They Play · 2025Texas fields a strong explosive, big-play offense behind a strong, bend-don't-break defense.
Opponent-adjusted percentiles vs all FBS. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Texas actually scores
45th percentile quality, 55th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 86th | 11th |
| Akron | 12th | 89th |
| Alabama | 58th | 17th |
| App State | 35th | 47th |
| Arizona | 64th | 37th |
| Arizona State | 41st | 62nd |
| Arkansas | 90th | 12th |
| Arkansas State | 17th | 66th |
| Army | 57th | 43rd |
| Auburn | 47th | 53rd |
| BYU | 78th | 19th |
| Baylor | 69th | 25th |
| Boise State | 66th | 20th |
| Boston College | 37th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 2nd | 98th |
| Buffalo | 11th | 88th |
| California | 28th | 48th |
| Central Michigan | 52nd | 64th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 16th |
| Clemson | 51st | 48th |
| Coastal Carolina | 17th | 83rd |
| Colorado | 18th | 84th |
| Colorado State | 16th | 83rd |
| Delaware | 38th | 58th |
| Duke | 80th | 14th |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 36th |
| Eastern Michigan | 49th | 42nd |
| Florida | 30th | 67th |
| Florida Atlantic | 62nd | 59th |
| Florida International | 42nd | 50th |
| Florida State | 83rd | 32nd |
| Fresno State | 26th | 73rd |
| Georgia | 81st | 3rd |
| Georgia Southern | 73rd | 21st |
| Georgia State | 36th | 70th |
| Georgia Tech | 84th | 5th |
| Hawai'i | 64th | 41st |
| Houston | 27th | 65th |
| Illinois | 75th | 26th |
| Indiana | 95th | 1st |
| Iowa | 44th | 40th |
| Iowa State | 68th | 22nd |
| Jacksonville State | 54th | 38th |
| James Madison | 65th | 44th |
| Kansas | 85th | 28th |
| Kansas State | 71st | 49th |
| Kennesaw State | 56th | 30th |
| Kent State | 21st | 86th |
| Kentucky | 15th | 85th |
| LSU | 14th | 81st |
| Liberty | 43rd | 56th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 73rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 39th | 61st |
| Louisville | 48th | 64th |
| Marshall | 55th | 39th |
| Maryland | 30th | 74th |
| Memphis | 80th | 24th |
| Miami | 76th | 5th |
| Miami (OH) | 34th | 67th |
| Michigan | 67th | 33rd |
| Michigan State | 27th | 75th |
| Middle Tennessee | 39th | 52nd |
| Minnesota | 29th | 77th |
| Mississippi State | 22nd | 77th |
| Missouri | 61st | 30th |
| Missouri State | 55th | 46th |
| NC State | 86th | 23rd |
| Navy | 94th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 48th | 57th |
| Nevada | 3rd | 97th |
| New Mexico | 58th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 9th | 87th |
| North Carolina | 13th | 89th |
| North Texas | 98th | 7th |
| Northern Illinois | 8th | 92nd |
| Northwestern | 52nd | 36th |
| Notre Dame | 99th | 20th |
| Ohio | 67th | 18th |
| Ohio State | 93rd | 4th |
| Oklahoma | 20th | 80th |
| Oklahoma State | 5th | 95th |
| Old Dominion | 83rd | 45th |
| Ole Miss | 89th | 2nd |
| Oregon | 91st | 10th |
| Oregon State | 2nd | 98th |
| Penn State | 73rd | 33rd |
| Pittsburgh | 60th | 39th |
| Purdue | 25th | 78th |
| Rice | 6th | 94th |
| Rutgers | 70th | 27th |
| SMU | 74th | 42nd |
| Sam Houston | 4th | 96th |
| San Diego State | 24th | 76th |
| San José State | 45th | 69th |
| South Alabama | 36th | 58th |
| South Carolina | 23rd | 86th |
| South Florida | 87th | 23rd |
| Southern Miss | 40th | 55th |
| Stanford | 10th | 90th |
| Syracuse | 5th | 95th |
| TCU | 72nd | 35th |
| Temple | 70th | 34th |
| Tennessee | 96th | 11th |
| Texas | 45th | 55th |
| Texas A&M | 82nd | 14th |
| Texas State | 92nd | 8th |
| Texas Tech | 77th | 31st |
| Toledo | 50th | 61st |
| Troy | 14th | 80th |
| Tulane | 79th | 15th |
| Tulsa | 20th | 70th |
| UAB | 61st | 45th |
| UCF | 33rd | 82nd |
