Missouri 27-6 Texas A&M (Oct 10, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Texas A&M · Missouri

Texas A&M3-36

No. 14 Missouri5-127Final

Sat, Oct 10 · Memorial Stadium, Columbia, Mo. · Crowd 63,609

No. 14 Missouri beat Texas A&M 27-6.

We had Missouri favored. It won.

Next: Texas A&M beat The Citadel 41-0, Sat Oct 17

Next: Missouri lost to Ole Miss 31-3, Sat Oct 17

Top comment in the game thread

"I want Marcel Reed to make okay throws" *Monkey's paw curls*

Q2 7:47 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Oct 10

How it swung

The turning point: Simmons 32-yd TD pass to Lee, Missouri goes ahead 7-3 (Q2, 12:58). Missouri went from 69% to 28% to win.

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Missouri a 65% chance, and the closing betting line (Missouri was a 4.5-point favorite) put it at 64%.

Missouri won by 21, after dipping to 28% in the second quarter.

Up to 72% in the second quarter, then Texas A&M lost it.

Blocked field goalQ2 0:01

FinalMissouri 27-6 Texas A&MMissouri wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

The two plays that swung it

1Q2 12:58Simmons 32-yd TD pass to Lee, Missouri goes ahead 7-3Missouri 69% → 28% (−41)
2Q2 8:40Craig 50-yd field goalMissouri 41% → 82% (+41)

The two plays that swung it

1Q2 12:58Simmons 32-yd TD pass to Lee, Missouri goes ahead 7-3Texas A&M 31% → 72% (+41)
2Q2 8:40Craig 50-yd field goalTexas A&M 59% → 18% (−41)

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q1 8:19Texas A&M fans rage as Marcel Reed throws an interception in the end zoneI feel like Reed has turned the ball over in the red zone a disproportionate amount of timesr/CFB game threadDon’t worry Missouri, ya’ll can make as many mistakes as you guys want, because at the end of the day, only one of us has Marcel Reed.r/CFB game thread
Q2 7:47Texas A&M fans rage as Mario Craver drops a Marcel Reed passQuoted at the top of the page.How does Craver not catch that ball?r/CFB game thread
Q2 2:55Texas A&M fans criticize Reed after he is sacked on a three-man rushit genuinely is Reed. guys are getting open, he just can't hit themr/CFB game threadIt's 1 second left in the 4th quarter. A&M only has 3 points. Reed throws his final pick of the game. No other A&M QB was to be seen all game.r/CFB game thread

Missouri’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Missouri -4.5), at 72% for Missouri (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Missouri or Texas A&M flair (565 and 2,021); both sides share one scale, regulation only.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Missouri’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Missouri scored on 5 of its 14 drives; Texas A&M on 2 of its 13.

Missouri’s drives are teal, Texas A&M’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

From Texas A&M’s side

Texas A&M’s best moment: Simmons 32-yd TD pass to Lee, Missouri goes ahead 7-3 (Q2 12:58). It lifted Texas A&M’s win chance by 41 points.

How Texas A&M fans took it: “If it makes you feel better, A&M and OU will somehow manage to both lose when they play each other.” r/CFB game thread

“Game over. We aren’t capable of scoring touchdowns so 7 is an insurmountable lead”

A Texas A&M fan

How fans reacted

Quiet

The biggest reaction came in the first quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was quiet; the crowd was busy.

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Missouri fans

roberts“I thought we might be in trouble with Hardy being out, but Roberts has 100% stepped in and filled his shoes”

conservative“Conservative enough to keep a bad team in it, this is why he'll never be a good coach”

Texas A&M fans

reed“I trust Olano to make a 60+ yard FG more than Reed to hit a 10 yard out”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: ball, don, run, every.

What it cost

Texas A&M’s chance to make the playoff fell from 26% to 16%.

Make the playoff

Texas A&M · lost26% → ▼16%

Missouri · won28% → ▲36%

Win the conference

Texas A&M · lost1% → ▼0%

Missouri · won2% → 2%

Win the title

Texas A&M · lost2% → 2%

Missouri · won1% → ▲2%

Before the game (October 9, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Missouri 27, Texas A&M 6

Missouri covered −4.5 by 16.5. The total, 33, stayed under 50.5.

