ALA No. 6 Alabama5-2 10 TENN No. 14 Tennessee6-1 26 Final No. 14 Tennessee beat No. 6 Alabama 26-10 as a 7.5-point underdog. Share this game
We had Alabama favored. Tennessee won.
Top comment in the game thread
I think he grabbed the ear hole which I believe is still a facemask penalty
Q2 12:18 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Oct 17 How it swung Watch the plays Drives What it cost Box score Weather Before kickoff How it swung The turning point: Ranvier 33-yd field goal, Tennessee leads 6-0 (Q1, 8:59). Tennessee went from 49% to 72% to win.
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Tennessee a 22% chance, and the closing betting line (Tennessee was a 7.5-point underdog) put it at 27%.
Final Tennessee 26-10 Alabama Tennessee won Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. Final Alabama 10-26 Tennessee Alabama lost Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. 50% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 44% at half Tennessee Alabama Won 26-10 1 2 +23 +22 Scores Tennessee Alabama Tennessee fans: 9 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 3 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 9 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 8 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 8 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 8 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 9 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 11 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 8 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 18 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 21 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 24 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 22 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 10 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 17 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 18 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 11 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 13 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 8 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 9 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 16 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 16 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 25 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 23 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 20 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 16 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 4 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 1 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 3 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 1 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 3 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 6 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 16 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 10 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 11 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 10 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 12 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 16 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 9 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 9 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 11 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 7 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 11 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 1 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 26 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 22 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 10 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 18 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 21 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 22 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 26 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 18 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 24 comments a minute Alabama fans: 1 comments a minute Alabama fans: 0 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 16 comments a minute Alabama fans: 16 comments a minute Alabama fans: 15 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 12 comments a minute Alabama fans: 27 comments a minute Alabama fans: 21 comments a minute Alabama fans: 18 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 12 comments a minute Alabama fans: 31 comments a minute Alabama fans: 18 comments a minute Alabama fans: 15 comments a minute Alabama fans: 11 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 11 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 12 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute 50% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 44% at half Tennessee Won 26-10 1 2 Scores Tenness… Alabama Tennessee fans: 9 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 3 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 9 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 8 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 8 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 8 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 9 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 11 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 8 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 18 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 21 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 24 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 22 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 10 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 17 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 18 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 11 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 13 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 8 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 9 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 16 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 16 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 25 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 23 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 20 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 16 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 4 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 1 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 3 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 1 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 3 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 6 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 16 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 10 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 11 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 10 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 12 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 16 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 9 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 9 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 11 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 7 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 11 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 1 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 26 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 22 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 10 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 18 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 21 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 22 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 26 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 18 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 24 comments a minute Alabama fans: 1 comments a minute Alabama fans: 0 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 16 comments a minute Alabama fans: 16 comments a minute Alabama fans: 15 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 12 comments a minute Alabama fans: 27 comments a minute Alabama fans: 21 comments a minute Alabama fans: 18 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 12 comments a minute Alabama fans: 31 comments a minute Alabama fans: 18 comments a minute Alabama fans: 15 comments a minute Alabama fans: 11 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 11 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 12 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute 50% 10% 25% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 56% at half Alabama Tennessee Lost 10-26 1 2 −23 −22 Scores Alabama Tennessee Alabama fans: 1 comments a minute Alabama fans: 0 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 16 comments a minute Alabama fans: 16 comments a minute Alabama fans: 15 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 12 comments a minute Alabama fans: 27 comments a minute Alabama fans: 21 comments a minute