| UCLA | 23rd | 79th |
| UConn | 95th | 13th |
| UL Monroe | 11th | 92nd |
| UNLV | 88th | 9th |
| USC | 98th | 2nd |
| UTEP | 1st | 99th |
| UTSA | 77th | 51st |
| Utah | 97th | 6th |
| Utah State | 46th | 63rd |
| Vanderbilt | 100th | 0th |
| Virginia | 59th | 27th |
| Virginia Tech | 32nd | 71st |
| Wake Forest | 42nd | 72nd |
| Washington | 92nd | 8th |
| Washington State | 33rd | 52nd |
| West Virginia | 7th | 93rd |
| Western Kentucky | 53rd | 29th |
| Western Michigan | 31st | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 0th | 100th |
| Wyoming | 8th | 91st |
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
Texas's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 44th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 34th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Texas hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
27th percentile success on standard downs, 61st on passing downs — a 34-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 82nd | 69th |
| Akron | 20th | 36th |
| Alabama | 47th | 76th |
| App State | 41st | 80th |
| Arizona | 54th | 54th |
| Arizona State | 40th | 37th |
| Arkansas | 90th | 97th |
| Arkansas State | 51st | 40th |
| Army | 37th | 44th |
| Auburn | 73rd | 24th |
| Austin Peay | 56th | 13th |
| BYU | 91st | 46th |
| Ball State | 5th | 3rd |
| Baylor | 70th | 77th |
| Boise State | 42nd | 63rd |
| Boston College | 56th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 10th | 17th |
| Bryant | 7th | 2nd |
| Buffalo | 29th | 20th |
| California | 25th | 66th |
| Central Michigan | 57th | 11th |
| Charlotte | 7th | 7th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 65th |
| Clemson | 49th | 34th |
| Coastal Carolina | 16th | 22nd |
| Colorado | 8th | 48th |
| Colorado State | 29th | 35th |
| Delaware | 66th | 31st |
| Duke | 82nd | 63rd |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 91st |
| Eastern Michigan | 46th | 67th |
| Florida | 52nd | 45th |
| Florida Atlantic | 44th | 61st |
| Florida International | 50th | 26th |
| Florida State | 65th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 22nd | 71st |
| Georgia | 95th | 69th |
| Georgia Southern | 64th | 84th |
| Georgia State | 22nd | 75th |
| Georgia Tech | 92nd | 89th |
| Hawai'i | 33rd | 87th |
| Houston | 61st | 29th |
| Idaho | 30th | 78th |
| Idaho State | 93rd | 14th |
| Illinois | 79th | 95th |
| Indiana | 97th | 98th |
| Iowa | 74th | 19th |
| Iowa State | 80th | 58th |
| Jacksonville State | 59th | 56th |
| James Madison | 77th | 52nd |
| Kansas | 99th | 82nd |
| Kansas State | 37th | 59th |
| Kennesaw State | 44th | 67th |
| Kent State | 15th | 5th |
| Kentucky | 62nd | 29th |
| LSU | 18th | 52nd |
| Lafayette | 0th | 12th |
| Liberty | 65th | 53rd |
| Lindenwood | 4th | 1st |
| Long Island University | 24th | 78th |
| Louisiana | 24th | 23rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 41st | 24th |
| Louisville | 84th | 32nd |
| Maine | 3rd | 18th |
| Marshall | 71st | 62nd |
| Maryland | 11th | 86th |
| Massachusetts | 5th | 9th |
| Memphis | 75th | 68th |
| Merrimack | 1st | 83rd |
| Miami | 80th | 64th |
| Miami (OH) | 33rd | 39th |
| Michigan | 73rd | 74th |
| Michigan State | 48th | 39th |
| Middle Tennessee | 69th | 47th |
| Minnesota | 35th | 33rd |
| Mississippi State | 52nd | 35th |
| Missouri | 76th | 50th |
| Missouri State | 32nd | 50th |
| Murray State | 1st | 6th |
| NC State | 58th | 71st |
| Navy | 95th | 72nd |
| Nebraska | 78th | 51st |
| Nevada | 17th | 16th |
| New Mexico | 38th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 16th | 33rd |
| North Carolina | 14th | 30th |
| North Texas | 100th | 97th |
| Northern Illinois | 9th | 5th |
