No. 25 Missouri routs Arkansas-Pine Bluff 54-14
Team pages: Arkansas-Pine Bluff · Missouri
No. 25 Missouri routed Arkansas-Pine Bluff 54-14. Share this game
We had Missouri favored. It won.
Top comment in the game thread
We might actually burn down Lawrence next Friday
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Missouri a 97% chance, and the closing betting line (Missouri was a 55.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.
Missouri led by 14 after the first quarter and by 40 at the half.
Missouri · Q2 5:52TargetingQ2 0:50Missouri 54-14 Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Missouri wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Arkansas-Pine Bluff 14-54 MissouriArkansas-Pine Bluff lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
What fans said, play by play
The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.
- Q1 9:38Simmons throws touchdown pass to Terry II, Mizzou fans celebrate Blake Craig's return
ITS BLAKE CRAIG
r/CFB game thread - Q2 8:55Missouri fans praise Simmons' deep pass to Lee as review upholds the catch
WHAT A CATCH!!!
r/CFB game thread - Q2 5:59Fans mock APB for kicking into their own endzone for a safety
There is no way kicking it 25+ yards into your own endzone is the correct choice.
r/CFB game thread - Q2 4:23Simmons throws a 47-yard touchdown pass to Lee, extending Missouri's lead to 37-0Quoted at the top of the page.
- Q2 0:50Missouri fans worry about a targeting penalty on Zollers' run
Don’t do a targeting
r/CFB game thread
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Missouri -55.5), at 100% for Missouri (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. The gray band is r/CFB game-thread activity, its loudest stretches in gold. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.Watch the plays
The bar and the arrow show Missouri’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.
- Q1, 9:38Simmons 25-yd TD pass to TerryMissouri goes ahead 7-0Q1, 9:38 · Missouri 7, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 07-0score after the play7-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q1, 4:16Simmons 14-yd TD pass to OlugbodeMissouri leads 14-0Q1, 4:16 · Missouri 14, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 014-0score after the play14-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q2, 12:56Roberts 1-yd TD runMissouri leads 21-0Q2, 12:56 · Missouri 21, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 021-0score after the play21-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q2, 7:54Simmons 9-yd pass to OlugbodefumbledQ2, 7:54 · Missouri 21, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 021-0score after the play21-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q2, 5:44Simmons 35-yd TD pass to OlugbodeMissouri leads 30-0Q2, 5:44 · Missouri 30, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 030-0score after the play30-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q2, 4:01Simmons 47-yd TD pass to LeeMissouri leads 37-0Q2, 4:01 · Missouri 37, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 037-0score after the play37-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q4, 10:00Zollers 5-yd TD runMissouri leads 47-7Q4, 10:00 · Missouri 47, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 747-7score after the play47-7score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q4, 6:13Schierholz 16-yd TD pass to Brewercuts it to 47-14Q4, 6:13 · Missouri 47, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 1447-14score after the play47-14score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q4, 3:49Hatfield 9-yd TD runMissouri leads 54-14Q4, 3:49 · Missouri 54, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 1454-14score after the play54-14score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
Every drive
Missouri scored on 8 of its 12 drives; Arkansas-Pine Bluff on 2 of its 11.
Missouri’s drives are teal, Arkansas-Pine Bluff’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
“We just got some fancy new spotlights”
When fans got loud
Busy
Fans peaked in the second quarter.
The jump was busy; the crowd was quiet.
Box score
Missouri 54, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 14
Arkansas-Pine Bluff covered +55.5 by 15.5. The total, 68, went over 62.5.