Team totals	Texas A&M	Missouri
Total yards	216	399
Passing	19 of 39, 187 yds	14 of 28, 147 yds
Rushing	23 for 29 yds	44 for 252 yds
First downs	10	20
Third down	5 of 18	6 of 16
Fourth down	1 of 3	0 of 0
Turnovers	2	1
Penalties	7 for 50 yds	5 for 45 yds
Time of possession	28:48	31:12

Texas A&M leaders

Passing Marcel Reed 19 of 39, 187 yds, 2 INT
Rushing KJ Edwards 6 for 20 yds; Jamarion Morrow 6 for 14 yds
Receiving TK Norman 3 for 55 yds; Houston Thomas 4 for 30 yds

Missouri leaders

Passing Austin Simmons 14 of 28, 147 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
Rushing Jamal Roberts 34 for 222 yds, 2 TD; Austin Simmons 4 for 24 yds
Receiving Cayden Lee 7 for 94 yds, 1 TD; Kenric Lanier II 1 for 16 yds

No rain and calm

75° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 7 mph from the south, gusts to 20

Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 69 other games played at Memorial Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 68°, with about 7 in 10 games between 58° and 80°.

October game-day temperatures at Memorial Stadium

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

Second quarter, 12:58 left11:51 a.m.

Texas A&M 3, Missouri 7 · Missouri 28% to win

no rain · wind 6 mph from the south · 80°

Simmons 32-yd TD pass to Lee, Missouri goes ahead 7-3

Measured at Columbia airport, 10 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Texas A&M · 3-2

Rated 6th in our preseason ratings, 17th now, down 11 spots.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 34-7 vs Arkansas #120 of 668

won by 27 as a 13.5-point favorite

L 6-35 @ LSUTop 25 #14 of 668

lost by 29 as an 8.5-point underdog

L 21-31 vs KentuckyTop 25 #86 of 668

lost by 10 as a 16.5-point favorite

W 48-20 vs Arizona State #46 of 668

won by 28 as a 15.5-point favorite

W 50-0 vs Missouri State #90 of 668

won by 50 as a 38.5-point favorite

Last three games

Missouri · 4-1

Rated 38th in our preseason ratings, 28th now.

2-1 in its last three, capped by a 28-point win over Florida as a 5.5-point underdog.

W 45-17 vs FloridaTop 25 #16 of 668

won by 28 as a 5.5-point underdog

L 24-31 @ Mississippi StateTop 25 #63 of 668

lost by 7 as a 3.5-point underdog

W 27-17 vs Troy #113 of 668

won by 10 as a 26.5-point favorite

W 38-21 @ Kansas #78 of 668

won by 17 as a 4-point favorite

W 54-14 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff #250 of 668

won by 40 as a 55.5-point favorite

Week by week

Missouri

Wk 1Wvs Arkansas-Pine Bluff54-14
Wk 2Wat Kansas38-21
Wk 3Wvs Troy27-17
Wk 4Lat Mississippi State24-31
Wk 5Wvs Florida45-17

Texas A&M

Wk 1Wvs Missouri State50-0
Wk 2Wvs Arizona State48-20
Wk 3Lvs Kentucky21-31
Wk 4Lat LSU6-35
Wk 5Wvs Arkansas34-7

Power rating by week

Texas A&M is rated 1.5 points ahead as of week 5. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Texas A&M’s passing EPA against Missouri, 60 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Texas A&M’s passing EPA against Missouri’s defense
Texas A&M offense, 16th percentile · Missouri defense, 76th
Missouri’s success rate against Texas A&M’s defense
Missouri offense, 28th percentile · Texas A&M defense, 79th
Missouri’s explosive plays against Texas A&M’s defense
Missouri offense, 89th percentile · Texas A&M defense, 61st

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Texas A&MMissouri

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Texas A&M leads the series 11-7

18 meetings since 1957 · Texas A&M has won the last 3

2025Texas A&M 38-17
2024Texas A&M 41-10
2021Texas A&M 35-14
2014Missouri 34-27
2013Missouri 28-21

Each line is Missouri’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Missouri fans are feeling it about like the typical fanbase this week (44th among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.

Missouri favored by 4.5 · Total 50.5

How games like this usually go

Missouri by 4.5, and it went to form

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 377 games since 2025 with a favorite of 3.5 to 7.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 3 points toward Missouri.

The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Missouri is worth +6.5 points (±4.0) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 88th percentile.

75% at home, 39% on the road against FBS opponents (38-13 home, 16-25 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.7 at home vs. away over 100 games — inside the ±5.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 618 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Texas A&M 41, Missouri 10Oct 5, 2024

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Missouri7th1-1
Texas A&M12th1-2

Full SEC standings

No. 14 Missouri beats Texas A&M 27-6