Alabama fans: 18 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 12 comments a minute Alabama fans: 31 comments a minute Alabama fans: 18 comments a minute Alabama fans: 15 comments a minute Alabama fans: 11 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 11 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 12 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 9 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 3 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 9 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 8 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 8 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 8 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 9 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 11 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 8 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 18 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 21 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 24 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 22 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 10 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 17 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 18 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 11 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 13 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 8 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 9 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 16 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 16 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 25 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 23 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 20 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 16 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 4 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 1 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 3 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 1 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 3 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 6 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 16 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 10 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 11 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 10 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 12 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 16 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 9 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 9 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 11 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 7 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 11 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 1 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 26 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 22 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 10 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 18 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 21 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 22 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 26 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 18 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 24 comments a minute 50% 10% 25% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 56% at half Tennessee Lost 10-26 1 2 Scores Alabama Tenness… Alabama fans: 1 comments a minute Alabama fans: 0 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 16 comments a minute Alabama fans: 16 comments a minute Alabama fans: 15 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 12 comments a minute Alabama fans: 27 comments a minute Alabama fans: 21 comments a minute Alabama fans: 18 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 12 comments a minute Alabama fans: 31 comments a minute Alabama fans: 18 comments a minute Alabama fans: 15 comments a minute Alabama fans: 11 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 11 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 12 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a 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Tennessee fans: 9 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 11 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 7 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 11 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 1 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 14 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 26 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 22 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 10 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 18 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 21 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 22 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 26 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 18 comments a minute Tennessee fans: 24 comments a minute
See it from Alabama’s side The two plays that swung it
1 Q1 8:59 Ranvier 33-yd field goal, Tennessee leads 6-0 Tennessee 49% → 72% (+23) 2 Q3 5:05 Bishop 5-yd TD run, Tennessee leads 19-10 Tennessee 57% → 79% (+22) The two plays that swung it
1 Q1 8:59 Ranvier 33-yd field goal, Tennessee leads 6-0 Alabama 51% → 28% (−23) 2 Q3 5:05 Bishop 5-yd TD run, Tennessee leads 19-10 Alabama 43% → 21% (−22) What fans said, play by play
The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.
Q1 3:11 Russell's interception by Lane sparks frustration over Tennessee's stalled offense Wasting that INT sucks r/CFB game thread Q2 12:18 Fans argue refs missed a facemask penalty on Alabama's punt return Quoted at the top of the page. Q2 4:04 Tennessee fans condemn Rouse for fumbling punt return Rouse should never play another down of football for Tennessee. r/CFB game thread I don't get that at all Honestly though, if they lose now I'll be like it's because they're dumb, not because they're bad at football. Easy cope, so r/CFB game thread Q4 0:48 Tennessee fans celebrate as Alabama's Russell throws an interception to Lee Josh Huepel is undefeated against Bama at home r/CFB game thread SEC Shorts and Roll Call are going to be great on Monday. r/CFB game thread Tennessee’s chance to win after every play. How to read this chart Starts from the pregame line (Alabama -7.5), at 41% for Tennessee (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Tennessee or Alabama flair (2,400 and 1,745); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to. Watch the plays The bar and the arrow show Tennessee’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.
Play all in order Q1, 9:57 Russell sacked fumbles Q1, 9:57 · Tennessee 3, Alabama 0 3-0 score after the play 3-0 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q1, 5:20 MacIntyre sacked for a 2-yd loss Q1, 5:20 · Tennessee 6, Alabama 0 6-0 score after the play 6-0 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q1, 3:11 Russell intercepted by Lane at the Alabama 43 Q1, 3:11 · Tennessee 9, Alabama 0 ▼8% Tennessee’s chance to win, 76% to 68% ▼8% Tennessee’s chance to win, 76% to 68% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q2, 10:20 MacIntyre intercepted by Taylor at the Tennessee 28 returned 14 yards Q2, 10:20 · Tennessee 9, Alabama 0 ▼6% Tennessee’s chance to win, 66% to 60% ▼6% Tennessee’s chance to win, 66% to 60% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q2, 10:13 Russell 19-yd TD run cuts it to 9-7 Q2, 10:13 · Tennessee 9, Alabama 7 ▼5% Tennessee’s chance to win, 60% to 55% ▼5% Tennessee’s chance to win, 60% to 55% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q2, 4:04 46-yd punt, Tennessee returns it 0 fumbled Q2, 4:04 · Tennessee 12, Alabama 7 ▼6% Tennessee’s chance to win, 59% to 53% ▼6% Tennessee’s chance to win, 59% to 53% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q2, 1:53 Hill 3-yd run fumbles Q2, 1:53 · Tennessee 12, Alabama 7 ▲4% Tennessee’s chance to win, 58% to 62% ▲4% Tennessee’s chance to win, 58% to 62% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q2, 0:30 Russell sacked for a 10-yd loss Q2, 0:30 · Tennessee 12, Alabama 7 ▲4% Tennessee’s chance to win, 58% to 62% ▲4% Tennessee’s chance to win, 58% to 62% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q3, 5:05 Bishop 5-yd TD run Tennessee leads 19-10 Q3, 5:05 · Tennessee 19, Alabama 10 ▲22% Tennessee’s chance to win, 57% to 79% ▲22% Tennessee’s chance to win, 57% to 79% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q4, 3:17 Bishop 5-yd TD run Tennessee leads 26-10 Q4, 3:17 · Tennessee 26, Alabama 10 26-10 score after the play 26-10 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q4, 0:48 Russell intercepted by Lee at the Tennessee 0 Q4, 0:48 · Tennessee 26, Alabama 10 26-10 score after the play 26-10 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football
Every drive Tennessee scored on 6 of its 13 drives; Alabama on 2 of its 13.