| Team totals | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Missouri |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 198 | 562 |
| Passing | 11 of 24, 109 yds | 26 of 33, 357 yds |
| Rushing | 29 for 89 yds | 45 for 205 yds |
| First downs | 13 | 33 |
| Third down | 3 of 13 | 6 of 10 |
| Fourth down | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Penalties | 8 for 71 yds | 5 for 35 yds |
| Time of possession | 26:02 | 33:58 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff leaders
- Passing Jack Schierholz 4 of 10, 67 yds, 1 TD
- Rushing Za'Marion Webber 7 for 56 yds, 1 TD; Jalen Williams 5 for 30 yds
- Receiving David Brewer IV 2 for 29 yds, 1 TD; Bryce Robinson 1 for 23 yds
Missouri leaders
- Passing Austin Simmons 17 of 19, 252 yds, 4 TD
- Rushing Jamal Roberts 13 for 47 yds, 1 TD; Xai'Shaun Edwards 7 for 45 yds
- Receiving Donovan Olugbode 8 for 116 yds, 2 TD; Cayden Lee 4 for 80 yds, 1 TD
Feels like 88° to 100° through the game
93° at kickoff · feels like 88° to 100° · no rain recorded · wind 7 mph from the east-southeast, gusts to 13
A feels-like 100° is hotter than the peak in 99% of games since 2018.
Each gray tick is one game. The black line is the typical game.
Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 69 other games played at Memorial Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 74°, with about 7 in 10 games between 64° and 86°.
September game-day temperatures at Memorial Stadium
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Columbia airport, 10 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
Arkansas-Pine Bluff · 3-8
Rated 248th in our preseason ratings, 248th now.
Three straight losses.
L 13-44 @ Alabama State #83 of 667
lost by 31 as a 26.5-point underdog
L 9-56 @ Prairie View A&M #108 of 667
lost by 47 as a 21-point underdog
L 28-31 vs Florida A&M #219 of 667
lost by 3 as a 3.5-point underdog
W 40-21 vs Southern #259 of 667
won by 19 as a 1-point underdog
L 14-31 @ Bethune-Cookman #187 of 667
lost by 17 as a 13.5-point underdog
L 16-20 vs Grambling #214 of 667
lost by 4 as an 8-point underdog
L 7-51 @ Texas Southern #210 of 667
lost by 44 as a 6-point underdog
W 24-20 @ Alcorn State #216 of 667
won by 4 as a 7-point favorite
W 34-8 vs Lincoln (CA) #428 of 667
L 17-41 @ Central Arkansas #149 of 667
lost by 24 as a 27-point underdog
L 7-67 @ Texas TechTop 25 #29 of 667
lost by 60 as a 54.5-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
Missouri · 8-5
Rated 38th in our preseason ratings.
L 7-13 vs VirginiaTop 25 #32 of 667
lost by 6 as a 4-point favorite
W 31-17 @ Arkansas #37 of 667
won by 14 as a 4.5-point favorite
L 6-17 @ OklahomaTop 25 #15 of 667
lost by 11 as a 4.5-point underdog
W 49-27 vs Mississippi State #56 of 667
won by 22 as a 7.5-point favorite
L 17-38 vs Texas A&MTop 25 #8 of 667
lost by 21 as a 6.5-point underdog
L 10-17 @ VanderbiltTop 25 #26 of 667
lost by 7 as a 3.5-point underdog
W 23-17 @ AuburnTop 25 #20 of 667
won by 6 as a 1.5-point favorite
L 24-27 vs AlabamaTop 25 #5 of 667
lost by 3 as a 3.5-point underdog
W 42-6 vs Massachusetts #169 of 667
won by 36 as a 44.5-point favorite
W 29-20 vs South CarolinaTop 25 #21 of 667
won by 9 as a 10.5-point favorite
W 52-10 vs Louisiana #100 of 667
won by 42 as a 27.5-point favorite
W 42-31 vs Kansas #28 of 667
won by 11 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 61-6 vs Central Arkansas #148 of 667
won by 55 as a 39.5-point favorite
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line agree on Missouri’s chances here.
Missouri favored by 55.5 · Total 62.5
How games like this usually go
Missouri by 55.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market
The spread moved 1 point toward Missouri.
The total rose 2 points.
Spread: −54.5 → −55.5 · Total: 60.5 → 62.5
Home field
Missouri is worth +6.5 points (±4.0) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 88th percentile.
75% at home, 39% on the road against FBS opponents (38-13 home, 16-25 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.7 at home vs. away over 100 games — inside the ±5.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 324 miles to get here.