CFB Zeitgeist Score
83
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 95th percentile.
Raleek Brown
On Trialas of 2026-06-22
Raleek Brown arrives at Arizona State with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.
1,141RUSH YDS4RUSH TD186CARRIES
PERCEPTION ABOVE TAPE · PCTL GAP
-19
perception vs production percentile · 2025
Arizona State fans keep putting his case on trial, week to week.
medium confidence2 sources
Minority viewA vocal minority sees it the other way.
The eye test files him at the 91st; the résumé argues 72nd. The room hasn't returned a verdict.
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Texas
2025Arizona State
2026Texas
RB · ARIZONA STATE · BIG 12
Raleek Brown
- 3
- #3
- 5-9 | 195 lb
- Santa Ana, CA
Heisman Heat
#1632
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
2022
USC · RB
—
2023
USC · RB
—
★
2025
Arizona State · RB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2022–2025+403%
Up 403% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds
#20 in market ▼ from #17 · 6 books
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4-star | 0.9808 | No. 42 recruit | HighSchool | USC |
| 2021 | 4-star | 0.9332 | No. 158 recruit | HighSchool | USC |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Arizona State -> Texas | 4-star | 0.9200 | Immediate |
| 2024 | USC -> Arizona State | 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (1141).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to USC
Composite
0.9808
#42 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Raleek Brown
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
72
Grounded Optimism
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=25
- Rivals · n=2
- National · n=4
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Raleek Brown
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Rushing WEPA per carry
+0.180
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries
National rank #23 of 66
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 66th
Why it matters
#23 of 66 P4 + Notre Dame RBs by rushing weighted- EPA per carry — +0.180 EPA/carry on 180 carries.
Vs cohort
This player +0.180 (66th)
HIGH · n=180 cohort 66
- Also strong
- Yards per carry#7 / 69
- Rushing yards (total)#7 / 69
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 12g
1,141Rush yards
186Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
95.1Rush yards
16Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
1,236Rush yards
202Carries
4Rush TDs
✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 1,141.
✓ Hit 1,000-yard season · finished with 1,141.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 1,141): needs 359/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 6/game over remaining 1.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 11/game over remaining 1.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 16/game over remaining 1.
Why this is more than a rushing profile
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Raleek Brown is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 1,141 rushing yards, 34 catches, and 66 return yards for Arizona State. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Workhorse | Efficient runner | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
186 95th
YDS
1,141 98th
YPC
6.1 86th
TD
4 79th
Receiving
REC
34 97th
YDS
239 94th
YPR
7.0 51st
TD
2 97th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 38-19vs Northern Arizona | 5 | 38 | 7.6 | 1 | 19 | |
| Wk 2 | L 20-24@ Mississippi State | 18 | 110 | 6.1 | 0 | 26 | |
| Wk 3 | W 34-15vs Texas State | 12 | 144 | 12.0 | 1 | 75 | |
| Wk 4 | W 27-24@ Baylor | 21 | 80 | 3.8 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 5 | W 27-24vs TCU | 21 | 134 | 6.4 | 0 | 35 | |
| Wk 7 | L 10-42@ Utah | 14 | 67 | 4.8 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 8 | W 26-22vs Texas Tech | 19 | 69 | 3.6 | 1 | 22 | |
| Wk 9 | L 16-24vs Houston | 11 | 64 | 5.8 | 0 | 23 | |
| Wk 10 | W 24-19@ Iowa State | 16 | 64 | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | |
| Wk 12 | W 25-23vs West Virginia | 14 | 53 | 3.8 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 13 | W 42-17@ Colorado | 22 | 255 | 11.6 | 1 | 88 | Season-high 255 yds |
| Wk 14 | L 7-23vs Arizona | 13 | 63 | 4.8 | 0 | 28 | |
| Total | 186 | 1141 | 6.2 | 4 | 88 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022USC11-3HC: Lincoln Riley · Balanced
2023USC8-5HC: Lincoln Riley · Pass-leaning, slow tempo
2025Arizona State8-5HC: Kenny Dillingham · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arizona State | 186 | 1,141 | 6.1 | 4 | -- |
| 2023 | USC | 3 | 16 | 5.3 | 1 | -- |