| Northwestern | 48th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 88th | 99th |
| Ohio | 69th | 76th |
| Ohio State | 99th | 99th |
| Oklahoma | 39th | 41st |
| Oklahoma State | 14th | 7th |
| Old Dominion | 72nd | 79th |
| Ole Miss | 83rd | 95th |
| Oregon | 93rd | 55th |
| Oregon State | 54th | 25th |
| Penn State | 76th | 73rd |
| Pittsburgh | 35th | 56th |
| Purdue | 46th | 88th |
| Rice | 20th | 0th |
| Rutgers | 71st | 84th |
| SMU | 50th | 57th |
| Sam Houston | 26th | 4th |
| San Diego State | 84th | 1st |
| San José State | 68th | 70th |
| South Alabama | 53rd | 28th |
| South Carolina | 31st | 8th |
| South Carolina State | 10th | 3rd |
| South Florida | 86th | 46th |
| Southern Miss | 27th | 38th |
| Stanford | 12th | 12th |
| Syracuse | 19th | 10th |
| TCU | 63rd | 82nd |
| Temple | 85th | 22nd |
| Tennessee | 97th | 81st |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 88th | 59th |
| Texas State | 60th | 93rd |
| Texas Tech | 45th | 65th |
| Toledo | 67th | 42nd |
| Troy | 18th | 27th |
| Tulane | 81st | 86th |
| Tulsa | 43rd | 43rd |
| UAB | 34th | 94th |
| UCF | 39th | 20th |
| UCLA | 28th | 48th |
| UConn | 96th | 37th |
| UL Monroe | 13th | 14th |
| UNLV | 78th | 85th |
| USC | 94th | 90th |
| UT Martin | 2nd | 41st |
| UTEP | 3rd | 10th |
| UTSA | 67th | 92nd |
| Utah | 87th | 96th |
| Utah State | 31st | 49th |
| Vanderbilt | 90th | 100th |
| Virginia | 36th | 73rd |
| Virginia Tech | 59th | 21st |
| Wake Forest | 21st | 31st |
| Washington | 98th | 93rd |
| Washington State | 61st | 44th |
| West Virginia | 12th | 18th |
| Western Kentucky | 55th | 80th |
| Western Michigan | 86th | 16th |
| Wisconsin | 6th | 27th |
| Wyoming | 23rd | 15th |
Halftime identity
Texas by half
1st-half offense ranks 37th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 70th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Schedule mirage
How much of Texas's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.19; 83rd percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.07. The widest gap came in week 4: 0.20 raw vs. 0.05 adjusted.
Texas reads strongest in explosive plays (top 7%) and explosive plays allowed (top 12%); the crux lives in rushing epa, where Texas sits at the 33rd percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
ELITE · 90+STRONG · 70+AVERAGE · 40-70CONCERN · 10-40BOTTOM · <10
Most Similar Programs · Texas
Most Similar Programs · TexasReads Like
AlabamaTier 1 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontGeorgiaTier 1 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontMichiganTier 1 · Similarly-sized rosters up front
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Home-Field Advantage · Texas · 2018-present
Elite
82% home win rate vs 61% on the road. margin runs +14.5 better at home. DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium seats 100,119, averaging 101% full (101,611 attendance, 27 games reported).
Home41-9Away21-13
Positional competition · RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Tre Wisner and CJ Baxter split the carries (129/184 vs 55/184) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Tre WisnerCJ Baxter
Carries
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
Q4, leading (competitive)
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-carry share
concentration alone -- EPA/carry doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 3 claims, 0 survived, 3 falsified
Positional competition · WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Ryan Wingo (WR) and Jack Endries (TE) split the targets (89/135 vs 46/135) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Ryan Wingo is the one trusted on 3rd down.