Tennessee’s drives are teal, Alabama’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
own goal goal line Q1 Tennessee: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 12 Field goal Alabama: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 81 Fumble Tennessee: Field goal, from 19 yards out to 15 Field goal Alabama: Punt, from 75 yards out to 88 Punt Tennessee: Field goal, from 50 yards out to 23 Field goal Alabama: Interception, from 75 yards out to 75 Interception Tennessee: Punt, from 43 yards out to 45 Punt Alabama: Punt, from 91 yards out to 64 Punt Q2 Tennessee: Punt, from 74 yards out to 71 Punt Alabama: Punt, from 65 yards out to 56 Punt Tennessee: Interception, from 86 yards out to 86 Interception Alabama: Touchdown, from 14 yards out to 0 Touchdown Tennessee: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 15 Field goal Alabama: Punt, from 75 yards out to 69 Punt Alabama: Fumble, from 23 yards out to 11 Fumble Tennessee: Punt, from 89 yards out to 85 Punt Alabama: Field goal, from 55 yards out to 24 Field goal Tennessee: End of half, from 85 yards out to 89 End of half Q3 Alabama: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 40 Downs Tennessee: Touchdown, from 60 yards out to 0 Touchdown Alabama: Punt, from 75 yards out to 71 Punt Tennessee: Punt, from 72 yards out to 51 Punt Q4 Alabama: Punt, from 88 yards out to 81 Punt Tennessee: Touchdown, from 72 yards out to 0 Touchdown Alabama: Interception, from 88 yards out to 26 Interception Tennessee: End of game, from 80 yards out to 71 End of game From Alabama’s side Alabama’s best moment: 38-yd punt (Q1 6:47). It lifted Alabama’s win chance by 17 points.
How Alabama fans took it: “Are they playing Dixieland Delight 😭😭” r/CFB game thread
“I love how we’ve been begging for a QB that will pass, and now that we’ve finally got that, everyone has forgot how to catch.” A Tennessee fan How fans reacted Steady
Fans peaked in the second quarter.
Jump to the loudest stretch
The jump was steady; the crowd was loud.
First Second Third Fourth Tennessee fans Alabama fans usual Two crowds, one game The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.
Tennessee fans
bishop “Guy wasn’t even close to tackling Bishop. Didn’t need to throw that block. But that is absolutely not targeting”
don “If Alabama scores a TD here I genuinely don’t see any way Tennessee can win”
Alabama fans
grubb “We might lose 27-0 via 9 field goals unless Grubb and Keelon remember how to run an offense”
facemask “He shouldn't have put is facemask on the defenders hand. That's on bama”
yards “Should have accepted that penalty to actually get positive yards on the box score.”
penalty “The rule book say facemask is a penalty unless you grab an Alabama players facemask”
Both sets of fans kept coming back to: now, back, take, field.
Too close to call on 52% of plays.
What it cost Alabama’s chance to make the playoff fell from 77% to 66%.
Make the playoff
Alabama · lost 77% → ▼ 66% 77% ▼ 66% Tennessee · won 22% → ▲ 32% 22% ▲ 32% Win the conference
Alabama · lost 20% → ▼ 11% 20% ▼ 11%
Tennessee · won 2% → ▲ 4%
Win the title
Alabama · lost 11% → ▼ 10% 11% ▼ 10%
Tennessee · won 1% → 1%
Before the game (October 16, 2026) → after this result, in our model.
Alabama plays vs Texas A&M on Sat Oct 24 with a 66% chance to make the playoff. Tennessee plays at South Carolina on Sat Oct 24 with a 32% chance to make the playoff.