| 2022 | USC | 42 | 227 | 5.4 | 3 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 231 | 1,384 | 6.0 | 8 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arizona State | 34 | 239 | 7.0 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | USC | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | USC | 16 | 169 | 10.6 | 3 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 53 | 426 | 8.0 | 5 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 1,141 | #18/735 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 4 | #154/739 | 79th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 6.1 | #104/735 | 86th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 34 | #20/552 | 97th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 239 | #33/548 | 94th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.18 | #84/362 | 77th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 180 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 26.6% | #33/738 | 96th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 186 | #35/739 | 95th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 88 | #10/733 | 99th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 33 | #106/540 | 81st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 7.0 | #267/548 | 51st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #20/552 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 35 | #118/200 | 42nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 31 | #14/27 | 52nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 17.5 | #115/199 | 43rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 15.5 | #7/27 | 78th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 2 | #109/206 | 48th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt returns | 2 | #18/29 | 41st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 40.8% | #58/738 | 92nd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 36.3% | #9/738 | 99th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 31.7% | #23/738 | 97th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 24.2% | #53/738 | 93rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 16.2% | #49/738 | 93rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 11.6% | #154/738 | 79th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 11.3% | #16/738 | 98th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #78/256 | 70th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 80.7 | 6.3 | 0.4 |
| Road5g | 115 | 6.1 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 105 | 6.6 | 0.5 |
| Losses4g | 76.0 | 5.4 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 95.5 | 6.8 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 94.7 | 5.6 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
83All-Conference
Elite: long run (97th). Strength: rush yards (94th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.18Mid (p50–p75) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Raleek BrownArizona StateDaylan SmothersNC State· 88% simBo JacksonOhio State· 87% simEmmett JohnsonNebraska· 83% sim
Long run
Rush yards
Receptions
Rec yards
Carries
Yards / carry
Rush TDs
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Speed Merchant
Cuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kelley Joiner Jr.’s 2021 season.
Kelley Joiner Jr.
75%match
#2
Ismail Mahdi
68%
#3
Wayne Knight
All-Sun Belt
64%
#4
Frank Gore Jr.
All-Conference USA
60%
#5
OJ Arnold
All-Sun Belt
64%
Matches Kelley on
Weight
Height
Yards / carry
Differs from Kelley on
Receiving share (higher)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ayo Adeyi’s path through James Madison.
Ayo Adeyi
89%match
All-AAC
#2
OJ Arnold
All-Sun Belt
88%
#3
Wayne Knight
All-Sun Belt
84%
#4
Xavier White
79%
#5
Keilan Robinson
78%
Matches Ayo on
Yards per carry
Weight
Height
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Wayne Knight's senior season at James Madison (2025).
Wayne Knight
72%match
All-Sun Belt
#2
OJ Arnold
All-Sun Belt
65%
#3
Brashard Smith
All-ACCNFL Rd 7
62%
#4
Emani Bailey
59%
#5
Sutton Smith
All-AACNFL Rd 6
58%
Matches Wayne on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Weight
Differs from Wayne on
Yards / reception (lower)
Height (higher)
Rush TD rate (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kenny Dillingham
Pass share
47.1%
429 pass / 482 run
Plays / game
70.1
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.8%
345 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Herm Edwards
Arizona State
2023era →
Kenny Dillingham
Arizona State
2025
Kenny Dillingham
Arizona State
Coaching transition mid-career: Herm Edwards → Kenny Dillingham. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSanta Ana, CA
Height5'9"
Weight195 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey3
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamArizona State
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Big 12
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Big 12 | all_conference | Arizona State | Big 12 | RB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Arizona State | RB3 | #1632 | #1554 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | USC | RB3 | #1283 | #1178 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2022 | USC | RB3 | #163 | #142 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Pac-12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arizona State | Big 12 | RB | 3 | No. 3 | 5-9 | 195 lb | Santa Ana, CA |
| 2024 | Arizona State | Big 12 | RB | 3 | No. 3 | 5-9 | 195 lb | Santa Ana, CA |
| 2023 | USC | Pac-12 | RB | 3 | No. 3 | 5-9 | 195 lb | Santa Ana, CA |
| 2022 | USC | Pac-12 | RB | 3 | No. 3 | 5-9 | 195 lb | Santa Ana, CA |