Ryan WingoJack Endries
Targets
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
3rd-down targets
p = 0.033 -- real, not noise
Inside the 10
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Garbage-time share
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-catch share
concentration alone -- EPA/target doesn't corroborate, read with caution
See it develop week by week
3rd-down target share, week by week (weeks both players actually played the role)
Screened 4 claims, 1 survived, 3 falsified
What changed
Texas’s play-calling, before and after the change
Offense: Kyle Flood (2021–2022) → co-A. J. Milwee / Kyle Flood (2023–2025)
The biggest shift: red-zone pass rate moved up 6 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
4th-down go rate
Defense: co-Jeff Choate / Pete Kwiatkowski (2021–2023) → co-Johnny Nansen / Pete Kwiatkowski (2024–2025)
The biggest shift: red-zone pass rate moved up 7 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
4th-down go rate
Season by season
How Texas’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Offense: co-A. J. Milwee / Kyle Flood (2023–2025)
1st-down pass rate
2023: 50% → 2025: 47% · 4-pt range · #153 of 171 · less than most
Red-zone pass rate
2023: 44% → 2025: 50% · 7-pt range · #140 of 171 · less than most
4th-down go rate
2023: 37% → 2025: 29% · 16-pt range · #98 of 171 · a typical amount
Defense: co-Johnny Nansen / Pete Kwiatkowski (2024–2025)
1st-down pass rate
2024: 51% → 2025: 47% · 4-pt range · #172 of 189 · less than most
Red-zone pass rate
2024: 48% → 2025: 50% · 3-pt range · #187 of 189 · less than most
4th-down go rate
2024: 44% → 2025: 29% · 16-pt range · #97 of 188 · a typical amount
Defensive identity · pass zones
What this defense gives up, by zone.
On short passes, Texas’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (65.5% vs 65.9% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 198-play sample) — mid-pack, 61 of 133 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball leaderboard here: at the defense level, most teams face well under 30 rich-feed deep targets all season — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess.
Screened 133 claims, 133 survived · 2025 only, in the 399 games with the detailed play-text feed; n=198 short-zone plays faced, raw rate 65.2%
Historical echo
Texas’s breakout has happened before — and 3 of the 4 closest programs couldn’t hold it.
Programs whose stature climbed in the same shape. The grey line is their run; the color is what came next for them.
Notre Dame 1986–1991
held the gain
Oklahoma 1953–1958
fell back
Arkansas 1962–1967
fell back
Miami 1964–1969
fell back
An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration, medium confidence; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.
Venue texture
78°F average kickoff temp; 5% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.
Based on 74 home games with weather data.
The CFP Era
2 CFP appearances, 0 title games across 12 seasons — the era the program argued for.
TRAJECTORY · quality-score line · AP rank dotted · CFP bids marked · coach regimes ribboned
Program Quality
AP Rank (inverted)
CFP Appearance
Texas's 2014–2025 record is 95-59 with 2 CFP appearances. The era has written the program's modern identity into the CFP field — not always from the inside of a title game, but into the room.
Red River Showdown
Golden Hat 118 meetings since 1902 See the whole history →
Heat trajectory
Week-by-week rivalry heat isn't tracked yet for this matchup — check back as the 2026-27 season approaches and real fan-intel signal accumulates.
Fan Heat Index
Who's more worked up right now
Cross-fanbase rivalry sentiment for this matchup hasn't been measured yet this week — both sides show as neutral until real signal comes in.
Texas
Awaiting
Oklahoma
Awaiting
Texas
—
Oklahoma
—
THE LAST 5 · year-by-year
- W 2025 Win 23–6
- W 2024 Win 34–3
- L 2023 Loss 30–34
- W 2022 Win 49–0
- L 2021 Loss 48–55
All-Time Record
921-389-32
since 1901 · 125 seasons · .686 win rate
HOME
585-149-14
AWAY
290-198-16
NEUTRAL
46-42-2
1900s
1910s
1920s
1930s
1940s
1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
Program résumé
4Nat'l titles
33Conf. titles
2Heismans
2CFP apps
59Bowl apps
1893Founded
The program, in full — read the essay
Arch Manning's first full year as starter ended outside the Playoff, with a New Year's bowl win over Michigan as the consolation. Four national titles. No championship since Vince Young in 2005. Sarkisian's Texas is back in the conversation — the question is whether the conversation ends in a ring.