Box score Tennessee 26, Alabama 10
Tennessee covered +7.5 by 23.5. The total, 36, stayed under 50.5.
Alabama Tennessee Total yards Alabama 201 Tennessee 347 201 347 Passing yards Alabama 147 Tennessee 197 147 197 Rushing yards Alabama 54 Tennessee 150 54 150 First downs Alabama 12 Tennessee 20 12 20 Turnovers Alabama 4 Tennessee 2 4 2 Time of possession Alabama 24:16 Tennessee 35:44 24:16 35:44 Team totals Alabama Tennessee Total yards 201 347 Passing 19 of 29, 147 yds 21 of 31, 197 yds Rushing 26 for 54 yds 41 for 150 yds First downs 12 20 Third down 2 of 13 6 of 15 Fourth down 1 of 3 1 of 1 Turnovers 4 2 Penalties 10 for 68 yds 8 for 65 yds Time of possession 24:16 35:44
Alabama leaders Passing Keelon Russell 19 of 29, 147 yds, 2 INTRushing Daniel Hill 7 for 34 yds; Trae'shawn Brown 6 for 12 ydsReceiving Rico Scott 4 for 54 yds; Marshall Pritchett 6 for 39 ydsTennessee leaders Passing George MacIntyre 21 of 31, 197 yds, 1 INTRushing DeSean Bishop 32 for 159 yds, 2 TD; Daune Morris 4 for 12 ydsReceiving Mike Matthews 7 for 85 yds; Dasaahn Brame 3 for 39 ydsNo rain through the game 61° at kickoff · no rain recorded
The usual here around this date is 64°, with about 7 in 10 games between 56° and 74°.
October game-day temperatures at Neyland Stadium
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Tennessee favored Alabama favored 100% Win chance Tennessee Rain inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind mph, average and gusts 20 mph 40 mph Hourly wind only at this airport Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Tennessee favored Alabama favored Rain · inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind · miles per hour 20 40 Hourly wind only at this airport Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
First quarter, 8:59 left4:03 p.m.
Alabama 0, Tennessee 6 · Tennessee 72% to win
no rain · 61°
Ranvier 33-yd field goal, Tennessee leads 6-0
Previous play Next play
Jump to Biggest swing: 23 points of win chance · first Where this weather comes from Measured at Knoxville Downtown airport, 2.9 miles away, and Knoxville Municipal airport, 10 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.
Before kickoff Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
This is Third Saturday in October — see the full head-to-head history →
Matchups Biggest mismatch: Alabama’s explosive plays against Tennessee, 25 points Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Alabama’s explosive plays against Tennessee’s defense
25 points weaker stronger 50th Alabama offense, 70th percentile · Tennessee defense, 95th
Tennessee’s EPA/play against Alabama’s defense
23 points weaker stronger 50th Tennessee offense, 63rd percentile · Alabama defense, 86th
Alabama’s passing EPA against Tennessee’s defense
19 points weaker stronger 50th Alabama offense, 76th percentile · Tennessee defense, 95th
Season profile, all the rows Season profile Alabama Tennessee
EPA/play, offense
Alabama · 80 Tennessee · 63 EPA/play, defense
Alabama · 86 Tennessee · 96 Success rate, offense
Alabama · 78 Tennessee · 66 Success rate, defense
Alabama · 78 Tennessee · 75 Explosive-play rate, offense
Alabama · 70 Tennessee · 24 Explosive-play rate, defense
Alabama · 24 Tennessee · 95 Rush EPA, offense
Alabama · 71 Tennessee · 95 Rush EPA, defense
Alabama · 96 Tennessee · 67 Pass EPA, offense
Alabama · 76 Tennessee · 36 Pass EPA, defense
Alabama · 52 Tennessee · 95 The series Alabama leads the series 61-39-7
107 meetings since 1903 · Alabama won the last meeting
Tennessee won Alabama won 1903: Alabama by 24 1904: Tennessee by 5 1905: Alabama by 29 1906: Alabama by 51 1907: Alabama by 5 1908: Alabama by 4 1909: Alabama by 10 1912: Alabama by 7 1913: Alabama by 6 1914: Tennessee by 10 1928: Tennessee by 2 1929: Tennessee by 6 1930: Alabama by 12 1931: Tennessee by 25 1932: Tennessee by 4 1933: Alabama by 6 1934: Alabama by 7 1935: Alabama by 25 1936: tie 1937: Alabama by 7 1938: Tennessee by 13 1939: Tennessee by 21 1940: Tennessee by 15 1941: Alabama by 7 1942: Alabama by 8 1944: tie 1945: Alabama by 18 1946: Tennessee by 12 1947: Alabama by 10 1948: Tennessee by 15 1949: tie 1950: Tennessee by 5 1951: Tennessee by 14 1952: Tennessee by 20 1953: tie 1954: Alabama by 27 1955: Tennessee by 20 1956: Tennessee by 24 1957: Tennessee by 14 1958: Tennessee by 7 1959: tie 1960: Tennessee by 13 1961: Alabama by 31 1962: Alabama by 20 1963: Alabama by 35 1964: Alabama by 11 1965: tie 1966: Alabama by 1 1967: Tennessee by 11 1968: Tennessee by 1 1969: Tennessee by 27 1970: Tennessee by 24 1971: Alabama by 17 1972: Alabama by 7 1973: Alabama by 21 1974: Alabama by 22 1975: Alabama by 23 1976: Alabama by 7 1977: Alabama by 14 1978: Alabama by 13 1979: Alabama by 10 1980: Alabama by 27 1981: Alabama by 19 1982: Tennessee by 7 1983: Tennessee by 7 1984: Tennessee by 1 1985: Tennessee by 2 1986: Alabama by 28 1987: Alabama by 19 1988: Alabama by 8 1989: Alabama by 17 1990: Alabama by 3 1991: Alabama by 5 1992: Alabama by 7 1993: tie 1994: Alabama by 4 1995: Tennessee by 27 1996: Tennessee by 7 1997: Tennessee by 17 1998: Tennessee by 17 1999: Tennessee by 14 2000: Tennessee by 10 2001: Tennessee by 11 2002: Alabama by 20 2003: Tennessee by 8 2004: Tennessee by 4 2005: Alabama by 3 2006: Tennessee by 3 2007: Alabama by 24 2008: Alabama by 20 2009: Alabama by 2 2010: Alabama by 31 2011: Alabama by 31 2012: Alabama by 31 2013: Alabama by 35 2014: Alabama by 14 2015: Alabama by 5 2016: Alabama by 39 2017: Alabama by 38 2018: Alabama by 37 2019: Alabama by 22 2020: Alabama by 31 2021: Alabama by 28 2022: Tennessee by 3 2023: Alabama by 14 2024: Tennessee by 7 2025: Alabama by 17 1903 2025 2025 Alabama 37-20 Tennessee lost 20-37 at Alabama. Chance to win started at 22%, low under 1%, high 36%. 2024 Tennessee 24-17 Tennessee won 24-17 vs Alabama. Chance to win started at 39%, low 9%, high 97%. 2023 Alabama 34-20 Tennessee lost 20-34 at Alabama. Chance to win started at 31%, low under 1%, high 98%. 2022 Tennessee 52-49 Tennessee won 52-49 vs Alabama. Chance to win started at 30%, low 9%, high better than 99%. The 2022 game and what was said 2021 Alabama 52-24 Tennessee lost 24-52 at Alabama. Chance to win started at 6%, low under 1%, high 23%. Each line is Tennessee’s chance to win through that meeting. Tennessee is 2-1 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter.
Line, fans and home field The betting line, and the fans Tennessee fans are in a better mood than Alabama fans (53rd vs 19th among FBS fanbases), even with Alabama favored.
50-50 Model 22% · Line 27% Tennessee fans · 53rd Alabama fans · 19th Alabama Tennessee Alabama favored by 7.5 · Total 50.5
How games like this usually go Alabama by 7.5, on the usual path until Q1 14:51 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Half of games 8 in 10 games This game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.
The market The spread moved 6 points toward Alabama.
opened +1.5 now +7.5 The total fell 6 points.
opened 56.5 now 50.5 Spread: +1.5 → +7.5 · Total: 56.5 → 50.5
The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds
Home field Tennessee is worth +6.6 points (±4.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 90th percentile.
66% at home, 49% on the road against FBS opponents (35-18 home, 18-19 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why ); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.6 at home vs. away over 98 games — inside the ±6.7 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 280 miles to get here.
Last meeting in our History pages Our History pages cover 11 of their meetings since 2015.