The standard at Texas is not reconstructed from the Saban playbook or borrowed from anyone else — it's Darrell K Royal, three titles in the 1960s and 1970s, and a stadium named for the man who built them. It's Earl Campbell, Ricky Williams, and Vince Young's fourth-down run against USC in Pasadena in January 2006 — the canonical title-game performance that every era since has measured itself against. The program carries four national championships and 33 claimed conference titles as institutional identity, not as nostalgia. The burnt-orange expectation is structural. It doesn't get renegotiated.
Sarkisian spent four years clawing back from the decade-long wilderness — back-to-back CFP semifinals, a 13-3 SEC debut in 2024, the Manning era beginning. Then 2025 arrived: Arch Manning's first full season as starter (3,163 yards, 26 touchdowns, 7 interceptions) ended outside the Playoff, a New Year's bowl win over Michigan the best argument Texas could make by December. The scarred faction of the fanbase — the one that spent ten years watching the gap between expectation and reality widen — recognized the feeling. The believers say one Playoff miss after three appearances in four years is a data point, not a pattern.
Manning returns for 2026 with a stronger line, a more developed run game, and the same fundamental question the SEC posed in year one: can Texas close the gap to the conference's best? The SEC title race in 2026 is the one that matters. Georgia and Alabama are the program's permanent standard. What the October schedule produces — road trips to Baton Rouge, Dallas, College Station — is where 2026's argument gets settled.
How they play
Sarkisian's pro-style restoration over a blue-blood infrastructure — the passing system layers spread-RPO concepts over a traditional physical base, with Manning operating from the pocket and extending plays when the structure breaks. The Texas One Fund has kept the roster in the SEC's top tier financially. DKR holds over 100,000, fills on every home Saturday, and the Red River Showdown in Dallas is one of the sport's great neutral-site atmospheres. The identity is institutional: Texas plays like a program that expects to win, because the program was built by men who did.
Rising
Texas 2016–2025. Climbing +1.2 rungs across the last 10 seasons. Slope +0.24 rungs / year — moving up the prestige scale.
CFP Era · Texas
12 seasons on file
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
down middle peak CFP year
Season Standing · 2025 · 10-3 · CFP #13 / AP #14
Season Standing · 2025 · 10-3 · CFP #13 / AP #14Top 15
Texas: Top 15 nationally. NY6-bowl conversation.
R0R1R2R3R4R5R6R7R8R9
Sub-FBSBuildingBowlRankedContenderPlayoff
SEC Standing · 2025
5th in the SEC
Texas sits 5th of 16 in the SEC at 6-2. Mid-conference — moves up or down depend on rivalry results and the late-season closing run.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ole Miss | 8-1 |
| 2 | Alabama | 8-2 |
| 3 | Georgia | 8-2 |
| 4 | Texas A&M | 7-1 |
| 5 | Texas | 6-2 |
| 6 | Vanderbilt | 6-2 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | 6-3 |
| 8 | Missouri | 4-4 |
| 9 | Tennessee | 4-4 |
| 10 | LSU | 3-5 |
| 11 | Florida | 2-6 |
| 12 | Kentucky | 2-6 |
| 13 | Auburn | 1-7 |
| 14 | Mississippi State | 1-7 |
| 15 | South Carolina | 1-7 |
| 16 | Arkansas | 0-8 |
Coaching Era · Texas
Coaching Era · TexasSteve Sarkisian
Steve Sarkisian has held the program for 6 seasons — the era is established.
Era Steve Sarkisian · 2021–presentPrev: Tom Herman (2017–2020)OC: co-A. J. Milwee / Kyle FloodPrev OC: Kyle Flood (2021–2022)DC: Will MuschampPrev DC: co-Johnny Nansen / Pete Kwiatkowski (2024–2025)
6
years · era
Rituals
Things this fanbase does every Saturday — none of them invented in the last decade.
Hook 'em Horns (the hand sign)
since 1955
Index and pinky extended, middle and ring folded — invented by head cheerleader Harley Clark in 1955 at a pep rally before the TCU game. Within a decade, every Texas fan greeted with it. Visible at presidential photos, Hollywood premieres, and graduation ceremonies. The most-recognized college fan hand sign in America.
Bevo (the longhorn steer)
since 1916
Live longhorn steer (Bevo XV is current). Each Bevo is a working steer with handlers from the Silver Spurs honorary service organization. The 2019 Bevo-vs-Uga (Sugar Bowl) charging incident is part of the lore. Bevo's horns are usually 70+ inches tip-to-tip. The bull is the largest live mascot in any major American sport.
The Eyes of Texas
since 1903
The alma mater, set to 'I've Been Working on the Railroad.' Written 1903 by John Lang Sinclair. Sung by team, band, and fans with Hook 'em signs raised. Controversy around its minstrel-era origins surfaced in 2020; the program kept the song but added historical context. Still central to Texas game-day.
Smokey the Cannon
since 1953
10-pound black-powder cannon fired by Texas Cowboys honorary service organization. Stationed in the south end zone. Each Texas score = one boom, audible across campus. Visiting fans often jump on the first one (it's louder than they expect). Smokey is technically illegal in some states; Austin grants a permit.
Texas Fight (fight song)
since 1923
Composed by Walter Hunnicutt in 1923. The 'Texas Fight, Texas Fight, And it's goodbye to A&M' lyric was originally pointed at the rival; after A&M left the Big 12 (2012), the lyric became geographically odd. Now that A&M is back on the schedule (SEC 2024+), the lyric is timely again. The song's call-and-response structure is its signature.
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
1969
The Royal era
Darrell Royal's unbeaten teams took the title in 1963 and 1969 — 11-0 both times
The 2005 Rose Bowl (Vince Young vs USC)
Young's fourth-down run wins the national title over USC
2014
The 2010s collapse
A decade in the wilderness that became the 'Texas is back?' punchline
Wound
Moment of the Year · Texas · 2025
Moment of the Year · Texas · 2025Postseason · Won 41-27 vs Michigan
Week 18 of 2025. Postseason win — the season-defining moment.
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
Bowl / Postseason LedgerRecent postseason (2014-2025): 7-4
Most recent: 2025 — win 41-27 (home). Last 5 postseason: 3-2.
20252024202420242023
NFL Draft Pipeline
2023–2026
NFL Draft PipelineElite
34 picks last 5 cycles, including 6 in round 1. Top recruit destination + development pipeline.
34
picks · 6 R1
#8
Bijan Robinson
Running Back · 2023 · Atlanta · #2/317 final season
#9
Kelvin Banks Jr.
Offensive Tackle · 2025 · New Orleans
#16
Byron Murphy II
Defensive Tackle · 2024 · Seattle · #105/418 final season
#10 all-time · 50 first-round picksthe talent factory →
Unit lineage
Texas’s offense and defense, by coordinator
FBS-relative efficiency percentile per season (2014–2025), same population as the Coordinator Mirror board. Dashed vertical lines mark a coordinator change.
Offense2014–2025
2014 · Joe Wickline2015 · co-Jay Norvell / Joe Wickline2016 · Sterlin Gilbert2017 · Tim Beck2018–2019 · co-Herb Hand / Tim Beck2020 · co-Herb Hand / Mike Yurcich2021–2022 · Kyle Flood2023–2025 (ongoing) · co-A. J. Milwee / Kyle Flood
Defense2014–2025
2014–2016 · Vance Bedford2017–2018 · Todd Orlando2019 · Todd Orlando / co-Craig Naivar2020 · Chris Ash / co-Coleman Hutzler2021–2023 · co-Jeff Choate / Pete Kwiatkowski2024–2025 · co-Johnny Nansen / Pete Kwiatkowski
Hired for 2026: Will Muschamp — not yet reflected in on-field data.
Elite (≥70th pct)AveragePoor (≤30th pct)
Chronicle Visuals
A heavy-turnover 2025: 28% returning (below average), with the offense the biggest question.
The portal upgraded the LS room but opened a hole at S.
The 2026 draft hit DEFENSIVE EDGE hardest — and the portal hasn't replaced it yet.
Texas sits where recruit talent and draft yield largely match.
Featured in The Canon
r/cfb moments
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[Postgame Thread] TCU Defeats Texas 33-31
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